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Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Nutritional Supplements, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -110%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -166%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
1   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 206%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -285%
4   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 899%
5   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 93%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Nutritional Supplements, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -110%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -166%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 206%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -285%
6 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 899%
7 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 93%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TLRY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate -47.7% stock movement for Tilray Brands (TLRY) from August 31, 2025, to December 5, 2025:

1. Disappointment in U.S. Cannabis Policy Progress: Investor hopes for federal cannabis rescheduling, which had fueled a rally in August 2025, dissipated due to a lack of concrete legislative action and new U.S. government bills reportedly recriminalizing some hemp THC products. This absence of favorable regulatory change negatively impacted the stock.

2. Implementation of a Reverse Stock Split: The announcement and subsequent implementation of a 1-for-10 reverse stock split in late November and early December 2025, primarily to maintain Nasdaq listing compliance and attract institutional investors, often leads to negative investor sentiment and further stock declines in the short term.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TLRY Return-52%25%0%-78%-42%-46%-96%
Peers Return8%36%20%3%5%21%132%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%17%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLRY Win Rate50%25%0%33%25%30% 
Peers Win Rate48%58%60%42%42%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLRY Max Drawdown-86%0%0%-85%-50%-73% 
Peers Max Drawdown-21%-6%-13%-21%-7%-16% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/4/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTLRYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4104.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-88.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven764.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven321 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-92.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1261.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE


In The Past

Tilray Brands's stock fell -97.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -97.6% loss requires a 4104.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tilray Brands (TLRY)

Better Bets than Tilray Brands (TLRY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TLRY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
10.0%10.0%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-7.7%-7.7%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.9%6.9%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
11.5%11.5%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
8.9%8.9%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tilray Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLRYLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameTilray B.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Mkt Price7.22-1,014.49202.48100.8925.70100.89
Mkt Cap0.8-910.9487.6251.7146.1251.7
Rev LTM831-53,25892,14964,23562,78662,786
Op Inc LTM-89-22,88224,14622,39115,41722,391
FCF LTM-96--5018,67913,04910,37610,376
FCF 3Y Avg-54--15617,81413,6858,9278,927
CFO LTM-61-10,93824,20417,06513,07713,077
CFO 3Y Avg-24-7,23023,20917,50612,12712,127

Growth & Margins

TLRYLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameTilray B.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Rev Chg LTM2.3%-36.8%5.1%1.7%3.9%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.0%-23.4%6.1%2.9%-13.2%6.1%
Rev Chg Q4.7%-37.6%6.8%3.7%-5.9%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%-8.7%1.7%1.0%-1.6%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-10.7%-43.0%26.2%34.9%24.6%26.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.2%-35.6%26.4%23.7%19.4%23.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.4%-1.8%1.7%3.7%-1.4%1.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-7.3%-20.5%26.3%26.6%20.8%20.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2.5%-17.8%26.4%28.2%18.9%18.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.6%--0.1%20.3%20.3%16.5%16.5%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.4%-0.5%20.3%22.0%13.9%13.9%

Valuation

TLRYLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameTilray B.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
Mkt Cap0.8-910.9487.6251.7146.1251.7
P/S0.9-12.94.83.32.33.3
P/EBIT-0.3-38.613.89.112.212.2
P/E-0.4-49.617.811.014.714.7
P/CFO-12.6-62.618.412.311.112.3
Total Yield-280.6%-2.7%8.4%13.0%13.5%8.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%-0.7%2.7%3.9%6.7%2.7%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-32.0%-0.1%4.4%5.5%5.5%4.4%
D/E0.4-0.10.10.20.40.2
Net D/E0.1-0.10.10.10.30.1

Returns

TLRYLHILLYJNJMRKPFEMedian
NameTilray B.Living H.Eli LillyJohnson .Merck Pfizer  
1M Rtn-41.8%-12.0%9.0%20.3%5.8%9.0%
3M Rtn-37.2%-36.8%14.0%21.2%6.6%14.0%
6M Rtn86.0%-33.0%33.6%32.6%15.1%33.0%
12M Rtn-43.6%-23.2%38.7%3.2%9.2%9.2%
3Y Rtn-93.0%-181.3%24.1%0.3%-39.7%0.3%
1M Excs Rtn-43.0%-10.8%7.8%19.0%4.5%7.8%
3M Excs Rtn-45.1%-33.9%8.4%14.5%-0.7%8.4%
6M Excs Rtn70.5%-17.5%18.1%17.1%-0.4%17.5%
12M Excs Rtn-59.5%-14.4%21.4%-9.4%-6.7%-6.7%
3Y Excs Rtn-166.3%-112.2%-47.3%-71.9%-111.5%-71.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cannabis273220238201130
Distribution259259260277275
Beverage202957129 
Wellness5553606 
Total789627628513405


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity98,651,722
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume41,165,096
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.40
Basic Shares Quantity106,027,189
Short % of Basic Shares93.0%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251009202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025729202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025408202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024110202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241010202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024730202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024409202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023109202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231004202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023726202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023410202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022109202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221007202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022728202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022406202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021110202210-Q 11/30/2021