Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 9.4%, Dividend Yield is 4.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 5.7%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 22%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.8%, Dist 3Y High is -4.8%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 84%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -8.1%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UGI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, falls in the future. Therefore, it is not possible to definitively highlight key points for why UGI stock moved by 9.8% during this future period. However, based on recent financial reports and forecasts available up to early December 2025, several factors related to UGI's performance and outlook have been reported.

1. UGI Reported Strong Fiscal Year 2025 Results: UGI Corporation announced its fiscal year 2025 results on November 20, 2025, reporting adjusted earnings of $3.32 per share, which exceeded expectations by $0.14 and surpassed its revised guidance range. Net income for the year saw a significant increase of 152% year-over-year to $678 million.

2. Strong Free Cash Flow and Balance Sheet: The company bolstered its balance sheet by generating approximately $530 million of free cash flow, including cash from asset sales. This financial strength provides a solid foundation for future operations.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UGI Return-19%35%-16%-30%22%40%9%
Peers Return31%7%18%-16%-12%-25%-8%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UGI Win Rate50%75%33%33%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate20%39%54%47%53%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UGI Max Drawdown-49%-0%-29%-43%-11%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-36%-10%-15%-30%-34%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NJR, NEXT, CLNE, MNTK, OPAL. See UGI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUGIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven410 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-30.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven717 days1480 days

Compare to NJR, NEXT, CLNE, MNTK, OPAL


In The Past

UGI's stock fell -57.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -57.9% loss requires a 137.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About UGI (UGI)

Better Bets than UGI (UGI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UGI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%
UGI_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020UGIUGIDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.4%50.8%-6.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%
UGI_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020UGIUGIDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.4%50.8%-6.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for UGI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
Mkt Price37.6445.896.122.301.732.394.25
Mkt Cap8.14.61.60.50.20.11.1
Rev LTM7,3322,0960422161330376
Op Inc LTM1,050558-224-90-450
FCF LTM443-169-3,71230-53-70-62
FCF 3Y Avg231-111-2,508-17-25-83-54
CFO LTM1,288450-15894314167
CFO 3Y Avg1,098460-11072453459

Growth & Margins

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
Rev Chg LTM-0.5%21.0%-2.0%-17.5%12.2%2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-8.1%-5.7%-2.1%-6.5%16.4%-5.7%
Rev Chg Q1.0%8.5%-1.2%-31.3%13.4%1.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.2%1.1%-0.3%-11.4%3.0%0.3%
Op Mgn LTM14.3%26.6%--21.3%-2.8%1.4%1.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.5%22.0%--15.8%10.3%0.3%8.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-2.3%-0.7%--1.2%-10.7%-1.5%-1.5%
CFO/Rev LTM17.6%21.5%-22.4%19.1%12.3%19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.2%22.5%-17.1%25.1%11.4%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM6.0%-8.1%-7.1%-33.2%-21.3%-8.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.3%-5.5%--3.9%-14.8%-31.6%-5.5%

Valuation

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
Mkt Cap8.14.61.60.50.20.11.1
P/S1.12.1-1.31.80.21.3
P/EBIT9.46.8133.4-3.2-39.76.16.4
P/E18.710.9-9.2-2.7-31.35.71.5
P/CFO6.110.0-11.36.09.41.76.0
Total Yield9.4%13.1%-10.9%-37.0%-3.2%17.6%3.1%
Dividend Yield4.1%3.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.8%-2.5%-175.5%-1.5%-6.8%-70.1%-4.7%
D/E0.90.83.80.70.34.90.8
Net D/E0.80.83.70.30.24.40.8

Returns

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
1M Rtn12.4%4.0%4.3%-20.4%-14.8%5.3%4.1%
3M Rtn12.0%-1.0%-41.4%-8.0%-18.0%6.2%-4.5%
6M Rtn8.4%4.6%-27.1%29.2%-9.4%-23.5%-2.4%
12M Rtn35.2%-4.9%-14.0%-20.1%-57.9%-36.9%-17.1%
3Y Rtn13.9%5.1%17.7%-64.6%-84.5%-74.6%-29.7%
1M Excs Rtn12.5%4.0%4.3%-20.4%-14.7%5.3%4.2%
3M Excs Rtn5.2%-6.4%-46.8%-15.2%-21.4%2.3%-10.8%
6M Excs Rtn-6.3%-10.1%-41.9%14.5%-24.1%-38.2%-17.1%
12M Excs Rtn16.2%-21.0%-29.0%-38.9%-74.4%-52.0%-33.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-58.0%-67.8%-60.7%-135.4%-158.3%-142.0%-101.6%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,267,783
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-14.3%
Average Daily Volume1,880,967
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.52
Basic Shares Quantity214,813,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241126202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231129202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221121202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211119202110-K 9/30/2021