Tearsheet

DEFSEC Technologies (DFSC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $3.34 | Market Cap: $2.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

DEFSEC Technologies (DFSC)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $3.34
Market Cap: $2.1 Mil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 166%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -209%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Autonomous Technologies, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -212%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -216%
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 166%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Cybersecurity, Autonomous Technologies, and Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Network Security, Show more.
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -8.6 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -209%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -212%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -216%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DFSC Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

DEFSEC Technologies (DFSC) experienced a stock movement of approximately -7.6% during the period from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025, with a notable -7.25% drop recorded as of December 8, 2025. Several factors contributed to this negative performance: 1. Negative Forecasts and Technical Sell Signals. As of December 12, 2025, the stock received a negative evaluation, with expectations for continued weak performance and a forecast to fall by -9.14% over the subsequent three months. Furthermore, the stock exhibited sell signals from both short-term and long-term Moving Averages, reinforcing a negative outlook.

2. Operational Income Shortfall. Despite positive news regarding defense contract wins and significant revenue growth reported for Q3 2025 (around October 31, 2025), the company's financial health was undermined by operational costs that exceeded profits, resulting in an approximate $1.8 million operating income shortfall. This financial underperformance likely weighed on investor sentiment.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DFSC Return
Peers Return-9%-11%75%109%90%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DFSC Win Rate20% 
Peers Win Rate62%42%47%68%67%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DFSC Max Drawdown 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-38%-3%-8%-17% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AXON, AVAV, CACI, KTOS, PLTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

DFSC has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-22.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven29.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven273 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.8%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven232 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-24.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven312 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-63.3%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven172.8%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1463 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -22.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/4/2022. A -22.6% loss requires a 29.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About DEFSEC Technologies (DFSC)

Better Bets than DEFSEC Technologies (DFSC)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DFSC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CNM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025CNMCore & MainDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
22.9%22.9%-1.6%
VRRM_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025VRRMVerra MobilityDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-1.2%
LII_11212025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11212025LIILennox InternationalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
8.7%8.7%0.0%
ADP_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025ADPAutomatic Data ProcessingMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
5.8%5.8%-1.2%
CW_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025CWCurtiss-WrightQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
1.8%1.8%0.0%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for DEFSEC Technologies

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DFSCAXONAVAVCACIKTOSPLTRMedian
NameDEFSEC T.Axon Ent.AeroViro.CACI Int.Kratos D.Palantir. 
Mkt Price3.29564.28239.00572.4575.96183.57211.28
Mkt Cap-44.215.712.613.0436.415.7
Rev LTM42,5581,3708,8591,2853,8961,964
Op Inc LTM-9-28-70797248508
FCF LTM-9145-254612-931,79468
FCF 3Y Avg-11166-92420-421,08378
CFO LTM-9244-195683-91,818118
CFO 3Y Avg-10241-58486221,101132

Growth & Margins

DFSCAXONAVAVCACIKTOSPLTRMedian
NameDEFSEC T.Axon Ent.AeroViro.CACI Int.Kratos D.Palantir. 
Rev Chg LTM166.4%32.0%79.9%12.6%14.0%47.2%39.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg94.3%33.7%48.0%11.9%14.3%29.3%31.5%
Rev Chg Q330.2%30.6%150.7%11.2%26.0%62.8%46.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM35.8%7.0%26.2%2.7%5.9%13.2%10.1%
Op Mgn LTM-209.1%-1.1%-5.1%9.0%1.9%21.8%0.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-699.5%4.8%2.9%8.7%2.6%12.4%3.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM86.7%-1.0%-2.1%0.1%-0.1%5.3%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM-212.3%9.5%-14.2%7.7%-0.7%46.6%3.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-716.7%12.4%-4.2%6.0%2.0%35.8%4.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-216.3%5.7%-18.5%6.9%-7.3%46.0%-0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-777.8%8.7%-7.6%5.2%-3.5%35.1%0.9%

Valuation

DFSCAXONAVAVCACIKTOSPLTRMedian
NameDEFSEC T.Axon Ent.AeroViro.CACI Int.Kratos D.Palantir. 
Mkt Cap-44.215.712.613.0436.415.7
P/S-22.011.41.212.1111.312.1
P/EBIT-237.4-13.8475.0510.4356.2
P/E-218.9-225.121.7778.9395.9218.9
P/CFO-230.4-80.416.1-1,811.5238.616.1
Total Yield-0.5%-0.4%4.6%0.1%0.3%0.3%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.6%-4.2%-0.8%1.0%0.8%
D/E-0.0-0.30.00.00.0
Net D/E--0.0-0.3-0.0-0.0-0.0

Returns

DFSCAXONAVAVCACIKTOSPLTRMedian
NameDEFSEC T.Axon Ent.AeroViro.CACI Int.Kratos D.Palantir. 
1M Rtn3.8%1.8%-17.9%-3.1%4.8%5.5%2.8%
3M Rtn5.1%-25.4%-1.6%15.4%9.8%7.1%6.1%
6M Rtn--27.7%22.5%27.0%81.9%33.6%27.0%
12M Rtn--12.5%52.7%39.7%183.0%141.3%52.7%
3Y Rtn-229.9%171.4%90.5%726.6%2,518.7%229.9%
1M Excs Rtn1.9%-0.6%-25.7%-2.1%-0.6%0.0%-0.6%
3M Excs Rtn6.3%-29.0%-8.0%12.4%4.2%4.0%4.1%
6M Excs Rtn--41.9%8.3%12.8%67.7%19.4%12.8%
12M Excs Rtn--24.6%42.3%15.7%164.4%145.8%42.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-158.1%116.6%14.2%650.3%2,422.9%158.1%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity55,645
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-20.6%
Average Daily Volume35,826
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.55
Basic Shares Quantity625,323
Short % of Basic Shares8.9%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
630202581320256-K 6/30/2025
331202551620256-K 3/31/2025
1231202421820256-K 12/31/2024
93020241230202420-F 9/30/2024
630202481520246-K 6/30/2024
331202451520246-K 3/31/2024
1231202321520246-K 12/31/2023
9302023122202420-F 9/30/2023
630202381520236-K 6/30/2023
331202351220236-K 3/31/2023
1231202221520236-K 12/31/2022
9302022127202320-F 9/30/2022