Unitil (UTL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $49.03 | Market Cap: $833.5 MilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Unitil (UTL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $49.03Market Cap: $833.5 MilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 96% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.9% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.5%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Smart Metering, Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -40%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -67% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 96% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.9% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -9.9% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UTL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Unitil's Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results.
Unitil reported robust third-quarter 2025 earnings, with revenue reaching $104 million, surpassing analyst expectations by more than 5%. The company also achieved an adjusted net income of $0.03 per share for the quarter, marking an increase from the same period in the prior year. This strong financial performance, particularly the revenue beat, likely contributed positively to investor sentiment.
2. Completion of Key Acquisitions Driving Future Growth.
The successful completion of the Maine Natural Gas Company acquisition on October 31, 2025, was a significant event for Unitil. This acquisition, alongside other strategic growth initiatives, is expected to accelerate the company's growth trajectory and contribute to an approximate 10% increase in its rate base through 2029, signaling long-term value creation.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UTL Return | -26% | 7% | 16% | 6% | 6% | -5% | -1% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 10% | 20% | 16% | -13% | 9% | 29% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UTL Win Rate | 17% | 42% | 58% | 58% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 47% | 50% | 42% | 37% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UTL Max Drawdown | -46% | -11% | -3% | -16% | -10% | -15% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -11% | -12% | -29% | -22% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FE, ES, HE, GNE, IMSR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UTL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -29.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 297 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -19.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 24.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 150 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -43.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1692 days | 1480 days |
Compare to FE, ES, HE, GNE, IMSR
In The Past
Unitil's stock fell -29.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2023. A -29.3% loss requires a 41.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UTL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Unitil
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 29.81 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| Rev LTM | 1,791 |
| Op Inc LTM | 158 |
| FCF LTM | -30 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -40 |
| CFO LTM | 298 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 488 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 20.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.6% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -7.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.9 |
| P/S | 1.6 |
| P/EBIT | 9.0 |
| P/E | 19.9 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 8.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -5.0% |
| D/E | 1.0 |
| Net D/E | 1.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.1% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 4.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -66.8% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric | 306 | 298 | 248 | 227 | 234 |
| Gas | 251 | 265 | 225 | 191 | 203 |
| Other | 0 | 0 | |||
| Non-Regulated | 0 | 1 | |||
| Total | 557 | 563 | 473 | 419 | 438 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gas | 29 | 26 | 23 | 19 | 19 |
| Electric | 18 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 12 |
| Other | -2 | -1 | -1 | 0 | 3 |
| Non-Regulated | 0 | 10 | |||
| Total | 45 | 41 | 36 | 32 | 44 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gas | 1,032 | 989 | 936 | 886 | 823 |
| Electric | 613 | 581 | 584 | 572 | 529 |
| Other | 26 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 18 |
| Non-Regulated | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 1,670 | 1,590 | 1,540 | 1,478 | 1,371 |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8042025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2102025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5072024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2132024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11072023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8012023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5022023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11012022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8022022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5032022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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