Pilgrims Pride (PPC)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $39.95 | Market Cap: $9.5 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Pilgrims Pride (PPC)
Market Price (12/15/2025): $39.95Market Cap: $9.5 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 8.6% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 18%, Dividend Yield is 5.2%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 14%, FCF Yield is 8.6% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 32% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Automation & Robotics, Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Process / Warehouse Automation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
PPC Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points explaining the approximate -10.1% movement in Pilgrim's Pride (PPC) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025:
1. 1. Q3 2025 Earnings Report raised investor concerns about profitability.
On October 30, 2025, Pilgrim's Pride released its third-quarter 2025 financial results. Despite beating adjusted earnings per share expectations, the stock declined in premarket trading due to investor concerns over "margin compression and future guidance." The company reported a 2.0% decrease in net income and a 4.1% fall in adjusted EBITDA year-over-year, with the adjusted EBITDA margin contracting to 13.3% from 14.4% in Q3 2024.
2. 2. Analysts lowered price targets and maintained "Hold" or "Equal-Weight" ratings.
Several analysts adjusted their outlook for PPC. On December 9, 2025, Barclays maintained an "Equal-Weight" rating but reduced its price target from $49.00 to $45.00. Earlier, on October 13, 2025, Goldman Sachs kept a "Neutral" rating while lowering its price target from $54.00 to $46.00. The consensus price target among analysts also saw a 10% decline to $44.29 around November 2, 2025, indicating revised expectations.
3.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| PPC Return | -40% | 44% | -16% | 17% | 64% | -1% | 37% |
| Peers Return | -16% | 19% | 4% | -7% | 17% | 15% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 111% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| PPC Win Rate | 42% | 58% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 35% | 56% | 56% | 56% | 52% | 50% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| PPC Max Drawdown | -56% | -4% | -25% | -14% | -3% | -9% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -32% | -6% | -12% | -20% | -13% | -15% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: TSN, HRL, SEB, CALM. See PPC Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | PPC | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -40.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 68.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 274 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 128.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 609 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -59.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 148.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1967 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -99.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 26960.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 5714 days | 1480 days |
Compare to INGR, POST, BRBR, FLO, BRBF
In The Past
Pilgrims Pride's stock fell -40.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/2/2022. A -40.7% loss requires a 68.7% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to PPC. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.7% | -5.7% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.9% | 12.9% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | -5.1% |
| 04302018 | PPC | Pilgrims Pride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.5% | 24.6% | -29.8% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 7.0% | 7.0% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.7% | -5.7% | -7.5% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.9% | 12.9% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 4.7% | 4.7% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.3% | 0.3% | -5.1% |
| 04302018 | PPC | Pilgrims Pride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -19.5% | 24.6% | -29.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Pilgrims Pride
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 59.91 |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| Rev LTM | 12,106 |
| Op Inc LTM | 1,441 |
| FCF LTM | 829 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 727 |
| CFO LTM | 1,386 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 1,053 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 0.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.5% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 9.5 |
| P/S | 0.5 |
| P/EBIT | 5.5 |
| P/E | 8.8 |
| P/CFO | 6.8 |
| Total Yield | 11.5% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.6% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 5.6% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.9% |
| 6M Rtn | -6.4% |
| 12M Rtn | -9.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | 19.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -4.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -20.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -54.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | 0.1% | -3.9% | 2.2% |
| 7/31/2025 | 1.1% | 5.3% | -6.2% |
| 5/1/2025 | -1.3% | 1.2% | 5.9% |
| 2/13/2025 | 3.5% | 2.1% | -4.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | 3.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% |
| 8/1/2024 | -1.8% | 5.2% | 10.4% |
| 2/26/2024 | 8.0% | 11.2% | 18.3% |
| 10/26/2023 | 0.7% | 5.0% | 6.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 11 | 15 |
| # Negative | 10 | 11 | 7 |
| Median Positive | 1.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% |
| Median Negative | -1.5% | -3.0% | -6.4% |
| Max Positive | 8.0% | 11.2% | 25.2% |
| Max Negative | -5.2% | -12.7% | -27.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/28/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/29/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/30/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2132025 | 10-K 12/29/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/29/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/24/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/25/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4272023 | 10-Q 3/26/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2092023 | 10-K 12/25/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/25/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/26/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/27/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2182022 | 10-K 12/26/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |