Tearsheet

CNH Industrial (CNH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.595 | Market Cap: $12.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

CNH Industrial (CNH)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $9.595
Market Cap: $12.0 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, FCF Yield is 15%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
  Key risks
CNH key risks include [1] high vulnerability to downturns in its core agricultural and construction markets, Show more.
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.8%, Dividend Yield is 2.4%, FCF Yield is 15%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil, FCF LTM is 2.0 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 36%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, and Hydrogen Economy. Themes include Autonomous Driving Technology, EV Manufacturing, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -54%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 185%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -5.5%
7 Key risks
CNH key risks include [1] high vulnerability to downturns in its core agricultural and construction markets, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CNH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The stock of CNH Industrial (CNH) experienced a significant decline, including a reported 16.8% drop over the last year as of December 12, 2025, and an 11.5% year-to-date decline, driven by several key factors in the period leading up to December 18, 2025. Key points contributing to such a movement include: 1. 1. Disappointing Q3 2025 Earnings and Lowered Outlook.

CNH Industrial reported Q3 2025 adjusted earnings per share of $0.08, which was substantially lower than analyst expectations of $0.13 and a significant decrease from $0.24 in Q3 2024. The company further reduced its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $0.44 to $0.50, missing both its prior forecast of $0.50 to $0.70 and the analyst consensus of $0.59. This negative earnings report and revised outlook led to a sharp sell-off, with shares tumbling over 11% in premarket trading on November 7, 2025. 2. 2. Weakening Industry Demand and Channel Destocking.

The company faced a challenging market environment characterized by lower industry demand across both the agriculture and construction equipment segments. This necessitated CNH to deliberately scale back production to reduce excess inventory in its distribution channels. Global retail demand for agricultural equipment was projected to decline by approximately 10% from 2024, and construction retail volumes were anticipated to be down about 5% from 2024. 3.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CNH Return21%53%-10%-22%-3%-13%9%
Peers Return30%19%17%21%1%24%173%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CNH Win Rate42%58%50%25%42%33% 
Peers Win Rate70%60%50%47%50%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CNH Max Drawdown-53%-3%-39%-37%-19%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-44%-2%-20%-10%-15%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DE, CAT, AGCO, PCAR, TEX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCNHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-50.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven100.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-54.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven120.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven256 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven805 days120 days

Compare to DE, AGCO, GENC, WNC, AEBI


In The Past

CNH Industrial's stock fell -50.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 12/27/2021. A -50.1% loss requires a 100.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About CNH Industrial (CNH)

Better Bets than CNH Industrial (CNH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CNH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for CNH Industrial

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CNHDECATAGCOPCARTEXMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Terex  
Mkt Price9.58481.00561.89106.36111.6352.28109.00
Mkt Cap12.0130.2263.37.958.73.435.3
Rev LTM17,81443,39764,67110,04929,5325,34423,673
Op Inc LTM2,9878,66311,4156583,3653913,176
FCF LTM2,0244,1017,5607493,1942792,609
FCF 3Y Avg7863,9868,6166543,0052661,895
CFO LTM3,2858,55611,5411,0224,7174124,001
CFO 3Y Avg1,9708,52211,9361,0504,4503923,210

Growth & Margins

CNHDECATAGCOPCARTEXMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Terex  
Rev Chg LTM-18.1%-20.9%-1.5%-20.1%-15.2%4.6%-16.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.0%-0.6%4.9%-3.9%3.8%8.9%1.6%
Rev Chg Q-5.5%-8.3%9.5%-4.7%-19.0%14.4%-5.1%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.4%-2.4%2.4%-1.2%-5.0%3.4%-1.3%
Op Mgn LTM16.8%20.0%17.7%6.5%11.4%7.3%14.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg18.6%22.3%18.9%9.2%14.4%10.4%16.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.4%-1.2%-0.6%0.4%-1.0%0.1%-0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM18.4%19.7%17.8%10.2%16.0%7.7%16.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%16.5%18.2%8.6%13.7%7.5%11.8%
FCF/Rev LTM11.4%9.4%11.7%7.5%10.8%5.2%10.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.4%7.8%13.1%5.4%9.2%5.1%6.6%

Valuation

CNHDECATAGCOPCARTEXMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Terex  
Mkt Cap12.0130.2263.37.958.73.435.3
P/S0.83.24.10.81.80.61.3
P/EBIT6.014.321.533.315.48.814.8
P/E22.726.428.421.319.221.622.1
P/CFO4.116.122.87.811.08.29.6
Total Yield6.8%5.0%4.6%5.8%9.6%6.0%5.9%
Dividend Yield2.4%1.2%1.0%1.1%4.4%1.4%1.3%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.9%3.4%4.9%8.0%6.1%7.4%6.0%
D/E2.00.50.20.40.30.80.4
Net D/E1.90.40.10.30.10.60.3

Returns

CNHDECATAGCOPCARTEXMedian
NameCNH Indu.Deere Caterpil.AGCO PACCAR Terex  
1M Rtn-1.8%1.1%1.8%3.6%18.6%18.8%2.7%
3M Rtn-11.7%2.9%25.0%-2.4%11.1%-0.2%1.3%
6M Rtn-25.3%-7.8%57.2%4.3%23.9%16.0%10.2%
12M Rtn-15.9%10.0%51.8%11.0%4.2%12.2%10.5%
3Y Rtn-33.9%16.3%154.1%-10.0%88.2%30.8%23.6%
1M Excs Rtn-2.6%0.3%1.0%2.8%17.8%18.1%1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-15.0%0.0%19.3%-4.6%9.1%-3.0%-1.5%
6M Excs Rtn-37.7%-20.1%44.8%-8.1%11.5%3.6%-2.2%
12M Excs Rtn-28.5%-0.3%38.8%-0.3%-8.1%-4.0%-2.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.0%-53.7%85.3%-80.3%16.1%-44.7%-49.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Agriculture18,14817,96914,72110,92310,959
Construction3,9323,5723,0812,1702,768
Financial Services2,5731,9961,6721,8232,011
Eliminations and other341422-1,934-2,215
Commercial and Specialty Vehicles   9,42110,439
Powertrain   3,6294,117
Total24,68723,55119,49626,03228,079


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity49,422,336
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520253.7%
Average Daily Volume13,550,489
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.65
Basic Shares Quantity1,250,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/1/2025-3.8%-4.0%-11.7%
5/1/20257.3%5.4%10.1%
2/4/20251.4%-2.1%-4.5%
11/8/2024-8.3%-8.3%3.7%
7/31/20244.7%-5.6%-1.2%
5/2/20243.1%2.8%-2.9%
2/14/20246.2%1.1%5.2%
11/7/2023-10.6%-13.6%-3.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive643
# Negative578
Median Positive4.5%2.2%5.2%
Median Negative-8.3%-8.1%-4.0%
Max Positive7.3%5.4%10.1%
Max Negative-10.6%-13.6%-14.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024228202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
630202280320226-K 6/30/2022
331202250920226-K 3/31/2022
12312021301202220-F 12/31/2021