Tearsheet

Primo Brands (PRMB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.335 | Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

Primo Brands (PRMB)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $16.335
Market Cap: $6.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Soft Drinks & Non-alcoholic Beverages

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47%
Key risks
PRMB key risks include [1] a severe operational crisis and management turmoil following a failed merger integration and [2] multiple securities class-action lawsuits alleging the company concealed these failures from investors.
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%
 
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
 
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
 
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
1 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -47%
2 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.2%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 41%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
5 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 64%
6 Key risks
PRMB key risks include [1] a severe operational crisis and management turmoil following a failed merger integration and [2] multiple securities class-action lawsuits alleging the company concealed these failures from investors.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

PRMB Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the approximate -34.6% stock movement for Primo Brands (PRMB) from late August 2025 to December 2025:

1. Mixed Q3 2025 Earnings with Revenue Miss: On November 6, 2025, Primo Brands reported its third-quarter 2025 results, which presented a mixed picture for investors. While the company's non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.41 exceeded analyst estimates, net sales of $1.77 billion fell short of Wall Street expectations, leading to an immediate negative market reaction in pre-market trading.

2. Revised Full-Year 2025 Guidance: Concurrently with its Q3 2025 earnings release, Primo Brands revised its full-year 2025 Net Sales and Adjusted EBITDA guidance. The company adjusted its net sales guidance to reflect an anticipated low single-digit decline year-over-year, primarily citing ongoing challenges within its home and office delivery business.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
PRMB Return-46%
Peers Return10%17%9%-4%-3%-4%26%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PRMB Win Rate100%42% 
Peers Win Rate57%53%50%48%48%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PRMB Max Drawdown-53% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-9%-9%-15%-8%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PEP, KO, KDP, MDLZ, GIS.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

PRMB has limited trading history. Below is the Consumer Staples sector ETF (XLP) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLPS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-17.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven21.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven682 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-24.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven33.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven154 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.9%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven404 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-33.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven50.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven605 days1,480 days

Compare to


In The Past

SPDR Select Sector Fund's stock fell -17.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -17.5% loss requires a 21.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Primo Brands (PRMB)

Better Bets than Primo Brands (PRMB)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to PRMB. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.8%-5.8%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
14.0%14.0%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
7.5%7.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.1%-2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Primo Brands

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PRMBPEPKOKDPMDLZGISMedian
NamePrimo Br.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Mondelez.General . 
Mkt Price16.32150.0870.6728.0553.8248.6151.22
Mkt Cap6.1205.5304.138.169.626.153.8
Rev LTM6,50792,36647,66316,17437,64518,77728,211
Op Inc LTM64012,19314,9143,4754,3342,9123,904
FCF LTM2466,7885,5701,5992,2901,7832,036
FCF 3Y Avg-6,6456,3841,3363,1562,3003,156
CFO LTM57711,7557,6032,1283,5762,3602,968
CFO 3Y Avg-11,9748,3351,8554,3783,0054,378

Growth & Margins

PRMBPEPKOKDPMDLZGISMedian
NamePrimo Br.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Mondelez.General . 
Rev Chg LTM34.4%0.5%2.8%6.8%4.1%-5.7%3.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-3.4%4.0%5.9%7.5%-0.9%4.0%
Rev Chg Q35.3%2.7%5.1%10.7%5.9%-7.2%5.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM7.6%0.7%1.3%2.6%1.5%-2.0%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%13.2%31.3%21.5%11.5%15.5%14.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-13.8%29.7%21.8%14.5%17.1%17.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.4%-0.3%0.7%0.0%-1.6%-0.9%-0.3%
CFO/Rev LTM8.9%12.7%16.0%13.2%9.5%12.6%12.6%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-13.0%18.1%12.1%12.1%15.3%13.0%
FCF/Rev LTM3.8%7.3%11.7%9.9%6.1%9.5%8.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.2%13.9%8.7%8.7%11.7%8.7%

Valuation

PRMBPEPKOKDPMDLZGISMedian
NamePrimo Br.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Mondelez.General . 
Mkt Cap6.1205.5304.138.169.626.153.8
P/S1.32.16.02.12.11.42.1
P/EBIT24.819.016.312.218.99.017.6
P/E-97.326.621.921.922.910.321.9
P/CFO14.316.437.516.322.611.016.3
Total Yield3.2%7.7%7.5%6.4%7.4%14.8%7.5%
Dividend Yield4.2%3.9%3.0%1.8%3.1%5.1%3.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.1%2.4%3.3%3.4%6.5%3.3%
D/E0.70.00.20.50.30.50.4
Net D/E0.60.00.10.50.30.50.4

Returns

PRMBPEPKOKDPMDLZGISMedian
NamePrimo Br.PepsiCo Coca-ColaKeurig D.Mondelez.General . 
1M Rtn5.0%2.5%0.7%4.0%-3.1%3.5%3.0%
3M Rtn-27.3%7.3%6.2%3.8%-13.7%0.1%2.0%
6M Rtn-45.0%18.6%3.6%-14.2%-17.7%-5.9%-10.1%
12M Rtn-46.2%-0.0%14.8%-12.5%-9.6%-22.9%-11.1%
3Y Rtn--8.1%23.3%-15.7%-12.1%-37.6%-12.1%
1M Excs Rtn4.3%1.8%-0.0%3.3%-3.9%2.8%2.3%
3M Excs Rtn-27.8%6.3%5.7%2.7%-15.6%-2.6%0.0%
6M Excs Rtn-57.4%6.2%-8.8%-26.6%-30.0%-18.3%-22.4%
12M Excs Rtn-57.5%-12.3%4.2%-24.9%-21.5%-34.9%-23.2%
3Y Excs Rtn--78.4%-47.5%-88.6%-82.1%-105.9%-82.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024
Retail3,392
ReadyRefresh1,050
Total4,441


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil2024
Retail87
ReadyRefresh56
Other operating (expense) income, net-0
Unallocated Corporate expenses-36
Acquisition, integration and restructuring expenses-84
Total23


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17,752,956
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202522.9%
Average Daily Volume8,132,931
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.18
Basic Shares Quantity372,318,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.8%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-21.9%-29.0%-31.3%
8/7/2025-9.1%-7.6%-4.0%
5/8/2025-1.6%-3.0%-3.9%
2/20/2025-0.7%3.1%-1.0%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive010
# Negative434
Median Positive 3.1% 
Median Negative-5.4%-7.6%-4.0%
Max Positive 3.1% 
Max Negative-21.9%-29.0%-31.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241217202410-Q 9/30/2024
123120238082024PREM14A 12/31/2023