SIFCO Industries (SIF)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $22.0 | Market Cap: $134.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense
SIFCO Industries (SIF)
Market Price (6/20/2026): $22.0Market Cap: $134.9 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Aerospace & Defense
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% | Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 241%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 521% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 277% Key risksSIF key risks include [1] ongoing supply chain constraints that prevent the company from converting strong demand into revenue and [2] significant customer concentration. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Advanced Air Mobility, Commercial Space Exploration, Show more. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is 0.0%, Dist 3Y High is 0.0% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly6M Rtn6 month market price return is 241%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 521% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 277% |
| Key risksSIF key risks include [1] ongoing supply chain constraints that prevent the company from converting strong demand into revenue and [2] significant customer concentration. |
Qualitative Assessment
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SIFCO Industries (SIF) stock has gained about 60% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. SIFCO Industries achieved a significant financial turnaround, swinging from losses to strong profitability in fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026.
The company reported net income from continuing operations of $1.8 million ($0.29 per diluted share) in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended December 31, 2025), a substantial improvement from a $2.4 million net loss in the prior year's first quarter. This positive trend accelerated in fiscal Q2 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), with net income from continuing operations reaching $2.7 million ($0.43 per diluted share), compared to a $1.3 million net loss in fiscal Q2 2025. For the first half of fiscal 2026, net income from continuing operations totaled $4.4 million ($0.72 per diluted share), a reversal from a $3.7 million loss in the same period of fiscal 2025.
2. The company experienced robust revenue growth and improved operational efficiency.
Net sales increased by 8% to $24.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026 and surged by 39.0% to $26.4 million in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by higher volumes and better pricing. This performance resulted in a 26.3% increase in net sales for the first half of fiscal 2026, reaching $50.4 million. Improved gross profit, with the cost of goods sold dropping to 78.5% of sales in the first half of fiscal 2026 from 93.7% a year earlier, also contributed to the enhanced financial results.
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SIFCO Industries (SIF) stock has gained about 60% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. SIFCO Industries achieved a significant financial turnaround, swinging from losses to strong profitability in fiscal Q1 and Q2 2026.
The company reported net income from continuing operations of $1.8 million ($0.29 per diluted share) in fiscal Q1 2026 (ended December 31, 2025), a substantial improvement from a $2.4 million net loss in the prior year's first quarter. This positive trend accelerated in fiscal Q2 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), with net income from continuing operations reaching $2.7 million ($0.43 per diluted share), compared to a $1.3 million net loss in fiscal Q2 2025. For the first half of fiscal 2026, net income from continuing operations totaled $4.4 million ($0.72 per diluted share), a reversal from a $3.7 million loss in the same period of fiscal 2025.
2. The company experienced robust revenue growth and improved operational efficiency.
Net sales increased by 8% to $24.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026 and surged by 39.0% to $26.4 million in fiscal Q2 2026, driven by higher volumes and better pricing. This performance resulted in a 26.3% increase in net sales for the first half of fiscal 2026, reaching $50.4 million. Improved gross profit, with the cost of goods sold dropping to 78.5% of sales in the first half of fiscal 2026 from 93.7% a year earlier, also contributed to the enhanced financial results.
3. A growing backlog, particularly from military aerospace programs, signals sustained demand.
SIFCO's total backlog grew to $157.7 million as of March 31, 2026, up from $129.2 million in fiscal 2025. This increase was primarily fueled by strong demand in the aerospace sector, specifically from military rotorcraft and munitions programs, alongside a general recovery in commercial aerospace.
4. Reduced debt and positive operating cash flow strengthened SIFCO's financial position.
Operating cash flow turned positive, reaching a robust $8.1 million in fiscal Q1 2026 and providing $5.2 million of cash in the first half of fiscal 2026, a significant improvement from a $1.0 million use in the prior year. This positive cash generation allowed for a reduction in total debt outstanding to $5.1 million as of March 31, 2026, down from $10.6 million at September 30, 2025.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 61.9% change in SIF stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 102.6% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 2282026 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 13.99 | 22.65 | 61.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 88 | 95 | 8.4% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.8% | 7.8% | 102.6% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.2 | 18.7 | -25.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | -0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 61.9% |
Market Drivers
2/28/2026 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIF | 61.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.2% | 41.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 2.4% | 27.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 260.1% change in SIF stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 219.3% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 6.29 | 22.65 | 260.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 84 | 95 | 13.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 1.5 | 219.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 260.1% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIF | 260.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 24.6% |
| Sector (XLI) | 18.4% | 23.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 622.5% change in SIF stock from 5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 539.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312025 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 3.13 | 22.65 | 622.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 84 | 95 | 14.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 1.5 | 539.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | -1.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 622.5% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2025 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIF | 622.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 24.2% |
| Sector (XLI) | 28.4% | 22.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 788.2% change in SIF stock from 5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026 was primarily driven by a 720.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 5312023 | 6192026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.55 | 22.65 | 788.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 84 | 95 | 13.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 1.5 | 720.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 6 | 6 | -4.7% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 788.2% |
Market Drivers
5/31/2023 to 6/19/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| SIF | 788.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 85.7% | 14.0% |
| Sector (XLI) | 95.3% | 17.5% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| SIF Return | -23% | -67% | 110% | -22% | 57% | 284% | 155% |
| Peers Return | -9% | -14% | 69% | -8% | 88% | 14% | 160% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 8% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| SIF Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 50% | 42% | 50% | 83% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 58% | 25% | 52% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| SIF Max Drawdown | -62% | -72% | -39% | -45% | -40% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -51% | -48% | -35% | -33% | -24% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: FLY, ATRO, AADX, ARXS, AVEX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/18/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | SIF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -38.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1022 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -43.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 732 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1295 days | 6 days |
In The Past
SIFCO Industries's stock fell -28.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.6% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | SIF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -28.9% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.6% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 22 days | 79 days |
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -38.1% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 61.5% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 36 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -56.0% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.4% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1022 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -56.1% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 127.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 266 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -43.0% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 75.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 732 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.7% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1295 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -40.3% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 67.5% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1873 days | 62 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.7% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 141 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -77.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 337.8% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 855 days | 1085 days |
| Summer 2007 Credit Crunch | ||
| % Loss | -31.0% | -8.6% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 44.8% | 9.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 47 days |
In The Past
SIFCO Industries's stock fell -28.9% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 40.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About SIFCO Industries (SIF)
SIFCO Industries, Inc. (SIF) is a specialized manufacturer and service provider focusing on producing high-quality forgings and precisely machined components. The company's core capabilities encompass forging, heat-treating, and machining various metals. Additionally, SIFCO provides essential ancillary services such as surface-treatment, non-destructive testing, and select sub-assembly of forged components, ensuring comprehensive support for its customers.
These critical components are primarily supplied to the demanding aerospace and energy markets across North America and Europe. For the aerospace sector, SIFCO manufactures original equipment manufacturer (OEM) and aftermarket parts for aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines, structural airframe components, landing gear, wheels, brakes, and helicopter rotating parts. Within the energy market, the company produces vital components like steam turbine blades and parts for industrial gas turbine engines, highlighting its role in critical infrastructure.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for SIFCO Industries (SIF):
- Think of SIFCO Industries like a highly specialized ATI (Allegheny Technologies Inc.), focusing on precision forged and machined metal components for aircraft engines and power generation turbines.
- They're similar to a focused version of Parker Hannifin (PH), supplying critical, engineered metal components for aerospace and energy applications, rather than broader motion and control systems.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Aircraft and Industrial Gas Turbine Engine Components: Original equipment manufacturer and aftermarket parts for various aircraft and industrial gas turbine engines.
- Steam Turbine Blades: Specialized components used in steam turbines.
- Structural Airframe Components: Parts forming the framework and structure of aircraft.
- Aircraft Landing Gear Components: Essential parts for aircraft landing systems.
- Aircraft Wheels and Brakes: Components for aircraft wheel assemblies and braking systems.
- Rotating Components for Helicopters: Specialized parts involved in the rotational systems of helicopters.
- Commercial/Industrial Products: A broad range of products for diverse commercial and industrial applications.
- Forging: The process of shaping metal using localized compressive forces.
- Heat-treating: Thermal processes applied to metals to alter their physical and mechanical properties.
- Machining: The process of removing material from a workpiece to achieve a desired shape, size, or surface finish.
- Surface-treatment: Processes applied to modify the surface properties of components for improved performance or aesthetics.
- Non-destructive Testing (NDT): Methods used to inspect components for defects or irregularities without damaging them.
- Sub-assembly of Forged Components: The process of combining multiple forged parts into a larger, functional sub-unit.
AI Analysis | Feedback
SIFCO Industries (SIF) primarily sells its specialized forgings and machined components to other companies within the aerospace and energy sectors, rather than to individual consumers.
While SIFCO Industries does not publicly disclose the specific names of its major customers, its financial filings indicate a significant concentration of sales with a limited number of clients. For fiscal year 2022, approximately 37% of its net sales were derived from its two largest customers, which consisted of:
- A major aerospace company
- A major energy company
Beyond these two, SIFCO's top five customers accounted for approximately 52% of its net sales, and its top ten customers accounted for approximately 64% of its net sales in fiscal year 2022. These customers are typically leading Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) and major suppliers within the global aerospace and energy industries, for whom SIFCO provides critical components for aircraft, industrial gas turbines, and steam turbines, among other applications.
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George Scherff, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Scherff was appointed CEO of SIFCO Industries, Inc. effective July 8, 2024. He brings decades of experience leading middle-market organizations through periods of growth and transition. Prior to joining SIFCO, he served as CEO for Thermal Systems Manufacturing, Paradigm Packaging, Lund International, ABC Truck Body, and Hartzell Manufacturing following its merger with Continental Metal Specialties. Most recently, he worked as a consultant, providing services to various companies with a focus on operational improvement. Mr. Scherff holds a bachelor's degree from The Ohio State University and a master's degree in mechanical engineering from the University of Toledo.
Eric Shultz, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. Shultz was appointed Chief Financial Officer of SIFCO Industries, Inc. effective February 20, 2026. He possesses over 25 years of experience in accounting and corporate finance, including previous CFO roles at Bowden Manufacturing Corp, Core Systems, LLC, and Homestead Capital, LLC. His expertise extends to the manufacturing and private equity sectors. Prior to his appointment as CFO, Mr. Shultz served as SIFCO's Director of Strategy and Administration.
Wendy Worthington, Vice President Of Human Resources
Ms. Worthington serves as the Vice President of Human Resources for SIFCO Industries Inc.
Michael Pierce, General Manager
Mr. Pierce holds the position of General Manager at SIFCO Industries Inc.
Payton Lewis, Director Of Quality Assurance
Mr. Lewis is the Director of Quality Assurance at SIFCO Industries Inc.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Cyclical Nature and Volatility of Aerospace and Energy Markets: SIFCO Industries' financial performance is heavily dependent on the aerospace and energy industries, which are inherently cyclical. Fluctuations in demand within these markets, driven by factors such as commercial airline recovery, government spending, and global economic conditions, can significantly impact the company's net sales and operating results.
- Customer Concentration: The company faces a significant risk due to its reliance on a limited number of large customers. For instance, in fiscal 2024, one direct customer accounted for 15% of consolidated net sales, and three customers (including their direct subcontractors) collectively made up 41% of net sales. The loss of sales from any of these key customers could have a materially adverse impact on SIFCO's business and income.
- Raw Material Sourcing, Cost Volatility, and Supply Chain Disruptions: SIFCO Industries frequently grapples with challenges related to securing specialty alloys and managing the fluctuating costs of raw materials. These issues directly affect the company's cost of goods sold, potentially compressing profit margins. Furthermore, general supply chain disruptions can hinder production and timely delivery, leaving potential revenue unrealized.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The emerging threat of advanced additive manufacturing (3D printing) of metal components poses a potential long-term challenge to SIFCO Industries' core business of producing forgings and machined parts. As additive manufacturing technologies mature, they offer the ability to produce complex geometries with reduced material waste, potentially shorter lead times, and lighter parts, which could disrupt demand for traditionally forged and machined components in aerospace and energy markets.
AI Analysis | Feedback
SIFCO Industries, Inc. operates in several addressable markets, primarily focused on forgings and machined components for the aerospace and energy sectors. The market sizes for its main products and services are as follows:
Aerospace Forging Market
- The global aerospace forging market was estimated at USD 26.3 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 36.0 billion by 2030, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 5.5% from 2025 to 2030.
- Another estimate indicates the global aerospace forging market was valued at USD 39.97 billion in 2025 and is likely to surpass USD 88.72 billion by 2035, expanding at a CAGR of more than 8.3% during the forecast period of 2026-2035.
- North America held the largest revenue share of 34.0% in the global aerospace forging market in 2024.
Aerospace Heat Treating Market
- The global aerospace heat treating market size was valued at US$ 13,247.7 million (approximately USD 13.25 billion) in 2024 and is estimated to grow at a CAGR of 4.6% from 2024 to 2033.
- Another source values the global aerospace heat treatment market at USD 1.4 billion in 2024, expecting it to reach USD 1.5 billion in 2025 and USD 2.0 billion in 2032, with a CAGR of 3.6% from 2025 to 2032.
- North America generated the highest demand, holding more than 50% of the market share in 2024.
Industrial Gas Turbine Market
- The global industrial gas turbine market was estimated at USD 7.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow from USD 7.8 billion in 2025 to USD 12.2 billion in 2034, at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2025 to 2034.
- Another report states the global industrial gas turbine market size was USD 9.55 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow from USD 9.85 billion in 2026 to USD 12.16 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 2.67%.
- North America dominated the industrial gas turbine market with a market share of 30.84% in 2025.
Steam Turbine Blades Market
- The global steam turbine blade market size is estimated at USD 6,500.00 million (USD 6.5 billion) in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 11,240.00 million (USD 11.24 billion) by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7% from 2025 to 2032.
- Another projection for the global steam turbine blade market indicates a value of USD 6.8 billion in 2025, growing to USD 7.1 billion in 2026 and USD 9.5 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 3.7%.
- The Asia-Pacific region is identified as the leading and fastest-growing market for steam turbine blades.
Aircraft Landing Gear Market
- The global aircraft landing gear market was valued at USD 14.98 billion in 2025. It is projected to grow from USD 17.52 billion in 2026 to USD 38.21 billion by 2034, exhibiting a CAGR of 10.2%.
- North America dominated this market with a 30.77% share in 2025.
- For the global commercial aircraft landing gear market specifically, it was valued at USD 10.5 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 19.2 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 6.67% from 2026 to 2034.
Aircraft Wheels and Brakes Market
- The global aircraft wheels & brakes market size is projected to reach US$ 15.40 billion by 2031 from US$ 8.22 billion in 2023, registering a CAGR of 8.2% during 2023–2031.
- Another source projects the global aircraft wheels brakes market to increase from USD 11.29 billion in 2025 to USD 16.12 billion by 2031 at a 6.12% CAGR.
- Asia Pacific dominated the market in 2023, followed by North America and Europe. North America is also reported as currently leading the market.
Helicopter Rotating Components (Blades) Market
- The global helicopter rotor blades market size is projected to grow from an estimated value of USD 1.5 billion in 2023 to approximately USD 2.4 billion by 2032, registering a CAGR of 5.5%.
- The broader global rotorcraft blade system market was valued at USD 2.32 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 2.99 billion by 2032, expanding at a CAGR of 3.2% between 2025 and 2032.
- North America held a commanding 34.6% share of the global rotorcraft blade system market in 2024.
Non-Destructive Testing (NDT) Market
- The global non-destructive testing and inspection market size is forecast to increase by USD 5.96 billion at a CAGR of 7.1% between 2023 and 2028.
- The overall non-destructive testing market was valued at USD 10.7 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 10.8% between 2024 and 2032.
- Specifically, the global aerospace NDT market is projected to reach approximately USD 3.65 billion by 2034, up from USD 1.84 billion in 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 7.10% over the forecast period.
- North America continues to dominate the global aerospace NDT landscape, accounting for over 40.3% of total market share in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
SIFCO Industries (SIF) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key factors:
- Growing Order Backlog and Recovery in Commercial Aerospace: SIFCO has consistently reported a strong and expanding order backlog, indicating robust future revenue visibility. This growth is significantly supported by the ongoing recovery and stabilization of the commercial aerospace market, including aftermarket demand, which translates into higher demand for SIFCO’s components. For example, SIFCO's total backlog increased to $114.4 million as of September 30, 2024, compared with $97.4 million in the prior year, with orders for fiscal year 2025 scheduled for $85.0 million. The backlog further increased to $129.2 million by the end of the second quarter of fiscal year 2025.
- Robust Demand in the Military Aerospace and Defense Sector: The company benefits from stable and strong demand within the military aerospace and defense sector. SIFCO’s strategic plan aims to maintain a balance of military and commercial aerospace revenues. This sector continues to show strong demand for its engineered forgings and machined components, contributing significantly to the growing backlog.
- Expansion and Growth in the Commercial Space Market: SIFCO has identified the commercial space market as a significant driver of growth. The company reported triple-digit revenue growth and improved margins in this market in fiscal year 2024, a trend anticipated to continue. This positioning to better serve increasing demand in the commercial space market is a key area for future revenue expansion.
- Strategic Refocus on Core U.S. Aerospace Forging Business: The divestiture of its European operations in October 2024 was a strategic move to streamline operations and concentrate resources on the higher-growth domestic aerospace forging business. This focused approach allows SIFCO to dedicate capital and attention entirely to its U.S. forging operations, which serve the robust aerospace and defense markets.
- New Product Development and Technological Advancements: SIFCO continues to invest in the development of new alloys and applications, leading to new product awards. In fiscal year 2024, SIFCO was awarded forty-five new products, demonstrating a commitment to enhancing its offerings and expanding its market reach. This pipeline of new products is a key strategy to mitigate cyclical business trends and support future revenue streams.
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Share Issuance
- On January 5, 2026, SIFCO Industries, Inc. awarded 10,000 restricted shares of common stock to its Chief Financial Officer as part of his equity compensation, with restrictions set to lapse on the day preceding the three-year anniversary of the award date.
Capital Expenditures
- For the trailing twelve months ending June 30, 2025, SIFCO Industries incurred capital expenditures of $0.6 million.
- Operating cash flow of $0.21 million for the same trailing twelve months barely covered these capital expenditures.
- At the end of fiscal year 2025, the company had a customer backlog of $119.2 million, indicating a focus on increasing production to meet future customer demand.
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.80 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.9 |
| Rev LTM | 185 |
| Op Inc LTM | 8 |
| FCF LTM | 6 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 8 |
| CFO LTM | 6 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 18 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 14.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 12.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 39.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 8.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 138.6% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 375.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 8.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 0.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.6% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturer of forgings and machined components for the aerospace and energy (A&E) defense, and | 85 | 80 | 66 | ||
| Commercial products and other revenue | 11 | 14 | |||
| Energy components for power generation units | 17 | 20 | |||
| Fixed wing aircraft | 39 | 38 | |||
| Rotorcraft | 16 | 27 | |||
| Total | 85 | 80 | 66 | 84 | 100 |
| $ Mil | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forged Components Group | 13 | 13 | |||
| Applied Surface Concepts Group | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Turbine Component Services and Repair Group | -1 | -0 | -0 | 0 | |
| Corporate | -3 | -3 | -2 | -2 | |
| Aerospace Component Manufacturing Group | 10 | 13 | |||
| Aerospace Component | 10 | ||||
| Turbine Component Services | 1 | ||||
| Total | 9 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 12 |
| $ Mil | 2012 | 2011 | 2010 | 2009 | 2007 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forged Components Group | 85 | 58 | |||
| Corporate | 12 | 12 | 27 | 27 | |
| Applied Surface Concepts Group | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 |
| Turbine Component Services and Repair Group | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | |
| Aerospace Component Manufacturing Group | 32 | 28 | |||
| Aerospace Component | 35 | ||||
| Turbine Component Services | 11 | ||||
| Total | 107 | 80 | 70 | 66 | 53 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $22.65 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/17/1980 | |
| Distance from 52W High | 0.0% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $17.82 | $10.57 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | 27.1% | 114.2% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 91.3% | 88.1% |
| Downside Capture | 242.36 | -11.75 |
| Upside Capture | 276.97 | 206.00 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 38.2% | 23.9% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 3.57 | 2.28 | 2.82 | 1.91 | 1.71 | 0.62 |
| Up Beta | 3.58 | 1.52 | 2.03 | 0.93 | 1.87 | 0.51 |
| Down Beta | 1.81 | 2.22 | 2.71 | 2.72 | 3.07 | 0.87 |
| Up Capture | 444% | 326% | 454% | 549% | 402% | 76% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 13 | 28 | 36 | 67 | 141 | 432 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 22 | 30 | 66 | 130 | 356 |
| Down Capture | 316% | 244% | 255% | 66% | -5% | 39% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 13 | 27 | 57 | 109 | 318 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 18 | 32 | 56 | 116 | 354 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SIF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIF | 574.4% | 87.6% | 2.56 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 28.7% | 16.2% | 1.38 | 22.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 26.5% | 12.4% | 1.61 | 23.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 24.2% | 27.5% | 0.77 | 6.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 19.8% | 18.8% | 0.83 | -3.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 11.0% | 13.7% | 0.52 | 15.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -40.0% | 42.5% | -1.08 | 10.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SIF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIF | 23.9% | 69.3% | 0.61 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 13.5% | 17.5% | 0.61 | 13.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 13.5% | 17.1% | 0.62 | 11.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 17.1% | 18.3% | 0.76 | 4.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 19.4% | 0.29 | 4.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.9% | 18.9% | 0.00 | 9.5% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.0% | 54.2% | 0.40 | 3.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with SIF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SIF | 11.0% | 73.8% | 0.45 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLI) | 14.2% | 20.0% | 0.62 | 10.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 18.0% | 0.73 | 9.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 12.3% | 16.1% | 0.63 | 3.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 5.9% | 18.0% | 0.26 | 6.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.3% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 7.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 60.0% | 66.8% | 1.00 | 5.1% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 6/11/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/8/2026 | 27.7% | 18.6% | 32.9% |
| 2/11/2026 | 35.7% | 68.7% | 117.6% |
| 12/22/2025 | -2.2% | -18.7% | -2.3% |
| 8/14/2025 | 19.0% | 21.1% | 29.5% |
| 5/15/2025 | -3.2% | -3.9% | 17.7% |
| 2/14/2025 | -10.6% | -13.9% | -21.0% |
| 12/26/2024 | 18.3% | 22.0% | 22.1% |
| 8/12/2024 | 6.5% | 14.8% | 38.2% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 13.7% | 19.9% | 22.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -8.4% | -15.6% |
| Max Positive | 35.7% | 68.7% | 117.6% |
| Max Negative | -22.5% | -28.7% | -24.1% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/8/2026 | 27.7% | 18.6% | 32.9% |
| 2/11/2026 | 35.7% | 68.7% | 117.6% |
| 12/22/2025 | -2.2% | -18.7% | -2.3% |
| 8/14/2025 | 19.0% | 21.1% | 29.5% |
| 5/15/2025 | -3.2% | -3.9% | 17.7% |
| 2/14/2025 | -10.6% | -13.9% | -21.0% |
| 12/26/2024 | 18.3% | 22.0% | 22.1% |
| 8/12/2024 | 6.5% | 14.8% | 38.2% |
| 5/9/2024 | -5.1% | -0.3% | 1.5% |
| 2/14/2024 | -15.2% | -13.2% | -10.4% |
| 9/28/2023 | 11.9% | 25.1% | 52.0% |
| 7/6/2023 | 6.2% | 2.5% | 5.0% |
| 12/23/2022 | -3.1% | -4.2% | 30.3% |
| 8/15/2022 | 2.0% | -3.8% | -7.9% |
| 5/5/2022 | -0.6% | -8.4% | 2.4% |
| 2/4/2022 | -4.1% | -1.0% | 17.2% |
| 12/10/2021 | -9.8% | -28.7% | -22.9% |
| 8/6/2021 | -5.2% | -9.8% | -20.7% |
| 5/6/2021 | -22.5% | -23.3% | -24.1% |
| 2/5/2021 | -1.2% | -7.6% | -4.7% |
| 8/6/2020 | 13.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 8 | 13 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 13.7% | 19.9% | 22.1% |
| Median Negative | -4.6% | -8.4% | -15.6% |
| Max Positive | 35.7% | 68.7% | 117.6% |
| Max Negative | -22.5% | -28.7% | -24.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 12/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 12/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 01/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 09/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 07/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/23/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/11/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 12/22/2025 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/14/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 12/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 01/02/2024 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2023 | 09/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 08/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 07/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 12/23/2022 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2021 | 12/10/2021 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2020 | 12/23/2020 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/12/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 02/18/2020 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2019 | 12/16/2019 | 10-K |
| 06/30/2019 | 08/16/2019 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2019 | 05/10/2019 | 10-Q |
Industry Resources
| Industrials Resources |
| IndustryWeek |
| Manufacturing.net |
| Aviation Week |
| Aerospace & Defense Resources |
| Defense News |
| FlightGlobal |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.