HireQuest (HQI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.49 | Market Cap: $118.5 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services
HireQuest (HQI)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.49Market Cap: $118.5 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.8% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.86 | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Flexible Staffing Solutions, and Workforce Agility. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Flexible Staffing Solutions, and Workforce Agility. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -121% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.8% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 19.86 |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HQI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, HireQuest (HQI) experienced a notable decline in its stock price, influenced by several key factors. The company's third-quarter 2025 earnings report, released around November 6-7, 2025, highlighted persistent revenue challenges and a cautious market outlook despite improvements in profitability.
1. HireQuest reported a year-over-year decline in total revenue and system-wide sales for the third quarter of 2025. Total revenue decreased by 9.8% to $8.5 million, with franchise royalties also falling by 9.8%, and system-wide sales declining by 10.1% to $133.6 million. This top-line pressure contributed to investor concerns.
2. Specific business segments, particularly executive search and permanent placement, continued to underperform. The MRI Network segment was negatively impacted by several franchisees choosing not to renew their agreements earlier in the year, which continued to depress comparisons, despite some moderation in declines by quarter-end.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HQI Return | 46% | 100% | -20% | -2% | -6% | -42% | 25% |
| Peers Return | 42% | 10% | -6% | 8% | 10% | -12% | 53% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HQI Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 65% | 57% | 45% | 52% | 60% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HQI Max Drawdown | -20% | -6% | -39% | -18% | -23% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -48% | -21% | -26% | -15% | -19% | -21% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PAYX, BBSI, JOB, ADP, DAY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HQI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -20.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 146 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7700.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3007 days | 1480 days |
Compare to PAYX, BBSI, JOB, ADP, DAY
In The Past
HireQuest's stock fell -55.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2023. A -55.1% loss requires a 122.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is HireQuest Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HQI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.3% | 7.3% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.8% | 4.8% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HireQuest
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 52.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,559 |
| Op Inc LTM | 98 |
| FCF LTM | 96 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 76 |
| CFO LTM | 159 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 139 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 6.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 18.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 18.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 14.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 13.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.0 |
| P/S | 5.0 |
| P/EBIT | 16.0 |
| P/E | 20.0 |
| P/CFO | 24.5 |
| Total Yield | 5.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -1.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -18.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -29.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -68.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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