Tearsheet

SIFCO Industries (SIF)


Market Price (4/30/2026): $14.98 | Market Cap: $91.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

SIFCO Industries (SIF)


Market Price (4/30/2026): $14.98
Market Cap: $91.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%

Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.

Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 105%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 461%

Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 107%

Key risks
SIF key risks include [1] ongoing supply chain constraints that prevent the company from converting strong demand into revenue and [2] significant customer concentration.

0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 13%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more.
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 105%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 461%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 107%
5 Key risks
SIF key risks include [1] ongoing supply chain constraints that prevent the company from converting strong demand into revenue and [2] significant customer concentration.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

SIFCO Industries (SIF) stock has gained about 170% since 12/31/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. SIFCO Industries reported a significant financial turnaround in its first quarter of fiscal 2026 (ended December 31, 2025), swinging from a net loss to a substantial net income. The company posted net income from continuing operations of $1.8 million, or $0.29 per diluted share, a marked improvement from a net loss of $2.4 million, or $(0.40) per diluted share, in the same period of fiscal 2025. This positive shift was supported by a 14.8% increase in net sales to $24.0 million compared to $20.9 million in the prior year.

2. The company experienced robust demand, particularly within the military aerospace sector, and reported a growing order backlog. Military revenue saw a significant increase of 57.3% year-over-year to $15.3 million in Q1 FY2026. This was largely driven by a 172.1% jump in rotorcraft revenue due to the timing of orders for programs such as the UH-60 Black Hawk and CH-47 Chinook. The order backlog reached $139.5 million as of December 31, 2025, an increase from $121.9 million a year earlier, reflecting sustained interest in SIFCO's offerings and recovery in aerospace markets.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 170.3% change in SIF stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 161.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)123120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)5.5815.08170.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)85883.6%
P/S Multiple0.41.0161.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)66-0.1%
Cumulative Contribution170.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SIF170.3% 
Market (SPY)5.2%21.0%
Sector (XLI)9.9%25.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 114.2% change in SIF stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 104.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)93020254292026Change
Stock Price ($)7.0415.08114.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)84885.1%
P/S Multiple0.51.0104.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)66-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution114.2%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/30/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SIF114.2% 
Market (SPY)8.0%20.4%
Sector (XLI)10.9%23.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The 446.4% change in SIF stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 282.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120254292026Change
Stock Price ($)2.7615.08446.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)608845.9%
P/S Multiple0.31.0282.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)66-2.0%
Cumulative Contribution446.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2025 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SIF446.4% 
Market (SPY)29.3%19.9%
Sector (XLI)31.4%22.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 401.7% change in SIF stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 398.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)33120234292026Change
Stock Price ($)3.0115.08401.7%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)84884.8%
P/S Multiple0.21.0398.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)66-3.9%
Cumulative Contribution401.7%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

3/31/2023 to 4/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
SIF401.7% 
Market (SPY)81.5%12.3%
Sector (XLI)75.6%16.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
SIF Return-23%-67%110%-22%57%170%80%
Peers Return43%-7%35%-4%59%-11%144%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%4%90%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SIF Win Rate42%42%50%42%50%75% 
Peers Win Rate54%29%29%12%34%45% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SIF Max Drawdown-32%-67%0%-36%-34%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-14%-18%-1%-5%-25%-40% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-7% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, DFNS, MDA, MRLN.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/29/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSIFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven596.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,175 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-62.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven165.5%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven266 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-76.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven319.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven415 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-83.5%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven506.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,831 days1,480 days

Compare to FLY, ATRO, DFNS, MDA, MRLN

In The Past

SIFCO Industries's stock fell -85.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/22/2021. A -85.6% loss requires a 596.4% gain to breakeven.

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About SIFCO Industries (SIF)

SIFCO Industries, Inc. produces and sells forgings and machined components primarily for the aerospace and energy markets in North America and Europe. The company's processes and services include forging, heat-treating, and machining. It offers original equipment manufacturer and aftermarket components for aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines; steam turbine blades; structural airframe components; aircraft landing gear components; aircraft wheels and brakes; rotating components for helicopters; and commercial/industrial products. The company also provides heat-treatment, surface-treatment, non-destructive testing, and select machining and sub-assembly of forged components. SIFCO Industries, Inc. was founded in 1913 and is based in Cleveland, Ohio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for SIFCO Industries (SIF):

  • Think of SIFCO Industries like a highly specialized ATI (Allegheny Technologies Inc.), focusing on precision forged and machined metal components for aircraft engines and power generation turbines.
  • They're similar to a focused version of Parker Hannifin (PH), supplying critical, engineered metal components for aerospace and energy applications, rather than broader motion and control systems.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Aircraft and Industrial Gas Turbine Engine Components: Original equipment manufacturer and aftermarket parts for various aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines.
  • Steam Turbine Blades: Specialized components used in steam turbines.
  • Structural Airframe Components: Parts forming the framework and structure of aircraft.
  • Aircraft Landing Gear Components: Essential parts for aircraft landing systems.
  • Aircraft Wheels and Brakes: Components for aircraft wheel assemblies and braking systems.
  • Rotating Components for Helicopters: Specialized parts involved in the rotational systems of helicopters.
  • Commercial/Industrial Products: A broad range of products for diverse commercial and industrial applications.
  • Forging: The process of shaping metal using localized compressive forces.
  • Heat-treating: Thermal processes applied to metals to alter their physical and mechanical properties.
  • Machining: The process of removing material from a workpiece to achieve a desired shape, size, or surface finish.
  • Surface-treatment: Processes applied to modify the surface properties of components for improved performance or aesthetics.
  • Non-destructive Testing (NDT): Methods used to inspect components for defects or irregularities without damaging them.
  • Sub-assembly of Forged Components: The process of combining multiple forged parts into a larger, functional sub-unit.

AI Analysis | Feedback

SIFCO Industries (SIF) primarily sells its specialized forgings and machined components to other companies within the aerospace and energy sectors, rather than to individual consumers.

While SIFCO Industries does not publicly disclose the specific names of its major customers, its financial filings indicate a significant concentration of sales with a limited number of clients. For fiscal year 2022, approximately 37% of its net sales were derived from its two largest customers, which consisted of:

  • A major aerospace company
  • A major energy company

Beyond these two, SIFCO's top five customers accounted for approximately 52% of its net sales, and its top ten customers accounted for approximately 64% of its net sales in fiscal year 2022. These customers are typically leading Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and major suppliers within the global aerospace and energy industries, for whom SIFCO provides critical components for aircraft, industrial gas turbines, and steam turbines, among other applications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

George Scherff, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Scherff was appointed CEO of SIFCO Industries, Inc. effective July 8, 2024. He brings decades of experience leading middle-market organizations through periods of growth and transition. Prior to joining SIFCO, he served as CEO for Thermal Systems Manufacturing, Paradigm Packaging, Lund International, ABC Truck Body, and Hartzell Manufacturing following its merger with Continental Metal Specialties. Most recently, he worked as a consultant, providing services to various companies with a focus on operational improvement. Mr. Scherff holds a bachelor's degree from The Ohio State University and a master's degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Toledo.

Eric Shultz, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Shultz was appointed Chief Financial Officer of SIFCO Industries, Inc. effective February 20, 2026. He possesses over 25 years of experience in accounting and corporate finance, including previous CFO roles at Bowden Manufacturing Corp, Core Systems, LLC, and Homestead Capital, LLC. His expertise extends to the manufacturing and private equity sectors. Prior to his appointment as CFO, Mr. Shultz served as SIFCO's Director of Strategy and Administration.

Wendy Worthington, Vice President Of Human Resources

Ms. Worthington serves as the Vice President of Human Resources for SIFCO Industries Inc.

Michael Pierce, General Manager

Mr. Pierce holds the position of General Manager at SIFCO Industries Inc.

Payton Lewis, Director Of Quality Assurance

Mr. Lewis is the Director of Quality Assurance at SIFCO Industries Inc.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to SIFCO Industries (SIF) are:
  1. Cyclical Nature and Volatility of Aerospace and Energy Markets: SIFCO Industries' financial performance is heavily dependent on the aerospace and energy industries, which are inherently cyclical. Fluctuations in demand within these markets, driven by factors such as commercial airline recovery, government spending, and global economic conditions, can significantly impact the company's net sales and operating results.
  2. Customer Concentration: The company faces a significant risk due to its reliance on a limited number of large customers. For instance, in fiscal 2024, one direct customer accounted for 15% of consolidated net sales, and three customers (including their direct subcontractors) collectively made up 41% of net sales. The loss of sales from any of these key customers could have a materially adverse impact on SIFCO's business and income.
  3. Raw Material Sourcing, Cost Volatility, and Supply Chain Disruptions: SIFCO Industries frequently grapples with challenges related to securing specialty alloys and managing the fluctuating costs of raw materials. These issues directly affect the company's cost of goods sold, potentially compressing profit margins. Furthermore, general supply chain disruptions can hinder production and timely delivery, leaving potential revenue unrealized.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The emerging threat of advanced additive manufacturing (3D printing) of metal components poses a potential long-term challenge to SIFCO Industries' core business of producing forgings and machined parts. As additive manufacturing technologies mature, they offer the ability to produce complex geometries with reduced material waste, potentially shorter lead times, and lighter parts, which could disrupt demand for traditionally forged and machined components in aerospace and energy markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

SIFCO Industries, Inc. operates in several addressable markets, primarily focused on forgings and machined components for the aerospace and energy sectors. The market sizes for its main products and services are as follows:

Aerospace Forging Market

  • The global aerospace forging market was estimated at USD 26.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 36.0 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.5% from 2025 to 2030.
  • Another estimate indicates the global aerospace forging market was valued at USD 39.97 billion in 2025 and is likely to surpass USD 88.72 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of more than 8.3% during the forecast period of 2026-2035.
  • North America held the largest revenue share of 34.0% in the global aerospace forging market in 2024.

Aerospace Heat Treating Market

  • The global aerospace heat treating market size was valued at US$ 13,247.7 million (approximately USD 13.25 billion) in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 4.6% from 2024 to 2033.
  • Another source values the global aerospace heat treatment market at USD 1.4 billion in 2024, expecting it to reach USD 1.5 billion in 2025 and USD 2.0 billion in 2032, with a CAGR of 3.6% from 2025 to 2032.
  • North America generated the highest demand, holding more than 50% of the market share in 2024.

Industrial Gas Turbine Market

  • The global industrial gas turbine market was estimated at USD 7.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow from USD 7.8 billion in 2025 to USD 12.2 billion in 2034, at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2034.
  • Another report states the global industrial gas turbine market size was USD 9.55 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow from USD 9.85 billion in 2026 to USD 12.16 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.67%.
  • North America dominated the industrial gas turbine market with a market share of 30.84% in 2025.

Steam Turbine Blades Market

  • The global steam turbine blade market size is estimated at USD 6,500.00 million (USD 6.5 billion) in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 11,240.00 million (USD 11.24 billion) by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7% from 2025 to 2032.
  • Another projection for the global steam turbine blade market indicates a value of USD 6.8 billion in 2025, growing to USD 7.1 billion in 2026 and USD 9.5 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 3.7%.
  • The Asia-Pacific region is identified as the leading and fastest-growing market for steam turbine blades.

Aircraft Landing Gear Market

  • The global aircraft landing gear market was valued at USD 14.98 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow from USD 17.52 billion in 2026 to USD 38.21 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 10.2%.
  • North America dominated this market with a 30.77% share in 2025.
  • For the global commercial aircraft landing gear market specifically, it was valued at USD 10.5 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 19.2 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 6.67% from 2026 to 2034.

Aircraft Wheels and Brakes Market

  • The global aircraft wheels & brakes market size is projected to reach US$ 15.40 billion by 2031 from US$ 8.22 billion in 2023, registering a CAGR of 8.2% during 2023–2031.
  • Another source projects the global aircraft wheels brakes market to increase from USD 11.29 billion in 2025 to USD 16.12 billion by 2031 at a 6.12% CAGR.
  • Asia Pacific dominated the market in 2023, followed by North America and Europe. North America is also reported as currently leading the market.

Helicopter Rotating Components (Blades) Market

  • The global helicopter rotor blades market size is projected to grow from an estimated value of USD 1.5 billion in 2023 to approximately USD 2.4 billion by 2032, registering a CAGR of 5.5%.
  • The broader global rotorcraft blade system market was valued at USD 2.32 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 2.99 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 3.2% between 2025 and 2032.
  • North America held a commanding 34.6% share of the global rotorcraft blade system market in 2024.

Non-Destructive Testing (NDT) Market

  • The global non-destructive testing and inspection market size is forecast to increase by USD 5.96 billion at a CAGR of 7.1% between 2023 and 2028.
  • The overall non-destructive testing market was valued at USD 10.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10.8% between 2024 and 2032.
  • Specifically, the global aerospace NDT market is projected to reach approximately USD 3.65 billion by 2034, up from USD 1.84 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 7.10% over the forecast period.
  • North America continues to dominate the global aerospace NDT landscape, accounting for over 40.3% of total market share in 2024.

AI Analysis | Feedback

SIFCO Industries (SIF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key factors:

  1. Growing Order Backlog and Recovery in Commercial Aerospace: SIFCO has consistently reported a strong and expanding order backlog, indicating robust future revenue visibility. This growth is significantly supported by the ongoing recovery and stabilization of the commercial aerospace market, including aftermarket demand, which translates into higher demand for SIFCO’s components. For example, SIFCO's total backlog increased to $114.4 million as of September 30, 2024, compared with $97.4 million in the prior year, with orders for fiscal year 2025 scheduled for $85.0 million. The backlog further increased to $129.2 million by the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2025.
  2. Robust Demand in the Military Aerospace and Defense Sector: The company benefits from stable and strong demand within the military aerospace and defense sector. SIFCO’s strategic plan aims to maintain a balance of military and commercial aerospace revenues. This sector continues to show strong demand for its engineered forgings and machined components, contributing significantly to the growing backlog.
  3. Expansion and Growth in the Commercial Space Market: SIFCO has identified the commercial space market as a significant driver of growth. The company reported triple-digit revenue growth and improved margins in this market in fiscal year 2024, a trend anticipated to continue. This positioning to better serve increasing demand in the commercial space market is a key area for future revenue expansion.
  4. Strategic Refocus on Core U.S. Aerospace Forging Business: The divestiture of its European operations in October 2024 was a strategic move to streamline operations and concentrate resources on the higher-growth domestic aerospace forging business. This focused approach allows SIFCO to dedicate capital and attention entirely to its U.S. forging operations, which serve the robust aerospace and defense markets.
  5. New Product Development and Technological Advancements: SIFCO continues to invest in the development of new alloys and applications, leading to new product awards. In fiscal year 2024, SIFCO was awarded forty-five new products, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing its offerings and expanding its market reach. This pipeline of new products is a key strategy to mitigate cyclical business trends and support future revenue streams.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • On January 5, 2026, SIFCO Industries, Inc. awarded 10,000 restricted shares of common stock to its Chief Financial Officer as part of his equity compensation, with restrictions set to lapse on the day preceding the three-year anniversary of the award date.

Capital Expenditures

  • For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2025, SIFCO Industries incurred capital expenditures of $0.6 million.
  • Operating cash flow of $0.21 million for the same trailing twelve months barely covered these capital expenditures.
  • At the end of fiscal year 2025, the company had a customer backlog of $119.2 million, indicating a focus on increasing production to meet future customer demand.

Better Bets vs. SIFCO Industries (SIF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleDate
0DASHBOARDS 
1SIFCO Industries Earnings Notes12/16/2025
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SIF.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
NSP_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026NSPInsperityInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
TNC_3312026_Insider_Buying_45D_2Buy_200K03312026TNCTennantInsiderInsider Buys 45DStrong Insider Buying
Companies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days
0.0%0.0%0.0%
ADP_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.0%1.0%0.0%
HURN_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026HURNHuron ConsultingDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.0%4.0%0.0%
TRU_3272026_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield03272026TRUTransUnionDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SIFFLYATRODFNSMDAMRLNMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsT3 Defen.MDA SpaceMerlin  
Mkt Price15.0833.4966.990.4529.108.6222.09
Mkt Cap0.15.32.40.0--1.2
Rev LTM8816086201,633-160
Op Inc LTM5-26176-28158-5
FCF LTM12-23843-6132-12
FCF 3Y Avg-1-11-6187-5
CFO LTM12-20575-6408-12
CFO 3Y Avg1-27-6411-14

Growth & Margins

SIFFLYATRODFNSMDAMRLNMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsT3 Defen.MDA SpaceMerlin  
Rev Chg LTM3.4%163.0%8.4%100.0%51.2%-51.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.9%-17.5%-9.2%37.0%-11.2%
Rev Chg Q14.8%538.4%15.1%-44.0%-29.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.6%43.7%3.8%-10.3%-7.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM236.2%-25.5%188.7%-234.9%47.8%-47.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg106.5%-254.4%-91.6%29.8%-68.1%
Op Mgn LTM5.3%-163.1%8.9%-9.7%-7.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-5.4%-3.7%-9.7%-3.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM5.1%63.9%2.9%--0.2%-4.0%
CFO/Rev LTM13.7%-128.2%8.7%-25.0%-11.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-0.5%-3.0%-34.0%-3.0%
FCF/Rev LTM13.1%-148.7%5.0%-8.1%-6.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-2.6%-1.1%-14.0%-1.1%

Valuation

SIFFLYATRODFNSMDAMRLNMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsT3 Defen.MDA SpaceMerlin  
Mkt Cap0.15.32.40.0--1.2
P/S1.033.42.8---2.8
P/Op Inc19.7-20.531.3-0.3--9.7
P/EBIT16.9-17.031.20.1--8.5
P/E27.1-17.981.40.1--13.6
P/CFO7.6-26.031.9-1.4--3.1
Total Yield3.7%-5.6%1.2%895.1%--2.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.7%-0.3%----4.2%
D/E0.20.10.20.3--0.2
Net D/E0.2-0.10.2-0.2--0.0

Returns

SIFFLYATRODFNSMDAMRLNMedian
NameSIFCO In.Firefly .AstronicsT3 Defen.MDA SpaceMerlin  
1M Rtn24.1%41.8%7.5%-38.2%23.3%7.7%15.5%
3M Rtn132.0%16.0%-12.5%-81.3%-5.5%-63.3%-9.0%
6M Rtn105.2%33.7%34.5%-87.8%-5.5%-63.3%14.1%
12M Rtn460.6%-44.5%195.9%-87.8%-5.5%-63.3%-25.0%
3Y Rtn558.5%-44.5%354.5%-87.8%-5.5%-63.3%-25.0%
1M Excs Rtn11.6%29.3%-5.0%-50.7%10.8%-4.7%3.0%
3M Excs Rtn129.7%13.8%-14.8%-83.6%-7.8%-65.6%-11.3%
6M Excs Rtn101.4%18.0%28.6%-91.6%-9.3%-67.1%4.4%
12M Excs Rtn433.6%-73.6%174.7%-116.8%-34.6%-92.4%-54.1%
3Y Excs Rtn386.0%-117.0%254.5%-160.3%-78.0%-135.8%-97.5%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Single Segment8066   
Commercial products and other revenue  111413
Energy components for power generation units  172017
Fixed wing aircraft  393852
Rotorcraft  162731
Total806684100114


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$15.08 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date03/17/1980 
Distance from 52W High-5.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$13.65$8.20
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA10.4%84.0%
 3M1YR
Volatility123.5%84.3%
Downside Capture-0.13-0.19
Upside Capture334.55176.62
Correlation (SPY)20.7%22.3%
SIF Betas & Captures as of 3/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta3.882.321.951.330.800.51
Up Beta0.58-5.14-3.04-0.120.450.37
Down Beta4.246.794.602.911.460.89
Up Capture623%680%608%229%204%39%
Bmk +ve Days7162765139424
Stock +ve Days8223664128352
Down Capture270%-95%-101%21%-16%32%
Bmk -ve Days12233358110323
Stock -ve Days14202661119357

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SIF
SIF509.6%84.0%2.51-
Sector ETF (XLI)33.2%15.2%1.6822.4%
Equity (SPY)31.5%12.5%1.9321.3%
Gold (GLD)35.2%27.2%1.093.4%
Commodities (DBC)46.7%18.1%1.99-0.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.8%13.4%0.6511.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-19.6%42.1%-0.407.0%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SIF
SIF4.3%68.7%0.35-
Sector ETF (XLI)12.8%17.3%0.5813.0%
Equity (SPY)13.1%17.1%0.6010.1%
Gold (GLD)20.1%17.8%0.923.3%
Commodities (DBC)14.6%19.1%0.632.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.8%0.088.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.1%56.2%0.364.2%

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Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with SIF
SIF6.6%73.0%0.39-
Sector ETF (XLI)13.6%19.9%0.6010.2%
Equity (SPY)14.9%17.9%0.718.9%
Gold (GLD)13.4%15.9%0.703.2%
Commodities (DBC)9.6%17.7%0.455.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.5%20.7%0.237.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)67.5%66.9%1.075.1%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date4152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity0.0 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 3312026-9.5%
Average Daily Volume0.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity6.1 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares0.5%

Earnings Returns History

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 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
12/22/2025-2.2%-18.7%-2.3%
8/14/202519.0%21.1%29.5%
5/15/2025-3.2%-3.9%17.7%
12/26/202418.3%22.0%22.1%
8/12/20246.5%14.8%38.2%
5/9/2024-5.1%-0.3%1.5%
1/2/2024-3.0%-16.4%-14.9%
9/28/202311.9%25.1%52.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive9812
# Negative9106
Median Positive13.7%21.6%25.8%
Median Negative-3.2%-9.1%-17.8%
Max Positive88.0%115.4%158.5%
Max Negative-22.5%-28.7%-24.1%

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202502/11/202610-Q
09/30/202512/22/202510-K
06/30/202508/14/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-Q
12/31/202402/14/202510-Q
09/30/202412/26/202410-K
06/30/202408/12/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
09/30/202301/02/202410-K
06/30/202309/28/202310-Q
03/31/202308/14/202310-Q
12/31/202207/06/202310-Q
09/30/202212/23/202210-K
06/30/202208/15/202210-Q
03/31/202205/05/202210-Q
12/31/202102/04/202210-Q