Etsy (ETSY)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $55.74 | Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Broadline Retail
Etsy (ETSY)
Market Price (12/28/2025): $55.74Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Broadline Retail
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137% | Key risksETSY key risks include [1] a multi-year decline in merchandise sales due to its dependence on discretionary consumer spending and [2] a shrinking user base, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 24%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 22% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 11% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, Social Media & Creator Economy, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -137% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 18% |
| Key risksETSY key risks include [1] a multi-year decline in merchandise sales due to its dependence on discretionary consumer spending and [2] a shrinking user base, Show more. |
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
The requested time period for Etsy's stock movement, from August 31, 2025, to December 28, 2025, is in the future. Therefore, actual stock performance data and explanatory market events for this specific timeframe are not available. However, based on available future-dated earnings reports and announcements within the specified range, here are some key points that could hypothetically influence stock movement in late 2025:
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<b>1. Etsy's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Report:</b> On October 29, 2025, Etsy reported its Q3 2025 earnings, with diluted net income per share at $0.63, beating the consensus estimate of $0.57. Quarterly revenue rose 2.4% year-over-year to $678.03 million, exceeding analysts' expectations. This positive earnings surprise could contribute to an upward movement in the stock price.
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<b>2. Leadership Transition:</b> Also announced on October 29, 2025, was a leadership transition where Kruti Patel Goyal is set to become Chief Executive Officer, with Josh Silverman transitioning to Executive Chair, effective January 1, 2026. Such leadership changes can sometimes be met with mixed market reactions, depending on investor confidence in the new leadership and strategic direction.
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<b>3. New Share Repurchase Authorization:</b> On December 18, 2025, Etsy announced a new $750 million share repurchase authorization. Share repurchase programs can often be viewed positively by investors as they reduce the number of outstanding shares, which can increase earnings per share and signal management's confidence in the company's valuation.
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<b>4. Partnership with OpenAI:</b> In Q3 2025, Etsy signed a partnership agreement with OpenAI. This collaboration enables U.S. ChatGPT users to discover and purchase items directly within the ChatGPT interface, aiming to tap into high-intent traffic from an emerging platform. Such strategic partnerships focused on AI and enhanced user experience could be seen as a positive long-term growth driver.
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<b>5. Continued Investment in App Experience and Personalization:</b> Throughout 2025, Etsy has emphasized efforts to build a more browsable shopping experience, particularly on its app, amplified by personalized marketing and emergent AI technologies. These initiatives are designed to strengthen customer relationships, deepen buyer engagement, and reignite Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) growth, which could positively impact investor sentiment regarding future performance.
Show moreStock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -13.1% change in ETSY stock from 9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -24.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 9272025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 64.18 | 55.75 | -13.13% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2838.41 | 2854.03 | 0.55% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 5.78% | 6.38% | 10.45% |
| P/E Multiple | 40.39 | 30.40 | -24.72% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 103.21 | 99.33 | 3.76% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -13.26% |
Market Drivers
9/27/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ETSY | -13.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.3% | 38.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 1.8% | 45.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 10.1% change in ETSY stock from 6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 7.2% change in the company's Shares Outstanding (Mil).| 6282025 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 50.64 | 55.75 | 10.09% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2813.55 | 2854.03 | 1.44% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 6.69% | 6.38% | -4.58% |
| P/E Multiple | 28.82 | 30.40 | 5.50% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 107.08 | 99.33 | 7.24% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.51% |
Market Drivers
6/28/2025 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ETSY | 10.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 12.6% | 28.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.9% | 33.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 5.8% change in ETSY stock from 12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a 29.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| 12272024 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 52.71 | 55.75 | 5.77% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2798.49 | 2854.03 | 1.98% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.17% | 6.38% | -30.41% |
| P/E Multiple | 23.45 | 30.40 | 29.64% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 114.18 | 99.33 | 13.00% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 3.98% |
Market Drivers
12/27/2024 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ETSY | 5.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.0% | 33.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 7.0% | 36.2% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -53.7% change in ETSY stock from 12/28/2022 to 12/27/2025 was primarily driven by a -68.4% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| 12282022 | 12272025 | Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 120.40 | 55.75 | -53.70% |
| Change Contribution By | LTM | LTM | |
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2476.01 | 2854.03 | 15.27% |
| P/S Multiple | 6.14 | 1.94 | -68.42% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 126.35 | 99.33 | 21.38% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -55.81% |
Market Drivers
12/28/2023 to 12/27/2025| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| ETSY | -31.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 48.0% | 31.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 37.7% | 36.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ETSY Return | 302% | 23% | -45% | -32% | -35% | 6% | 26% |
| Peers Return | 16% | 38% | -12% | 21% | 26% | 16% | 150% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 18% | 114% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ETSY Win Rate | 83% | 50% | 25% | 42% | 33% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 65% | 42% | 68% | 57% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ETSY Max Drawdown | -28% | -12% | -68% | -49% | -41% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -34% | -5% | -26% | -7% | -9% | -23% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL. See ETSY Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/26/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ETSY | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 389.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -49.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 31 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -44.3% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 79.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 147 days | 120 days |
Compare to HPQ, HPE, IBM, CSCO, AAPL
In The Past
Etsy's stock fell -79.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/24/2021. A -79.6% loss requires a 389.5% gain to breakeven.
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AI Analysis | Feedback
- Amazon for handmade goods, vintage items, and craft supplies.
- eBay, but focused exclusively on unique artisan products and vintage finds.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Etsy Marketplace: An online global marketplace connecting buyers and sellers of unique, handmade, vintage items, and craft supplies.
- Seller Services: A suite of tools and features offered to sellers, including advertising, payment processing, and discounted shipping labels, to help them manage and grow their businesses.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Etsy (ETSY) primarily sells its platform services to individuals, operating a two-sided marketplace that connects independent sellers with buyers worldwide. While Etsy's revenue is primarily generated from fees paid by its sellers (who are predominantly individuals or small businesses), its platform is designed to serve a diverse range of individual buyers looking for unique products.
Here are up to three categories of individual customers (buyers) that Etsy serves:
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Seekers of Unique & Handcrafted Items: These customers are drawn to Etsy for its vast selection of items that are distinct from mass-produced goods. They prioritize creativity, craftsmanship, and individuality in products ranging from personalized gifts and fashion accessories to bespoke home decor and art. They often seek items that tell a story or support independent creators and small businesses.
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Gift-Givers & Special Occasion Shoppers: A significant portion of Etsy's customer base consists of individuals purchasing items for gifting. These shoppers are looking for thoughtful, personalized, or one-of-a-kind presents for various occasions such as birthdays, holidays, weddings, baby showers, and anniversaries. Etsy provides a platform to find distinctive gifts not readily available in conventional retail environments.
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Niche Hobbyists & Creative Individuals: This category includes customers actively seeking specific craft supplies, DIY kits, patterns, tools, or digital products (e.g., printable art, digital planners, embroidery files) to support their hobbies, creative projects, or small crafting businesses. They value Etsy's specialized inventory and the ability to source unique materials and designs.
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- Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)
- Adyen N.V. (ADYEN)
- Meta Platforms Inc. (META)
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```htmlJosh Silverman, Chief Executive Officer
Josh Silverman is Etsy's Chief Executive Officer and a member of its board of directors. He has over two decades of experience growing consumer technology companies and scaling global marketplaces. Prior to Etsy, he co-founded Evite, Inc., where he also served as CEO; Evite was later acquired by IAC/InterActiveCorp in 2001. He also served as CEO of Skype and Shopping.com (an eBay company), and held various executive roles at eBay. Additionally, he was President of Consumer Products and Services at American Express. Silverman joined Etsy's board in November 2016 and was installed as CEO in May 2017.
Lanny Baker, Chief Financial Officer
Lanny Baker is Etsy's Chief Financial Officer, responsible for managing the company's global financial operations. His appointment became effective on January 1, 2025. Baker previously held positions as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer of Eventbrite, CFO at Yelp, CEO and CFO at ZipRealty, and CFO at Monster Worldwide. He began his career as an equity research analyst in the internet and e-commerce sectors at Salomon Brothers.
Kruti Patel Goyal, President & Chief Growth Officer
Kruti Patel Goyal is Etsy's President and Chief Growth Officer, overseeing Product, Marketing, Member Support, Trust and Safety, and Strategy and Operations. She previously served as CEO of Depop, an Etsy subsidiary, from September 2022, where she was credited with strengthening its marketplace and accelerating gross merchandise sales. Goyal has been with Etsy for over 10 years, holding leadership roles such as Chief Product Officer, overseeing global Seller Services, managing Corporate Development, leading International Growth, and serving as the first head of Marketplace Integrity and Trust & Safety. Her career began in M&A at Morgan Stanley and in growth equity at General Atlantic Partners. She is slated to become Etsy's CEO on January 1, 2026.
Brad Minor, Chief Marketing Officer
Brad Minor was appointed Chief Marketing Officer in 2025. Prior to this role, he served as Etsy's Chief Brand Officer and Global Head of Brand Marketing and Communications, leading the evolution and execution of Etsy's brand strategy and various cross-functional initiatives. Before joining Etsy, Minor was Head of Brand Marketing and Creative at HubSpot, and Senior Vice President, Brand Marketing for SiriusXM Holdings Inc. He also held roles at JPMorgan Chase & Co. and American Express Company.
Rafe Colburn, Chief Product and Technology Officer
Rafe Colburn is the Chief Product and Technology Officer at Etsy. He previously held the same role at Depop. Before that, he was Vice President of Engineering at Etsy, responsible for teams focusing on Ads, Fulfillment, Seller Experience, Marketing Technology, and Landing Experience.
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Key Risks to Etsy (ETSY)
- Cyclicality and Dependence on Discretionary Consumer Spending: Etsy's business is highly sensitive to consumer discretionary spending, which has proven to be more cyclical than investors may have initially believed. Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS), a critical metric, has declined for three consecutive years since its peak in 2021. This trend is attributed to "pressure on consumer discretionary product spending," as Etsy's primary product categories, such as furniture, apparel, and jewelry, consist of items consumers can delay purchasing during periods of economic instability or inflationary pressures. This cyclicality can significantly impact sales volumes and overall revenue.
- Intense Competition and Market Saturation: The e-commerce market in which Etsy operates is highly competitive, with numerous platforms vying for market share. Etsy faces competition from both specialized niche platforms and larger e-commerce giants. This intense competition contributes to market saturation, making it increasingly challenging for new sellers to gain visibility and for existing sellers to stand out. The crowded marketplace also poses difficulties in attracting new buyers and retaining the existing user base, further hindering growth.
- Shrinking User Base: A significant risk is the decline in Etsy's active user base, encompassing both sellers and buyers. Between Q4 2023 and Q4 of the last year, active sellers decreased by 10% and active buyers by 1.1%. Furthermore, the number of habitual buyers, defined as those who shop on six or more days and spend at least $200 within a 12-month period, has also declined, indicating a potential weakening of the platform's value proposition and buyer loyalty.
AI Analysis | Feedback
TikTok Shop and the broader rise of social commerce platforms represent a clear emerging threat to Etsy. TikTok Shop leverages short-form video content and live shopping to enable direct purchasing within the platform, rapidly gaining traction with small businesses, creators, and consumers looking for unique and custom items. This model directly challenges Etsy's established marketplace by offering an alternative, highly engaging discovery and transaction path for goods that typically align with Etsy's handmade and unique offerings.
Evidence includes TikTok's significant investment in e-commerce infrastructure, aggressive seller acquisition strategies, and the platform's ability to drive virality and impulse purchases for products often featured by creators. Many existing Etsy sellers are experimenting with or migrating sales to TikTok Shop, drawn by its massive user base and integrated marketing capabilities. This trend could siphon off both sellers and buyers from Etsy, impacting its transaction volume and seller base by providing a compelling, video-first alternative for unique product discovery and direct sales.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Etsy operates within a significant total addressable market encompassing handmade goods, vintage items, and craft supplies.
- Overall Addressable Market: Etsy's total addressable online market size across all relevant retail categories in its core geographic markets (including the U.S., UK, Canada, Australia, Germany, and France) was approximately $500 billion as of 2024. Including offline sales, this market quadruples to over $2 trillion.
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Handmade Goods / Handicrafts Market:
- The global market for handmade and crafts is estimated to be over $906 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach $1.94 trillion by 2033.
- The U.S. market for handmade goods is estimated to be over $268 billion.
- Another estimate places the global handicraft market size at USD 1,107.67 billion in 2024, projected to reach USD 1,218.77 billion in 2025 and USD 2,397.15 billion by 2032. The U.S. handicrafts market alone is expected to reach USD 627.86 billion by 2032.
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Vintage Items Market:
- The global Vintage and Retro Goods Market was valued at USD 75 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 150 billion by 2032.
- The global antiques and collectibles market was estimated at USD 238.1 billion in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 402.9 billion in 2034.
- The global second-hand collectibles market is projected to grow from USD 132.90 billion in 2025 to USD 233.26 billion by 2034.
- Etsy defines vintage items as those that are at least 20 years old.
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Craft Supplies Market:
- The global arts and crafts supplies market expanded from USD 49.44 billion in 2024 to USD 53.57 billion in 2025, with forecasts projecting further growth to USD 94.28 billion by 2032.
- The Craft Supplies Market was estimated at $41.08 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow from $42.83 billion in 2025 to $64.95 billion by 2035. North America is the largest market, accounting for approximately 45% of the global share.
- Online sales of hobby and craft supplies in the United States exceeded $22.2 billion in 2024.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Etsy (ETSY) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Leveraging Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning for Enhanced Personalization and Buyer Experience: Etsy is strategically investing in AI and machine learning to deliver more personalized shopping experiences, improve search relevance, and optimize product discovery for buyers. This focus extends to enhancing the mobile app experience, aiming to increase user penetration, engagement, and conversion rates, ultimately leading to greater buyer frequency and retention.
- Expanding Monetization through Increased "Take Rate": The company has demonstrated a consistent ability to grow its take rate, which is the percentage of Gross Merchandise Sales (GMS) that translates into revenue. This expansion is driven by the continued growth of services like Etsy Ads, payments revenue, and the introduction of new seller fees, allowing for revenue growth even amidst fluctuations in GMS.
- Accelerating Growth of the Depop Marketplace: Depop, Etsy's subsidiary focused on secondhand apparel, is a significant growth vector. Etsy is actively investing in brand marketing and strategic initiatives to accelerate Depop's GMS growth, particularly targeting the U.S. resale clothing market, and has seen impressive growth in this segment.
- Empowering Sellers with Enhanced Tools and Support: Etsy is committed to fostering a thriving seller community by investing in advanced tools and support. This includes providing enhanced seller analytics, offering improved customer support, and rolling out AI-powered features such as title suggestions and writing assistants. These improvements are designed to help sellers optimize their shops, streamline operations, and ultimately grow their businesses on the platform, which in turn supports the overall marketplace's success and revenue.
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Share Repurchases
- Etsy's Board of Directors approved a new $1 billion stock repurchase program in October 2024.
- The company repurchased approximately $577 million in shares in 2023 and $724 million in 2024.
- In the first three quarters of 2025, Etsy repurchased approximately $189 million in Q1, $335 million in Q2, and $120 million in Q3, totaling around $644 million.
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, Etsy announced a private offering of $650 million in convertible senior notes due 2030, with up to $175 million of the proceeds used to repurchase common stock concurrently.
- The company reported proceeds from the issuance of convertible senior notes of $700 million in Q2 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Etsy acquired the online fashion marketplace Depop for $1.625 billion in 2021.
- In 2021, Etsy also acquired Elo7, an online marketplace for handicraft products in Brazil, for $217 million, but subsequently sold it in 2023.
Capital Expenditures
- Etsy's capital expenditures were approximately $12.9 million in 2023 and $14.2 million in 2024.
- The company's capital expenditures peaked at $18.412 million in June 2025.
- A primary focus of capital expenditures and strategic investments for 2025 includes improving seller tools and support, enhancing search and discovery algorithms, and leveraging AI and machine learning for more personalized experiences.
Latest Trefis Analyses
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|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to ETSY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.7% | 13.7% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.0% | 6.0% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.8% | 3.8% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 19.7% | 19.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.3% | 2.3% | -1.6% |
| 09122025 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.4% | -5.4% | -12.5% |
| 12312024 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.9% | 5.4% | -22.9% |
| 01312024 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.1% | -15.8% | -28.7% |
| 05312023 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.8% | -24.2% | -26.9% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Etsy
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.95 |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| Rev LTM | 56,496 |
| Op Inc LTM | 7,584 |
| FCF LTM | 7,327 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7,366 |
| CFO LTM | 8,590 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 8,697 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 5.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg Q | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 15.7% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 14.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 22.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 23.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 20.1% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 21.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 158.8 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 21.2 |
| P/E | 33.2 |
| P/CFO | 16.2 |
| Total Yield | 4.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 4.9% |
| 6M Rtn | 12.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 76.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.6% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 0.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -4.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -6.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $55.75 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 5.5 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/16/2015 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -26.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $59.13 | $56.15 |
| DMA Trend | indeterminate | down |
| Distance from DMA | -5.7% | -0.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 55.5% | 52.8% |
| Downside Capture | 157.04 | 93.35 |
| Upside Capture | 57.68 | 84.23 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 35.0% | 33.8% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 2.58 | 2.02 | 1.89 | 1.41 | 0.95 | 1.14 |
| Up Beta | -0.52 | 1.55 | 0.84 | -0.18 | 0.68 | 0.77 |
| Down Beta | 2.75 | 3.56 | 3.84 | 3.25 | 1.27 | 1.17 |
| Up Capture | 232% | 56% | 113% | 84% | 83% | 106% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 12 | 25 | 38 | 73 | 141 | 426 |
| Stock +ve Days | 9 | 22 | 36 | 67 | 133 | 362 |
| Down Capture | 364% | 205% | 132% | 136% | 102% | 109% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 7 | 16 | 24 | 52 | 107 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 19 | 26 | 57 | 113 | 383 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Comparison of ETSY With Other Asset Classes (Last 1Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSY | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -1.9% | 7.5% | 17.8% | 72.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | -8.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 52.6% | 24.3% | 19.4% | 19.3% | 15.2% | 17.0% | 35.0% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.15 | 0.24 | 0.72 | 2.70 | 0.34 | 0.09 | -0.08 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 36.0% | 33.5% | 3.8% | 12.0% | 32.4% | 29.0% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Comparison of ETSY With Other Asset Classes (Last 5Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSY | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | -21.6% | 9.6% | 14.7% | 18.7% | 11.5% | 4.6% | 30.8% |
| Annualized Volatility | 56.6% | 23.8% | 17.1% | 15.5% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 48.6% |
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.20 | 0.36 | 0.70 | 0.97 | 0.50 | 0.16 | 0.57 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 54.1% | 46.6% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 25.8% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Comparison of ETSY With Other Asset Classes (Last 10Y) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ETSY | Sector ETF | Equity | Gold | Commodities | Real Estate | Bitcoin | |
| Annualized Return | 19.3% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 69.2% |
| Annualized Volatility | 56.2% | 21.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 17.6% | 20.8% | 55.8% |
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.54 | 0.55 | 0.71 | 0.86 | 0.32 | 0.22 | 0.90 |
| Correlation With Other Assets | 50.2% | 44.5% | 6.0% | 10.3% | 31.9% | 14.6% | |
ETFs used for asset classes: Sector ETF = XLY, Equity = SPY, Gold = GLD, Commodities = DBC, Real Estate = VNQ, and Bitcoin = BTCUSD
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/29/2025 | -12.8% | -22.1% | -27.6% |
| 7/30/2025 | 2.8% | -7.2% | -9.7% |
| 4/30/2025 | -5.7% | -2.2% | 14.9% |
| 2/19/2025 | -10.1% | -7.3% | -21.9% |
| 10/30/2024 | 7.2% | 10.6% | 14.3% |
| 7/31/2024 | -7.6% | -18.1% | -14.8% |
| 5/1/2024 | -15.1% | -10.3% | -9.0% |
| 2/21/2024 | -8.4% | -7.9% | -11.7% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 9 | 10 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 10.7% | 8.5% | 13.9% |
| Median Negative | -8.0% | -7.9% | -14.3% |
| Max Positive | 16.2% | 24.7% | 60.5% |
| Max Negative | -15.1% | -22.1% | -27.6% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10292025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7302025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 4302025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2192025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2232023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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