Tearsheet

SNDL (SNDL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.755 | Market Cap: $467.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Distillers & Vintners

SNDL (SNDL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $1.755
Market Cap: $467.5 Mil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Distillers & Vintners

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.2%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.1%
  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Cannabis & Wellness Products, and Specialized Alcohol & Cannabis Retail.
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -12%
1 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.1%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Cannabis & Wellness Products, and Specialized Alcohol & Cannabis Retail.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -28%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
4 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -11 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -1.2%
5 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 90%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -17%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

SNDL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, SNDL Inc.'s stock experienced a significant decline, largely influenced by its third-quarter 2025 financial results and broader market conditions for the cannabis sector.

1. Significant Earnings Per Share (EPS) Miss: On November 4, 2025, SNDL reported an EPS of -$0.04 for its third quarter of 2025, considerably missing analysts' consensus estimates of -$0.00. This substantial miss surprised analysts and contributed to negative investor sentiment.

2. Reported Operating Loss: For the third quarter of 2025, the company reported an operating loss of $(11.1) million. This loss was partly impacted by non-cash items, including a $(6.8) million increase in share-based compensation liability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
SNDL Return-84%22%-64%-22%9%-5%-94%
Peers Return5%26%-4%-5%-27%-22%-32%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
SNDL Win Rate25%25%42%42%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate43%43%47%38%25%42% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
SNDL Max Drawdown-95%0%-66%-40%-20%-32% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-4%-14%-13%-28%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: STZ, WVVI, AGCC, BF-B, MGPI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventSNDLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-95.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2260.0%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-95.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2311.1%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days

Compare to STZ, WVVI, AGCC, BF-B, MGPI


In The Past

SNDL's stock fell -95.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -95.8% loss requires a 2260.0% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About SNDL (SNDL)

Better Bets than SNDL (SNDL)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to SNDL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for SNDL

Peers to compare with:

Financials

SNDLSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameSNDL Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Price1.74138.082.897.1830.0923.8515.52
Mkt Cap0.524.30.0-14.20.50.5
Rev LTM9529,62438-3,948579952
Op Inc LTM-113,0420-1,156110110
FCF LTM581,848-2-5846262
FCF 3Y Avg271,677-6-4323737
CFO LTM702,769-1-741121121
CFO 3Y Avg372,841-2-6249898

Growth & Margins

SNDLSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameSNDL Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
Rev Chg LTM4.4%-5.6%-2.2%--3.5%-21.5%-3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg29.3%0.7%6.6%--0.6%-7.9%0.7%
Rev Chg Q3.1%-15.0%-1.3%--2.8%-18.9%-2.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.8%-4.4%-0.4%--0.7%-5.0%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM-1.2%31.6%0.4%-29.3%18.9%18.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-6.5%31.7%-1.7%-27.4%20.4%20.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.0%-0.1%-0.4%--0.0%-1.5%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM7.3%28.8%-2.7%-18.8%20.9%18.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg4.0%28.8%-6.0%-15.3%14.6%14.6%
FCF/Rev LTM6.1%19.2%-5.6%-14.8%10.7%10.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg2.8%17.0%-16.7%-10.6%5.8%5.8%

Valuation

SNDLSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameSNDL Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
Mkt Cap0.524.30.0-14.20.50.5
P/S0.82.50.7-3.20.90.9
P/EBIT-7.811.288.9-10.944.411.2
P/E-7.719.4-64.3-15.1-34.2-7.7
P/CFO10.28.6-26.2-17.24.38.6
Total Yield-12.9%6.7%-1.6%-10.0%-2.4%-1.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.5%0.0%-3.3%0.5%0.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.9%4.9%-27.0%-2.5%4.9%3.9%
D/E0.20.41.1-0.20.50.4
Net D/E-0.10.41.1-0.20.50.4

Returns

SNDLSTZWVVIAGCCBF-BMGPIMedian
NameSNDL Constell.Willamet.Agencia .Brown-Fo.MGP Ingr. 
1M Rtn-20.5%5.5%-6.5%12.0%9.3%-0.7%2.4%
3M Rtn-31.0%-5.0%-33.9%-6.7%-17.9%-17.9%
6M Rtn34.9%-20.9%-51.0%--7.9%-19.4%-19.4%
12M Rtn-8.9%-40.3%-12.6%--25.3%-46.5%-25.3%
3Y Rtn-44.4%-44.1%-52.5%--57.4%-80.1%-52.5%
1M Excs Rtn-20.5%5.6%-6.4%12.0%9.3%-0.7%2.4%
3M Excs Rtn-34.0%-10.0%-39.9%-1.4%-21.8%-21.8%
6M Excs Rtn20.2%-35.6%-65.7%--22.6%-34.1%-34.1%
12M Excs Rtn-23.4%-54.8%-27.7%--40.1%-61.2%-40.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-103.8%-116.1%-125.2%--128.5%-152.8%-125.2%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,590,242
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-10.1%
Average Daily Volume2,743,688
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity266,380,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110420256-K 9/30/2025
630202573120256-K 6/30/2025
331202550120256-K 3/31/2025
12312024318202540-F 12/31/2024
9302024110520246-K 9/30/2024
630202480120246-K 6/30/2024
331202450920246-K 3/31/2024
12312023321202440-F 12/31/2023
9302023111320236-K 9/30/2023
630202381420236-K 6/30/2023
331202351520236-K 3/31/2023
12312022424202320-F 12/31/2022
9302022111420226-K 9/30/2022
630202281220226-K 6/30/2022
331202251620226-K 3/31/2022
12312021428202220-F 12/31/2021