Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -3.6%, Dist 3Y High is -3.6%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -58%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BKH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Black Hills (BKH) experienced a 20.1% stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, driven by several key developments:

1. Black Hills announced its third-quarter 2025 results on November 5, 2025, reporting adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.45, which met analyst consensus estimates. The company also reaffirmed its 2025 adjusted earnings guidance in the range of $4.00 to $4.20 per share and expressed expectations to achieve the upper half of its long-term EPS growth target of 4-6% starting in 2026, driven by ongoing customer growth, increasing data center demand, and new rates from strategic investments.

2. In August 2025, Black Hills announced a tax-free, all-stock merger with NorthWestern Energy. Joint applications for regulatory approval were filed in Montana, Nebraska, and South Dakota in October, indicating a significant strategic move expected to create a premier regional regulated electric and natural gas utility company.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BKH Return-19%19%3%-20%14%28%16%
Peers Return-8%21%-3%-23%33%7%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKH Win Rate50%58%42%50%67%70% 
Peers Win Rate42%47%48%47%57%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKH Max Drawdown-35%-4%-11%-30%-8%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-29%-4%-17%-34%-20%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IDA, TAC, ALE, HE, EE. See BKH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBKHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven386 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven207.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1493 days1480 days

Compare to IDA, TAC, ALE, HE, EE


In The Past

Black Hills's stock fell -39.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -39.5% loss requires a 65.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Black Hills (BKH)

Better Bets than Black Hills (BKH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BKH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
BKH_7312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312020BKHBlack HillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%21.2%-8.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.7%-0.7%-0.7%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.5%2.5%0.0%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.3%9.3%-3.2%
BKH_7312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312020BKHBlack HillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%21.2%-8.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Black Hills

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BKHIDATACALEHEEEMedian
NameBlack Hi.Idacorp TransAltaALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
Mkt Price71.15128.1014.0067.6511.1728.6848.17
Mkt Cap5.26.94.23.91.90.94.0
Rev LTM2,2721,8062,4841,5003,0801,1852,039
Op Inc LTM530342134139222257239
FCF LTM-105-410353-3221242149
FCF 3Y Avg90-38840467113154102
CFO LTM658600630343463406532
CFO 3Y Avg7534691,009478488358483

Growth & Margins

BKHIDATACALEHEEEMedian
NameBlack Hi.Idacorp TransAltaALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
Rev Chg LTM7.0%-1.9%-11.0%-4.3%3.3%45.1%0.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.1%5.3%-0.6%0.4%-3.9%-12.4%-0.3%
Rev Chg Q7.1%-0.8%-3.6%-7.9%-5.1%102.2%-2.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%-0.2%-0.9%-2.1%-1.4%20.0%-0.6%
Op Mgn LTM23.3%18.9%5.4%9.2%7.2%21.6%14.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.4%18.4%18.1%9.6%-14.7%20.7%18.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.7%-2.9%-0.8%6.6%-1.5%-0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM29.0%33.3%25.4%22.8%15.0%34.3%27.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.7%25.9%33.1%28.4%15.3%31.5%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.6%-22.7%14.2%-21.5%4.0%18.0%-0.3%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%-21.4%13.9%2.5%3.5%14.9%3.6%

Valuation

BKHIDATACALEHEEEMedian
NameBlack Hi.Idacorp TransAltaALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
Mkt Cap5.26.94.23.91.90.94.0
P/S2.04.01.62.60.60.71.8
P/EBIT8.415.433.321.17.22.911.9
P/E15.722.5-28.823.3111.110.319.1
P/CFO6.811.96.411.34.12.06.6
Total Yield10.7%7.1%-1.7%8.6%1.4%15.2%7.9%
Dividend Yield4.3%2.6%1.8%4.3%0.5%5.4%3.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%-6.8%13.8%2.8%7.7%25.0%5.2%
D/E1.00.51.10.61.61.81.0
Net D/E1.00.51.00.61.31.21.0

Returns

BKHIDATACALEHEEEMedian
NameBlack Hi.Idacorp TransAltaALLETE Hawaiian.Excelera. 
1M Rtn12.5%-1.2%-20.3%0.5%-3.5%12.5%-0.4%
3M Rtn20.8%3.4%16.7%6.6%-10.1%23.3%11.6%
6M Rtn26.4%12.5%39.2%5.0%9.5%-2.7%11.0%
12M Rtn18.0%13.2%23.4%8.3%9.7%-4.1%11.5%
3Y Rtn14.3%29.5%54.5%16.4%-71.8%-1.1%15.4%
1M Excs Rtn12.5%-1.1%-20.3%0.5%-3.4%12.6%-0.3%
3M Excs Rtn15.3%-2.3%10.5%0.9%-15.0%15.8%5.7%
6M Excs Rtn11.7%-2.2%24.4%-9.8%-5.2%-17.4%-3.7%
12M Excs Rtn2.5%-2.3%12.8%-5.7%-6.0%-20.0%-4.0%
3Y Excs Rtn-57.7%-42.5%-12.9%-57.1%-144.2%-69.3%-57.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gas Utilities1,484   1,008
Electric Utilities865   690
Corporate and Other-18    
Mining    28
Power Generation    9
Total2,331   1,735


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Utilities249   160
Gas Utilities229   190
Corporate and Other-5    
Corporate    35
Inter-company Eliminations    -37
Mining    13
Power Generation    45
Total473   406


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,071,299
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202528.5%
Average Daily Volume1,461,576
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.79
Basic Shares Quantity72,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021