Tearsheet

Firefly Aerospace (FLY)


Market Price (6/28/2026): $25.53 | Market Cap: $4.1 BilSector: Industrials | Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Firefly Aerospace (FLY)


Market Price (6/28/2026): $25.53
Market Cap: $4.1 Bil
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Aerospace & Defense

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%

Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126%

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -298 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -161%

Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x

Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -139%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%

High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%

Key risks
FLY key risks include [1] its significant financial instability, Show more.

0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 71%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Advanced Aviation & Space. Themes include Commercial Space Exploration.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -92%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -126%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -298 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -161%
5 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 22x
6 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
7 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -114%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -139%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -13%
9 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 114%
10 Key risks
FLY key risks include [1] its significant financial instability, Show more.

FLY in ETFs

Weight = FLY's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.02%
VB0.05%
NASA4.0%
MISL0.51%
VBK0.11%
ITA0.06%
+8 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 6/24/2026

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) stock has gained about 35% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Successful "Return to Flight" and Alpha Rocket Upgrades.

Firefly Aerospace successfully launched its Alpha Flight 7 "Stairway to Seven" mission on March 11, 2026, marking a critical return to flight after a five-month stand-down due to a previous anomaly. This successful launch also validated key Alpha Block II upgrades, which was expected to stabilize investor confidence following prior developmental setbacks.

2. Record Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue and Positive Financial Outlook.

The company reported record revenue of $80.9 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), representing a 45% increase year-over-year from $55.9 million in Q1 2025, and a 40% sequential increase from the prior quarter. This growth was primarily driven by its Spacecraft Solutions segment and increased launch activity. Furthermore, Firefly significantly improved its diluted earnings per share (EPS) loss to $(0.61) in Q1 2026, a substantial reduction from $(5.38) in Q1 2025. The company also provided a positive full-year 2026 revenue guidance between $420 million and $450 million.

Show more
Updated on 6/24/2026

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) stock has gained about 35% since 2/28/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Successful "Return to Flight" and Alpha Rocket Upgrades.

Firefly Aerospace successfully launched its Alpha Flight 7 "Stairway to Seven" mission on March 11, 2026, marking a critical return to flight after a five-month stand-down due to a previous anomaly. This successful launch also validated key Alpha Block II upgrades, which was expected to stabilize investor confidence following prior developmental setbacks.

2. Record Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue and Positive Financial Outlook.

The company reported record revenue of $80.9 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (ended March 31, 2026), representing a 45% increase year-over-year from $55.9 million in Q1 2025, and a 40% sequential increase from the prior quarter. This growth was primarily driven by its Spacecraft Solutions segment and increased launch activity. Furthermore, Firefly significantly improved its diluted earnings per share (EPS) loss to $(0.61) in Q1 2026, a substantial reduction from $(5.38) in Q1 2025. The company also provided a positive full-year 2026 revenue guidance between $420 million and $450 million.

3. Significant Government Contract Awards and Expanding Backlog.

Firefly Aerospace secured a notable $75 million subcontract from NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) in May 2026 to deliver four drones to the Moon's south pole for the MoonFall mission. This contract enhances Firefly's involvement in lunar exploration and reinforces its position in government programs. Additionally, the company was selected by the U.S. Space Force for SciTec to support the Golden Dome space-based interceptor program and received a $109 million engineering change award under the FORGE Enterprise OPIR Services contract. These contract wins contributed to a strengthened backlog of $1.3 billion.

4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Targets.

