Exagen (XGN)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $4.675 | Market Cap: $111.5 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Exagen (XGN)
Market Price (8/4/2026): $4.675Market Cap: $111.5 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics. | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% Key risksXGN key risks include [1] its high dependency on securing adequate reimbursement from third-party payors and [2] a history of material weaknesses in internal financial controls, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, and Personalized Diagnostics. |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -14 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -21% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -21% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 54% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -22% |
| Key risksXGN key risks include [1] its high dependency on securing adequate reimbursement from third-party payors and [2] a history of material weaknesses in internal financial controls, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
Exagen (XGN) stock has gained about 60% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance: Exagen announced its fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 11, 2026, reporting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.17, which surpassed the consensus estimate of -$0.24 by $0.07. Additionally, the company's revenue reached $17.31 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $16.41 million. This represented a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue, primarily driven by a 10% rise in AVISE® CTD test volumes and a 6% improvement in the trailing-twelve-month average selling price (ASP) to $444 per test. The adjusted EBITDA loss also improved by 14% compared to fiscal Q1 2025.
2. Reaffirmation of Full-Year 2026 Revenue Guidance: Concurrent with its strong fiscal Q1 2026 results, Exagen reaffirmed its full-year 2026 revenue guidance, projecting between $70 million and $73 million. This reaffirmed outlook signals management's confidence in sustained high single-digit percentage test volume growth and low single-digit ASP growth for the remainder of the fiscal year.
Show more
Exagen (XGN) stock has gained about 60% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q1 2026 Financial Performance: Exagen announced its fiscal Q1 2026 results on May 11, 2026, reporting an earnings per share (EPS) of -$0.17, which surpassed the consensus estimate of -$0.24 by $0.07. Additionally, the company's revenue reached $17.31 million, exceeding analyst expectations of $16.41 million. This represented a 12% year-over-year increase in revenue, primarily driven by a 10% rise in AVISE® CTD test volumes and a 6% improvement in the trailing-twelve-month average selling price (ASP) to $444 per test. The adjusted EBITDA loss also improved by 14% compared to fiscal Q1 2025.
2. Reaffirmation of Full-Year 2026 Revenue Guidance: Concurrent with its strong fiscal Q1 2026 results, Exagen reaffirmed its full-year 2026 revenue guidance, projecting between $70 million and $73 million. This reaffirmed outlook signals management's confidence in sustained high single-digit percentage test volume growth and low single-digit ASP growth for the remainder of the fiscal year.
3. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Increased Price Targets: Following the Q1 2026 earnings and subsequent news, Exagen received favorable coverage from financial analysts. By late July 2026, the stock had a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from multiple analysts, with an average price target of approximately $9.00. Several firms, including Roth Capital (initiating on June 24, 2026), Canaccord Genuity, and BTIG, maintained or initiated "Buy" ratings with price targets around $8.00 to $10.00, implying significant potential upside for the stock.
4. Publication Confirming AVISE Lupus Performance: On June 1, 2026, Exagen announced the publication of a systematic review. This review confirmed the robust real-world performance of its AVISE Lupus diagnostic test, which likely bolstered investor confidence in the company's core product portfolio and its clinical utility.
Show less
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 61.4% change in XGN stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 58.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302026 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.90 | 4.68 | 61.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 67 | 68 | 2.7% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.0 | 1.6 | 58.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 24 | 24 | -1.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 61.4% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2026 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XGN | 61.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 5.4% | 31.7% |
| Sector (XLV) | 11.1% | 0.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 27.2% change in XGN stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 23.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.68 | 4.68 | 27.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 64 | 68 | 7.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 1.3 | 1.6 | 23.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 23 | 24 | -3.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 27.2% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XGN | 27.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 39.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 5.3% | 16.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -44.3% change in XGN stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312025 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.40 | 4.68 | -44.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 59 | 68 | 16.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 3.0 | 1.6 | -45.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 21 | 24 | -11.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -44.3% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2025 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XGN | -44.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 20.9% | 33.4% |
| Sector (XLV) | 26.0% | 18.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.2% change in XGN stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026 was primarily driven by a 75.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 7312023 | 8032026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.46 | 4.68 | 90.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 46 | 68 | 47.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 1.6 | 75.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 24 | -26.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 90.2% |
Market Drivers
7/31/2023 to 8/3/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| XGN | 90.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 71.4% | 24.5% |
| Sector (XLV) | 26.6% | 12.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XGN Return | -12% | -79% | -17% | 106% | 48% | -25% | -66% |
| Peers Return | 50% | -28% | -7% | -4% | 18% | 4% | 17% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XGN Win Rate | 42% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 12% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 62% | 44% | 38% | 48% | 60% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 38% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XGN Max Drawdown | -59% | -82% | -58% | -41% | -50% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -40% | -29% | -21% | -17% | -30% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FLGT, QGEN, DGX, LH.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/3/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XGN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 271 days | 24 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -12.9% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 14.8% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -78.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 368.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1081 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 320 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Exagen's stock fell -25.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | XGN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.7% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 11 days | 79 days |
| Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.1% | -9.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.9% | 10.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 271 days | 24 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -78.7% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 368.6% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1081 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -33.9% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.2% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 320 days | 140 days |
In The Past
Exagen's stock fell -25.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 34.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Exagen (XGN)
Exagen Inc. (XGN) is a diagnostics company that develops and commercializes advanced testing products for autoimmune and autoimmune-related diseases. Utilizing its proprietary cell-bound complement activation products technology, Exagen offers a suite of tests under the AVISE brand. The company's core mission is to equip rheumatologists with crucial tools for the accurate diagnosis, prognosis, and ongoing monitoring of complex conditions such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA) for patients in the United States.
Exagen's main product offerings, all part of the AVISE brand, include a variety of specialized blood tests. Its lead product, AVISE CTD, is designed to help differentiate between various connective tissue diseases. Other significant tests include AVISE Lupus and AVISE SLE Monitor for systemic lupus erythematosus, AVISE APS for the diagnosis and management of antiphospholipid syndrome, and AVISE Anti-CarP for identifying severe rheumatoid arthritis patients. The portfolio also features AVISE SLE Prognostic for assessing complication risks, AVISE Vasculitis AAV for specific forms of vasculitis, and AVISE MTX and AVISE HCQ for monitoring medication levels, all contributing to comprehensive patient care.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies to describe Exagen:
- Exagen is like the Exact Sciences for autoimmune disease diagnosis and monitoring.
- Exagen is like Invitae, but focused on advanced diagnostic and monitoring tests for autoimmune conditions instead of genetic ones.
- Exagen is like Foundation Medicine, but applying advanced diagnostics to autoimmune diseases rather than cancer genomics.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- AVISE CTD: A lead diagnostic test for differentiating various connective tissue diseases.
- AVISE Lupus: A test that quantifies C4d levels to measure complement system activation in lupus patients.
- AVISE APS: A panel of autoantibody tests used to diagnose and manage Antiphospholipid Syndrome.
- AVISE SLE Prognostic: A panel of autoantibodies for assessing the risk of kidney, brain, and cardiovascular complications in SLE.
- AVISE Vasculitis AAV: A testing panel for the assessment and monitoring of anti-neutrophil cytoplasmic antibody associated vasculitis.
- AVISE Anti-CarP test: A test to identify Rheumatoid Arthritis patients with severe disease.
- AVISE PC4d: A test designed to measure platelet-bound C4d.
- AVISE SLE Monitor: A biomarker blood test used for monitoring systemic lupus erythematosus.
- AVISE MTX: A patented and validated blood test.
- AVISE HCQ: A blood test designed to monitor levels of hydroxychloroquine.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Exagen Inc. (XGN) sells its diagnostic testing products and services primarily to healthcare providers for the benefit of individual patients. The major categories of customers it serves are:
- Rheumatologists: These are the primary medical specialists who utilize Exagen's AVISE brand diagnostic tests for the diagnosis, prognosis, and monitoring of autoimmune and autoimmune-related diseases in their patients. They are the prescribers and key decision-makers for ordering these tests.
- Healthcare Facilities: This category includes clinics, hospitals, and medical groups that employ or host rheumatologists. These facilities are involved in the logistical ordering, processing, and billing for the diagnostic tests.
- Patients with Autoimmune and Autoimmune-Related Diseases: While not directly purchasing in a retail sense, these individuals are the ultimate recipients and beneficiaries of Exagen's testing services. The tests aid in managing their conditions, such as systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and rheumatoid arthritis (RA).
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
John Aballi, President & CEO
Mr. Aballi has served as President and CEO of Exagen since October 2022. He previously held the role of SVP, GM, Urology and CLIA COO for Veracyte, a molecular diagnostic company. In this role, he was responsible for expanding the urology franchise and managed Veracyte's CLIA laboratories. Prior to Veracyte, Mr. Aballi was a key member of the leadership team at Decipher Biosciences, a company specializing in genomic testing for prostate cancer, which was sold to Veracyte in March 2021 for $600 million. He also served as Head of Operations at Molecular Stethoscope and held various senior roles at Genoptix. Mr. Aballi was a Board Member of PFS Genomics, a molecular diagnostic company acquired by Exact Sciences in 2021.
Jeff Black, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Black was appointed Chief Financial Officer in September 2024. He brings over 30 years of financial and accounting experience from numerous publicly traded companies. Prior to joining Exagen, he served as CFO of Standard BioTools, where he played a key role in its merger with SomaLogic. He was also CFO of Apollo Endosurgery, where he was instrumental in the company's turnaround and its subsequent $650 million sale to Boston Scientific. Earlier, he spent over four years as CFO of Alphatec Spine, where he managed significant financing transactions and acquisitions, contributing to the expansion of the company's market cap.
Dr. Michael Mahler, Chief Scientific Officer
Dr. Mahler was appointed Chief Scientific Officer in July 2025. He brings over two decades of leadership and innovation in autoimmune diagnostic research to Exagen. Throughout his career, Dr. Mahler has held senior scientific and leadership positions at various diagnostic companies, and his work has led to the discovery of novel autoantigens and the development of innovative diagnostic solutions. He previously served as Senior Vice President of Research Development and Business Development at Werfen. Dr. Mahler's scientific contributions include over 300 peer-reviewed publications and numerous patents in autoimmune disease diagnostics.
Dr. Tina S. Nova, Executive Chair of the Board
Dr. Nova was elected Executive Chair of the Exagen Board of Directors in January 2023. She has a distinguished career in the life science industry, having co-founded and served as President & CEO of Genoptix, which was acquired by Novartis AG for $470 million in 2011. She also served as President & CEO of Decipher Biosciences until its acquisition by Veracyte for $600 million in March 2021. Her previous leadership roles include CEO of Molecular Stethoscope and SVP & General Manager of Oncology at Illumina.
Dr. Prashanti Reddy, Medical & Laboratory Director
Dr. Reddy brings over 15 years of expertise in Flow Cytometry, Diagnostic Hematopathology, and Oncology to her role at Exagen. Her career includes leadership positions at Berkeley's Kaiser Permanente and Genoptix Medical Laboratories, where she made significant contributions to clinical practice and research. Dr. Reddy's work includes flow cytometry assay development to enhance diagnostic methodologies and contributions to digital pathology integration.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Key Risks to Exagen (XGN)
Exagen Inc. (XGN), a company specializing in diagnostic testing for autoimmune diseases, faces several significant risks that could impact its business operations and financial performance.
- Reimbursement and Coverage Decisions: A primary risk for Exagen stems from potential delays in reimbursement and coverage decisions from Medicare and other third-party payors. Inadequate reimbursement and challenges in collecting funds for its diagnostic tests can significantly impact the company's financial viability and the market acceptance of its products. Exagen's commercial success heavily relies on attaining and maintaining significant market acceptance of its testing products among rheumatologists, patients, and third-party payors. Issues such as lost direct bill accounts and slower reimbursement for new biomarkers have already been identified as headwinds affecting average selling price (ASP) and gross margins.
- Financial Health and Profitability: Exagen has demonstrated ongoing challenges with its financial health and profitability. The company has reported missing earnings per share (EPS) and revenue forecasts, along with increased net losses despite revenue growth. Declining cash reserves and a negative Altman Z-Score indicate potential financial distress and a risk of bankruptcy within the next two years. Operational inefficiencies impacting earnings, pressure on gross margins due to increased costs, and rising operating expenses further contribute to the company's profitability concerns.
- Competition and Market Acceptance: The autoimmune diagnostic market is competitive, and Exagen's ability to maintain and grow its market share is crucial. The company's success depends on the widespread acceptance of its AVISE brand testing products by rheumatologists, patients, and the broader medical community. Competitive pressures and the need to sustain growth amid these pressures are ongoing challenges.
AI Analysis | Feedback
AI Analysis | Feedback
Addressable Markets for Exagen's Main Products and Services
- U.S. Autoimmune Disease Diagnostics Market: This market was estimated at approximately USD 2,337 million in 2025 and is projected to reach around USD 3,719 million by 2034. Another estimate places the U.S. autoimmune disease testing market size at USD 4.66 billion by 2030.
- North America Rheumatoid Arthritis (RA) Diagnostic Tests Market: The global market for RA diagnostic tests is estimated at USD 2.65 billion in 2025. North America is anticipated to hold a dominant position, accounting for 39.45% of this market in 2025, which translates to approximately USD 1.04 billion.
- North America Connective Tissue Disease (CTD) Diagnostics Market: The global connective tissue disease market, segmented by diagnosis (e.g., Antinuclear Antibody Test), was valued at USD 0.2676 billion (USD 267.6 million) in 2024. North America is reported to hold approximately 45% of this global market share, equating to roughly USD 120 million in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Exagen (symbol: XGN) over the next 2-3 years:
- Increased Testing Volume: Exagen experienced over 11% growth in testing volume in 2025 and anticipates high single-digit volume growth in 2026. This growth is driven by both the acquisition of new ordering physicians and increased utilization within existing accounts.
- Growth in Average Selling Price (ASP): The company's trailing 12-month average selling price (ASP) for its tests increased by over 7% in 2025, and management projects low single-digit ASP growth for 2026. This improvement is expected to come from ongoing revenue cycle management execution and the increasing adoption of recently launched biomarkers.
- Expansion of Sales Force and Market Presence: Exagen strategically expanded its sales force from 40 to 45 territories in 2025 and plans to add five more sales territories by the end of 2025. This expansion is a key strategy to drive increased testing volume and broader market penetration.
- Launch of New Products and Biomarkers: Exagen has a strategic focus on product innovation, having launched three sets of innovative markers within an 18-month period and a total of seven new biomarkers in 2025. The company maintains a pipeline of five assets and aims to introduce one new product annually, including a myositis solution targeted for 2027, which is expected to expand its addressable market and contribute to revenue growth.
- Growth in Pharma Services Business: The company's pharma services business generated $1.7 million in revenue in 2025, a significant increase from the previous year, and currently boasts a backlog of over $4 million. This emerging segment represents a new and growing revenue stream for Exagen.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In May 2025, Exagen priced an underwritten public offering of 3,350,000 shares of its common stock at $5.25 per share, with expected gross proceeds of $17,587,500.
- The company's issued and outstanding shares increased from 17,640,328 at December 31, 2024, to 22,911,575 at December 31, 2025.
- Exagen realized $26 million in net proceeds in 2025 from debt refinancing, a follow-on offering, and at-the-market (ATM) utilization.
Inbound Investments
- In 2025, Exagen raised capital through a $20 million public offering and a $25 million credit facility.
- The company's second quarter of 2025 saw a strengthened balance sheet with the closing of a $20.2 million public offering of common stock and a new loan credit facility.
Capital Expenditures
- Operating expenses for Exagen totaled $53 million in 2025, an increase of approximately 13% compared to 2024, with a primary focus on investments in commercial talent, territory expansion, and research and development (R&D).
- R&D expenses accounted for just over $6 million of operating expenses in 2025, representing a 16% increase, aimed at supporting the launch of seven new markers and ongoing pipeline development.
- Exagen operates an approximately 13,000 square foot laboratory in Vista, California, which is certified under CLIA and accredited by CAP. The company anticipates continued investment in R&D to develop additional testing products.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Exagen Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Exagen Stock Up 28%, Buy Or Wait? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 42.33 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.8 |
| Rev LTM | 2,099 |
| Op Inc LTM | 512 |
| FCF LTM | 404 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 422 |
| CFO LTM | 615 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 605 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 10.5% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 11.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 12.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 11.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 9.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.0% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Design, development and commercialization of testing products which allow for the differential | 67 | 56 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
| Total | 67 | 56 | 53 | 46 | 48 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Design, development and commercialization of testing products which allow for the differential | -14 | -14 | -23 |
| Total | -14 | -14 | -23 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Design, development and commercialization of testing products which allow for the differential | -20 | -15 | -24 |
| Total | -20 | -15 | -24 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $4.68 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 09/19/2019 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -60.9% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.61 | $5.23 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 1.6% | -10.5% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 109.0% | 71.8% |
| Downside Capture | 193.35 | 263.79 |
| Upside Capture | 325.48 | 133.43 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 31.6% | 32.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 1.54 | 2.38 | 2.52 | 2.42 | 1.84 | 1.33 |
| Up Beta | 6.68 | 3.55 | 0.69 | 1.97 | 2.36 | 1.08 |
| Down Beta | 1.18 | 3.62 | 3.34 | 1.58 | 1.11 | 0.44 |
| Up Capture | -2% | 133% | 473% | 437% | 154% | 1098% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 11 | 22 | 35 | 67 | 138 | 427 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 20 | 31 | 60 | 119 | 347 |
| Down Capture | 40% | 169% | 170% | 208% | 166% | 111% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 11 | 21 | 28 | 59 | 114 | 326 |
| Stock -ve Days | 11 | 23 | 31 | 64 | 131 | 387 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XGN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XGN | -44.4% | 71.6% | -0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 26.1% | 15.6% | 1.29 | 18.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 21.0% | 12.9% | 1.20 | 33.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 22.8% | 28.1% | 0.72 | 15.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 28.8% | 19.7% | 1.16 | -8.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.5% | 13.8% | 0.80 | 13.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -45.9% | 43.1% | -1.30 | 20.0% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XGN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XGN | -18.0% | 83.4% | 0.12 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 6.0% | 15.0% | 0.22 | 13.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.9% | 17.2% | 0.58 | 23.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.2% | 18.5% | 0.75 | 5.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 19.5% | 0.32 | -0.0% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.5% | 18.9% | 0.03 | 15.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 53.1% | 0.39 | 10.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with XGN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| XGN | -12.9% | 88.2% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.8% | 16.6% | 0.48 | 25.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.1% | 17.9% | 0.72 | 30.5% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.4% | 16.1% | 0.58 | 6.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.1% | 18.0% | 0.31 | 4.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.8% | 20.7% | 0.20 | 26.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 58.0% | 66.2% | 0.98 | 12.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/12/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/11/2026 | 34.9% | 23.4% | 46.1% |
| 3/10/2026 | -3.8% | -6.5% | -8.9% |
| 1/12/2026 | -6.2% | -26.0% | -44.8% |
| 11/4/2025 | -9.0% | -20.0% | -36.7% |
| 7/29/2025 | 14.3% | 19.8% | 34.0% |
| 5/5/2025 | 3.8% | -5.1% | 22.8% |
| 3/11/2025 | 18.2% | 27.0% | 40.4% |
| 1/13/2025 | -1.6% | 25.9% | 51.1% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 19 | 15 | 19 |
| # Negative | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 9.3% | 19.6% | 22.8% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -6.5% | -16.4% |
| Max Positive | 42.4% | 65.7% | 72.2% |
| Max Negative | -23.6% | -37.1% | -45.5% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/11/2026 | 34.9% | 23.4% | 46.1% |
| 3/10/2026 | -3.8% | -6.5% | -8.9% |
| 1/12/2026 | -6.2% | -26.0% | -44.8% |
| 11/4/2025 | -9.0% | -20.0% | -36.7% |
| 7/29/2025 | 14.3% | 19.8% | 34.0% |
| 5/5/2025 | 3.8% | -5.1% | 22.8% |
| 3/11/2025 | 18.2% | 27.0% | 40.4% |
| 1/13/2025 | -1.6% | 25.9% | 51.1% |
| 11/12/2024 | -6.1% | 1.0% | 72.2% |
| 8/5/2024 | 17.6% | 65.7% | 42.2% |
| 5/13/2024 | 4.5% | 19.7% | 28.7% |
| 3/18/2024 | 9.3% | -0.6% | -11.4% |
| 1/8/2024 | 0.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
| 11/13/2023 | 16.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% |
| 8/7/2023 | 8.8% | 2.0% | -1.0% |
| 5/15/2023 | 19.5% | 9.2% | 4.7% |
| 3/20/2023 | -2.1% | -1.9% | 5.1% |
| 1/9/2023 | 11.3% | 16.5% | 13.3% |
| 11/14/2022 | 42.4% | 30.0% | 20.0% |
| 8/4/2022 | -23.6% | -37.1% | -45.5% |
| 5/11/2022 | -4.0% | -21.1% | 13.5% |
| 3/22/2022 | 4.4% | -4.2% | -24.1% |
| 11/10/2021 | 6.2% | -6.6% | -18.6% |
| 8/9/2021 | 24.6% | 19.6% | 30.8% |
| 5/11/2021 | -14.7% | -10.1% | 2.3% |
| 3/16/2021 | 8.4% | -17.1% | -14.2% |
| 1/11/2021 | 2.3% | -2.2% | 22.7% |
| 11/10/2020 | -2.2% | -6.2% | -11.8% |
| 7/28/2020 | 6.6% | 13.1% | 51.7% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 19 | 15 | 19 |
| # Negative | 10 | 14 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 9.3% | 19.6% | 22.8% |
| Median Negative | -5.0% | -6.5% | -16.4% |
| Max Positive | 42.4% | 65.7% | 72.2% |
| Max Negative | -23.6% | -37.1% | -45.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/10/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/18/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/20/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/21/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/10/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/29/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/13/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/18/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/13/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/15/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/20/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/21/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/11/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 03/22/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/10/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/09/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/11/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 03/16/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 07/28/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/11/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/25/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 11/12/2019 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2019 | 09/20/2019 | 424B4 |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 7/27/2026Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/11/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 70.00 Mil | 71.50 Mil | 73.00 Mil | 0.0% | Affirmed | Guidance: 71.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/4/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 65.00 Mil | 67.50 Mil | 70.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 67.50 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 4/26/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aballi, John | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 3.62 | 15,698 | 56,827 | 2,488,022 | Form |
| 2 | Aballi, John | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 2252026 | 3.61 | 11,430 | 41,262 | 2,537,819 | Form |
| 3 | Black, Jeffrey G | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2252026 | 3.61 | 1,584 | 5,718 | 965,466 | Form |
| 4 | Aballi, John | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 11.82 | 31,787 | 375,598 | 8,441,741 | Form |
| 5 | Black, Jeffrey G | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 9.79 | 20,466 | 200,362 | 2,633,765 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aballi, John | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 3042026 | 3.62 | 15,698 | 56,827 | 2,488,022 | Form |
| 2 | Aballi, John | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 2252026 | 3.61 | 11,430 | 41,262 | 2,537,819 | Form |
| 3 | Black, Jeffrey G | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 2252026 | 3.61 | 1,584 | 5,718 | 965,466 | Form |
| 4 | Aballi, John | President and CEO | Direct | Sell | 10202025 | 11.82 | 31,787 | 375,598 | 8,441,741 | Form |
| 5 | Black, Jeffrey G | Chief Financial Officer | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 9.79 | 20,466 | 200,362 | 2,633,765 | Form |
Industry Resources
| Health Care Resources |
| U.S. National Library of Medicine |
| ClinicalTrials.gov |
| Modern Healthcare |
| Healthcare Dive |
| Fierce Healthcare |
| Health Affairs |
| Health Data Management |
| FDA Tracker |
| Life Sciences Tools & Services Resources |
| GenomeWeb |
| BioSpace |
| The Scientist |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.