Spectrum Brands (SPB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $57.2 | Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Household Products
Spectrum Brands (SPB)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $57.2Market Cap: $1.4 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Household Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 5.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.3%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.1%, FCF Yield is 5.7% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -42% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 36% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -61%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -44% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -3.2%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -10% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
SPB Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the movement of Spectrum Brands (SPB) stock between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025:
**1. Strong Q4 2025 Adjusted EPS Beat**
Spectrum Brands reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.61 for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2025 on November 13, 2025, which substantially exceeded analyst consensus estimates ranging from $0.77 to $0.92 per share. This significant beat on profitability was a major positive catalyst for the stock.
**2. Q4 2025 Revenue Miss and Operational Challenges**
Despite the strong EPS, Spectrum Brands' net sales for Q4 2025 decreased by 5.2% year-over-year, reaching $733.5 million, which was below analyst revenue forecasts. The revenue decline was primarily due to softer demand in the Global Pet Care and Home & Personal Care segments, ongoing supply constraints, and the impact of earlier decisions to halt imports from China due to uncertain trade policies.
**3. Positive Market Reaction Post-Earnings Announcement**
Following the Q4 2025 earnings release on November 13, 2025, Spectrum Brands' stock experienced a notable surge, increasing by over 2.7% in pre-market trading and closing up between 15.83% and 16.19% on the day. This positive market response indicated investor confidence in the company's profitability despite the revenue challenges.
**4. Cautiously Optimistic Fiscal 2026 Outlook and Strong Cash Flow**
Spectrum Brands provided a fiscal year 2026 outlook that projected flat to low single-digit net sales growth and low single-digit adjusted EBITDA growth. The company also highlighted its strong financial health, including generating over $170 million in adjusted free cash flow and maintaining a robust liquidity position of $615.9 million, which management suggested positioned them as a potential merger and acquisition partner.
**5. Reaffirmed Dividend and Positive Analyst Sentiment**
On November 11, 2025, Spectrum Brands declared a quarterly dividend of $0.47 per share, demonstrating a continued commitment to returning value to shareholders. Concurrently, Wall Street analysts largely maintained "Moderate Buy" or "Strong Buy" ratings for SPB in late 2025, with several setting average price targets that indicated significant potential upside.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SPB Return | 27% | 31% | -39% | 34% | 8% | -30% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 284% | 13% | -13% | -20% | -9% | 4% | 186% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SPB Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 42% | 67% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 68% | 45% | 38% | 45% | 48% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SPB Max Drawdown | -62% | -4% | -61% | -5% | -5% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -41% | -23% | -42% | -44% | -34% | -52% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: RUN, PI, PLUG, ENR, AIN. See SPB Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SPB | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -63.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 172.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -62.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 163.9% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 240 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -66.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 198.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 96 days | 1480 days |
Compare to RUN, PI, PLUG, ENR, AIN
In The Past
Spectrum Brands's stock fell -63.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/22/2021. A -63.3% loss requires a 172.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to SPB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| 03312019 | SPB | Spectrum Brands | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -32.4% | -54.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -2.1% | -2.1% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 7.2% | 7.2% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.4% | 1.4% | -5.1% |
| 03312019 | SPB | Spectrum Brands | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -32.4% | -54.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Spectrum Brands
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 33.30 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,733 |
| Op Inc LTM | -14 |
| FCF LTM | 58 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -36 |
| CFO LTM | 85 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -2 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 2.2% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -0.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.0 |
| P/S | 1.5 |
| P/EBIT | -1.0 |
| P/E | -1.2 |
| P/CFO | 7.7 |
| Total Yield | -0.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -2.1% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -13.7% |
| 3M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 22.7% |
| 12M Rtn | -24.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -42.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -13.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 8.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -112.5% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11152024 | 10-K 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11212023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8112023 | 10-Q 7/2/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5122023 | 10-Q 4/2/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2102023 | 10-Q 1/1/2023 |
| 9302022 | 11222022 | 10-K 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8122022 | 10-Q 7/3/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5062022 | 10-Q 4/3/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2042022 | 10-Q 1/2/2022 |
| 9302021 | 11232021 | 10-K 9/30/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |