Tearsheet

Wabash National (WNC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $9.79 | Market Cap: $0.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Wabash National (WNC)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $9.79
Market Cap: $0.4 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Agricultural & Farm Machinery

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 67757%, Dividend Yield is 3468%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 67753%, FCF Yield is 26842%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -105%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 85153%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -100%
  Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 3912%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, Advanced Materials, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
  Key risks
WNC key risks include [1] a significant product liability lawsuit with a nine-figure damages award under appeal and [2] weaker freight demand that has forced reduced revenue guidance for 2024 and 2025.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 67757%, Dividend Yield is 3468%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 67753%, FCF Yield is 26842%
1 Attractive operating margins
Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 23%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -100%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Future of Freight, Advanced Materials, and E-commerce Logistics & Data Centers. Themes include Freight Technology, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -105%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -130%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 85153%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.8%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -18%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 3912%
8 Key risks
WNC key risks include [1] a significant product liability lawsuit with a nine-figure damages award under appeal and [2] weaker freight demand that has forced reduced revenue guidance for 2024 and 2025.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WNC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why Wabash National (WNC) stock moved by -11.1% between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025: 1. Wabash National reported weaker-than-expected Q3 2025 earnings and revenue.

The company announced its Q3 2025 results on October 30, 2025, reporting an adjusted EPS of -$0.51, significantly missing the consensus estimate of -$0.21. Quarterly revenue also fell short, coming in at $381.6 million compared to analyst estimates of $390.62 million, representing a 17.8% year-over-year decrease. 2. The company lowered its full-year 2025 financial outlook due to deepening soft demand.

Following the Q3 results, Wabash National reduced its full-year 2025 revenue outlook to $1.5 billion and adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $(1.95) to $(2.05). Management indicated that the fourth quarter of 2025 was expected to be the "weakest of the year" in terms of revenue and operating margins, citing a deepening soft demand environment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WNC Return20%16%18%15%-32%-41%-24%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WNC Win Rate58%58%42%50%25%42% 
Peers Win Rate56% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WNC Max Drawdown-56%-20%-35%-8%-33%-59% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DE, AGCO, TWI, GENC, AEBI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWNCS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven206 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven203 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-53.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven113.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1501 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-96.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven3107.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2738 days1480 days

Compare to DE, AGCO, TWI, GENC, AEBI


In The Past

Wabash National's stock fell -42.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/14/2022. A -42.2% loss requires a 73.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Wabash National (WNC)

Better Bets than Wabash National (WNC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WNC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Wabash National

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WNCDEAGCOTWIGENCAEBIMedian
NameWabash N.Deere AGCO Titan In.Gencor I.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Price9.78485.44106.468.2513.1613.5013.33
Mkt Cap0.0131.47.90.50.21.00.7
Rev LTM1,63843,39710,0491,8021151,2961,720
Op Inc LTM3718,663658151458215
FCF LTM1084,101749-2411562
FCF 3Y Avg1183,986654736-118
CFO LTM1508,5561,0222632990
CFO 3Y Avg1868,5221,0501328-186

Growth & Margins

WNCDEAGCOTWIGENCAEBIMedian
NameWabash N.Deere AGCO Titan In.Gencor I.Aebi Sch. 
Rev Chg LTM-22.9%-20.9%-20.1%-2.8%2.0%--20.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.8%-0.6%-3.9%-5.6%3.7%--3.9%
Rev Chg Q-17.8%-8.3%-4.7%4.1%-10.0%79.6%-6.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-4.8%-2.4%-1.2%1.0%-1.8%19.2%-1.5%
Op Mgn LTM22.6%20.0%6.5%0.8%12.1%4.5%9.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg6.8%22.3%9.2%4.6%12.3%-9.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM29.6%-1.2%0.4%0.4%-1.0%-0.8%-0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM9.2%19.7%10.2%1.4%2.7%2.3%5.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%16.5%8.6%7.0%6.9%-8.6%
FCF/Rev LTM6.6%9.4%7.5%-1.3%1.0%1.1%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.6%7.8%5.4%3.8%5.2%-5.4%

Valuation

WNCDEAGCOTWIGENCAEBIMedian
NameWabash N.Deere AGCO Titan In.Gencor I.Aebi Sch. 
Mkt Cap0.0131.47.90.50.21.00.7
P/S0.03.20.80.31.90.70.8
P/EBIT0.014.333.328.1--21.2
P/E0.026.421.3-79.013.791.917.5
P/CFO0.016.17.818.669.932.617.3
Total Yield67,757.1%5.0%5.8%-1.3%7.3%1.3%5.4%
Dividend Yield3,467.9%1.2%1.1%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg12,421.5%3.4%8.0%9.7%--8.8%
D/E1,078.50.50.41.5--1.0
Net D/E851.50.40.31.0--0.7

Returns

WNCDEAGCOTWIGENCAEBIMedian
NameWabash N.Deere AGCO Titan In.Gencor I.Aebi Sch. 
1M Rtn29.0%1.9%1.9%9.0%-3.8%24.5%5.5%
3M Rtn-13.4%3.9%-4.0%-5.6%-12.9%8.1%-4.8%
6M Rtn-3.4%-6.6%4.9%-8.6%-7.8%--6.6%
12M Rtn-45.8%12.3%11.7%7.3%-38.6%-7.3%
3Y Rtn-55.3%17.4%-9.9%-46.5%17.7%--9.9%
1M Excs Rtn28.0%1.0%1.0%8.0%-4.8%23.5%4.5%
3M Excs Rtn-13.3%0.8%-5.4%-6.7%-13.7%8.1%-6.0%
6M Excs Rtn-17.1%-20.2%-8.7%-22.3%-21.5%--20.2%
12M Excs Rtn-60.7%-0.4%-1.1%-4.5%-51.0%--4.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-129.6%-56.5%-84.5%-111.6%-52.0%--84.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Transportation Solutions2,3392,3211,6291,309 
Parts & Services221193175173 
Corporate and Eliminations-23-12   
Commercial Trailer Products    1,520
Diversified Products    358
Final Mile Products    442
Total2,5362,5021,8031,4822,319


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Transportation Solutions36721062-30 
Parts & Services453120-13 
Corporate and Eliminations-100-74-49-43-43
Commercial Trailer Products    146
Diversified Products    30
Final Mile Products    10
Total31216734-86143


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,601,118
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.4%
Average Daily Volume508,272
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.15
Basic Shares Quantity40,928
Short % of Basic Shares3912.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-2.6%-5.4%6.0%
7/25/2025-6.5%-6.6%5.8%
4/30/2025-30.6%-18.4%-13.5%
1/29/20254.3%-3.6%-25.4%
10/24/2024-0.9%4.6%10.8%
7/24/2024-9.5%-5.1%-15.4%
4/24/2024-5.2%-10.3%-13.8%
2/1/20245.6%2.4%6.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131517
# Negative12108
Median Positive4.4%5.4%6.4%
Median Negative-3.7%-5.2%-14.2%
Max Positive12.2%31.3%52.5%
Max Negative-30.6%-18.4%-34.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251030202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025725202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241024202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024724202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024424202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231025202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023726202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023426202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221026202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022727202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022427202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021