Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
  Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
  Key risks
BKH key risks include [1] regulatory hurdles in recovering capital costs, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 4.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 6.5%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 29%
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 20%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Battery Storage & Grid Modernization, Show more.
4 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -4.3%, Dist 3Y High is -4.3%
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -4.9%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -55%
6 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 97%
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -0.1%
8 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%
9 Key risks
BKH key risks include [1] regulatory hurdles in recovering capital costs, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BKH Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Financial Performance and Outlook: Black Hills Corp. reported robust financial results for the fourth quarter and full year of 2024, including a 4.3% growth in earnings per share (EPS) from the midpoint of 2023 guidance. The company also initiated a positive earnings guidance range for 2025 at $4.00 to $4.20 per share, indicating confidence in future profitability.

2. Increased Capital Investment and Growth Initiatives: The company demonstrated its commitment to growth by increasing its five-year capital forecast by 10% to $4.7 billion for the 2025-2029 period, with $1.0 billion specifically allocated for 2025. Furthermore, Black Hills is projecting total data center load from existing customers to exceed one gigawatt, signaling new and significant growth opportunities.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BKH Return-19%19%3%-20%14%26%14%
Peers Return1%12%5%-5%17%15%53%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BKH Win Rate50%58%42%50%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%65%58%57%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BKH Max Drawdown-35%-4%-11%-30%-8%-5% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-9%-11%-17%-9%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WEC, XEL, DUK, AEP, SO. See BKH Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBKHS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-39.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven65.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-40.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven67.9%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven386 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-67.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven207.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1493 days1480 days

Compare to IDA, TAC, ALE, HE, EE


In The Past

Black Hills's stock fell -39.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -39.5% loss requires a 65.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Black Hills (BKH)

Better Bets than Black Hills (BKH)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BKH. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
BKH_7312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312020BKHBlack HillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%21.2%-8.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
BKH_7312020_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy07312020BKHBlack HillsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%21.2%-8.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Black Hills

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BKHWECXELDUKAEPSOMedian
NameBlack Hi.WEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Duke Ene.American.Southern  
Mkt Price70.59104.7673.14117.43114.7187.0395.90
Mkt Cap5.133.643.391.461.495.952.3
Rev LTM2,2729,30714,22831,65921,25728,91217,742
Op Inc LTM5302,3292,6378,5835,3007,4263,969
FCF LTM-105154-5,149-921-1,736-1,823-1,328
FCF 3Y Avg90151-2,465-2,122-1,932-1,031-1,482
CFO LTM6583,3274,53812,0496,8589,3785,698
CFO 3Y Avg7532,8484,86910,5395,8348,6105,352

Growth & Margins

BKHWECXELDUKAEPSOMedian
NameBlack Hi.WEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Duke Ene.American.Southern  
Rev Chg LTM7.0%7.9%3.4%4.8%8.4%9.4%7.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-0.1%1.4%-0.8%5.2%4.2%1.3%1.3%
Rev Chg Q7.1%13.4%7.4%4.8%10.9%7.5%7.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.3%2.6%1.9%1.2%2.9%1.9%1.9%
Op Mgn LTM23.3%25.0%18.5%27.1%24.9%25.7%25.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg21.4%23.5%18.2%25.1%21.6%23.7%22.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-0.2%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM29.0%35.7%31.9%38.1%32.3%32.4%32.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg32.7%31.5%34.1%34.6%29.0%31.6%32.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-4.6%1.6%-36.2%-2.9%-8.2%-6.3%-5.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.6%1.8%-17.4%-7.1%-9.7%-3.7%-5.4%

Valuation

BKHWECXELDUKAEPSOMedian
NameBlack Hi.WEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Duke Ene.American.Southern  
Mkt Cap5.133.643.391.461.495.952.3
P/S2.03.93.43.02.83.63.2
P/EBIT8.413.617.210.410.612.511.5
P/E15.722.124.919.316.423.420.7
P/CFO6.811.010.58.08.811.19.6
Total Yield10.7%7.5%6.6%6.0%9.4%7.1%7.3%
Dividend Yield4.3%3.0%2.6%0.8%3.3%2.9%2.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.7%0.4%-5.7%-2.9%-4.3%-1.3%-2.1%
D/E1.00.60.70.90.80.70.8
Net D/E1.00.60.70.90.80.70.7

Returns

BKHWECXELDUKAEPSOMedian
NameBlack Hi.WEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Duke Ene.American.Southern  
1M Rtn1.5%-6.4%-10.0%-6.2%-7.3%-3.9%-6.3%
3M Rtn21.9%-3.3%1.5%-2.2%7.5%-4.2%-0.3%
6M Rtn28.8%2.5%11.2%4.3%15.2%-0.2%7.7%
12M Rtn22.8%14.4%11.0%12.8%29.1%8.0%13.6%
3Y Rtn17.2%22.6%15.9%31.8%36.0%41.3%27.2%
1M Excs Rtn0.8%-7.1%-10.8%-6.9%-8.0%-4.7%-7.0%
3M Excs Rtn20.1%-4.9%-0.0%-3.0%7.3%-5.4%-1.5%
6M Excs Rtn16.4%-9.8%-1.2%-8.1%2.8%-12.6%-4.6%
12M Excs Rtn9.9%2.1%-0.1%0.7%17.0%-3.0%1.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-54.8%-49.3%-55.2%-39.2%-38.0%-30.3%-44.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Gas Utilities1,484   1,008
Electric Utilities865   690
Corporate and Other-18    
Mining    28
Power Generation    9
Total2,331   1,735


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Electric Utilities249   160
Gas Utilities229   190
Corporate and Other-5    
Corporate    35
Inter-company Eliminations    -37
Mining    13
Power Generation    45
Total473   406


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,573,031
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202512.3%
Average Daily Volume1,319,364
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.47
Basic Shares Quantity72,800,000
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/20254.6%12.5%9.4%
7/30/20251.2%4.7%5.8%
5/8/2025-0.6%-0.3%-1.4%
2/5/2025-0.3%0.1%1.2%
11/6/2024-1.3%4.6%3.7%
7/31/20240.4%-3.5%0.4%
5/8/20242.2%0.9%-3.8%
2/7/20243.3%3.6%9.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111415
# Negative13109
Median Positive2.2%2.0%3.7%
Median Negative-1.3%-1.2%-2.4%
Max Positive4.6%12.5%11.7%
Max Negative-9.3%-9.9%-13.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024212202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241107202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024801202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021215202210-K 12/31/2021