Tearsheet

Rocky Brands (RCKY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.52 | Market Cap: $220.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Footwear

Rocky Brands (RCKY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $29.52
Market Cap: $220.7 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Footwear

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Online Marketplaces, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.1%
2   Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 66%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 11%, Dividend Yield is 2.1%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 7.2%, FCF Yield is 7.1%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & DTC Adoption, and E-commerce & Digital Retail. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands (Staples), Online Marketplaces, Show more.
2 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is -2.1%
3 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -37%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -52%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 62%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -9.1%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 66%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

RCKY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are key points highlighting potential factors for Rocky Brands' (RCKY) stock movement by -0.2% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Anticipated Tariff Impacts and Margin Headwinds for Q4 2025. Despite reporting strong third-quarter 2025 results, concerns were highlighted regarding potential margin pressures from higher tariffs in the upcoming quarters, with analysts specifically noting that the fourth quarter of 2025 would likely show these tariff impacts. This forward-looking outlook could have tempered investor sentiment.

2. Analyst's "Hold" Rating and Valuation Concerns. An analysis published on October 30, 2025, while acknowledging positive Q3 2025 performance, indicated that Rocky Brands' stock was "not attractively priced at about 10x earnings" and maintained a "Hold" rating, viewing the current valuation as fair but not particularly attractive. Such a cautious analyst perspective could contribute to a lack of significant upward movement or minor downward pressure.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
RCKY Return-2%44%-39%31%-23%35%16%
Peers Return-7%14%-36%6%61%10%27%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
RCKY Win Rate50%50%25%42%33%50% 
Peers Win Rate25%47%32%42%43%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
RCKY Max Drawdown-49%0%-53%-47%-32%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-34%-3%-41%-21%-15%-33% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WWW, WEYS, FOSL, FWDI, ONON.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventRCKYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-81.2%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven433.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-49.2%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven96.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven236 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.2%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven228 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-86.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven664.5%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1764 days1480 days

Compare to WWW, WEYS, FOSL, FWDI, ONON


In The Past

Rocky Brands's stock fell -81.2% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -81.2% loss requires a 433.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

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Asset Allocation

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About Rocky Brands (RCKY)

Better Bets than Rocky Brands (RCKY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1How Low Can Rocky Brands Stock Really Go?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to RCKY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Rocky Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

RCKYWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameRocky Br.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
Mkt Price30.0517.4631.793.758.5147.0723.76
Mkt Cap0.21.40.30.2-30.00.3
Rev LTM4701,8522811,084272,718777
Op Inc LTM361413319-529634
FCF LTM165433-48-234824
FCF 3Y Avg4618044-12-017745
CFO LTM237634-43-241629
CFO 3Y Avg5120247-3-024349

Growth & Margins

RCKYWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameRocky Br.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
Rev Chg LTM4.1%3.6%-6.4%-15.3%5.6%35.7%3.9%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-9.1%-10.6%-3.6%-16.2%-13.5%43.6%-9.8%
Rev Chg Q7.0%6.8%-8.9%-15.2%-50.5%32.0%-1.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.7%1.7%-2.0%-3.5%-8.6%7.2%-0.2%
Op Mgn LTM7.7%7.6%11.6%1.7%-19.0%10.9%7.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.7%3.4%12.6%-2.0%-6.9%9.6%5.5%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.6%-0.7%3.0%-8.7%1.0%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM4.9%4.1%12.2%-4.0%-6.8%15.3%4.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.0%9.8%15.2%-0.3%-0.7%9.9%9.8%
FCF/Rev LTM3.4%2.9%11.6%-4.4%-6.9%12.8%3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg10.0%8.7%14.5%-0.9%-0.9%6.5%7.6%

Valuation

RCKYWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameRocky Br.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
Mkt Cap0.21.40.30.2-30.00.3
P/S0.51.21.10.1-12.21.1
P/EBIT6.215.68.9-1.9-214.28.9
P/E10.825.212.1-1.3-243.812.1
P/CFO9.629.49.1-1.8-79.69.6
Total Yield11.3%5.4%17.5%-74.9%-0.4%5.4%
Dividend Yield2.1%1.5%9.3%0.0%-0.0%1.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg28.9%20.5%15.6%-6.7%-0.6%15.6%
D/E0.60.40.04.1-0.00.4
Net D/E0.60.3-0.22.7--0.00.3

Returns

RCKYWWWWEYSFOSLFWDIONONMedian
NameRocky Br.Wolverin.Weyco Fossil Forward .On  
1M Rtn6.0%-21.8%19.0%82.0%-29.1%19.0%
3M Rtn3.5%-44.2%13.2%15.4%-5.1%5.1%
6M Rtn31.6%5.8%8.3%145.1%--18.9%8.3%
12M Rtn37.7%-24.7%-2.1%77.7%--20.9%-2.1%
3Y Rtn13.9%71.5%50.0%-18.8%-140.0%50.0%
1M Excs Rtn6.0%-21.8%19.0%82.1%-29.1%19.0%
3M Excs Rtn-4.2%-50.6%2.7%4.3%--3.1%-3.1%
6M Excs Rtn16.9%-8.9%-6.5%130.4%--33.6%-6.5%
12M Excs Rtn29.4%-36.7%-15.8%143.3%--32.9%-15.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-52.1%1.6%-18.7%-91.1%-81.5%-18.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Wholesale337485391186180
Retail117115957365
Contract Manufacturing8152819 
Military    26
Total462615514277270


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity184,911
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202579.8%
Average Daily Volume125,197
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.48
Basic Shares Quantity7,475,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024317202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023315202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022310202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022509202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Smith Dwight Eric 11072025Buy28.983008,694411,719Form