Throughout the period, Wall Street analysts maintained a "Moderate Buy" consensus rating for Firefly Aerospace. As of June 2026, the average 12-month price target from analysts was $42.20, indicating a forecasted upside of 69.48% from the stock's price of $24.90 on June 24, 2026. For instance, Roth Capital Partners analyst Suji Desilva maintained a "Buy" rating and a $60.00 price target in June 2026, citing the company's strategic funding and substantial customer opportunities in defense and civil space programs.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 32.5% change in FLY stock from 2/28/2026 to 6/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)22820266272026Change
Stock Price ($)19.2725.5432.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1850.0%
P/S Multiple22.10.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)0160-99.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

2/28/2026 to 6/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLY32.5% 
Market (SPY)6.6%42.9%
Sector (XLI)2.6%29.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 44.2% change in FLY stock from 11/30/2025 to 6/27/2026 was primarily driven by a 0.0% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)113020256272026Change
Stock Price ($)17.7125.5444.2%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1850.0%
P/S Multiple22.10.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)0160-99.9%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 6/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLY44.2% 
Market (SPY)7.3%40.9%
Sector (XLI)18.6%33.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

5/31/2025 to 6/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLY  
Market (SPY)25.1%34.9%
Sector (XLI)28.6%31.0%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

5/31/2023 to 6/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
FLY  
Market (SPY)81.3%34.9%
Sector (XLI)95.7%31.0%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
FLY Return-----63%10%-59%
Peers Return10%3%-2%190%42%5%380%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%7%96%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FLY Win Rate----20%67% 
Peers Win Rate47%60%43%55%55%50% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FLY Max Drawdown------58% 
Peers Max Drawdown-27%-30%-43%-38%-36%-38% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: RKLB, LUNR, LMT, NOC, BA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 6/26/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

FLY has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-15.8%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven18.8%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven34 days79 days
Summer-Fall 2023 Five Percent Yield Shock
  % Loss-11.7%-9.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.2%10.5%
  Time to Breakeven45 days24 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-11.1%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven12.5%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven51 days62 days

Compare to RKLB, LUNR, LMT, NOC, BA

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

FLY has limited trading history. Below is the Industrials sector ETF (XLI) in its place.

EventXLIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-20.1%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven25.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven125 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-41.6%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven71.2%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven231 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-23.7%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.1%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven120 days105 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-22.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven29.0%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven114 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-60.5%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven153.2%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven700 days1085 days

Compare to RKLB, LUNR, LMT, NOC, BA

In The Past

State Street Industrial Select Sector SPDR ETF's stock fell -15.8% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 18.8% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Firefly Aerospace (FLY)

Fly Leasing Limited, together with its subsidiaries, purchases and leases commercial aircraft under multi-year contracts to various airlines worldwide. As of December 31, 2016, the company had a fleet of 76 aircraft, including 65 narrow-body passenger aircraft and 11 wide-body passenger aircraft. Fly Leasing Limited was founded in 2007 and is headquartered in Dun Laoghaire, Ireland.

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  • Boeing (NYSE: BA)
  • Airbus (Euronext Paris: AIR)
  • Embraer S.A. (NYSE: ERJ)
  • Bombardier Inc. (TSX: BBD.B)

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Jason Kim, Chief Executive Officer

Jason Kim has served as the Chief Executive Officer of Firefly Aerospace since October 2024. He previously served as Chief Executive Officer of Millennium Space Systems from December 2020 to September 2024, and as Vice President of Strategic Planning from September 2009 to December 2019. Mr. Kim has also held positions with Raytheon and Northrop Grumman. He earned a BS in Electrical Engineering from the United States Air Force Academy and served in the United States Air Force from 1999 to 2006. He also holds an MS in Electrical Engineering from the U.S. Air Force Institute of Technology and an MBA from UCLA Anderson School of Management.

Darren Ma, Chief Financial Officer

Darren Ma has served as the Chief Financial Officer of Firefly Aerospace since August 2020. Prior to this role, he served as Chief Financial Officer and Senior Vice President of Spectra7 Microsystems from November 2017 to July 2020, and as Chief Financial Officer of GigPeak, Inc. from October 2014 to September 2017. Mr. Ma's background also includes serving as a business unit controller at Semtech and a finance manager at Intel. He received a BS in Managerial Economics from UC Davis and an MBA from the W.P. Carey School of Business at Arizona State University.

Ramon Sanchez, Chief Operating Officer

Ramon Sanchez oversees Firefly Aerospace's day-to-day operations, focusing on the safety, quality, and reliability in the production of launch vehicles, lunar landers, and spacecraft product lines. He brings over two decades of experience in production operations for commercial, civil, and national security programs, having served in various leadership roles across Boeing.

Shea Ferring, Chief Technology Officer

Shea Ferring has served as the Chief Technology Officer since June 2023. He has been with Firefly Aerospace since April 2018, holding roles such as Senior Vice President of Engineering, Senior Vice President of Spacecraft, and Vice President of Mission Assurance. Before joining Firefly, Mr. Ferring was a Co-Founder and Chief Operating Officer of M2S2-Technologies, an engineering services company, from October 2014 to April 2018.

David Wheeler, General Counsel

David Wheeler has served as General Counsel, Secretary, and Senior Vice President since June 2022. Prior to Firefly Aerospace, he was Of Counsel at Squire Patton Boggs from November 2021 to June 2022. He also served as Division General Counsel and Group Chief Compliance Officer at Signature Aviation plc from August 2015 to May 2022, and as Senior Counsel at GE Aerospace from August 2010 to July 2015.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Firefly Aerospace's business:

  1. Execution Risk and Rocket Reliability: Firefly Aerospace faces significant execution risks, primarily related to the reliability and success rate of its Alpha rocket. The company has a history of launch failures and anomalies, which directly impact its ability to fulfill contracts and generate revenue from its launch services. For example, in September 2025, an Alpha Flight 7 rocket exploded during a test, causing a substantial drop in stock price and raising concerns about consistent performance. Recurring technical setbacks and issues with operational readiness have led to investor lawsuits alleging the company overstated the commercial viability of its Alpha program. The inherent risks in space launch services, including a global average launch failure rate of 6%, underscore this significant challenge for Firefly Aerospace.
  2. Financial Health and Profitability Challenges: As a relatively new public company in a capital-intensive industry, Firefly Aerospace has not yet achieved profitability and is characterized by substantial operating losses and high cash burn. The company has reported negative profitability margins, including operating margins of -226.93% and net margins of -306.97%. While revenue has shown periods of growth, there have also been instances of stagnation or decline, and significant net losses have widened year-over-year. This ongoing challenge to achieve consistent profitability and manage its financial resources is a critical risk to its long-term viability.
  3. Intense Competition: The aerospace and defense industry, particularly the commercial space launch sector, is highly competitive. Firefly Aerospace competes with established and well-funded players like SpaceX and Rocket Lab, as well as numerous emerging companies. This intense competition necessitates continuous innovation, technological advancement, and the provision of cost-effective solutions to secure market share and contracts. The company's ability to differentiate its offerings and consistently win government and commercial contracts is crucial in this crowded market.

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Clear Emerging Threats for Fly Leasing Limited (trading as FLY)

  • Expansion of Direct Financing and Leasing from Aircraft Manufacturers: Aircraft manufacturers such as Boeing and Airbus, through their financing arms, could increasingly offer aggressive direct leasing and financing packages to airlines. This emerging trend could bypass traditional third-party lessors like Fly Leasing Limited, potentially leading to increased competition for lease contracts, downward pressure on lease rates, and reduced demand for independent lessors' services.
  • Accelerated Obsolescence Due to Intensifying Environmental Regulations and Airline Sustainability Commitments: With growing global pressure for reduced carbon emissions and airlines committing to net-zero targets, there is an emerging threat that older, less fuel-efficient aircraft in Fly Leasing Limited's fleet could face accelerated devaluation and obsolescence. Stricter environmental regulations, carbon taxes, or airline preferences for newer, more sustainable models could make these assets harder to lease, require significant upgrade investments, or result in lower residual values than currently projected.

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Firefly Aerospace (symbol: FLY) operates in the space and defense technology sector, providing launch vehicles, lunar landers, and orbital services to government and commercial customers. This response addresses the addressable markets for Firefly Aerospace's main products and services.

Addressable Markets for Firefly Aerospace's Main Products and Services:

Small-Lift Launch Vehicles (e.g., Firefly Alpha):

  • The global small launch vehicle market size was valued at approximately USD 1.53 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4.40 billion by 2033, growing at a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 11.14%.
  • Another estimate indicates the global market size is projected to grow from USD 5.3 billion in 2023 to an estimated USD 14.6 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 11.5%.

Orbital Transfer Vehicles/Space Tugs (e.g., Firefly Elytra):

  • The global orbital transfer vehicle market was estimated at USD 1.8 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 5.9 billion by 2034, at a value CAGR of 13.1% from 2025 to 2034.
  • The global space tug market size reached USD 1.12 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 3.15 billion by the end of 2033, growing at a CAGR of 11.7% from 2025 to 2033.
  • North America represented the largest regional market for Space Tugs, accounting for approximately 43% of the global market size in 2024, or about USD 482 million. The U.S. alone accounted for USD 730.3 million of the orbital transfer vehicle market in 2024.

Lunar Landers (e.g., Firefly Blue Ghost):

  • The global space lander and rover market size exceeded USD 2 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow at a CAGR of 9.7% from 2026 to 2035.
  • Within this market, the space lander segment dominated with revenue of USD 1.3 billion in 2025.
  • The U.S. space lander and rover market was valued at USD 894.1 million in 2025.
  • Lunar surface exploration is expected to hold a 44.2% market share in the space lander and rover market in 2025.

Broader Space Technology and Aerospace & Defense Market:

  • The global space technology market size was estimated at USD 466.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 769.7 billion by 2030, with a CAGR of 9.3% from 2025 to 2030. North America held the highest revenue share in this market, accounting for over 46% in 2024.
  • The global Aerospace & Defense Market size is projected to increase from USD 1.48 trillion (1476371.34 million USD) in 2026 to USD 3.01 trillion (3005822.79 million USD) by 2035, at a CAGR of 8.22%.

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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Firefly Aerospace (symbol: FLY) over the next 2-3 years:
  1. Increased Launch Cadence and Success of Alpha and Eclipse Rockets: Firefly Aerospace develops small- and medium-lift launch vehicles, including its Alpha rocket and the upcoming Eclipse. A higher frequency of successful launches for both commercial and government clients will directly contribute to increased revenue over the next 2-3 years.
  2. Expansion of Lunar Services through Blue Ghost Landers: The company has secured significant NASA Commercial Lunar Payload Services (CLPS) contracts for its Blue Ghost lunar landers, including plans for multiple missions to the Moon's surface. Securing additional contracts and successfully executing these complex lunar missions will be a substantial driver of revenue growth.
  3. Growth in In-Space Services with Elytra and other Spacecraft: Firefly is developing in-space vehicles such as the Elytra space tug for orbital maneuvering and other specialized spacecraft. The expansion into these diverse in-space services, beyond traditional launch, will provide new revenue streams as the demand for on-orbit capabilities increases.
  4. Securing Additional Government and National Security Contracts: Firefly provides comprehensive mission solutions to national security and government customers. With an increasing focus on space capabilities for defense and national security, securing more contracts for launch, lunar missions, and other specialized space services will be a key revenue driver.

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FLYRKLBLUNRLMTNOCBAMedian
NameFirefly .Rocket L.Intuitiv.Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Mkt Price25.5484.5419.79507.40500.03217.25150.90
Mkt Cap4.151.22.4116.771.1171.261.1
Rev LTM18568020775,10642,36792,18421,523
Op Inc LTM-298-226-877,4224,696-5,431-156
FCF LTM-257-316-565,6623,305-1,050-157
FCF 3Y Avg--210-665,6212,405-4,173-66
CFO LTM-211-162-147,3684,6662,5021,244
CFO 3Y Avg--113-397,3684,022-1,639-39

Growth & Margins

FLYRKLBLUNRLMTNOCBAMedian
NameFirefly .Rocket L.Intuitiv.Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Rev Chg LTM70.7%45.8%-9.2%4.6%5.0%32.7%18.8%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-45.4%56.7%4.3%4.6%10.7%10.7%
Rev Chg Q44.8%63.5%-20.8%0.3%4.4%14.0%9.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM15.7%12.9%-5.2%0.1%1.0%3.0%2.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM-37.2%-9.6%-66.6%0.9%21.3%46.8%-4.3%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg--15.1%-334.9%-4.0%13.2%-328.6%-15.1%
Op Mgn LTM-161.1%-33.2%-42.1%9.9%11.1%-5.9%-19.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--46.4%-45.9%10.8%9.1%-7.2%-7.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.0%4.8%-11.2%-0.4%0.9%0.2%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM-114.1%-23.8%-6.9%9.8%11.0%2.7%-2.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--24.1%-29.7%10.2%9.8%-2.8%-2.8%
FCF/Rev LTM-139.3%-46.5%-27.0%7.5%7.8%-1.1%-14.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--44.4%-50.4%7.8%5.8%-5.9%-5.9%

Valuation

FLYRKLBLUNRLMTNOCBAMedian
NameFirefly .Rocket L.Intuitiv.Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
Mkt Cap4.151.22.4116.771.1171.261.1
P/S22.175.311.41.61.71.96.6
P/Op Inc-13.7-226.9-27.115.715.1-31.5-20.4
P/EBIT-11.6-275.0-23.517.211.532.5-0.0
P/E-12.2-280.3-28.324.315.575.51.7
P/CFO-19.3-316.7-164.815.815.268.4-2.1
Total Yield-8.2%-0.4%-3.5%6.1%7.4%1.3%0.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%2.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--3.2%-22.8%4.8%2.9%-3.2%-3.2%
D/E0.00.00.20.20.20.30.2
Net D/E-0.1-0.0-0.10.20.20.20.1

Returns

FLYRKLBLUNRLMTNOCBAMedian
NameFirefly .Rocket L.Intuitiv.Lockheed.Northrop.Boeing  
1M Rtn-48.3%-42.9%-56.7%-4.9%-10.2%-5.0%-26.5%
3M Rtn7.7%38.7%13.0%-17.1%-26.0%14.0%10.3%
6M Rtn9.4%19.7%29.8%6.3%-12.7%0.4%7.9%
12M Rtn-57.7%138.9%80.6%13.6%2.8%1.3%8.2%
3Y Rtn-57.7%1,340.2%127.2%22.3%18.7%3.1%20.5%
1M Excs Rtn-53.2%-41.5%-48.7%-1.6%-6.7%-0.9%-24.1%
3M Excs Rtn-18.3%14.7%-10.6%-32.1%-41.0%-1.8%-14.5%
6M Excs Rtn-9.9%3.1%13.4%-0.0%-19.6%-6.2%-3.1%
12M Excs Rtn-78.4%140.6%76.4%-7.0%-16.4%-11.5%-9.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-126.1%1,264.4%78.2%-50.5%-54.8%-66.0%-52.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment1606155
Total1606155


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil202520242023
Single Segment-298-231-135
Total-298-231-135


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$25.54 
Market Cap ($ Bil)4.1 
First Trading Date09/28/2007 
Distance from 52W High-57.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$42.95$42.95
DMA Trenddownup
Distance from DMA-40.5%-40.5%
 3M1YR
Volatility131.3%114.4%
Downside Capture518.62438.75
Upside Capture296.54241.49
Correlation (SPY)49.8% 
FLY Betas & Captures as of 5/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta6.133.063.213.740.33-0.25
Up Beta11.791.163.122.810.57-1.16
Down Beta6.234.731.191.550.09-0.63
Up Capture539%469%831%1635%410%38%
Bmk +ve Days13283667141432
Stock +ve Days91830619494
Down Capture253%428%209%266%199%100%
Bmk -ve Days7132757109318
Stock -ve Days11233362108108

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLY
FLY-57.8%114.4%-0.32-
Sector ETF (XLI)27.5%16.5%1.2931.0%
Equity (SPY)21.2%12.4%1.2634.9%
Gold (GLD)21.8%27.7%0.7017.1%
Commodities (DBC)21.8%18.6%0.920.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)16.1%13.6%0.8511.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.2%42.5%-1.2531.4%

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Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLY
FLY-15.8%114.4%-0.32-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.5%17.6%0.6531.0%
Equity (SPY)13.4%17.1%0.6134.9%
Gold (GLD)17.8%18.3%0.7917.1%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%19.5%0.280.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.4%18.9%0.0811.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.9%54.0%0.3931.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with FLY
FLY-8.2%114.4%-0.32-
Sector ETF (XLI)14.5%20.1%0.6331.0%
Equity (SPY)15.2%18.0%0.7234.9%
Gold (GLD)11.8%16.1%0.6017.1%
Commodities (DBC)5.9%18.0%0.260.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.6%20.7%0.2311.5%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)54.7%66.4%0.9531.4%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date6152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11.8 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 53120263.7%
Average Daily Volume8.1 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.5 days
Basic Shares Quantity159.6 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares7.4%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 6/5/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/4/2026-5.5%14.6%19.2%
3/19/20261.1%16.8%86.4%
11/12/202517.0%6.1%11.2%
9/22/2025-15.3%-25.4%-43.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive233
# Negative211
Median Positive9.1%14.6%19.2%
Median Negative-10.4%-25.4%-43.1%
Max Positive17.0%16.8%86.4%
Max Negative-15.3%-25.4%-43.1%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
5/4/2026-5.5%14.6%19.2%
3/19/20261.1%16.8%86.4%
11/12/202517.0%6.1%11.2%
9/22/2025-15.3%-25.4%-43.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive233
# Negative211
Median Positive9.1%14.6%19.2%
Median Negative-10.4%-25.4%-43.1%
Max Positive17.0%16.8%86.4%
Max Negative-15.3%-25.4%-43.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202503/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202509/22/202510-Q
03/31/202508/08/2025424B4
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/04/202610-Q
12/31/202503/20/202610-K
09/30/202511/12/202510-Q
06/30/202509/22/202510-Q
03/31/202508/08/2025424B4

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 5/31/2026

Latest: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/4/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue420.00 Mil435.00 Mil450.00 Mil0 AffirmedGuidance: 435.00 Mil for 2026

Prior: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/19/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue420.00 Mil435.00 Mil450.00 Mil182.5% Higher NewGuidance: 154.00 Mil for 2025

Insider Activity

Updated 6/8/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Aeroequity, Gp, Llc See FootnotesSell603202648.008,000,000384,000,000849,065,136Form
2Wheeler, David LeighGeneral CounselDirectSell519202645.123,765169,8856,441,541Form
3Wheeler, David LeighGeneral CounselDirectSell420202645.043,766169,6086,429,335Form
4Konert, Kirk Michael DirectBuy808202545.003,333149,985149,985Form
5Lusczakoski, Jonathan Donald DirectBuy808202545.0026611,97011,970Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Aeroequity, Gp, Llc See FootnotesSell603202648.008,000,000384,000,000849,065,136Form
2Wheeler, David LeighGeneral CounselDirectSell519202645.123,765169,8856,441,541Form
3Wheeler, David LeighGeneral CounselDirectSell420202645.043,766169,6086,429,335Form
4Konert, Kirk Michael DirectBuy808202545.003,333149,985149,985Form
5Lusczakoski, Jonathan Donald DirectBuy808202545.0026611,97011,970Form
6Braden, Pamela Joyce DirectBuy808202545.008,888399,9601,091,340Form
7Zurbuchen, Thomas Hansueli DirectBuy808202545.0080036,00036,000Form
8Aeroequity, Gp, Llc See FootnotesBuy808202545.0011,111499,995499,995Form
Core Cache Last Updated: 6/27/2026