Tearsheet

CNH Industrial (CNH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.52 | Market Cap: $11.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

CNH Industrial (CNH)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $9.52
Market Cap: $11.9 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, FCF Yield is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -107%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CNH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the -17% stock movement for CNH Industrial (CNH) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. CNH Industrial reported significantly weaker-than-expected third-quarter 2025 financial results. The company announced a substantial decline in net income, with diluted earnings per share falling to $0.06 in Q3 2025, compared to $0.24 in Q3 2024. Consolidated revenues were down 5% to $4.40 billion, and net sales of Industrial Activities decreased by 7% year-over-year. Adjusted earnings per share of $0.08 also missed analyst expectations of $0.13. This disappointing performance triggered a sharp sell-off, with shares tumbling more than 11% in premarket trading on November 7, 2025.

2. The company issued a lowered and narrowed full-year 2025 outlook. Following the weak Q3 results, CNH Industrial updated its 2025 outlook, forecasting a decline in Agriculture segment net sales of between 11% and 13% year-over-year, and Construction segment net sales down between 3% and 5% year-over-year. The adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) outlook for 2025 was also reduced to a range of $0.44–$0.50, which was below prior guidance and analyst consensus estimates. This revised guidance indicated continued market headwinds and increased uncertainty for the company's near-term profitability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CNH Return21%53%-10%-22%-3%-17%5%
Peers Return24%11%11%12%-7%-10%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNH Win Rate42%58%50%25%42%30% 
Peers Win Rate53%43%43%35%33%49% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNH Max Drawdown-53%-3%-39%-37%-19%-15% 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-7%-19%-9%-16%-24% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven805 days120 days

Compare to DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI


In The Past

CNH Industrial's stock fell -50.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -50.1% loss requires a 100.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CNH Industrial (CNH)

Better Bets than CNH Industrial (CNH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CNH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CNH Industrial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNHDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Price9.50481.82105.1313.209.0612.0212.61
Mkt Cap11.9130.47.80.20.0-7.8
Rev LTM17,81443,39710,0491181,6381,0525,844
Op Inc LTM2,9878,6636581537168514
FCF LTM2,0244,101749-1108-40429
FCF 3Y Avg7863,9866543118-654
CFO LTM3,2858,5561,0220150-28586
CFO 3Y Avg1,9708,5221,0505186-1,050

Growth & Margins

CNHDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Rev Chg LTM-18.1%-20.9%-20.1%3.9%-22.9%--20.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.0%-0.6%-3.9%5.4%-9.8%--3.9%
Rev Chg Q-5.5%-8.3%-4.7%5.6%-17.8%--5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%-2.4%-1.2%1.2%-4.8%--1.4%
Op Mgn LTM16.8%20.0%6.5%13.2%22.6%6.4%15.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.6%22.3%9.2%12.5%6.8%-12.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-1.2%0.4%0.8%29.6%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM18.4%19.7%10.2%0.1%9.2%-2.7%9.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%16.5%8.6%4.4%8.7%-8.7%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%9.4%7.5%-0.8%6.6%-3.8%7.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%7.8%5.4%2.3%5.6%-5.4%

Valuation

CNHDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Cap11.9130.47.80.20.0-7.8
P/S0.83.20.81.70.0-0.8
P/EBIT6.014.333.313.30.0-13.3
P/E22.726.421.313.50.0-21.3
P/CFO4.116.17.81,682.10.0-7.8
Total Yield6.8%5.0%5.8%7.4%67,757.1%-6.8%
Dividend Yield2.4%1.2%1.1%0.0%3,467.9%-1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%3.4%8.0%0.6%12,421.5%-5.9%
D/E2.00.50.40.01,078.5-0.5
Net D/E1.90.40.3-0.7851.5-0.4

Returns

CNHDEAGCOGENCWNCAEBIMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere AGCO Gencor I.Wabash N.Aebi Sch. 
1M Rtn-8.7%4.3%0.2%-2.9%14.4%8.1%2.2%
3M Rtn-15.3%3.0%-2.3%-17.2%-17.1%4.9%-8.8%
6M Rtn-23.6%-4.5%6.0%-7.4%-0.0%--4.5%
12M Rtn-21.8%6.4%5.7%-39.6%-52.6%--21.8%
3Y Rtn-37.9%12.7%-14.6%22.3%-63.2%--14.6%
1M Excs Rtn-8.7%4.3%0.2%-2.8%14.4%8.2%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-21.7%-3.5%-9.2%-23.7%-24.7%0.8%-15.5%
6M Excs Rtn-38.4%-19.2%-8.8%-22.1%-14.7%--19.2%
12M Excs Rtn-36.5%-8.7%-8.5%-54.1%-66.6%--36.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-107.2%-59.0%-83.8%-42.6%-135.1%--83.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Agriculture18,14817,96914,72110,92310,959
Construction3,9323,5723,0812,1702,768
Financial Services2,5731,9961,6721,8232,011
Eliminations and other341422-1,934-2,215
Commercial and Specialty Vehicles   9,42110,439
Powertrain   3,6294,117
Total24,68723,55119,49626,03228,079


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity47,750,319
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-8.4%
Average Daily Volume15,481,881
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.08
Basic Shares Quantity1,250,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
630202280320226-K 6/30/2022
331202250920226-K 3/31/2022
12312021301202220-F 12/31/2021