Black Hills (BKH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $70.61 | Market Cap: $5.1 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Multi-Utilities
Black Hills (BKH)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $70.61Market Cap: $5.1 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Multi-Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. | Key risksBKH key risks include [1] regulatory hurdles in recovering capital costs, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 20% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -4.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6% |
| Key risksBKH key risks include [1] regulatory hurdles in recovering capital costs, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BKH Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Financial Performance and Outlook: Black Hills Corp. reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, including a 4.3% growth in earnings per share (EPS) from the midpoint of 2023 guidance. The company also initiated a positive earnings guidance range for 2025 at $4.00 to $4.20 per share, indicating confidence in future profitability.
2. Increased Capital Investment and Growth Initiatives: The company demonstrated its commitment to growth by increasing its five-year capital forecast by 10% to $4.7 billion for the 2025-2029 period, with $1.0 billion specifically allocated for 2025. Furthermore, Black Hills is projecting total data center load from existing customers to exceed one gigawatt, signaling new and significant growth opportunities.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BKH Return | -19% | 19% | 3% | -20% | 14% | 26% | 14% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 12% | 5% | -5% | 17% | 15% | 53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BKH Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 53% | 65% | 58% | 57% | 62% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BKH Max Drawdown | -35% | -4% | -11% | -30% | -8% | -5% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -9% | -11% | -17% | -9% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WEC, XEL, DUK, AEP, SO. See BKH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BKH | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -40.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 386 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -67.5% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 207.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1493 days | 1480 days |
Compare to IDA, TAC, ALE, HE, EE
In The Past
Black Hills's stock fell -39.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -39.5% loss requires a 65.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| Black Hills Earnings Notes | |||
| How Low Can Black Hills Stock Really Go? | Return | ||
| Black Hills vs Barrick Mining: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Black Hills vs Edison International: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| How Does Black Hills Stock Stack Up Against Its Peers? | |||
| Better Bet Than BKH Stock: Pay Less Than Black Hills To Get More From UAL, IBKR | |||
| Better Bet Than BKH Stock: Pay Less Than Black Hills To Get More From BIPC, EIX | |||
| BKH Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| Black Hills Market Price | Market Price | ||
| Black Hills (BKH) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | Financials | ||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Small Cap Stocks Trading At 52-Week High | October 24th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BKH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 07312020 | BKH | Black Hills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 21.2% | -8.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| 07312020 | BKH | Black Hills | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 21.2% | -8.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Black Hills
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 95.90 |
| Mkt Cap | 52.3 |
| Rev LTM | 17,742 |
| Op Inc LTM | 3,969 |
| FCF LTM | -1,328 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,482 |
| CFO LTM | 5,698 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 5,352 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 7.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 25.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 22.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 32.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 32.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -5.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -5.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 52.3 |
| P/S | 3.2 |
| P/EBIT | 11.5 |
| P/E | 20.7 |
| P/CFO | 9.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.3% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -6.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 7.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 13.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 27.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 1.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -44.2% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gas Utilities | 1,484 | 1,008 | |||
| Electric Utilities | 865 | 690 | |||
| Corporate and Other | -18 | ||||
| Mining | 28 | ||||
| Power Generation | 9 | ||||
| Total | 2,331 | 1,735 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Electric Utilities | 249 | 160 | |||
| Gas Utilities | 229 | 190 | |||
| Corporate and Other | -5 | ||||
| Corporate | 35 | ||||
| Inter-company Eliminations | -37 | ||||
| Mining | 13 | ||||
| Power Generation | 45 | ||||
| Total | 473 | 406 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/5/2025 | 4.6% | 12.5% | 9.4% |
| 7/30/2025 | 1.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% |
| 5/8/2025 | -0.6% | -0.3% | -1.4% |
| 2/5/2025 | -0.3% | 0.1% | 1.2% |
| 11/6/2024 | -1.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.4% | -3.5% | 0.4% |
| 5/8/2024 | 2.2% | 0.9% | -3.8% |
| 2/7/2024 | 3.3% | 3.6% | 9.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 15 |
| # Negative | 13 | 10 | 9 |
| Median Positive | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.7% |
| Median Negative | -1.3% | -1.2% | -2.4% |
| Max Positive | 4.6% | 12.5% | 11.7% |
| Max Negative | -9.3% | -9.9% | -13.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11072024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2142024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2142023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |