Boot Barn (BOOT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $201.12 | Market Cap: $6.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Boot Barn (BOOT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $201.12Market Cap: $6.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% | Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5% | |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 18% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, and Experiential Retail. |
| Trading close to highsDist 52W High is -0.5%, Dist 3Y High is -0.5% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
BOOT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the stock movement for Boot Barn (symbol: BOOT) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Strong Second Quarter Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Results. Boot Barn reported robust second-quarter results for fiscal year 2026, which ended September 27, 2025, with net sales increasing by 18.7% year-over-year to $505.4 million, surpassing analyst estimates. The company's consolidated same-store sales grew by 8.4%, and net income rose 43% to $42.2 million, or $1.37 per diluted share, beating the consensus estimate of $1.26.
2. Increased Long-Term Store Potential and Expansion Plans. The company announced an increase in its long-term store potential to 1,200 locations across the United States, up from its previous estimate of 900. Boot Barn also plans to open 70 new stores during fiscal year 2026. This expanded outlook signals confidence in the company's growth strategy.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| BOOT Return | -3% | 184% | -49% | 23% | 98% | 28% | 336% |
| Peers Return | -0% | 30% | -23% | 21% | 7% | 19% | 52% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| BOOT Win Rate | 58% | 92% | 25% | 42% | 83% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 67% | 38% | 55% | 47% | 58% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| BOOT Max Drawdown | -77% | -3% | -58% | -1% | -9% | -41% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -66% | -10% | -43% | -31% | -22% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | BOOT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -60.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 153.9% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 594 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -77.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 352.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 294 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -56.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 131.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 171 days | 120 days |
Compare to GAP, GES, ZUMZ, GCO, TJX
In The Past
Boot Barn's stock fell -60.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/18/2021. A -60.6% loss requires a 153.9% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to BOOT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312025 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.4% | 80.6% | -17.0% |
| 10312023 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.2% | 83.0% | -1.3% |
| 11302022 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.4% | 8.8% | -15.9% |
| 05312022 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.1% | -16.2% | -36.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.8% | 6.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -2.6% | -2.6% | -2.6% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 1.3% | 1.3% | -1.6% |
| 03312025 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 54.4% | 80.6% | -17.0% |
| 10312023 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 53.2% | 83.0% | -1.3% |
| 11302022 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.4% | 8.8% | -15.9% |
| 05312022 | BOOT | Boot Barn | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.1% | -16.2% | -36.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Boot Barn
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 31.50 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| Rev LTM | 2,727 |
| Op Inc LTM | 208 |
| FCF LTM | 37 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 100 |
| CFO LTM | 158 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 209 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 6.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 5.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.2% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/EBIT | 16.3 |
| P/E | 22.1 |
| P/CFO | 7.5 |
| Total Yield | 4.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| D/E | 0.8 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 12.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 11.7% |
| 6M Rtn | 43.9% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 57.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 12.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 29.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -15.9% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11032025 | 10-Q 9/27/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5152025 | 10-K 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 1312025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10302024 | 10-Q 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5152024 | 10-K 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2012024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8102023 | 10-Q 7/1/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5182023 | 10-K 4/1/2023 |
| 12312022 | 1252023 | 10-Q 12/24/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-K 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 1282022 | 10-Q 12/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |