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Verisk Analytics (VRSK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $223.56 | Market Cap: $31.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services

Verisk Analytics (VRSK)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $223.56
Market Cap: $31.2 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Research & Consulting Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cloud Computing, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.
 
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cloud Computing, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

VRSK Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Verisk Analytics (VRSK) experienced a notable decline in its stock price between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025. Several factors contributed to this negative movement.

1. Missed Q3 2025 Revenue and EBITDA Estimates, and Lowered Full-Year Guidance: Verisk Analytics reported its third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 29, 2025. While the company beat adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimates, it missed Wall Street's revenue expectations, reporting $768.3 million against an estimated $776.8 million. This revenue shortfall, though slight, contributed to investor concerns. Additionally, the company lowered its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to a midpoint of $3.07 billion from a previous forecast of $3.11 billion. The adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year was also decreased to a range of $1.69-$1.72 billion from the prior quarter's view of $1.70-$1.74 billion, falling below analyst estimates.

2. Impact of Unusually Mild Weather on Claims Volumes: During its Q3 2025 earnings call, Verisk's CEO, Lee Shavel, noted that the company experienced an "exceptionally low level of severe weather," which led to a decline in claims assignments across its Xactware system. This temporary factor negatively impacted organic constant currency (OCC) revenue growth by approximately 1% and contributed to an 8.8% decline in transactional revenues on an OCC basis. This softer demand stemming from mild weather was cited as a reason for the lowered full-year revenue outlook.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
VRSK Return40%11%-22%36%16%-18%56%
Peers Return27%89994%-22%21%427%-47%305447%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
VRSK Win Rate50%67%33%67%58%40% 
Peers Win Rate40%40%28%53%40%28% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
VRSK Max Drawdown-19%-22%-31%-3%-9%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-22%-14%-38%-23%-12%-59% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FICO, EFX, RPD, ACCL, BRKK. See VRSK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventVRSKS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-31.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven45.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven401 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-29.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven67 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-17.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven53 days120 days

Compare to FICO, EFX, RPD, ACCL, BRKK


In The Past

Verisk Analytics's stock fell -31.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -31.2% loss requires a 45.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Verisk Analytics (VRSK)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to VRSK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.2%-3.2%-10.5%
VRSK_9302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302022VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.9%39.4%-3.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
7.3%7.3%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.3%2.3%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.6%1.6%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.2%2.2%0.0%
VRSK_10172025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper10172025VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-3.2%-3.2%-10.5%
VRSK_9302022_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302022VRSKVerisk AnalyticsMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
12.9%39.4%-3.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Verisk Analytics

Peers to compare with:

Financials

VRSKFICOEFXRPDACCLBRKKMedian
NameVerisk A.Fair Isa.Equifax Rapid7 Acco Barentsz. 
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Valuation

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Returns

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Insurance2,6812,4372,2072,0091,865
Energy and Specialized Markets 22113619564
Financial Services 38143157178
Total2,6812,4972,4622,7852,607


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,282,581
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120255.7%
Average Daily Volume1,474,143
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.23
Basic Shares Quantity139,509,985
Short % of Basic Shares2.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251029202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025730202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023221202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023503202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221101202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/31/2021