HireQuest (HQI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.73 | Market Cap: $107.9 MilSector: Industrials | Industry: Human Resource & Employment Services
HireQuest (HQI)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $7.73Market Cap: $107.9 MilSector: IndustrialsIndustry: Human Resource & Employment Services
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 10% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.8% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.31 | Key risksHQI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the financial performance of its franchisees and [2] challenges in executing its acquisition-based growth strategy. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Flexible Staffing Solutions, and Workforce Agility. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.7%, Dividend Yield is 2.5%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5%, FCF Yield is 10% |
| Attractive operating marginsOp Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is 24% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 45%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 44% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 49% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Future of Work. Themes include Flexible Staffing Solutions, and Workforce Agility. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -94%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -122% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 13.31 |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -13%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -9.8% |
| Key risksHQI key risks include [1] its heavy dependence on the financial performance of its franchisees and [2] challenges in executing its acquisition-based growth strategy. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
HQI Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued Challenging Hiring Environment and Macroeconomic Uncertainty: HireQuest experienced a "muted hiring landscape" and "broader labor market weakness" within the U.S. staffing industry through Q2 and Q3 2025, as employers maintained a "wait and see approach" to hiring activities. This environment contributed to a decrease in overall revenue and system-wide sales.
2. Decreased Revenue and Net Income in Q2 2025: For the second quarter of 2025, HireQuest's total revenue declined by 12% year-over-year to $7.6 million, and net income decreased by 45% to $1.1 million (or $0.08 per diluted share) compared to the same period in the prior year. System-wide sales also dropped by 13.9% in Q2 2025.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| HQI Return | 46% | 100% | -20% | -2% | -6% | -44% | 19% |
| Peers Return | -11% | 25% | -7% | 11% | -14% | -39% | -40% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| HQI Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 55% | 45% | 52% | 42% | 42% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| HQI Max Drawdown | -20% | -6% | -39% | -18% | -23% | -45% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -53% | -7% | -28% | -19% | -32% | -47% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TBI, BBSI, MAN, KELYA, RHI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | HQI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -55.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 122.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -20.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 25.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 146 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.5% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 217 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -98.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 7700.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3,007 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to PAYX, BBSI, JOB, ADP, DAY
In The Past
HireQuest's stock fell -55.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/9/2023. A -55.1% loss requires a 122.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| HireQuest Earnings Notes | ||
| Is HireQuest Stock Built to Withstand More Downside? | Return |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to HQI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | CNM | Core & Main | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.8% | 19.8% | -1.6% |
| 11212025 | VRRM | Verra Mobility | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | LII | Lennox International | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.9% | 5.9% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | ADP | Automatic Data Processing | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 4.2% | 4.2% | -1.2% |
| 11212025 | CW | Curtiss-Wright | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for HireQuest
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 18.64 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| Rev LTM | 2,988 |
| Op Inc LTM | 58 |
| FCF LTM | 20 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 41 |
| CFO LTM | 29 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 55 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -4.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | -2.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.7% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 1.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.6 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 12.9 |
| P/E | 8.2 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 4.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -20.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -23.2% |
| 12M Rtn | -44.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -56.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 5.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -23.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -35.5% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -56.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -124.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 15.5% | 13.4% | -1.0% |
| 8/7/2025 | -1.0% | -5.4% | 2.3% |
| 3/27/2025 | -9.1% | -11.9% | -25.0% |
| 11/7/2024 | 2.5% | 3.5% | 6.1% |
| 8/8/2024 | 10.5% | 12.0% | 14.3% |
| 3/21/2024 | -1.2% | 3.5% | -2.5% |
| 11/8/2023 | -18.1% | -11.4% | 2.0% |
| 8/10/2023 | -24.6% | -24.9% | -30.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 9 | 9 | 11 |
| # Negative | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 8.3% | 10.6% |
| Median Negative | -4.0% | -8.7% | -2.5% |
| Max Positive | 18.4% | 16.0% | 17.0% |
| Max Negative | -24.6% | -24.9% | -30.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11082024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3212024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5112023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3212023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11042022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3152022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |