Tearsheet

Boot Barn (BOOT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $195.325 | Market Cap: $6.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail

Boot Barn (BOOT)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $195.325
Market Cap: $6.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Apparel Retail

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Key risks
BOOT key risks include [1] the waning popularity of western-themed fashion trends and [2] tariff vulnerability due to its significant inventory sourcing from China and Mexico.
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail.
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Key risks
BOOT key risks include [1] the waning popularity of western-themed fashion trends and [2] tariff vulnerability due to its significant inventory sourcing from China and Mexico.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

BOOT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining Boot Barn's stock movement from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:

1. Strong Q2 Fiscal Year 2026 Earnings Beat: Boot Barn reported better-than-expected financial results for the second quarter of fiscal year 2026, announced on October 29, 2025. This included an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.37, surpassing analysts' consensus estimates of $1.27 by 7.87%, and quarterly revenue of $505.40 million, exceeding estimates and showing an 18.7% year-over-year increase.

2. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Revisions: Following the strong earnings report, several financial analysts reiterated or upgraded their ratings and significantly raised their price targets for Boot Barn. For example, JP Morgan increased its price target to $282.00 on November 6, 2025, and Goldman Sachs initiated coverage with a "Buy" rating and a $225 price target on December 11, 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
BOOT Return-3%184%-49%23%98%33%354%
Peers Return-0%30%-23%21%7%17%51%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
BOOT Win Rate58%92%25%42%83%58% 
Peers Win Rate60%67%38%55%47%60% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
BOOT Max Drawdown-77%-3%-58%-1%-9%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-66%-10%-43%-31%-22%-34% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventBOOTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-60.6%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven153.9%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven594 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-77.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven352.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven294 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-56.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven131.6%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven171 days120 days

Compare to GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX


In The Past

Boot Barn's stock fell -60.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -60.6% loss requires a 153.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Boot Barn (BOOT)

Better Bets than Boot Barn (BOOT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to BOOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
BOOT_3312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312025BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
54.4%88.2%-17.0%
BOOT_10312023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312023BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
53.2%83.0%-1.3%
BOOT_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.4%8.8%-15.9%
BOOT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.1%-16.2%-36.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
BOOT_3312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy03312025BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
54.4%88.2%-17.0%
BOOT_10312023_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312023BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
53.2%83.0%-1.3%
BOOT_11302022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302022BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.4%8.8%-15.9%
BOOT_5312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy05312022BOOTBoot BarnDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-19.1%-16.2%-36.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Boot Barn

Peers to compare with:

Financials

BOOTGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBoot BarnGap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Mkt Price195.3127.1916.8128.5423.74155.6627.87
Mkt Cap6.010.10.90.30.3160.73.4
Rev LTM2,07115,2793,1449172,38258,9792,763
Op Inc LTM2761,14512512196,671200
FCF LTM567796238234,41859
FCF 3Y Avg731,0141225204,47698
CFO LTM2141,22314550896,421179
CFO 3Y Avg2111,44820222786,305206

Growth & Margins

BOOTGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBoot BarnGap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Rev Chg LTM17.8%0.3%6.4%2.8%2.8%4.5%3.7%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%-1.2%5.7%-3.3%-0.0%6.2%2.8%
Rev Chg Q18.7%3.0%7.2%7.5%3.3%7.5%7.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM4.0%0.7%1.7%1.9%0.8%1.8%1.8%
Op Mgn LTM13.3%7.5%4.0%1.3%0.8%11.3%5.7%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.6%5.5%6.5%-2.1%0.8%10.9%6.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-0.2%-0.6%1.0%0.1%0.1%0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM10.3%8.0%4.6%5.5%3.8%10.9%6.8%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg11.6%9.6%7.0%2.5%3.3%11.3%8.3%
FCF/Rev LTM2.7%5.1%2.0%4.1%1.0%7.5%3.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.1%6.7%4.3%0.6%0.9%8.0%4.2%

Valuation

BOOTGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBoot BarnGap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
Mkt Cap6.010.10.90.30.3160.73.4
P/S2.40.70.30.30.12.70.5
P/EBIT18.28.1----13.1
P/E24.311.910.737.07,681.631.427.9
P/CFO23.78.35.96.33.425.07.3
Total Yield4.1%8.4%16.4%2.7%0.0%4.3%4.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%7.1%0.0%0.0%1.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.6%17.5%----10.0%
D/E0.10.5----0.3
Net D/E0.10.3----0.2

Returns

BOOTGAPGESZUMZGCOTJXMedian
NameBoot BarnGap Guess Zumiez Genesco TJX Comp. 
1M Rtn14.0%14.4%0.8%30.1%-22.8%7.2%10.6%
3M Rtn9.0%20.1%2.0%39.2%-31.4%11.5%10.3%
6M Rtn19.6%32.3%51.4%131.5%11.8%27.8%30.1%
12M Rtn31.1%12.7%25.5%39.8%-45.4%28.1%26.8%
3Y Rtn226.7%136.1%11.5%40.7%-41.9%109.0%74.8%
1M Excs Rtn13.3%13.7%0.1%29.3%-23.5%6.5%9.9%
3M Excs Rtn7.9%17.7%0.4%34.5%-34.0%10.2%9.1%
6M Excs Rtn7.2%20.0%39.1%119.1%-0.6%15.4%17.7%
12M Excs Rtn24.1%4.4%8.2%33.4%-56.1%15.1%11.7%
3Y Excs Rtn146.4%50.4%-60.5%-43.2%-113.7%37.6%-2.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Footwear783779714474431
Apparel600613536286287
Hats, accessories and other283265238134127
Total1,6671,6581,488893846


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,617,493
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520250.5%
Average Daily Volume436,071
Days-to-Cover Short Interest8.30
Basic Shares Quantity30,540,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/29/2025-4.5%-3.6%0.5%
7/31/2025-0.6%-1.9%3.4%
5/14/202516.7%18.5%18.4%
1/10/2025-0.7%2.9%-16.7%
10/28/2024-19.7%-20.2%-13.9%
8/7/202413.8%14.8%17.1%
5/14/20242.8%6.1%21.7%
1/31/202410.3%17.3%28.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive141618
# Negative1086
Median Positive9.1%9.1%15.2%
Median Negative-3.0%-9.4%-15.3%
Max Positive16.7%22.9%48.8%
Max Negative-19.7%-20.2%-31.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025731202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025515202510-K 3/29/2025
12312024131202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024515202410-K 3/30/2024
12312023201202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231102202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023518202310-K 4/1/2023
12312022125202310-Q 12/24/2022
93020221027202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022728202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022512202210-K 3/26/2022
12312021128202210-Q 12/25/2021