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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil
  Key risks
WEC key risks include [1] the dependency on regulatory approvals to recover costs from its projected $28 billion capital investment plan and [2] margin pressure from rising interest rates while financing these expenditures.
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil
2 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 17%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49%
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56%
6 Key risks
WEC key risks include [1] the dependency on regulatory approvals to recover costs from its projected $28 billion capital investment plan and [2] margin pressure from rising interest rates while financing these expenditures.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WEC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points for why WEC Energy (WEC) stock moved by approximately -0.9% in the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Post-Earnings Stock Decline Despite Beat. WEC Energy reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, exceeding both EPS and revenue expectations. Despite this positive earnings beat, the stock experienced a pre-market decline of 2.07% on the day of the announcement, closing at $113 from its previous close of $114.58. This suggests the market may have already factored in positive news, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" reaction or profit-taking.

2. Ambitious Capital Plan and Anticipated Equity Issuance. Alongside its Q3 earnings, WEC Energy unveiled an expanded five-year capital plan for 2026-2030, totaling $36.5 billion—an increase of $8.5 billion from its previous plan. While this plan is aimed at long-term growth, particularly driven by demand from data centers, it also anticipates funding through a mix of cash from operations, incremental debt, and approximately $5 billion in common equity issuance, with an estimated $900 million to $1.1 billion in equity issuance for 2026. The prospect of significant future equity dilution can often exert downward pressure on a stock.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WEC Return2%9%0%-7%16%15%39%
Peers Return1%15%1%-7%18%12%43%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WEC Win Rate50%50%58%67%50%58% 
Peers Win Rate52%52%57%55%57%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WEC Max Drawdown-23%-12%-13%-16%-8%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-9%-15%-18%-9%-3% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XEL, AEE, DTE, CMS, LNT. See WEC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWECS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-28.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven39.8%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven518 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-32.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven47.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-14.4%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven16.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven253 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-26.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven36.4%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven290 days1,480 days

Compare to ETR, PEG, ED, FE, EIX


In The Past

WEC Energy's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About WEC Energy (WEC)

Better Bets than WEC Energy (WEC)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WEC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%-3.2%
WEC_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020WECWEC EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.9%-10.2%-23.2%
WEC_1312017_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312017WECWEC EnergyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.8%12.6%-3.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.9%4.9%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.6%5.6%-3.2%
WEC_2292020_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%02292020WECWEC EnergyQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
2.9%-10.2%-23.2%
WEC_1312017_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper01312017WECWEC EnergyMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.8%12.6%-3.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for WEC Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WECXELAEEDTECMSLNTMedian
NameWEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Ameren DTE Ener.CMS Ener.Alliant . 
Mkt Price104.7673.1498.53128.8970.2665.4885.84
Mkt Cap33.643.326.626.721.116.826.7
Rev LTM9,30714,2288,95814,8228,2954,2759,132
Op Inc LTM2,3292,6371,8642,4101,7171,0502,097
FCF LTM154-5,149-1,248-868-1,7191,154-1,058
FCF 3Y Avg151-2,465-1,284-886-1,180978-1,033
CFO LTM3,3274,5383,2143,4452,1601,1543,270
CFO 3Y Avg2,8484,8692,7963,2632,2089782,822

Growth & Margins

WECXELAEEDTECMSLNTMedian
NameWEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Ameren DTE Ener.CMS Ener.Alliant . 
Rev Chg LTM7.9%3.4%22.7%19.4%11.0%7.8%9.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg1.4%-0.8%7.0%-6.5%0.1%1.7%0.7%
Rev Chg Q13.4%7.4%24.2%21.4%15.9%11.9%14.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.6%1.9%6.2%4.4%3.5%3.1%3.3%
Op Mgn LTM25.0%18.5%20.8%16.3%20.7%24.6%20.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg23.5%18.2%20.8%16.5%18.2%22.7%19.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%0.5%1.5%0.4%0.7%0.1%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM35.7%31.9%35.9%23.2%26.0%27.0%29.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg31.5%34.1%34.6%24.0%28.2%23.8%29.9%
FCF/Rev LTM1.6%-36.2%-13.9%-5.9%-20.7%27.0%-9.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg1.8%-17.4%-16.2%-6.5%-14.8%23.8%-10.7%

Valuation

WECXELAEEDTECMSLNTMedian
NameWEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Ameren DTE Ener.CMS Ener.Alliant . 
Mkt Cap33.643.326.626.721.116.826.7
P/S3.93.43.22.02.64.13.3
P/EBIT13.617.212.612.110.814.513.1
P/E22.124.920.021.121.021.221.2
P/CFO11.010.58.88.510.215.010.3
Total Yield7.5%6.6%7.7%7.7%6.0%7.7%7.6%
Dividend Yield3.0%2.6%2.7%2.9%1.2%3.0%2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg0.4%-5.7%-5.4%-3.6%-6.2%6.4%-4.5%
D/E0.60.70.70.90.80.70.7
Net D/E0.60.70.70.90.80.60.7

Returns

WECXELAEEDTECMSLNTMedian
NameWEC Ener.Xcel Ene.Ameren DTE Ener.CMS Ener.Alliant . 
1M Rtn-6.4%-10.0%-5.8%-5.5%-5.6%-3.8%-5.7%
3M Rtn-3.3%1.5%0.3%-3.7%0.6%3.3%0.4%
6M Rtn2.5%11.2%5.9%-0.5%3.7%10.8%4.8%
12M Rtn14.4%11.0%14.4%10.4%8.0%13.5%12.3%
3Y Rtn22.6%15.9%23.4%23.5%24.9%32.9%23.4%
1M Excs Rtn-7.1%-10.8%-6.6%-6.2%-6.4%-4.6%-6.5%
3M Excs Rtn-4.9%-0.0%-0.8%-5.1%-0.5%2.1%-0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-9.8%-1.2%-6.5%-12.9%-8.7%-1.6%-7.6%
12M Excs Rtn2.1%-0.1%1.8%-0.2%-3.5%0.8%0.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-49.3%-55.2%-49.1%-48.4%-47.4%-40.2%-48.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wisconsin6,6266,9606,0375,4745,647
Illinois1,5581,8911,6731,3221,357
Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure666590540508496
Other states519618519384426
Corporate and other00024
Electric transmission00   
Reconciling eliminations-476-463-453-448-407
Total8,8939,5978,3167,2427,523


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wisconsin851758706690650
Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure336324279261246
Illinois140227223204170
Electric transmission11913010611387
Other states4840363943
Reconciling eliminations00   
Corporate and other-163-71-50-106-63
Total1,3321,4081,3001,2001,134


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wisconsin28,52727,38425,68824,59923,935
Illinois7,9708,1017,8537,4726,932
Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure6,4055,3214,6284,4553,654
Electric transmission2,0061,9091,7931,7651,723
Other states1,5721,6401,5061,3361,238
Corporate and other1,100774785762814
Reconciling eliminations-3,640-3,256-3,265-3,361-3,344
Total43,94041,87238,98837,02834,952


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,598,459
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-0.9%
Average Daily Volume1,933,671
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.52
Basic Shares Quantity320,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.9%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/30/2025-1.7%-2.4%-3.8%
7/30/2025-0.2%1.3%-0.1%
5/6/20251.0%-3.4%-1.9%
2/4/2025-1.2%0.8%4.9%
10/31/2024-0.5%-0.0%6.1%
7/31/20240.5%3.4%9.4%
5/1/2024-0.1%1.4%-3.1%
2/1/20241.3%-3.2%-1.9%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive131210
# Negative121315
Median Positive0.9%1.0%5.3%
Median Negative-0.3%-2.4%-3.1%
Max Positive1.9%3.4%10.3%
Max Negative-1.7%-4.2%-9.3%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025801202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024221202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023222202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Erickson Joshua MVP and Deputy General Counsel11122025Sell112.4710011,247290,843Form