Southwest Gas (SWX)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $81.83 | Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Gas Utilities
Southwest Gas (SWX)
Market Price (12/17/2025): $81.83Market Cap: $5.9 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Gas Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% | Key risksSWX key risks include [1] significant costs and civil penalties stemming from degrading polyethylene pipes and inaccurate pipeline mapping, Show more. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2% |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -1.7%, Dist 3Y High is -1.7% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -2.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3% |
| Key risksSWX key risks include [1] significant costs and civil penalties stemming from degrading polyethylene pipes and inaccurate pipeline mapping, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SWX Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining Southwest Gas (SWX) stock movement of approximately 3% between August 31, 2025, and December 17, 2025:
1. Successful Separation of Centuri and Debt Reduction: Southwest Gas Holdings completed the full separation of Centuri Holdings in September 2025, generating approximately $1.35 billion in net sales proceeds. These funds were used to reduce debt by over $470 million and eliminated the need for equity issuance in 2025, which significantly strengthened the company's balance sheet and reinforced its pure-play utility strategy.
2. Positive Regulatory Developments: The company experienced constructive regulatory outcomes, including the Arizona Corporation Commission's approval of a capital tracker program (System Integrity Mechanism - SIM) in July 2025, which allows for more timely recovery of safety-related investments. Additionally, Nevada enacted Senate Bill 417 in June 2025, enabling alternative ratemaking, anticipated to reduce regulatory lag and support price stability.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SWX Return | -17% | 19% | -9% | 7% | 16% | 19% | 32% |
| Peers Return | -19% | 36% | 7% | -6% | 28% | 17% | 67% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 110% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SWX Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 62% | 53% | 52% | 58% | 60% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SWX Max Drawdown | -31% | -5% | -9% | -12% | -9% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -45% | -5% | -10% | -19% | -7% | -12% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: SRE, OKE, ATO, UGI, NFG. See SWX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SWX | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 44 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -25.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 447 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -56.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 129.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 733 days | 1480 days |
Compare to DTM, NFG, SR, NJR, PBF
In The Past
Southwest Gas's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/24/2022. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Southwest Gas Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Southwest Gas Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Southwest Gas vs Merck: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Southwest Gas vs Exelon: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Southwest Gas vs National Fuel Gas: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Southwest Gas Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than SWX Stock: Pay Less Than Southwest Gas To Get More From OKE, CCL | |||
| SWX Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Southwest Gas Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 18.7% in 2024 and 7.7% 3-yr compounded annual returns (below peer average) | |||
| Southwest Gas (SWX) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 23rd, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SWX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Southwest Gas
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 81.44 |
| Mkt Cap | 17.9 |
| Rev LTM | 6,606 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,325 |
| FCF LTM | -5 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 60 |
| CFO LTM | 1,638 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,793 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 15.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 12.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.6% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 21.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 26.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 24.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 1.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 17.9 |
| P/S | 2.6 |
| P/EBIT | 9.3 |
| P/E | 14.9 |
| P/CFO | 8.2 |
| Total Yield | 7.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.0% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.6% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 19.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 36.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 5.7% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -42.9% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utility Infrastructure Services | 2,899 | 2,760 | 2,056 | 1,948 | 1,751 |
| Natural Gas Distribution | 2,500 | 1,935 | 1,522 | 1,351 | 1,369 |
| Other | 0 | 0 | |||
| Pipeline and Storage | 265 | ||||
| Intersegment revenues | 102 | ||||
| Total | 5,399 | 4,960 | 3,680 | 3,299 | 3,120 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas Distribution | 242 | 154 | 187 | 159 | 163 |
| Utility Infrastructure Services | 20 | 2 | 40 | 75 | 52 |
| Pipeline and Storage | -16 | -284 | |||
| Other | -95 | -76 | -27 | -2 | -2 |
| Total | 151 | -203 | 201 | 232 | 214 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natural Gas Distribution | 9,269 | 8,804 | 7,950 | 7,257 | 6,799 |
| Utility Infrastructure Services | 2,593 | 2,642 | 2,580 | 1,475 | 1,365 |
| Other | 9 | 7 | 48 | 4 | 6 |
| Pipeline and Storage | 0 | 1,743 | 2,188 | ||
| Total | 11,870 | 13,197 | 12,765 | 8,736 | 8,170 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | -4.1% | -1.7% | -3.2% |
| 8/6/2025 | -1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 5/12/2025 | -7.8% | -8.0% | -3.5% |
| 2/26/2025 | -2.5% | -4.2% | -6.7% |
| 11/6/2024 | 0.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| 8/6/2024 | -2.2% | -0.8% | 0.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | -0.7% | -1.9% | -0.7% |
| 2/28/2024 | 7.3% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 13 | 13 |
| # Negative | 15 | 10 | 10 |
| Median Positive | 4.0% | 2.5% | 4.9% |
| Median Negative | -2.5% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| Max Positive | 7.3% | 13.6% | 19.9% |
| Max Negative | -7.8% | -8.0% | -8.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11052025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5122025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2262025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11062024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2282024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5092023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2282023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |