Otter Tail (OTTR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.595 | Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Otter Tail (OTTR)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $82.595Market Cap: $3.5 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.7% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.7% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.63 |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Water Infrastructure. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -3.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -18% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -4.4%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.7% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.63 |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
OTTR Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are key points explaining the -0.9% stock movement for Otter Tail (OTTR) from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. 1. Moody's Downgrade on August 29, 2025. Just before the requested period, Moody's Ratings downgraded Otter Tail Power Company to Baa1 from A3, citing financial pressures, which could have negatively impacted investor sentiment. 2. 2. Q3 2025 Revenue Miss. While Otter Tail Corporation's third-quarter 2025 earnings per share (EPS) of $1.86 beat some analyst estimates, the company's revenue of $325.6 million was below consensus expectations, indicating a slight shortfall in sales performance. 3.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| OTTR Return | -14% | 73% | -16% | 48% | -11% | 13% | 86% |
| Peers Return | -8% | 21% | -3% | -23% | 33% | 7% | 18% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| OTTR Win Rate | 42% | 92% | 50% | 75% | 50% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 47% | 48% | 47% | 57% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| OTTR Max Drawdown | -35% | -7% | -24% | -0% | -12% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -29% | -4% | -17% | -34% | -20% | -17% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IDA, TAC, ALE, HE, EE. See OTTR Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | OTTR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 54.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 251 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 69.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 535 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -17.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.2% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 139 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -66.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 200.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3256 days | 1480 days |
Compare to IDA, TAC, ALE, HE, EE
In The Past
Otter Tail's stock fell -35.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/18/2022. A -35.1% loss requires a 54.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| 10 Utilities Stocks Set to Outpace the Market | Actionable | ||
| With Otter Tail Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | ||
| Otter Tail vs Cheniere Energy: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Otter Tail vs Edison International: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Otter Tail Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than OTTR Stock: Pay Less Than Otter Tail To Get More From UNH, OKE | |||
| Better Bet Than OTTR Stock: Pay Less Than Otter Tail To Get More From PCG, ES | |||
| Better Bet Than OTTR Stock: Pay Less Than Otter Tail To Get More From ES, EIX | |||
| OTTR Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Otter Tail (OTTR) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Top 10 Bets In Utilities Sector To Beat The Index | October 7th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to OTTR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 03312023 | OTTR | Otter Tail | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.2% | 22.1% | -3.6% |
| 09302022 | OTTR | Otter Tail | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 19.2% | 26.5% | -13.8% |
| 01312022 | OTTR | Otter Tail | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 13.1% | 3.9% | -14.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| 03312023 | OTTR | Otter Tail | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 6.2% | 22.1% | -3.6% |
| 09302022 | OTTR | Otter Tail | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 19.2% | 26.5% | -13.8% |
| 01312022 | OTTR | Otter Tail | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 13.1% | 3.9% | -14.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Otter Tail
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.17 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,653 |
| Op Inc LTM | 239 |
| FCF LTM | 115 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 113 |
| CFO LTM | 441 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 474 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -3.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 18.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.7% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.8% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.7 |
| P/S | 2.1 |
| P/EBIT | 12.4 |
| P/E | 17.4 |
| P/CFO | 7.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.8 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.0% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.4% |
| 12M Rtn | 9.0% |
| 3Y Rtn | 22.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -5.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -49.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11032023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8022023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5032023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2152023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8032022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2162022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |