Tearsheet

Simply Good Foods (SMPL)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $20.02 | Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Simply Good Foods (SMPL)


Market Price (12/28/2025): $20.02
Market Cap: $2.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 7.8%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
  Key risks
SMPL key risks include [1] the substantial performance decline and financial impairment of its Atkins brand and [2] the threat from GLP-1 weight-loss drugs altering consumer demand for nutritional snacks.
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, and Nutritional Supplements.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%, FCF Yield is 7.8%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 12%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -37%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 34%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, and Nutritional Supplements.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -128%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -1.8%
7 Key risks
SMPL key risks include [1] the substantial performance decline and financial impairment of its Atkins brand and [2] the threat from GLP-1 weight-loss drugs altering consumer demand for nutritional snacks.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SMPL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -30.2% movement in Simply Good Foods (SMPL) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025:

<b>1. Simply Good Foods missed its Q4 2025 earnings per share (EPS) estimates.</b><br><br>

On October 23, 2025, the company reported an adjusted EPS of $0.46 for the fourth quarter, falling short of the consensus estimate of $0.48 by 4.17%. This earnings miss led to a significant negative market reaction.

<b>2. The company experienced a decline in Q4 2025 net sales.</b><br><br>

Simply Good Foods reported quarterly revenue of $369 million, which represented a 1.8% decrease compared to the same period in the prior year. While slightly exceeding some revenue forecasts, it fell short of others, contributing to investor disappointment.

<b>3. Simply Good Foods reported a notable contraction in gross margin and adjusted EBITDA.</b><br><br>

The gross profit for Q4 2025 decreased by 13.3% year-over-year, with the gross margin declining by 450 basis points to 34.3%. Additionally, adjusted EBITDA was down 14.5% year-over-year, indicating significant pressure on the company's profitability.

<b>4. The Atkins brand showed weak performance and resulted in an impairment charge.</b><br><br>

The Atkins brand faced a challenging fiscal year 2025, with consumption declining by 12% in Q4 and 10% for the full year, largely due to losing distribution at club stores and changes in promotional activities. This underperformance led to a non-cash impairment charge of $60.9 million, contributing to a diluted loss per share in the quarter.

<b>5. The company provided a cautious fiscal year 2026 outlook.</b><br><br>

Simply Good Foods projected net sales growth for fiscal year 2026 to be in the range of -2% to +2%. Furthermore, the company anticipated a decline in gross margins by 100 to 150 basis points and adjusted EBITDA to be between -4% and +1% for the upcoming fiscal year, reflecting ongoing challenges and increased marketing investments.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -19.1% change in SMPL stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -28.3% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
927202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)24.7119.98-19.14%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1457.571450.92-0.46%
Net Income Margin (%)9.97%7.14%-28.34%
P/E Multiple17.1719.3612.79%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)100.92100.420.50%
Cumulative Contribution-19.14%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SMPL-19.1% 
Market (SPY)4.3%-11.5%
Sector (XLP)0.3%26.8%

Fundamental Drivers

The -37.4% change in SMPL stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -30.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
628202512272025Change
Stock Price ($)31.9119.98-37.39%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1411.371450.922.80%
Net Income Margin (%)10.31%7.14%-30.73%
P/E Multiple22.1619.36-12.62%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)101.04100.420.61%
Cumulative Contribution-37.39%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SMPL-37.4% 
Market (SPY)12.6%0.1%
Sector (XLP)-2.2%31.9%

Fundamental Drivers

The -48.5% change in SMPL stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -31.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).
1227202412272025Change
Stock Price ($)38.7919.98-48.49%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1331.321450.928.98%
Net Income Margin (%)10.46%7.14%-31.75%
P/E Multiple27.8919.36-30.57%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)100.16100.42-0.26%
Cumulative Contribution-48.49%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SMPL-48.5% 
Market (SPY)17.0%25.8%
Sector (XLP)0.5%48.0%

Fundamental Drivers

The -47.0% change in SMPL stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -44.3% change in the company's P/E Multiple.
1228202212272025Change
Stock Price ($)37.7019.98-47.00%
Change Contribution ByLTMLTM
Total Revenues ($ Mil)1168.681450.9224.15%
Net Income Margin (%)9.29%7.14%-23.13%
P/E Multiple34.7719.36-44.31%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)100.14100.42-0.28%
Cumulative Contribution-47.00%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025
ReturnCorrelation
SMPL-50.3% 
Market (SPY)48.0%22.0%
Sector (XLP)14.0%40.1%

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SMPL Return10%33%-9%4%-2%-49%-31%
Peers Return16%38%-12%21%26%16%150%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%18%114%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SMPL Win Rate42%58%42%58%33%25% 
Peers Win Rate52%65%42%68%57%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SMPL Max Drawdown-49%-14%-29%-15%-21%-52% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-5%-26%-7%-9%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSMPLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-48.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven94.3%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven274 days148 days

Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL

In The Past

Simply Good Foods's stock fell -34.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/19/2022. A -34.0% loss requires a 51.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Simply Good Foods (SMPL)

The Simply Good Foods Company operates as a consumer packaged food and beverage company in North America and internationally. The company develops, markets, and sells snacks and meal replacements. It offers protein bars, ready-to-drink shakes, sweet and salty snacks, cookies, pizza, protein chips, recipes, and confectionery products, as well as licensed frozen meals under the Atkins, Atkins Endulge, and Quest brand names. The company distributes its products to various retail channels, such as mass merchandise, grocery and drug channels, club stores, convenience stores, gas stations, and other channels. It also sells its products through e-commerce channels, including atkins.com, questnutrition.com, and amazon.com. The Simply Good Foods Company is headquartered in Denver, Colorado.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Simply Good Foods (SMPL):

  • Simply Good Foods is like Clif Bar for keto and low-carb diets.
  • Simply Good Foods is like a consumer packaged goods (CPG) version of Weight Watchers, specializing in diet-friendly foods and snacks.
  • Simply Good Foods is like PepsiCo's Frito-Lay, but exclusively producing high-protein, low-carb snacks and diet foods.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Protein Bars: Convenient, high-protein, low-sugar snack bars designed for active lifestyles and weight management.
  • Protein Shakes & Powders: Ready-to-drink protein shakes and versatile protein powders for muscle support and meal replacement.
  • Nutritious Snacks: A variety of better-for-you snacks including protein chips, cookies, crisps, and plant-based bites, offering healthier alternatives.
  • Frozen Meals: Low-carb and keto-friendly frozen meals providing convenient options for specific dietary needs.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Simply Good Foods Company (symbol: SMPL) primarily sells its products to other companies, specifically various retail channels that then sell to individual consumers. Therefore, it operates on a business-to-business (B2B) model with its direct customers being retailers.

According to its SEC filings (10-K reports), Simply Good Foods has a concentration of sales with a few major retailers. Its most significant identified customer is:

  • Walmart Inc. (Symbol: WMT) - This customer and its affiliates accounted for approximately 25% of Simply Good Foods' net sales in fiscal year 2023.

Simply Good Foods also states that its top three customers collectively accounted for approximately 45% of its net sales in fiscal year 2023. While Walmart Inc. is explicitly named as a primary customer, the other two major customers making up the remaining percentage are not specifically identified by name in its public filings. These typically include other large retailers such as mass merchandisers, club stores, grocery stores, drug stores, and e-commerce platforms.

AI Analysis | Feedback

null

AI Analysis | Feedback

Geoff E. Tanner President, Chief Executive Officer and Director Geoff E. Tanner was appointed President, Chief Operating Officer, and CEO-Elect of The Simply Good Foods Company on April 3, 2023, and became President and Chief Executive Officer in July 2023. He brings over two decades of experience driving financial and marketplace results for prominent food companies. Prior to joining Simply Good Foods, Mr. Tanner served as Chief Commercial & Marketing Officer at The J.M. Smucker Company from October 2019 to February 2023, where he oversaw a significant commercial organization and led successful transformations in marketing and sales. His earlier roles at Smucker included Senior Vice President, Growth and Innovation, and General Manager, Pet Snacks Business Unit and Vice President, Marketing. He also held executive positions at Big Heart Pet Brands and its predecessor, Del Monte Foods, from 2013 to 2016. Mr. Tanner began his career as a senior strategy consultant at Cap Gemini Ernst & Young. Chris Bealer Chief Financial Officer Christopher J. Bealer became the Chief Financial Officer of The Simply Good Foods Company after Shaun Mara's retirement on July 3, 2025. He joined the company as Senior Vice President of Finance on April 1, 2025, in preparation for this transition. Mr. Bealer has nearly 23 years of experience in consumer packaged goods and consumer durables, both in North America and globally. His background includes executive roles at Reckitt Benckiser Group PLC, where he managed global controls and financial shared services, and significant finance positions at Whirlpool Corporation, Big Heart Pet Brands, Del Monte Foods, and H.J. Heinz Company. Joseph E. Scalzo Executive Vice Chairman of the Board Joseph E. Scalzo is the Executive Vice Chairman of the Board for The Simply Good Foods Company. He previously served as President and Chief Executive Officer of Simply Good Foods and its predecessor, Atkins Nutritionals, Inc., for nearly ten years. During his tenure as CEO, he was instrumental in the company's successful entry into the public markets and its transformational acquisition of Quest. Mr. Scalzo possesses over 30 years of experience in leading food and consumer companies. His career includes serving as CEO of WhiteWave Foods Company and holding senior executive positions at Dean Foods, The Gillette Company, and The Coca-Cola Company. He began his career at Procter & Gamble. Mr. Scalzo is credited with leading the transformation of WhiteWave Foods Company into a successful consumer foods company and spearheading a three-year turnaround of The Gillette Company's global personal care business. He is also a partner in Centerview Capital, an investment firm focused on branded packaged goods. Timothy R. Kraft Chief Legal and Corporate Development Officer Timothy R. Kraft serves as the Chief Legal and Corporate Development Officer at The Simply Good Foods Company. Amy C. Held Chief Human Resources Officer Amy C. Held holds the position of Chief Human Resources Officer at The Simply Good Foods Company.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) faces several key risks to its business operations and financial performance.
  1. Declining Atkins Brand Performance: The most significant risk stems from the continued decline in sales and distribution of the Atkins brand. In fiscal year 2025, the Atkins brand was a substantial drag on the company's financial health, necessitating a $60.9 million non-cash impairment charge due to its performance and updated revenue projections. Retail takeaway for Atkins was down significantly, and the company anticipates further declines, partly due to reduced trade investments and distribution losses at key retailers. While other brands like Quest and OWYN are driving growth, the underperformance of Atkins remains a major portfolio management challenge for Simply Good Foods.
  2. Changing Consumer Preferences and Intense Competition, including GLP-1 Weight-Loss Drugs: Simply Good Foods operates in a highly competitive nutritional snacking industry where consumer preferences can shift rapidly. A significant emerging risk is the increasing popularity and use of GLP-1 weight-loss drugs. If the company cannot effectively communicate how its products support weight management goals in light of these medications, or if these drugs broadly impact the nutritional snacking category, it could materially and adversely affect the business. The company also faces fierce competition from larger players with greater resources and more widely recognized brands.
  3. Commodity Cost Volatility and Supply Chain Challenges: The company is exposed to risks related to fluctuating commodity costs and potential disruptions in its supply chain. Rising costs for essential ingredients such as whey, cocoa, and plant-based oils can squeeze gross margins. Furthermore, climate change poses financial risks, including potential negative impacts on agricultural productivity, which could lead to decreased availability or increased costs of these key commodities. Such factors could affect the company's supply chain, production schedules, and overall financial results.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The widespread and accelerating adoption of GLP-1 receptor agonist drugs (e.g., Ozempic, Wegovy) for weight management and diabetes treatment represents a clear emerging threat. These medications significantly reduce appetite and increase satiety, potentially diminishing the consumer demand for diet-specific packaged foods and snacks that Simply Good Foods' brands (Atkins, Quest) cater to, as individuals may experience less hunger and fewer cravings, leading to a reduced need for traditional dietary interventions and products.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The Simply Good Foods Company (SMPL) operates in the convenient nutrition and healthy snacking markets, primarily offering protein bars, ready-to-drink (RTD) shakes, and other better-for-you snacks and meal replacements under its Atkins, Quest, and OWYN brands.

Addressable Markets for Simply Good Foods' Main Products:

  • Protein Bars:
    • Global: The global protein bar market was valued at approximately USD 15.26 billion in 2025 and is projected to increase to around USD 23.88 billion by 2034. Other estimates place the global market at USD 15.97 billion in 2024, projected to grow to USD 24.25 billion by 2032.
    • U.S.: The U.S. protein bar market size is estimated at USD 4.17 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach approximately USD 6.65 billion by 2034. Another report indicates the U.S. protein bar market size at USD 4.03 billion in 2024.
  • Ready-to-Drink (RTD) Protein Shakes/Beverages:
    • Global: The global ready-to-drink protein beverages market was approximately USD 1.96 billion in 2025 and is expected to grow to USD 2.85 billion by 2030. Other analyses estimate the market at USD 1.7 billion in 2024, growing to USD 3.4 billion by 2034.
    • North America: North America held a significant share of the RTD protein market, with a 38.76% revenue share in 2024. The North American RTD protein market was valued at USD 0.8 billion in 2024, representing 48.10% of the global market.
  • Healthy Snacks (includes bars, sweet and salty snacks):
    • Global: The global healthy snacks market was valued at approximately USD 97.35 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 188.03 billion by 2034. Another estimate places the global market at USD 101.3 billion in 2024.
    • U.S.: The U.S. healthy snacks market was valued at approximately USD 31.90 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 54.61 billion by 2033. Other reports indicate the U.S. healthy snacks market size at USD 35.6 billion in 2024.
  • Weight Management (relevant for Atkins brand):
    • U.S.: The U.S. weight management market size reached USD 82.7 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 130.0 billion by 2033. Another report estimates the total U.S. weight loss market value at USD 90 billion in 2023.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Simply Good Foods (SMPL) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key strategies:

  1. Continued Growth of the Quest Brand, particularly Salty Snacks: The Quest brand, especially its salty snacks portfolio, is consistently highlighted as a robust organic growth driver. Quest's retail takeaway, particularly in salty snacks, has shown strong increases, with consumption up 31% for the quarter and 34% for the full year in fiscal 2025. The company anticipates that salty snacks will become Quest's largest platform by the end of fiscal year 2026, indicating significant ongoing potential in this segment.

  2. Leveraging the OWYN Acquisition: The acquisition of Only What You Need (OWYN), a plant-based protein shake brand, is a crucial driver of net sales growth. OWYN significantly contributed to net sales growth in fiscal year 2024 and 2025, and Simply Good Foods expects OWYN's net sales to be in the range of $135-145 million for fiscal year 2025. The company plans to double OWYN's sales within four years through distribution expansion and by appealing to a broader mainstream consumer base. OWYN's retail takeaway increased 24% in Q3 2025, with distribution expanding 18% due to recent gains.

  3. Strategic Revitalization and Repositioning of the Atkins Brand: Although the Atkins brand has faced declines in recent periods, Simply Good Foods is actively implementing a revitalization plan to reshape it for future profitability. This involves working with retailers to manage product assortment and focusing on making Atkins a more profitable, sustainable business, potentially acting as a "cash cow" to support the growth of other brands. Initiatives include a packaging refresh and a new leadership team dedicated to executing this plan.

  4. Disruptive Innovation and New Product Development: Simply Good Foods' growth framework is underpinned by "disruptive innovation" and a "rich pipeline of innovation," particularly within the Quest brand. This strategy includes launching new products like the Quest Overload bar platform, which contributed to Quest bar growth. This continuous focus on innovation across its portfolio is expected to capture evolving consumer demands within the nutritional snacking category, which continues to see double-digit growth driven by demand for high-protein, low-sugar, and low-carb options.

  5. Expansion of Distribution and Market Penetration: The company aims to expand its "physical availability" and gain shelf and merchandising space for its growth brands, Quest and OWYN. This includes driving distribution of existing OWYN products and increasing household penetration of its brands. The consistent expansion of distribution for both Quest and OWYN products across various channels is a key factor in increasing their market reach and, consequently, revenue.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • The Board of Directors approved an additional $150 million to its existing stock repurchase program on October 21, 2025, bringing the total funds allocated for stock repurchasing to $171 million as of October 23, 2025.
  • For the full fiscal year 2025, the company repurchased approximately $50.9 million of its stock.
  • On April 13, 2022, the company's Board of Directors approved adding $50 million to its existing stock repurchase program, making approximately $76.2 million available under the authorization at that time.

Share Issuance

  • On January 10, 2022, Conyers Park Acquisition Corp. exercised 6.7 million private placement warrants on a cashless basis, resulting in the net receipt of 4,830,761 shares of Simply Good Foods common stock and an increase in outstanding shares to 100,963,850.

Outbound Investments

  • In June 2024, Simply Good Foods acquired Only What You Need, Inc. (OWYN), a plant-based protein food company, for a cash purchase price of approximately $280.0 million.
  • The company actively seeks to identify and evaluate new acquisition opportunities to expand its existing portfolio in complementary snacking categories such as sports/active and adult nutritional snacks, salty snacks, and protein snacks, as well as in the "better-for-you" eating space.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for fiscal year 2025 were about $20.5 million, primarily supporting strategic investments to drive growth.
  • Historical capital expenditures were $17 million in fiscal year 2021, $12 million in fiscal year 2022, $16 million in fiscal year 2023, and $18 million in fiscal year 2024.
  • For fiscal year 2026, projected capital expenditures are $13 million.

Better Bets than Simply Good Foods (SMPL)

Trade Ideas

Select ideas related to SMPL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-8.9%-8.9%-8.9%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-7.6%-7.6%-9.2%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
13.1%13.1%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.4%5.4%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.0%-5.0%-6.0%
SMPL_9122025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09122025SMPLSimply Good FoodsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-26.4%-26.4%-31.5%

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Simply Good Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SMPLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSimply G.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Price19.9823.2624.49305.0978.16273.4051.32
Mkt Cap2.021.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
Rev LTM1,45155,29534,29665,40257,696408,62556,496
Op Inc LTM2193,6241,64411,54412,991130,2147,584
FCF LTM1562,80062711,85412,73396,1847,327
FCF 3Y Avg1752,9781,40011,75313,879100,5037,366
CFO LTM1783,6972,91913,48313,744108,5658,590
CFO 3Y Avg1883,6723,89613,49814,736111,5598,697

Growth & Margins

SMPLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSimply G.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Rev Chg LTM9.0%3.2%13.8%4.5%8.9%6.0%7.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.5%-3.9%6.5%2.6%3.7%1.8%3.2%
Rev Chg Q-1.8%4.2%14.4%9.1%7.5%9.6%8.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-0.5%1.1%3.7%2.1%1.8%2.1%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM15.1%6.6%4.8%17.7%22.5%31.9%16.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg16.1%7.4%7.2%16.4%24.2%30.8%16.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.7%-0.2%-1.4%0.6%0.4%0.1%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM12.3%6.7%8.5%20.6%23.8%26.6%16.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg14.1%6.8%12.7%21.4%26.1%28.4%17.8%
FCF/Rev LTM10.7%5.1%1.8%18.1%22.1%23.5%14.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg13.1%5.5%4.6%18.6%24.6%25.6%15.9%

Valuation

SMPLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSimply G.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
Mkt Cap2.021.932.6284.9309.24,074.4158.8
P/S1.40.41.04.45.410.02.9
P/EBIT12.66.819.925.122.531.321.2
P/E19.48.6572.736.029.941.033.0
P/CFO11.25.911.221.122.537.516.2
Total Yield5.2%14.1%2.3%5.0%5.4%2.8%5.1%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.5%2.1%2.2%2.1%0.4%2.1%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.6%10.6%5.5%6.4%6.0%3.1%5.8%
D/E0.20.50.70.20.10.00.2
Net D/E0.10.30.60.20.00.00.1

Returns

SMPLHPQHPEIBMCSCOAAPLMedian
NameSimply G.HP Hewlett .Internat.Cisco Sy.Apple  
1M Rtn1.3%-1.8%14.4%0.6%2.7%-1.5%1.0%
3M Rtn-19.1%-11.9%2.7%7.9%17.0%7.1%4.9%
6M Rtn-37.4%-4.0%34.5%6.6%15.2%36.3%10.9%
12M Rtn-48.5%-27.0%16.2%40.5%34.5%7.5%11.8%
3Y Rtn-47.0%-1.9%71.1%143.1%81.3%120.2%76.2%
1M Excs Rtn-2.2%-5.6%12.9%-2.2%-0.0%-3.7%-2.2%
3M Excs Rtn-23.5%-16.2%-1.7%3.6%12.7%2.8%0.6%
6M Excs Rtn-49.6%-16.3%22.3%-5.7%3.0%24.0%-1.3%
12M Excs Rtn-63.6%-42.9%-0.7%25.0%19.9%-8.4%-4.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-128.4%-83.5%-11.2%59.6%-1.2%28.4%-6.2%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment1,2431,1691,006817
Total1,2431,1691,006817


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$19.98 
Market Cap ($ Bil)2.0 
First Trading Date09/10/2014 
Distance from 52W High-49.4% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$20.10$28.80
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-0.6%-30.6%
 3M1YR
Volatility44.3%34.4%
Downside Capture-38.9061.02
Upside Capture-132.22-14.68
Correlation (SPY)-11.7%25.6%
SMPL Betas & Captures as of 11/30/2025

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta-0.80-0.37-0.270.240.460.50
Up Beta-2.41-0.54-0.290.280.760.69
Down Beta-0.790.830.470.260.260.36
Up Capture-18%-137%-122%-46%-6%7%
Bmk +ve Days13263974142427
Stock +ve Days11212655115363
Down Capture-55%-27%20%111%76%85%
Bmk -ve Days7162452107323
Stock -ve Days9203568131381

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
 Comparison of SMPL With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y)
 SMPLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-47.9%0.5%17.8%72.1%8.6%4.4%-8.2%
Annualized Volatility34.1%13.9%19.4%19.3%15.2%17.0%35.0%
Sharpe Ratio-1.86-0.200.722.700.340.09-0.08
Correlation With Other Assets 48.2%25.9%-4.1%-7.3%41.1%4.7%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
 Comparison of SMPL With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y)
 SMPLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return-5.0%5.7%14.7%18.7%11.5%4.6%30.8%
Annualized Volatility32.3%13.0%17.1%15.5%18.7%18.9%48.6%
Sharpe Ratio-0.100.230.700.970.500.160.57
Correlation With Other Assets 42.9%39.2%4.7%7.9%39.5%16.0%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
 Comparison of SMPL With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y)
 SMPLSector ETFEquityGoldCommoditiesReal EstateBitcoin
Annualized Return6.2%7.3%14.8%15.3%7.0%5.3%69.2%
Annualized Volatility35.6%14.7%18.0%14.7%17.6%20.8%55.8%
Sharpe Ratio0.270.370.710.860.320.220.90
Correlation With Other Assets 43.8%42.8%1.0%14.8%38.1%10.3%

ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLP, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date12152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity4,338,312
Short Interest: % Change Since 11302025-14.1%
Average Daily Volume1,490,980
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.91
Basic Shares Quantity100,419,463
Short % of Basic Shares4.3%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/23/2025-17.3%-21.1%-19.4%
7/10/2025-0.1%2.3%-7.2%
4/9/20259.2%13.6%8.0%
1/8/2025-2.5%-10.3%0.3%
10/24/20243.3%5.2%21.3%
10/24/20236.9%13.4%20.5%
6/29/20233.4%7.8%10.1%
4/5/2023-4.8%-6.4%-4.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive787
# Negative989
Median Positive4.7%7.8%10.1%
Median Negative-8.3%-9.0%-7.2%
Max Positive9.2%17.0%21.3%
Max Negative-17.3%-21.1%-20.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251028202510-K 8/30/2025
5312025710202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025409202510-Q 3/1/2025
11302024108202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241029202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024627202410-Q 5/25/2024
2292024404202410-Q 2/24/2024
11302023104202410-Q 11/25/2023
83120231024202310-K 8/26/2023
5312023629202310-Q 5/27/2023
2282023405202310-Q 2/25/2023
11302022105202310-Q 11/26/2022
83120221021202210-K 8/27/2022
5312022630202210-Q 5/28/2022
2282022406202210-Q 2/26/2022
11302021105202210-Q 11/27/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data