UGI (UGI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.665 | Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Gas Utilities
UGI (UGI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.665Market Cap: $8.1 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Gas Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -58% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 22% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8% |
| Weak multi-year price returns3Y Excs Rtn is -58% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
UGI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, falls in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to definitively highlight key points for why UGI stock moved by 9.8% during this future period. However, based on recent financial reports and forecasts available up to early December 2025, several factors related to UGI's performance and outlook have been reported.
1. UGI Reported Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Results: UGI Corporation announced its fiscal year 2025 results on November 20, 2025, reporting adjusted earnings of $3.32 per share, which exceeded expectations by $0.14 and surpassed its revised guidance range. Net income for the year saw a significant increase of 152% year-over-year to $678 million.
2. Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: The company bolstered its balance sheet by generating approximately $530 million of free cash flow, including cash from asset sales. This financial strength provides a solid foundation for future operations.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| UGI Return | -19% | 35% | -16% | -30% | 22% | 40% | 9% |
| Peers Return | 31% | 7% | 18% | -16% | -12% | -25% | -8% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| UGI Win Rate | 50% | 75% | 33% | 33% | 58% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 20% | 39% | 54% | 47% | 53% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| UGI Max Drawdown | -49% | -0% | -29% | -43% | -11% | -1% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -10% | -15% | -30% | -34% | -40% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NJR, NEXT, CLNE, MNTK, OPAL. See UGI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | UGI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -57.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 137.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 410 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 42.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -30.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.1% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 717 days | 1480 days |
Compare to NJR, NEXT, CLNE, MNTK, OPAL
In The Past
UGI's stock fell -57.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -57.9% loss requires a 137.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| UGI Earnings Notes | |||
| With UGI Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | ||
| UGI vs Verizon Communications: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| UGI vs PG&E: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Better Bet Than UGI Stock: Pay Less Than UGI To Get More From AA, CALM | |||
| UGI Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| UGI (UGI) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| UGI (UGI) Net Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| UGI (UGI) Operating Income Comparison | Financials | ||
| UGI (UGI) Revenue Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | July 22nd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to UGI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -3.2% |
| 06302020 | UGI | UGI | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.4% | 50.8% | -6.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.4% | 7.4% | -3.2% |
| 06302020 | UGI | UGI | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 10.4% | 50.8% | -6.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for UGI
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| Rev LTM | 376 |
| Op Inc LTM | 0 |
| FCF LTM | -62 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -54 |
| CFO LTM | 67 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 59 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -5.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.1% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -8.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -5.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.1 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | 6.4 |
| P/E | 1.5 |
| P/CFO | 6.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.7% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 4.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -17.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -29.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 4.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -17.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -33.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -101.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11262024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11292023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8082023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11212022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/31/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11192021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |