Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Key risks
UGI key risks include [1] significant indebtedness and high financial leverage, Show more.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 14%, Dividend Yield is 4.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 17%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 21%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Energy Transition & Decarbonization, US Energy Independence, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Renewable Fuel Production, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.2%, Dist 3Y High is -2.2%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6%
7 Key risks
UGI key risks include [1] significant indebtedness and high financial leverage, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

UGI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback



1. UGI reported record adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $3.32 for fiscal year 2025, an 8.5% increase over fiscal 2024, surpassing its previous year's performance and revised guidance.

2. The company posted a narrower-than-expected operating loss of $0.23 per share for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, beating the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $0.44. This positive earnings surprise contributed to a 4.84% rise in UGI's stock price in post-market trading following the announcement, despite revenues missing estimates.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
UGI Return-19%35%-16%-30%22%41%10%
Peers Return-16%-12%-25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
UGI Win Rate50%75%33%33%58%50% 
Peers Win Rate54%47%53%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
UGI Max Drawdown-49%-0%-29%-43%-11%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-34%-41% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NJR, NEXT, CLNE, MNTK, OPAL. See UGI Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventUGIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-57.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven137.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven410 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven42.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-30.6%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.1%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven717 days1,480 days

Compare to NJR, NEXT, CLNE, MNTK, OPAL


In The Past

UGI's stock fell -57.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/13/2021. A -57.9% loss requires a 137.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About UGI (UGI)

Better Bets than UGI (UGI)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to UGI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%-3.2%
UGI_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020UGIUGIDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.4%50.8%-6.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%-3.2%
UGI_6302020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy06302020UGIUGIDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
10.4%50.8%-6.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for UGI

Peers to compare with:

Financials

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
Mkt Price38.3147.615.192.251.902.103.72
Mkt Cap7.24.81.40.50.30.10.9
Rev LTM7,2872,0360422161329376
Op Inc LTM1,091451-224-90-4-1-3
FCF LTM390-240-3,71230-53-74-64
FCF 3Y Avg303-149-2,508-17-25-72-48
CFO LTM1,227466-15894314168
CFO 3Y Avg1,172458-11072454459

Growth & Margins

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
Rev Chg LTM1.1%13.4%-2.0%-17.5%7.3%2.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.9%-9.2%-2.1%-6.5%13.3%-6.5%
Rev Chg Q-3.6%-15.1%-1.2%-31.3%-0.8%-3.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.6%-2.8%-0.3%-11.4%-0.2%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM15.0%22.1%--21.3%-2.8%-0.2%-0.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.2%22.8%--15.8%10.3%1.0%7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.7%-4.5%--1.2%-10.7%-1.7%-1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM16.8%22.9%-22.4%19.1%12.5%19.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg15.2%23.7%-17.1%25.1%14.9%17.1%
FCF/Rev LTM5.4%-11.8%-7.1%-33.2%-22.5%-11.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%-7.6%--3.9%-14.8%-26.6%-7.6%

Valuation

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
Mkt Cap7.24.81.40.50.30.10.9
P/S1.02.4-1.31.80.21.3
P/EBIT--133.4-3.2-39.7--3.2
P/E10.614.4-9.2-2.7-31.35.61.4
P/CFO5.810.4-11.36.09.41.55.9
Total Yield14.0%10.7%-10.9%-37.0%-3.2%17.9%3.7%
Dividend Yield4.5%3.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg---175.5%-1.5%-6.8%--6.8%
D/E--3.80.70.3-0.7
Net D/E--3.70.30.2-0.3

Returns

UGINJRNEXTCLNEMNTKOPALMedian
NameUGI New Jers.NextDeca.Clean En.Montauk .OPAL Fue. 
1M Rtn11.5%3.4%-10.8%4.2%7.3%-0.7%3.8%
3M Rtn17.7%4.7%-20.5%-14.4%-7.3%0.5%-3.4%
6M Rtn7.5%9.9%-38.7%14.2%-8.7%-36.0%-0.6%
12M Rtn44.3%4.3%-22.4%-17.0%-51.9%-36.9%-19.7%
3Y Rtn22.4%9.8%16.6%-61.4%-83.2%-70.5%-25.8%
1M Excs Rtn10.7%2.7%-11.6%3.4%6.6%-1.4%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn15.9%2.4%-20.9%-17.7%-18.7%-4.1%-10.9%
6M Excs Rtn-4.8%-2.5%-51.0%1.8%-21.0%-48.4%-12.9%
12M Excs Rtn30.8%-6.9%-37.0%-29.9%-63.8%-50.2%-33.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-52.1%-62.4%-54.6%-129.1%-152.4%-133.5%-95.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
UGI International2,2792,9653,6862,6512,127
AmeriGas Propane2,2712,5812,9432,6142,381
Utilities1,5981,8541,6201,0791,030
Midstream & Marketing1,3691,8472,3261,4061,247
Corporate & Other-4178-126
Eliminations-266-326-477-291-232
Total7,2108,92810,1067,4476,559


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Utilities400357327241229
UGI International323215237314241
Midstream & Marketing313285246160140
AmeriGas Propane142268307385373
Eliminations000  
Corporate & Other-444-2,5695491,250-1
Total734-1,4441,6662,350982


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
UGI International262172175221173
Midstream & Marketing23819316310792
Utilities237219206144136
Eliminations000  
AmeriGas Propane-2371112168156
Corporate & Other-445-2,157417827-25
Total269-1,5021,0731,467532


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Utilities5,9635,6915,3544,8593,809
Midstream & Marketing3,1833,1603,2863,0102,775
AmeriGas Propane3,0513,4154,3324,4854,327
UGI International2,9063,1054,6104,4213,123
Corporate & Other728203196189233
Eliminations-733-173-203-241-282
Total15,09815,40117,57516,72313,985


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,376,835
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.9%
Average Daily Volume2,771,214
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.47
Basic Shares Quantity215,092,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/21/20257.1%12.1% 
8/7/2025-2.0%-0.7%-4.4%
5/8/20254.1%2.9%5.8%
2/6/20252.0%3.0%5.2%
11/22/202415.0%22.6%12.7%
8/8/2024-3.9%-3.0%-1.6%
5/2/2024-6.4%-4.3%-1.7%
2/1/202413.4%5.4%11.1%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive161514
# Negative8910
Median Positive2.0%3.2%5.5%
Median Negative-4.8%-4.3%-7.1%
Max Positive15.0%22.6%28.2%
Max Negative-7.9%-12.2%-20.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251121202510-K 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241126202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/31/2023
93020231129202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023808202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221121202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021203202210-Q 12/31/2021