Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 3.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32%
2 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 23%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Hydrogen Economy, and Energy Transition & Decarbonization. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more.
5 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.9%, Dist 3Y High is -4.9%
6 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -7.0%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -43%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -12%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.3%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SWX Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -0.3% movement in Southwest Gas (SWX) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025: 1. Southwest Gas Holdings reported lower-than-expected third-quarter 2025 earnings and revenue on November 5, 2025. This earnings miss, with an EPS of $0.06 against a forecasted $0.09 and revenue of $316.91 million against a projected $742.08 million, resulted in a 2.91% decrease in the stock price immediately following the announcement. 2. The company initiated a transition in its Chief Financial Officer position. On November 5, 2025, Southwest Gas announced that Senior Vice President and CFO Robert J. Stefani would depart effective December 1, 2025, to pursue other opportunities. Justin S. Forsberg was later named as his successor on November 26, 2025. 3.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SWX Return-17%19%-9%7%16%15%28%
Peers Return-24%34%55%-3%20%24%126%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SWX Win Rate50%67%42%50%50%80% 
Peers Win Rate30%65%65%42%55%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SWX Max Drawdown-31%-5%-9%-12%-9%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-39%-4%-4%-19%-15%-13% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DTM, NFG, SR, NJR, PBF. See SWX Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSWXS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-42.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-34.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven52.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven44 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-25.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven447 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-56.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven129.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven733 days1480 days

Compare to DTM, NFG, SR, NJR, PBF


In The Past

Southwest Gas's stock fell -42.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/24/2022. A -42.6% loss requires a 74.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Southwest Gas (SWX)

Better Bets than Southwest Gas (SWX)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SWX. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-0.9%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
1.9%1.9%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.4%7.4%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Southwest Gas

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SWXDTMNFGSRNJRPBFMedian
NameSouthwes.DT Midst.National.Spire New Jers.PBF Ener. 
Mkt Price79.02121.5382.2182.3745.0233.3880.61
Mkt Cap5.712.37.44.94.53.85.3
Rev LTM5,9241,1752,0692,4362,09630,2752,266
Op Inc LTM563571816544558-1,372561
FCF LTM-19747370-264-169-1,333-183
FCF 3Y Avg-64279131-196-11156333
CFO LTM676858954666450-868671
CFO 3Y Avg8158061,0555954601,138810

Growth & Margins

SWXDTMNFGSRNJRPBFMedian
NameSouthwes.DT Midst.National.Spire New Jers.PBF Ener. 
Rev Chg LTM31.9%20.4%5.9%-6.6%21.0%-18.7%13.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.8%9.6%2.0%4.6%-5.7%-7.1%3.3%
Rev Chg Q-11.8%26.6%15.9%1.9%8.5%-14.4%5.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.7%6.0%5.1%0.3%1.1%-4.0%0.7%
Op Mgn LTM9.5%48.6%39.5%22.3%26.6%-4.5%24.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg9.3%49.9%37.6%19.0%22.0%2.1%20.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%0.1%1.4%1.5%-0.7%-0.4%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM11.4%73.0%46.1%27.3%21.5%-2.9%24.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg16.5%79.2%50.2%23.3%22.5%2.6%22.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-3.3%40.3%3.4%-10.8%-8.1%-4.4%-3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-0.3%25.8%6.1%-7.6%-5.5%1.0%0.4%

Valuation

SWXDTMNFGSRNJRPBFMedian
NameSouthwes.DT Midst.National.Spire New Jers.PBF Ener. 
Mkt Cap5.712.37.44.94.53.85.3
P/S1.09.83.71.82.10.12.0
P/EBIT9.316.041.57.96.8-2.98.6
P/E12.228.5193.815.110.9-3.513.6
P/CFO8.413.48.06.510.0-4.08.2
Total Yield11.4%6.2%2.9%10.8%13.1%-25.0%8.5%
Dividend Yield3.2%2.7%2.4%4.2%3.9%3.6%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.0%2.9%2.5%-5.3%-2.5%5.8%0.3%
D/E0.60.30.41.10.80.90.7
Net D/E0.50.30.41.10.80.80.6

Returns

SWXDTMNFGSRNJRPBFMedian
NameSouthwes.DT Midst.National.Spire New Jers.PBF Ener. 
1M Rtn-3.3%10.3%2.4%-6.8%0.4%-4.8%-1.5%
3M Rtn0.7%16.3%-4.8%9.8%-2.9%19.0%5.3%
6M Rtn12.3%14.1%2.0%14.3%2.9%87.9%13.2%
12M Rtn6.0%23.1%36.2%19.7%-6.6%11.5%15.6%
3Y Rtn27.6%136.6%44.2%44.7%3.2%6.0%35.9%
1M Excs Rtn-4.6%9.0%1.2%-8.1%-0.9%-6.0%-2.7%
3M Excs Rtn-4.5%10.5%-10.3%3.2%-9.1%12.2%-0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-3.2%-1.3%-13.5%-1.2%-12.6%72.5%-2.3%
12M Excs Rtn-8.9%9.3%21.2%5.3%-21.6%-6.7%-0.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-43.5%61.2%-33.2%-44.3%-70.2%-85.3%-43.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Utility Infrastructure Services2,8992,7602,0561,9481,751
Natural Gas Distribution2,5001,9351,5221,3511,369
Other00   
Pipeline and Storage 265   
Intersegment revenues  102  
Total5,3994,9603,6803,2993,120


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Natural Gas Distribution242154187159163
Utility Infrastructure Services202407552
Pipeline and Storage-16-284   
Other-95-76-27-2-2
Total151-203201232214


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Natural Gas Distribution9,2698,8047,9507,2576,799
Utility Infrastructure Services2,5932,6422,5801,4751,365
Other974846
Pipeline and Storage01,7432,188  
Total11,87013,19712,7658,7368,170


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,875,022
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202536.0%
Average Daily Volume460,525
Days-to-Cover Short Interest4.07
Basic Shares Quantity72,209,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025512202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024226202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241106202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023509202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Sandoval Brian E 9112025Buy78.57241,886122,724Form
1Stefani Robert JSVP/Chief Financial Officer3312025Sell72.552,000145,1002,297,275Form
2ICAHN CARL C3252025Sell74.602,100,000156,660,000561,932,258Form