Fulgent Genetics (FLGT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.01 | Market Cap: $861.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Fulgent Genetics (FLGT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $28.01Market Cap: $861.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -53% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 456x | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18% | |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -53% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 47% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Biotechnology & Genomics, Precision Medicine, and Digital Health & Telemedicine. Themes include Advanced Diagnostics, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -93% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -71 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -22% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 456x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -18% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -6.3% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -10% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
FLGT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for the movement of Fulgent Genetics (FLGT) stock between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings and Revenue Beat. Fulgent Genetics significantly surpassed its second-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue estimates, reporting positive earnings per share of $0.07 against an expected loss of $0.23 and exceeding revenue forecasts by 7.80% with $81.8 million. This robust performance, announced on August 1, 2025, established a positive sentiment that extended into the requested period.
2. Raised Full-Year 2025 Revenue and EPS Guidance. Following its strong Q2 results, Fulgent Genetics initially raised its full-year 2025 revenue outlook to $320 million and narrowed its projected non-GAAP EPS losses. Subsequently, after delivering strong Q3 results, the company further increased its full-year 2025 revenue guidance to $325 million and significantly improved its non-GAAP earnings per share guidance to a positive $0.30.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FLGT Return | 304% | 93% | -70% | -3% | -36% | 54% | 120% |
| Peers Return | 52% | 3% | -11% | -6% | -18% | 41% | 52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FLGT Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 33% | 42% | 25% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 50% | 42% | 40% | 35% | 31% | 53% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FLGT Max Drawdown | -48% | 0% | -71% | -21% | -42% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -31% | -15% | -31% | -31% | -27% | -13% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FLGT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -87.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 677.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -65.8% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 192.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 120 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -78.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 354.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 717 days | 120 days |
Compare to A, ATEC, CERS, AVRT, BLLN
In The Past
Fulgent Genetics's stock fell -87.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/9/2021. A -87.1% loss requires a 677.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to FLGT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 08312022 | FLGT | Fulgent Genetics | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -26.7% | -24.6% | -34.4% |
| 02282022 | FLGT | Fulgent Genetics | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.1% | -47.4% | -53.1% |
| 08312021 | FLGT | Fulgent Genetics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -33.2% | -52.4% | -52.4% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| 08312022 | FLGT | Fulgent Genetics | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -26.7% | -24.6% | -34.4% |
| 02282022 | FLGT | Fulgent Genetics | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -28.1% | -47.4% | -53.1% |
| 08312021 | FLGT | Fulgent Genetics | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -33.2% | -52.4% | -52.4% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Fulgent Genetics
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 28.48 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| Rev LTM | 522 |
| Op Inc LTM | -40 |
| FCF LTM | -2 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -12 |
| CFO LTM | 19 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 13.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 15.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -16.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | -15.7 |
| P/E | -15.2 |
| P/CFO | 74.1 |
| Total Yield | -5.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.3% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 16.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 31.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 36.0% |
| 12M Rtn | 29.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -11.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 16.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 23.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 21.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 18.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -83.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2282025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8022024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8042023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11072022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2282022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |