Verisk Analytics (VRSK)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $218.13 | Market Cap: $30.4 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Research & Consulting Services
Verisk Analytics (VRSK)
Market Price (12/22/2025): $218.13Market Cap: $30.4 BilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Research & Consulting Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% | Key risksVRSK key risks include [1] intense competition requiring continuous technological innovation to maintain market leadership and [2] a significant dependence on the cyclical economic health of the insurance industry. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cloud Computing, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 44% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 37% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include AI in Financial Services, Cloud Computing, and Sustainable Finance. Themes include AI for Fraud Detection, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -51%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -50% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/SPrice/Sales ratio is 10x |
| Key risksVRSK key risks include [1] intense competition requiring continuous technological innovation to maintain market leadership and [2] a significant dependence on the cyclical economic health of the insurance industry. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
VRSK Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the approximately -18.4% stock movement for Verisk Analytics (VRSK) from August 31, 2025, to December 22, 2025:
1. Verisk Analytics reported third-quarter 2025 results that missed analyst expectations for adjusted earnings per share and revenue, leading to a 12.05% stock drop on October 29, 2025. Management cited slower growth in certain insurance segments and increased investment in product innovation and customer acquisition as factors contributing to thinner-than-expected margin expansion. The company also indicated that major share-buyback announcements might be deferred.
2. Multiple analyst firms downgraded Verisk Analytics' stock and/or significantly lowered their price targets in October and November 2025. For instance, on October 16, 2025, Rothschild & Co Redburn downgraded VRSK from "Neutral" to "Sell" and reduced its price target from $280 to $220, citing expectations for slowing top-line growth, challenges in margin expansion, increasing financial leverage, declining return on invested capital, and growing threats from AI-native competitors. Other firms like Barclays, Wells Fargo & Company, Goldman Sachs Group, RBC Capital, and JPMorgan also reduced their price targets around October 30, 2025. Argus also downgraded the stock from "buy" to "hold" on November 14, 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| VRSK Return | 40% | 11% | -22% | 36% | 16% | -20% | 52% |
| Peers Return | 22% | 29% | -29% | 42% | 23% | -4% | 86% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| VRSK Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 33% | 67% | 58% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 67% | 35% | 67% | 56% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| VRSK Max Drawdown | -19% | -22% | -31% | -3% | -9% | -24% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -14% | -40% | -3% | -8% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MCO, SPGI, FDS, GWRE. See VRSK Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/19/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | VRSK | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.2% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 45.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 401 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 67 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.0% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 53 days | 120 days |
Compare to FICO, EFX, RPD, ACCL, BRKK
In The Past
Verisk Analytics's stock fell -31.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/19/2021. A -31.2% loss requires a 45.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to VRSK. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.0% | -6.0% | -10.5% |
| 09302022 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 12.9% | 39.4% | -3.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 18.0% | 18.0% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 2.6% | 2.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 3.6% | 3.6% | -0.4% |
| 10172025 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -6.0% | -6.0% | -10.5% |
| 09302022 | VRSK | Verisk Analytics | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 12.9% | 39.4% | -3.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Verisk Analytics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 288.54 |
| Mkt Cap | 30.4 |
| Rev LTM | 3,030 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,347 |
| FCF LTM | 1,116 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 942 |
| CFO LTM | 1,348 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,179 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.8% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 13.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 40.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 36.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 36.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 34.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 32.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 30.4 |
| P/S | 10.4 |
| P/EBIT | 25.3 |
| P/E | 37.0 |
| P/CFO | 27.6 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 3.8% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -15.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 5.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 58.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -9.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -22.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | -10.4% | -5.2% | -3.5% |
| 7/30/2025 | -6.3% | -10.0% | -9.0% |
| 5/7/2025 | 4.6% | 1.8% | 8.2% |
| 2/26/2025 | -3.9% | -0.1% | -2.4% |
| 10/30/2024 | 4.5% | 6.1% | 11.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | -8.5% | -8.8% | -5.1% |
| 5/1/2024 | 6.8% | 13.3% | 14.4% |
| 2/21/2024 | -4.4% | -2.2% | -4.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 7 | 10 | 12 |
| # Negative | 16 | 13 | 11 |
| Median Positive | 4.4% | 2.9% | 7.8% |
| Median Negative | -4.1% | -5.2% | -4.7% |
| Max Positive | 6.8% | 13.3% | 14.4% |
| Max Negative | -10.4% | -10.6% | -21.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5012024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11012023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2222022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |