Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Nutritional Supplements, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
1   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 236%
2   Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
3   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 206%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -161%
5   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 901%
6   Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 104%
7   Key risks
TLRY key risks include [1] a consistent failure to achieve profitability, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Functional Foods & Beverages, Nutritional Supplements, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -75%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156%
2 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -89 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -11%
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 236%
4 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -7.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 206%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -161%
7 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 901%
8 Significant short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 104%
9 Key risks
TLRY key risks include [1] a consistent failure to achieve profitability, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

TLRY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the stock movement of Tilray Brands (TLRY) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. The company's fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings, reported in late July 2025, fell short of revenue forecasts and included a substantial net loss. Tilray reported a net loss of $1.2 billion for Q4 fiscal 2025, largely due to a non-cash impairment charge of $1.4 billion related to its 2021 merger with Aphria, which significantly impacted investor sentiment. Additionally, net revenue for the quarter saw a approximately 2% year-over-year decline.

2. Tilray's first-quarter fiscal year 2026 earnings, covering the period ending August 31, 2025, reported on October 9, 2025, showed only modest sales growth. While the net loss significantly improved compared to the previous year, the reported sales of $209.5 million, though up from $200.04 million a year prior, did not provide strong positive momentum for the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
TLRY Return-52%25%0%-78%-42%5%-92%
Peers Return-25%-21%-52%-32%-12%8%-82%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
TLRY Win Rate50%25%0%33%25%33% 
Peers Win Rate40%28%37%43%37%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
TLRY Max Drawdown-86%0%0%-85%-50%-94% 
Peers Max Drawdown-64%-30%-56%-45%-25%-36% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CGC, CRON, SNDL, ACB, STZ.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventTLRYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-97.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4104.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-88.4%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven764.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven321 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-92.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1261.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to LHI, LLY, JNJ, MRK, PFE


In The Past

Tilray Brands's stock fell -97.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -97.6% loss requires a 4104.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Tilray Brands (TLRY)

Better Bets than Tilray Brands (TLRY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to TLRY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
16.8%16.8%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-6.4%-6.4%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.2%5.2%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.4%14.4%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Tilray Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

TLRYCGCCRONSNDLACBSTZMedian
NameTilray B.Canopy G.Cronos SNDL Aurora C.Constell. 
Mkt Price12.881.923.032.075.57139.724.30
Mkt Cap1.40.51.20.60.324.60.9
Rev LTM8312791329523679,624599
Op Inc LTM-89-56-24-11-293,042-27
FCF LTM-96-96-658-181,848-12
FCF 3Y Avg-54-261-2527-771,677-40
CFO LTM-61-88227022,76912
CFO 3Y Avg-24-253-1137-582,841-18

Growth & Margins

TLRYCGCCRONSNDLACBSTZMedian
NameTilray B.Canopy G.Cronos SNDL Aurora C.Constell. 
Rev Chg LTM2.3%-0.7%19.0%4.4%23.9%-5.6%3.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg11.0%-10.8%17.4%29.3%18.5%0.7%14.2%
Rev Chg Q4.7%5.9%6.1%3.1%11.4%-15.0%5.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%1.3%1.6%0.8%2.6%-4.4%1.2%
Op Mgn LTM-10.7%-20.3%-18.5%-1.2%-7.9%31.6%-9.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-17.2%-50.2%-60.7%-6.5%-24.5%31.7%-20.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM2.4%2.6%11.2%-0.0%-4.5%-0.1%1.2%
CFO/Rev LTM-7.3%-31.7%16.4%7.3%0.6%28.8%4.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-2.5%-86.6%-19.0%4.0%-22.6%28.8%-10.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.6%-34.5%-4.3%6.1%-5.0%19.2%-4.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-6.4%-89.3%-30.2%2.8%-28.7%17.0%-17.6%

Valuation

TLRYCGCCRONSNDLACBSTZMedian
NameTilray B.Canopy G.Cronos SNDL Aurora C.Constell. 
Mkt Cap1.40.51.20.60.324.60.9
P/S1.61.48.00.80.92.51.5
P/EBIT-0.6-1.2-43.5-7.8-7.411.2-4.3
P/E-0.6-1.029.5-7.7-5.619.4-0.8
P/CFO-22.5-4.549.010.2150.08.69.4
Total Yield-157.3%-96.4%3.4%-12.9%-17.7%6.7%-15.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%1.5%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-32.0%-52.2%-3.3%3.9%-30.5%4.9%-16.9%
D/E0.20.60.00.20.30.40.3
Net D/E0.0-0.1-0.8-0.10.00.4-0.0

Returns

TLRYCGCCRONSNDLACBSTZMedian
NameTilray B.Canopy G.Cronos SNDL Aurora C.Constell. 
1M Rtn25.0%82.9%25.2%24.0%29.5%6.7%25.1%
3M Rtn8.2%41.2%17.4%-17.2%11.6%5.8%9.9%
6M Rtn236.0%48.8%58.6%63.0%19.0%-11.5%53.7%
12M Rtn3.9%-37.0%55.4%18.3%24.6%-38.5%11.1%
3Y Rtn-87.5%-92.6%6.3%-8.8%-46.4%-36.2%-41.3%
1M Excs Rtn24.3%82.1%24.5%23.2%28.8%6.0%24.4%
3M Excs Rtn0.9%37.8%12.1%-20.5%6.2%4.5%5.3%
6M Excs Rtn223.6%36.5%46.3%50.6%6.6%-23.9%41.4%
12M Excs Rtn-2.8%-49.3%45.9%5.2%18.2%-51.3%1.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-155.9%-161.9%-63.6%-88.5%-119.1%-108.3%-113.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Cannabis273220238201130
Distribution259259260277275
Beverage202957129 
Wellness5553606 
Total789627628513405


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity110,308,856
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202511.9%
Average Daily Volume45,665,125
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.42
Basic Shares Quantity106,027,189
Short % of Basic Shares104.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/9/202522.1%-2.3%-29.7%
7/28/2025-17.6%-13.1%107.2%
4/8/2025-21.2%-16.0%-25.4%
1/10/2025-10.2%-13.9%-28.4%
10/10/2024-2.5%-3.1%-4.9%
7/29/20249.8%-5.5%-4.4%
4/9/2024-20.7%-31.3%-23.6%
1/9/2024-9.8%-10.7%-19.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1079
# Negative141715
Median Positive1.1%0.0%0.0%
Median Negative-11.6%-10.7%-21.6%
Max Positive25.8%41.7%107.2%
Max Negative-21.2%-50.0%-55.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251009202510-Q 8/31/2025
5312025729202510-K 5/31/2025
2282025408202510-Q 2/28/2025
11302024110202510-Q 11/30/2024
83120241010202410-Q 8/31/2024
5312024730202410-K 5/31/2024
2292024409202410-Q 2/29/2024
11302023109202410-Q 11/30/2023
83120231004202310-Q 8/31/2023
5312023726202310-K 5/31/2023
2282023410202310-Q 2/28/2023
11302022109202310-Q 11/30/2022
83120221007202210-Q 8/31/2022
5312022728202210-K 5/31/2022
2282022406202210-Q 2/28/2022
11302021110202210-Q 11/30/2021