Rythm (RYM)
Market Price (3/28/2026): $18.99 | Market Cap: $39.0 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Tobacco
Rythm (RYM)
Market Price (3/28/2026): $18.99Market Cap: $39.0 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Tobacco
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95917% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -138% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -82% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 124% | |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% | ||
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136% | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -89% | ||
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 125% | ||
| Key risksRYM key risks include [1] dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its lead product, Show more. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 95917% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -82% |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -109% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -24 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -138% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 124% |
| Significant share based compensationSBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -136% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -89% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 125% |
| Key risksRYM key risks include [1] dependence on successful clinical trial outcomes and regulatory approval for its lead product, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Continued Net Operating Losses Despite Revenue Growth.
Despite a significant increase in revenue from continuing operations to $10.7 million in the fourth quarter of 2025, a 164% sequential jump, Rythm (RYM) reported a net loss of $13.6 million, an improvement from a $24.4 million loss in the same period last year. For the full year 2025, the company recorded a net loss of $33.3 million, narrowing from $41.7 million in 2024, indicating persistent unprofitability.
2. Impact of a Substantial Non-Cash Impairment Charge.
The fourth-quarter 2025 operating loss of $12.9 million was largely influenced by an $8.5 million non-cash impairment charge. This charge significantly weighed on the company's reported financial results for the quarter, contributing to the overall losses.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -2.7% change in RYM stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026 was primarily driven by a -61.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 11302025 | 3272026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 19.51 | 18.99 | -2.7% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 7 | 17 | 160.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.9 | 2.3 | -61.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 2 | 2 | -2.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -2.7% |
Market Drivers
11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RYM | -2.7% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.3% | -3.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 3.9% | 12.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RYM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 0.6% | 6.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.8% | -1.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RYM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 9.8% | 6.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 1.1% | -1.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| RYM | ||
| Market (SPY) | 69.4% | 6.6% |
| Sector (XLP) | 23.1% | -1.4% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| RYM Return | - | - | - | - | -41% | -18% | -52% |
| Peers Return | -16% | -48% | -32% | -15% | -15% | -13% | -81% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -5% | 72% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| RYM Win Rate | - | - | - | - | 75% | 33% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 23% | 23% | 37% | 37% | 35% | 33% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 33% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| RYM Max Drawdown | - | - | - | - | -55% | -30% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -28% | -51% | -50% | -29% | -49% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -5% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: SMG, TLRY, CGC, CRON, SNDL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
RYM has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP) in its place.
| Event | XLP | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -17.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 682 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -24.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 33.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 154 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 404 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.4% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 50.2% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 605 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to SMG, TLRY, CGC, CRON, SNDL
In The Past
SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -17.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -17.5% loss requires a 21.2% gain to breakeven.
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About Rythm (RYM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. John Deere for high-tech indoor cannabis farms.
2. Applied Materials for the cannabis cultivation industry.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Vertical Farming Units: Precision hardware systems designed for cultivating cannabis and hemp.
- Agrify Insights Software-as-a-Service (SaaS): Software for managing and optimizing cultivation processes.
- Integrated Grow Racks: Hardware structures specifically designed for plant growth.
- LED Grow Lights: Energy-efficient lighting solutions optimized for plant cultivation.
- Third-Party Cultivation Products: Non-proprietary items like air cleaning systems and pesticide-free surface protection products.
- Consulting Services: Expert advice and guidance for cannabis and hemp operations.
- Engineering Services: Design and development support for cultivation and extraction solutions.
- Construction Services: Building and installation support for cultivation facilities.
AI Analysis | Feedback
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Here are the key risks to RYTHM, Inc.'s business:
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Regulatory Uncertainty and Potential Federal Prohibition of Hemp-Derived THC Products
A primary risk for RYTHM, Inc. stems from the evolving and uncertain regulatory landscape surrounding the cannabis and hemp industries, particularly concerning hemp-derived THC products. The company itself has identified the risk that Congress may not amend or repeal the pending federal prohibition on hemp-derived THC products, which is currently slated to take effect in November 2026. Such a federal prohibition or adverse regulatory changes could severely impact or even eliminate RYTHM's current business model, which heavily relies on its portfolio of hemp-derived THC brands and products, including Señorita THC Margaritas and RYTHM Beverages. States also have varied and often conflicting regulations for hemp-derived products, leading to legal challenges, enforcement actions, and a lack of uniformity in product standards, labeling, and warnings. This fragmented and unpredictable regulatory environment creates significant operational and strategic challenges, as the legality of RYTHM's key product offerings remains precarious.
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Financial Viability and Challenges in Achieving Sustained Profitability
RYTHM, Inc. faces significant financial risks, characterized by ongoing operating losses and a continued net loss. For the fourth quarter of 2025, the company reported an operating loss of $12.9 million and a net loss of $13.6 million, contributing to a full-year 2025 net loss of $33.3 million. The company is experiencing a notable cash burn from its operations. Furthermore, RYTHM has a substantial debt load, with approximately $80 million in debt maturing by 2027, making its future operations highly dependent on favorable legislative outcomes and access to financing. The company's strategic pivot from a cultivation technology provider to a branded consumer packaged goods (CPG) company is a high-stakes move, and there is a risk that the new leadership may not be able to successfully scale the CPG platform to profitability. Technically, the company's total liabilities can exceed its total assets when excluding intangible assets, indicating potential insolvency on a tangible basis.
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Product Liability and Consumer Safety Risks in the THC Beverage Market
As RYTHM focuses on THC-infused beverages, it is exposed to distinct product liability and consumer safety risks that blend concerns from both the alcohol and cannabis markets. These include challenges related to ensuring product safety, accurate dosing, appropriate packaging, responsible marketing practices, and potential liabilities associated with impaired driving. Unlike alcohol, the THC market lacks established guidelines for standard serving sizes, which can lead to overconsumption risks due to the delayed onset of effects. There are also concerns regarding the co-consumption of THC beverages with alcohol, which can amplify impairment. The industry is under scrutiny for marketing and advertising practices, with risks of appealing to minors or making unsubstantiated health claims. Insurers are often hesitant to provide coverage for hemp-derived THC products due to these liability and compliance concerns, which could leave RYTHM vulnerable to significant legal and financial repercussions from potential product liability lawsuits.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Rythm (symbol: RYM), officially known as RYTHM, Inc., is a public company that transitioned from Agrify Corporation on September 2, 2025, to focus on hemp-derived THC brands and products. The company's main products and services include hemp-derived THC beverages, cannabis flower, vapes, and concentrates. The addressable markets for these products are primarily within the United States.
The addressable markets for Rythm's main products and services in the U.S. are:
- Overall U.S. Cannabis Market: The U.S. cannabis market was estimated at USD 38.50 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 44.30 billion in 2025. It is expected to grow to USD 76.39 billion by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 11.51% from 2025 to 2030. Other projections indicate the market could reach almost USD 47 billion in 2026 and USD 55.43 billion by 2030. Some forecasts are even more optimistic, predicting the U.S. cannabis market size to exceed USD 110.80 billion by 2033 and potentially reach USD 428.22 billion by 2032.
- Cannabis Flower: Flower remains the largest cannabis product category in the U.S., accounting for 44% of total cannabis revenue. Its market share in the U.S. has consistently been between 40-50% in recent years. Sales of cannabis flower in the U.S. grew from USD 4.92 billion in 2020 to USD 5.49 billion in 2021.
- Cannabis Edibles and Beverages: The U.S. cannabis edibles industry was valued at USD 10.6 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 47.1 billion by 2034. The global cannabis edibles market, in which North America holds an 86% share, was estimated at USD 12.3 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 54 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 15.9% from 2025 to 2034. The U.S. cannabis-infused edible products market size is projected to be valued at US$14.0 billion in 2026 and reach US$33.0 billion by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 14% during that period. The THC drinks category alone is approaching $1 billion today and is projected to grow to over $10 billion in the long term.
- Cannabis Concentrates and Vapes: The U.S. cannabis extract market size was estimated at USD 9.55 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to approximately USD 50.83 billion by 2034, with a CAGR of 18.19% from 2025 to 2034. The cannabis concentrate market in North America, which is the largest regional market, was valued at USD 41.44 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 196.31 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of 21.46%. Vapes and concentrates collectively account for 26% and 17% of U.S. cannabis revenue, respectively.
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Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Rythm (symbol: RYM) over the next 2-3 years:
- Expansion of Hemp-Derived THC Product Distribution: Rythm is actively increasing the availability and visibility of its hemp-derived THC products across the United States. The company's strategy involves broad consumer access, with products distributed through thousands of physical locations and online channels. A significant recent example is the multi-year partnership with Chicago's United Center, making Rythm and Señorita hemp-derived THC beverages available at a major U.S. arena starting in February 2026. This expansion into new sales channels and high-visibility venues is expected to drive increased revenue.
- Growth of Brand Portfolio, Particularly in THC Beverages: Rythm's strategic shift in August 2025 involved acquiring a portfolio of established brand intellectual property, including RYTHM, Señorita THC Margaritas, incredibles, Dogwalkers, and Beboe, among others. The company emphasizes its RYTHM-branded and Señorita THC Margaritas as key beverage offerings, with the United Center partnership specifically highlighting these products. The continued growth and market penetration of these brands, especially within the burgeoning THC beverage segment, are anticipated revenue drivers.
- Strategic Repositioning as a Branded Consumer Products Business: Following its name change from Agrify Corporation in August/September 2025, Rythm repositioned itself as a branded consumer products business focused on hemp-derived THC, moving away from its previous focus on cultivation and extraction hardware and software. This strategic evolution allows the company to leverage brand recognition and directly address the growing consumer market for hemp-derived THC products, which is a new avenue for revenue generation.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions for Rythm (RYM)
Share Issuance
- The company's financing structure involved a reliance on strategic equity raises to fund a major business pivot.
- An increase in cash balance in the third quarter of 2025 was attributed to capital raising rather than operational activities.
Outbound Investments
- Agrify Corporation, the company's former name, acquired Señorita in December 2024.
- In August 2025, Agrify Corporation acquired all equity interests in VCP IP Holdings, LLC, which included intellectual property rights to several brands such as RYTHM, Beboe, and Dogwalkers.
- The company's capital allocation priorities in 2022 included strategic and accretive mergers and acquisitions, with a focus on internal integration after largely completing acquisitions in the extraction sector.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled -$5.07 million over the trailing twelve months as of an August 2025 reference point.
- In 2022, the primary focus of capital deployment was on Total Turn-Key (TTK) projects.
- The company has shifted from a capital-intensive cultivation technology model to a branded consumer product focus, including the sale of its cultivation business in January 2025.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Rythm Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Would You Still Hold Rythm Stock If It Fell Another 30%? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to RYM.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02272026 | BRBR | BellRing Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | STZ | Constellation Brands | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.7% | 5.7% | 0.0% |
| 02132026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.9% | 1.9% | -1.7% |
| 02062026 | AVO | Mission Produce | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.1% | 1.1% | -2.7% |
| 01022026 | CALM | Cal-Maine Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 12.0% | 12.0% | -7.7% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.41 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| Rev LTM | 558 |
| Op Inc LTM | -22 |
| FCF LTM | -12 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -18 |
| CFO LTM | 1 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -11 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.9% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 11.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -11.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -29.7% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 2.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -4.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -4.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -12.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.5 |
| P/S | 1.1 |
| P/EBIT | -1.2 |
| P/E | -1.1 |
| P/CFO | 1.7 |
| Total Yield | -44.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -1.7% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -14.2% |
| 3M Rtn | -22.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -38.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -31.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -17.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -37.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -19.3% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -91.7% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/03/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/21/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/14/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/21/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 04/15/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 01/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 12/12/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 11/28/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 11/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/14/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/15/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/16/2022 | 10-Q |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kovler, Benjamin | Interim CEO | Direct | Buy | 9292025 | 37.08 | 1,000 | 37,084 | 704,602 | Form |
| 2 | Kovler, Benjamin | Interim CEO | Direct | Buy | 9222025 | 39.99 | 1,000 | 39,990 | 719,820 | Form |
| 3 | Vakili, Armon | Direct | Sell | 9102025 | 38.23 | 1,900 | 72,633 | 309,644 | Form | |
| 4 | Kovler, Benjamin | Interim CEO | Direct | Buy | 9032025 | 36.70 | 1,000 | 36,700 | 623,900 | Form |
| 5 | Kovler, Benjamin | Interim CEO | Direct | Buy | 9022025 | 46.70 | 1,000 | 46,700 | 747,200 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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