WEC Energy (WEC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $104.78 | Market Cap: $33.6 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
WEC Energy (WEC)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $104.78Market Cap: $33.6 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil | Key risksWEC key risks include [1] the dependency on regulatory approvals to recover costs from its projected $28 billion capital investment plan and [2] margin pressure from rising interest rates while financing these expenditures. | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.5%, Dividend Yield is 3.0%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.4% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%, CFO LTM is 3.3 Bil |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Wind Energy Development, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 56% |
| Key risksWEC key risks include [1] the dependency on regulatory approvals to recover costs from its projected $28 billion capital investment plan and [2] margin pressure from rising interest rates while financing these expenditures. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WEC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points for why WEC Energy (WEC) stock moved by approximately -0.9% in the period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Post-Earnings Stock Decline Despite Beat.
WEC Energy reported strong third-quarter 2025 financial results on October 30, 2025, exceeding both EPS and revenue expectations. Despite this positive earnings beat, the stock experienced a pre-market decline of 2.07% on the day of the announcement, closing at $113 from its previous close of $114.58. This suggests the market may have already factored in positive news, leading to a "buy the rumor, sell the news" reaction or profit-taking.
2. Ambitious Capital Plan and Anticipated Equity Issuance.
Alongside its Q3 earnings, WEC Energy unveiled an expanded five-year capital plan for 2026-2030, totaling $36.5 billion—an increase of $8.5 billion from its previous plan. While this plan is aimed at long-term growth, particularly driven by demand from data centers, it also anticipates funding through a mix of cash from operations, incremental debt, and approximately $5 billion in common equity issuance, with an estimated $900 million to $1.1 billion in equity issuance for 2026. The prospect of significant future equity dilution can often exert downward pressure on a stock.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WEC Return | 2% | 9% | 0% | -7% | 16% | 15% | 39% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 15% | 1% | -7% | 18% | 12% | 43% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WEC Win Rate | 50% | 50% | 58% | 67% | 50% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 52% | 57% | 55% | 57% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WEC Max Drawdown | -23% | -12% | -13% | -16% | -8% | -2% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -26% | -9% | -15% | -18% | -9% | -3% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: XEL, AEE, DTE, CMS, LNT. See WEC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WEC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 39.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 518 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -32.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 47.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 232 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -14.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 16.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 253 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 290 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to ETR, PEG, ED, FE, EIX
In The Past
WEC Energy's stock fell -28.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/19/2022. A -28.5% loss requires a 39.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WEC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.9% | 4.9% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | -3.2% |
| 02292020 | WEC | WEC Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.9% | -10.2% | -23.2% |
| 01312017 | WEC | WEC Energy | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 8.8% | 12.6% | -3.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.9% | 4.9% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | -3.2% |
| 02292020 | WEC | WEC Energy | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.9% | -10.2% | -23.2% |
| 01312017 | WEC | WEC Energy | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 8.8% | 12.6% | -3.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for WEC Energy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 85.84 |
| Mkt Cap | 26.7 |
| Rev LTM | 9,132 |
| Op Inc LTM | 2,097 |
| FCF LTM | -1,058 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -1,033 |
| CFO LTM | 3,270 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 2,822 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 9.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 14.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 3.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 20.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 19.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 29.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 29.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -9.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -10.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 26.7 |
| P/S | 3.3 |
| P/EBIT | 13.1 |
| P/E | 21.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.3 |
| Total Yield | 7.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.5% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -5.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 0.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 4.8% |
| 12M Rtn | 12.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 23.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -6.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 0.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -48.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 6,626 | 6,960 | 6,037 | 5,474 | 5,647 |
| Illinois | 1,558 | 1,891 | 1,673 | 1,322 | 1,357 |
| Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure | 666 | 590 | 540 | 508 | 496 |
| Other states | 519 | 618 | 519 | 384 | 426 |
| Corporate and other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
| Electric transmission | 0 | 0 | |||
| Reconciling eliminations | -476 | -463 | -453 | -448 | -407 |
| Total | 8,893 | 9,597 | 8,316 | 7,242 | 7,523 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 851 | 758 | 706 | 690 | 650 |
| Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure | 336 | 324 | 279 | 261 | 246 |
| Illinois | 140 | 227 | 223 | 204 | 170 |
| Electric transmission | 119 | 130 | 106 | 113 | 87 |
| Other states | 48 | 40 | 36 | 39 | 43 |
| Reconciling eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Corporate and other | -163 | -71 | -50 | -106 | -63 |
| Total | 1,332 | 1,408 | 1,300 | 1,200 | 1,134 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 28,527 | 27,384 | 25,688 | 24,599 | 23,935 |
| Illinois | 7,970 | 8,101 | 7,853 | 7,472 | 6,932 |
| Non-Utility Energy Infrastructure | 6,405 | 5,321 | 4,628 | 4,455 | 3,654 |
| Electric transmission | 2,006 | 1,909 | 1,793 | 1,765 | 1,723 |
| Other states | 1,572 | 1,640 | 1,506 | 1,336 | 1,238 |
| Corporate and other | 1,100 | 774 | 785 | 762 | 814 |
| Reconciling eliminations | -3,640 | -3,256 | -3,265 | -3,361 | -3,344 |
| Total | 43,940 | 41,872 | 38,988 | 37,028 | 34,952 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -1.7% | -2.4% | -3.8% |
| 7/30/2025 | -0.2% | 1.3% | -0.1% |
| 5/6/2025 | 1.0% | -3.4% | -1.9% |
| 2/4/2025 | -1.2% | 0.8% | 4.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | -0.5% | -0.0% | 6.1% |
| 7/31/2024 | 0.5% | 3.4% | 9.4% |
| 5/1/2024 | -0.1% | 1.4% | -3.1% |
| 2/1/2024 | 1.3% | -3.2% | -1.9% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 10 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 0.9% | 1.0% | 5.3% |
| Median Negative | -0.3% | -2.4% | -3.1% |
| Max Positive | 1.9% | 3.4% | 10.3% |
| Max Negative | -1.7% | -4.2% | -9.3% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8012025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5072025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2212025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11012024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7312024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5032024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Erickson Joshua M | VP and Deputy General Counsel | 11122025 | Sell | 112.47 | 100 | 11,247 | 290,843 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |