Tearsheet

SIFCO Industries (SIF)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $6.91 | Market Cap: $41.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

SIFCO Industries (SIF)


Market Price (12/17/2025): $6.91
Market Cap: $41.9 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 88x
2  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
4  Key risks
SIF key risks include [1] ongoing supply chain constraints that prevent the company from converting strong demand into revenue and [2] significant customer concentration.
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 36%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
2 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 101%
3 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 88x
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.7%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.5%
6 Key risks
SIF key risks include [1] ongoing supply chain constraints that prevent the company from converting strong demand into revenue and [2] significant customer concentration.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SIF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points explaining why SIFCO Industries (SIF) stock moved by approximately -5% in the period leading up to December 17, 2025:

1. A technical sell signal was issued from a pivot top point on Wednesday, December 10, 2025, which preceded a fall of approximately -4.73% by December 15, 2025.

2. The stock was observed to be in the middle of a broad and declining short-term trend, suggesting continued downward pressure.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SIF Return113%-23%-67%110%-22%94%74%
Peers Return
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SIF Win Rate58%42%42%50%42%58% 
Peers Win Rate46% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SIF Max Drawdown-50%-32%-67%0%-36%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/16/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSIFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven596.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven165.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-76.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven319.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven415 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven506.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1831 days1480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, BETA, DFSC, PEW


In The Past

SIFCO Industries's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/22/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 596.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SIFCO Industries (SIF)

Better Bets than SIFCO Industries (SIF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1SIFCO Industries Earnings Notes 
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SIF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
19.8%19.8%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
4.2%4.2%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.5%1.5%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SIFCO Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SIFFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Price6.7320.2852.1927.833.173.2113.51
Mkt Cap0.01.91.8--0.11.0
Rev LTM84111831-44284
Op Inc LTM0-25250--9-4-4
FCF LTM-0-20151--9--5
FCF 3Y Avg-4-8--11--4
CFO LTM0-17874--9--4
CFO 3Y Avg-2-22--10--2

Growth & Margins

SIFFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Rev Chg LTM35.7%-6.2%-166.4%-35.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.7%-19.5%-94.3%-19.5%
Rev Chg Q0.5%37.6%3.8%-330.2%-20.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%8.2%0.9%-35.8%-4.6%
Op Mgn LTM0.3%-226.9%6.0%--209.1%-8.8%-8.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-9.6%-2.2%--699.5%--9.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.7%-10.4%1.7%-86.7%-2.7%
CFO/Rev LTM0.3%-160.0%8.9%--212.3%--79.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-3.7%-2.5%--716.7%--3.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.4%-181.0%6.1%--216.3%--90.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.2%-0.8%--777.8%--6.2%

Valuation

SIFFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
Mkt Cap0.01.91.8--0.11.0
P/S0.317.11.9--3.12.5
P/EBIT37.7-10.732.3---32.3
P/E-30.5-5.6-523.2---47.1-38.8
P/CFO87.7-10.722.0---22.0
Total Yield-3.3%-17.9%-0.2%---2.1%-2.7%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-25.5%--0.5%----13.0%
D/E1.10.00.2---0.2
Net D/E1.0-0.30.2---0.2

Returns

SIFFLYATROBETADFSCPEWMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsBETA Tec.DEFSEC T.GrabAGun. 
1M Rtn5.2%-11.6%0.1%-11.4%0.0%-15.1%-5.7%
3M Rtn-7.3%-53.8%30.0%--0.9%-41.8%-7.3%
6M Rtn84.9%-51.3%---68.1%
12M Rtn74.8%-214.4%---144.6%
3Y Rtn146.5%-439.7%---293.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.2%-12.6%-0.9%-12.4%-1.0%-16.1%-6.7%
3M Excs Rtn-11.5%-56.3%27.2%--8.4%-45.2%-11.5%
6M Excs Rtn71.2%-37.6%---54.4%
12M Excs Rtn60.2%-209.6%---134.9%
3Y Excs Rtn58.1%-326.6%---192.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Single segment66   
Commercial products and other revenue 111413
Energy components for power generation units 172017
Fixed wing aircraft 393852
Rotorcraft 162731
Total6684100114


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,363
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-13.9%
Average Daily Volume11,865
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity6,068,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
8/14/202519.0%21.1%29.5%
5/15/2025-3.2%-3.9%17.7%
12/26/20242.8%3.4%4.2%
8/12/20246.5%14.8%38.2%
5/9/2024-5.1%-0.3%1.5%
1/2/2024-3.0%-16.4%-14.9%
9/28/202311.9%25.1%52.0%
7/6/20236.2%2.5%5.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive10913
# Negative895
Median Positive12.8%21.1%29.5%
Median Negative-4.2%-8.4%-20.7%
Max Positive88.0%115.4%158.5%
Max Negative-22.5%-28.7%-24.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
6302025814202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025515202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024214202510-Q 12/31/2024
93020241226202410-K 9/30/2024
6302024812202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
9302023102202410-K 9/30/2023
6302023928202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023814202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022706202310-Q 12/31/2022
93020221223202210-K 9/30/2022
6302022815202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021204202210-Q 12/31/2021
93020211210202110-K 9/30/2021
6302021806202110-Q 6/30/2021