Polaris (PII)


Market Price (8/23/2026): $64.36 | Market Cap: $3.7 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products

Polaris (PII)


Market Price (8/23/2026): $64.36
Market Cap: $3.7 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Leisure Products

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0

Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.1%

Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%

Key risks
PII key risks include [1] weakening consumer demand impacting sales and earnings, Show more.

0 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 4.1%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, and Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving. Themes include Experiential Retail, Luxury Consumer Goods, Show more.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -53%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112%
3 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.0%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.3%
5 Key risks
PII key risks include [1] weakening consumer demand impacting sales and earnings, Show more.

PII in ETFs

Weight = PII's share of each fund

VTI0.01%
ITOT0.00%
IWM0.11%
IJH0.10%
VYM0.01%
VB0.04%
AVUV0.36%
IWO0.23%
+15 more covered ETFs

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/19/2026

Polaris (PII) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Polaris's strong fiscal Q2 2026 earnings were largely offset by the significant contribution of tariff refunds and an immediate negative market reaction. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.97 for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), substantially beating the consensus estimate of $0.71-$0.76. Revenue also surpassed expectations, rising 9% year-over-year to $2.02 billion against estimates of $1.94-$1.95 billion. However, the reported adjusted EPS included a $0.96 benefit from $74 million in tariff refunds. Despite these beats, Polaris stock declined 4.16% on July 28, 2026, the day the earnings were released, suggesting that investors may have been cautious about the underlying organic growth or had already factored in some positive news.

2. The company raised its full-year 2026 guidance, reflecting confidence in its operational performance. Following the fiscal Q2 2026 results, Polaris management increased its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $3.05 at the midpoint and revenue guidance to $7.4 billion at the midpoint. This revised outlook, partly bolstered by the tariff refunds, indicated a positive trajectory for the company's financial expectations for the remainder of the year.

Show more
Updated on 8/19/2026

Polaris (PII) stock has remained largely at the same level since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Polaris's strong fiscal Q2 2026 earnings were largely offset by the significant contribution of tariff refunds and an immediate negative market reaction. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.97 for fiscal Q2 2026 (ended June 30, 2026), substantially beating the consensus estimate of $0.71-$0.76. Revenue also surpassed expectations, rising 9% year-over-year to $2.02 billion against estimates of $1.94-$1.95 billion. However, the reported adjusted EPS included a $0.96 benefit from $74 million in tariff refunds. Despite these beats, Polaris stock declined 4.16% on July 28, 2026, the day the earnings were released, suggesting that investors may have been cautious about the underlying organic growth or had already factored in some positive news.

2. The company raised its full-year 2026 guidance, reflecting confidence in its operational performance. Following the fiscal Q2 2026 results, Polaris management increased its full-year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance to $3.05 at the midpoint and revenue guidance to $7.4 billion at the midpoint. This revised outlook, partly bolstered by the tariff refunds, indicated a positive trajectory for the company's financial expectations for the remainder of the year.

3. Polaris successfully mitigated the impact of macroeconomic tariff policy changes. In April 2026, Polaris announced that recent changes to U.S. tariff policy on materials like steel and aluminum were not expected to materially affect its full-year 2026 guidance, aside from potential refunds. The company highlighted its substantial domestic manufacturing footprint in Alabama, Indiana, and Minnesota, along with strengthened relationships with U.S.-based suppliers, as key factors in offsetting these headwinds. This proactive management of tariff impacts provided a degree of stability compared to competitors, with one rival suspending its own outlook.

4. Analyst sentiment remained neutral, with a consensus "Hold" rating and modest price targets. Throughout the period, the average analyst rating for Polaris stock was "Hold". As of August 19, 2026, the average 12-month price target ranged from $65.00 to $72.73, indicating limited perceived upside from its trading levels. For example, on August 3, 2026, Polaris traded at $70.64, while the average analyst target was slightly lower at $68.80. This neutral outlook from the analyst community contributed to the stock's tendency to remain largely at the same level.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -1.9% change in PII stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -4.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)43020268222026Change
Stock Price ($)65.6364.39-1.9%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)7,2757,4452.3%
P/S Multiple0.50.5-4.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5758-0.2%
Cumulative Contribution-1.9%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PII-1.9% 
Market (SPY)6.5%49.1%
Sector (XLY)-0.3%42.2%

Fundamental Drivers

The 3.0% change in PII stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 6.6% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)13120268222026Change
Stock Price ($)62.5264.393.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,9867,4456.6%
P/S Multiple0.50.5-2.3%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5758-1.0%
Cumulative Contribution3.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PII3.0% 
Market (SPY)11.0%34.4%
Sector (XLY)-2.4%33.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 27.0% change in PII stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a 18.2% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120258222026Change
Stock Price ($)50.6864.3927.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)6,8667,4458.4%
P/S Multiple0.40.518.2%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5758-0.9%
Cumulative Contribution27.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PII27.0% 
Market (SPY)22.2%38.2%
Sector (XLY)7.2%38.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The -46.5% change in PII stock from 7/31/2023 to 8/22/2026 was primarily driven by a -34.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)73120238222026Change
Stock Price ($)120.3464.39-46.5%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)9,1417,445-18.6%
P/S Multiple0.80.5-34.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)5758-0.5%
Cumulative Contribution-46.5%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/22/2026
ReturnCorrelation
PII-46.5% 
Market (SPY)73.2%41.2%
Sector (XLY)38.9%44.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
PII Return18%-6%-4%-37%16%4%-19%
Peers Return27%-15%28%-21%-0%1%10%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%12%103%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
PII Win Rate42%50%33%33%58%38% 
Peers Win Rate60%32%48%47%52%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
PII Max Drawdown-29%-26%-39%-42%-44%-34% 
Peers Max Drawdown-26%-34%-28%-31%-36%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HOG, TXT, BC, THO, WGO. See PII Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/21/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventPIIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis
  % Loss-11.7%-6.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven13.3%7.1%
  Time to Breakeven17 days31 days
2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening
  % Loss-14.6%-24.5%
  % Gain to Breakeven17.1%32.4%
  Time to Breakeven21 days427 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-57.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven136.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven61 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven116 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-49.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven97.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven679 days62 days

Compare to HOG, TXT, BC, THO, WGO

In The Past

Polaris's stock fell -30.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 42.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventPIIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-30.0%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven42.9%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven85 days79 days
2020 COVID-19 Crash
  % Loss-57.8%-33.7%
  % Gain to Breakeven136.9%50.9%
  Time to Breakeven61 days140 days
Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare
  % Loss-27.2%-19.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven37.4%23.8%
  Time to Breakeven116 days105 days
2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare
  % Loss-49.4%-12.2%
  % Gain to Breakeven97.6%13.9%
  Time to Breakeven679 days62 days
2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse
  % Loss-51.2%-6.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven104.9%7.3%
  Time to Breakeven1854 days15 days
2011 US Debt Ceiling Crisis & European Contagion
  % Loss-24.5%-17.9%
  % Gain to Breakeven32.4%21.8%
  Time to Breakeven77 days123 days
2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis
  % Loss-69.7%-53.4%
  % Gain to Breakeven229.5%114.4%
  Time to Breakeven220 days1085 days
Summer 2007 Credit Crunch
  % Loss-21.6%-8.6%
  % Gain to Breakeven27.5%9.5%
  Time to Breakeven900 days47 days

Compare to HOG, TXT, BC, THO, WGO

In The Past

Polaris's stock fell -30.0% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 42.9% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Polaris (PII)

Polaris Inc. (PII) is a leading global manufacturer and marketer of powersports vehicles, headquartered in Medina, Minnesota. The company designs, engineers, and produces a diverse range of recreational and utility vehicles. Its core vehicle offerings include off-road vehicles (ORVs) such as all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) and side-by-side vehicles, snowmobiles and snow bikes, and motorcycles. Polaris also extends its vehicle portfolio to include pontoon and deck boats, as well as low-emission industrial and passenger vehicles.

Beyond vehicles, Polaris operates a significant aftermarket business, providing a comprehensive selection of replacement parts, accessories, gear, and apparel across all its product lines. This includes specialized items like winches and plows for ORVs, traction products for snowmobiles, saddlebags and exhausts for motorcycles, and protective gear such as helmets and jackets for riders. The company distributes its products worldwide through an extensive network of dealers and distributors, online channels, and dedicated retail centers, primarily serving powersports enthusiasts, recreational boaters, and various commercial and industrial customers.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • It's like Harley-Davidson, but for dirt, snow, and water too.
  • Essentially, a specialized Honda or Yamaha that makes only powersports vehicles like motorcycles, ATVs, snowmobiles, and boats.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Off-Road Vehicles (ORVs): Includes all-terrain vehicles (ATVs) and side-by-side vehicles for various terrains.
  • Snowmobiles & Snow Bikes: Designs and manufactures snowmobiles and snow bike conversion kit systems.
  • Motorcycles: Produces a range of motorcycles.
  • Specialized Vehicles: Offers low emission, light duty hauling, passenger, and industrial vehicles.
  • Boats: Manufactures pontoon and deck boats.
  • Aftermarket Parts & Accessories: Provides replacement parts and accessories for ORVs, snowmobiles, and motorcycles.
  • Gear & Apparel: Sells helmets, jackets, gloves, pants, and other protective gear and clothing.
  • Off-road Jeep & Truck Accessories: Offers specialized accessories for off-road Jeep and truck customization.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Polaris Inc. primarily sells its products to individuals through a network of independent dealers and distributors, as well as directly for aftermarket parts and apparel. The major categories of ultimate customers that Polaris serves are:

  • Recreational and Outdoor Enthusiasts: This category includes individuals and families who purchase Polaris's off-road vehicles (ORVs), snowmobiles, motorcycles, and boats for leisure, adventure, and outdoor activities such as trail riding, hunting, fishing, boating, and touring.
  • Commercial and Utility Operators: This segment comprises individuals and businesses that utilize Polaris's ORVs (particularly side-by-sides) and specialized "low emission, light duty hauling, passenger, and industrial vehicles" for work-related applications. These customers include farmers, ranchers, property managers, landscapers, and various light industrial users who need reliable vehicles for tasks like transport, hauling, and site management.
  • Powersports Lifestyle & Commuter Consumers: These are individuals who engage with Polaris's brands, such as Indian Motorcycles, for personal expression, community involvement, and as a lifestyle choice. While often recreational, this category emphasizes brand loyalty, customization, and the cultural aspects associated with owning and riding specific types of powersports vehicles, potentially including some commuter use.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Michael T. Speetzen, Chief Executive Officer

Michael T. Speetzen was appointed CEO of Polaris in April 2021, having previously served as interim CEO from January to April 2021. He joined Polaris in August 2015 as Executive Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer. Before his time at Polaris, Speetzen was Senior Vice President and CFO of Xylem, Inc. since 2011, a company formed from the spinoff of ITT Corporation's water businesses; he joined ITT in 2009. Prior to ITT, he held the role of Executive Vice President and CFO for StandardAero Company, which was owned by the private equity firm Dubai Aerospace Enterprise. Speetzen also held finance positions of increasing responsibility at Honeywell and General Electric. He currently serves on the Board of Directors of Pentair.

Robert P. Mack, Chief Financial Officer and Executive Vice President of Finance and Corporate Development

Robert P. Mack was named Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer of Polaris in May 2021, after serving as interim CFO since January 2021. He joined Polaris in April 2016 as Senior Vice President of Corporate Development and Strategy, and President of Adjacent Markets. Before joining Polaris, Mack spent 20 years at Ingersoll Rand, where he held the position of Vice President, Corporate Development, with global responsibility for acquisition and divestiture activities. His tenure at Ingersoll Rand included various roles in sales, finance, M&A, and operations. Mack is a certified public accountant (inactive) and currently serves on the Board of Directors of West Marine, where he chairs the Audit Committee.

James P. Williams, Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer

James P. Williams serves as the Senior Vice President and Chief Human Resources Officer at Polaris.

Tony J. Kinsman, Chief Technology Officer and Vice President of Off Road Engineering

Tony J. Kinsman holds the titles of Chief Technology Officer and Vice President of Off Road Engineering at Polaris.

Marc D. Suárez, Vice President of Global Operations

Marc D. Suárez is the Vice President of Global Operations for Polaris.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Polaris Inc. (PII) include the following:

  1. Sensitivity to Economic Cycles and Consumer Discretionary Spending: The powersports industry is highly susceptible to economic downturns and fluctuations in consumer discretionary spending. As products like off-road vehicles, snowmobiles, and motorcycles are often considered significant discretionary purchases, a tightening of consumer finances or a soft consumer demand directly impacts sales and profitability. This sensitivity is identified as a core challenge, leading to concerns about declining North American retail sales and overall revenue.
  2. Impact of Tariffs and Regulatory/Environmental Changes: Polaris faces significant financial pressure from tariffs, with expected incremental impacts potentially reaching hundreds of millions of dollars, which can erode margins and create competitive disadvantages. Beyond tariffs, the company is subject to stringent governmental safety and environmental regulations concerning vehicle emissions, fuel economy, noise levels, and product use restrictions. Increasing compliance costs or new restrictions can negatively affect operations, increase expenses, and potentially decrease product popularity and sales.
  3. Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Intense Market Competition: Polaris relies on a complex global supply chain for timely delivery of materials and components. Disruptions due to trade restrictions, labor disputes, or catastrophic events can lead to production delays, impact manufacturing schedules, and hinder the ability to meet customer demand. Furthermore, the powersports market is highly competitive, driven by product innovation, styling, technology, and pricing. Intense competition and elevated promotional spending can put pressure on gross margins and market share.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The clear emerging threat for Polaris is the accelerating shift towards electrification in the powersports and outdoor recreation vehicle markets. Just as the iPhone introduced a new technological paradigm that disrupted traditional mobile phone manufacturers, the rise of electric off-road vehicles (ORVs), snowmobiles, motorcycles, and boats presents a fundamental challenge to Polaris's predominantly internal combustion engine (ICE) product lines. Competitors, including major players like BRP and dedicated electric vehicle startups, are investing heavily and bringing increasingly competitive electric models to market across Polaris's core segments. This trend threatens to shift consumer preferences, potentially rendering traditional ICE models less desirable or subject to increasing regulatory pressures, thereby disrupting Polaris's existing product portfolio, manufacturing processes, and aftermarket ecosystem.

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Addressable Markets for Polaris's Main Products and Services

  • Off-Road Vehicles (ORVs), All-Terrain Vehicles (ATVs), and Side-by-Side Vehicles (SxS/UTVs):
    • Globally, the ATV and UTV market size was valued at approximately USD 11.95 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 21.60 billion by 2033. Separately, the global off-road vehicles market size was valued at USD 21.9 billion in 2024 and is estimated to grow to USD 46.9 billion by 2034.
    • In the U.S., the off-road vehicles market size was valued at USD 12.1 billion in 2024 and is estimated to reach USD 24.8 billion by 2034.
  • Snowmobiles:
    • Globally, the snowmobile market size was estimated at USD 1.67 billion in 2022 and is projected to reach USD 2.33 billion by 2030. Another report indicates the global snowmobile market size was valued at USD 2.05 billion in 2024 and is anticipated to reach USD 3.27 billion by 2033.
    • North America held over 78% of the global snowmobile market revenue share in 2022.
  • Motorcycles:
    • Globally, the motorcycle market size was approximately USD 75.46 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 118.90 billion by 2034.
    • In the U.S., the motorcycle market was valued at approximately USD 21.45 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 31.75 billion by 2032.
  • Boats (Pontoon and Deck Boats):
    • For pontoon boats, the global market size was valued at USD 8.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 17.7 billion by 2034.
    • For pontoon boats in North America, the market accounted for 61% of the global revenue share in 2024 and is projected to exceed USD 11 billion by 2034.
    • For deck boats, the global market size was valued at USD 2.1 billion in 2024 and is projected to grow to USD 4 billion by 2034.
    • North America dominates the deck boat market, accounting for approximately 60% of global sales.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Polaris (PII) is poised for future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years, driven by several strategic initiatives and market dynamics:

  • Product Innovation and New Product Launches: Polaris continues to emphasize research and development, with new models consistently driving market share gains and attracting new customers across its segments. Recent examples include the RZR XPS, Ranger 500, and Polaris Expedition in Off-Road, and the Bennington QX and Godfrey Sandpan in Marine. This ongoing pipeline of innovative products is expected to fuel sales.
  • Growth in Core High-Growth Segments (Off-Road and Marine): The company has demonstrated strong performance and market share gains in its Off-Road Vehicles (ORV) and Marine segments. Strategic expansions within the Marine sector, such as new pontoon products, and the introduction of value-tier ORVs like the RANGER 500, are anticipated to continue driving revenue growth by broadening customer accessibility and enhancing market presence.
  • Expansion of Parts, Garments & Accessories (PG&A) Sales: Polaris has seen significant growth in its consolidated Parts, Garments & Accessory (PG&A) sales. Initiatives like the successful reintroduction of the Factory Authorized Clearance program have effectively boosted retail demand for these offerings, which include replacement parts, accessories, gear, and apparel across its product lines.
  • Strategic Focus and Optimization Post-Indian Motorcycle Separation: With the expected separation of Indian Motorcycle, Polaris aims to streamline its operations and concentrate on higher-margin opportunities within its core segments, including Off-Road, Snowmobiles, Marine, and Slingshot. This strategic pivot is anticipated to lead to more efficient revenue generation and improved profitability from its focused portfolio.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Repurchases

  • Polaris authorized a new share repurchase program of up to $1 billion in October 2023, supplementing approximately $204 million remaining from a prior April 2021 authorization.
  • As of June 30, 2025, Polaris was authorized to repurchase up to an additional $1,109.3 million of common stock, with no expiration date on the program.
  • Annual share buybacks were $178.6 million in 2023, $82.7 million in 2024, and $2.4 million in 2025.

Share Issuance

  • Polaris's shares outstanding have generally trended downwards in recent years, decreasing from 61 million in 2021 to 56.9 million at the end of 2025, indicating that share repurchases have generally outpaced any issuances.
  • In January 2026, the CEO received 243,275 employee stock options and acquired 65,446 shares of common stock.

Outbound Investments

  • Polaris announced the planned divestiture of its Indian Motorcycle brand to Carolwood, expected in the first quarter of 2026.
  • The company's capital allocation strategy includes acquisitions as one of its priorities, alongside organic investment, dividend growth, and share repurchases.

Capital Expenditures

  • Polaris's capital expenditures averaged $289.3 million annually from fiscal years 2021 to 2025.
  • Capital expenditures peaked in December 2023 at $412.6 million and subsequently decreased to a five-year low of $182.9 million in December 2025.
  • The company is actively managing capital expenditures as part of a "cash preservation playbook" and to drive operational efficiencies.

Better Bets vs. Polaris (PII)

Peer Outperformance in Leisure Products

PII has trailed 58% of its 12 Leisure Products peers over 5Y. Among the peers that beat it are HAS, BC and DOO. Leisure Products ranks 14th of 23 industries in Consumer Discretionary by median 5Y return. The sector’s gains have largely come from elsewhere.
Share of Leisure Products constituents that PII has outperformed, by holding period. Peers without a full price history over a given window are excluded from that window.
1Y
62%
of 13 industry peers · 17.6% return
3Y
25%
of 12 industry peers · -34.6% return
5Y
42%
of 12 industry peers · -39.2% return
Leisure Products peers with revenue growth within 4pp of PII's that beat it on at least 2 of 3 windows, and by at least 20pp over 5Y. Growth is matched by construction, so the gap is largely a re-rating gap. The multiple column is the context for it.
Ticker Name Rev Growth 3Y Avg P/E 1Y3Y5Y 5Y Gap
PII Polaris -6.0% -14.2x 17.6%-34.6%-39.2%
HAS Hasbro -2.6% 16.7x 18.0%58.5%17.7% +57pp
BC Brunswick -5.1% -61.5x 25.4%6.5%-10.8% +28pp
DOO BRP -4.3% 18.4x 17.7%-10.0%-14.5% +25pp
Price returns, excluding dividends. P/E shown for context only and not used for matching.
Median price return by industry across the Consumer Discretionary sector, ranked by 5Y. Leisure Products is PII's own industry. Use this to see which corners of the sector have carried the returns.
Industry Names 1Y med3Y med5Y med Top 3 by 5Y
Education Services 14 -15.1%103.6%70.6% LINC 321% · CVSA 259% · UTI 231%
Homebuilding 18 -4.9%32.7%55.2% GRBK 190% · TOL 161% · PHM 158%
Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 22 17.7%53.5%16.5% RCL 274% · MAR 177% · HLT 169%
Automotive Retail 18 -13.8%2.5%14.1% MUSA 278% · PAG 186% · ORLY 122%
Specialty Stores 7 -5.5%33.8%10.0% DKS 91% · ASO 25% · SIG 23%
Home Improvement Retail 5 -16.5%1.0%8.5% HD 16% · LOW 16% · HVT 8%
Casinos & Gaming 20 -7.2%-24.1%2.4% BRAG 1014% · MCRI 112% · RSI 95%
Specialized Consumer Services 10 -11.3%15.8%-5.3% HRB 150% · FTDR 97% · SCI 43%
Restaurants 34 -7.4%-5.4%-7.2% EAT 370% · CAKE 196% · RAVE 159%
Distributors 4 -8.0%-24.6%-7.6% ARMK 160% · GPC 26% · LKQ -41%
Home Furnishings 4 -2.8%30.6%-12.3% SGI 58% · LZB 8% · MHK -32%
Footwear 9 58.9%44.6%-14.5% WEYS 156% · DECK 27% · SHOO 26%
Automotive Parts & Equipment 38 -9.1%-5.3%-31.9% MOD 1423% · GTX 275% · STRT 106%
Leisure Products ← 13 -4.0%-10.0%-32.5% GOLF 86% · HAS 18% · MCFT 1%
Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 27 3.5%-2.0%-35.2% TPR 250% · RL 248% · ELA 229%
Apparel Retail 25 -1.4%3.7%-38.5% DXLG 187% · ANF 180% · ROST 103%
Leisure Facilities 12 -15.2%-8.6%-39.7% OSW 177% · JAKK 115% · ESCA 12%
Household Appliances 18 7.7%37.4%-40.6% KEQU 176% · FLXS 147% · HBB 122%
Broadline Retail 15 5.9%12.5%-50.4% DDS 296% · AMZN 58% · EBAY 55%
Computer & Electronics Retail 3 -19.2%7.8%-55.8% BBY -4% · GME -56% · UPBD -61%
Automobile Manufacturers 8 -70.4%-67.2%-68.8% GM 90% · F 54% · TSLA 54%
Consumer Electronics 11 -18.5%-21.6%-75.5% AXIL 2348% · GRMN 91% · TBCH -54%
Other Specialty Retail 18 -28.1%-44.1%-77.8% BBW 212% · TLF 105% · WINA 95%
Median of constituents with a full price history over each window. Top names are unfiltered by size in this render.

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

PIIHOGTXTBCTHOWGOMedian
NamePolaris Harley-D.Textron BrunswickThor Ind.Winnebag. 
Mkt Price64.3928.2082.9580.8379.4931.7871.94
Mkt Cap3.73.014.45.34.20.93.9
Rev LTM7,4454,24015,2995,6309,8202,9126,537
Op Inc LTM1702131,02633524976231
FCF LTM67-133759341200126163
FCF 3Y Avg237467696392430141411
CFO LTM248-01,236523336157292
CFO 3Y Avg4996391,107575569184572

Growth & Margins

PIIHOGTXTBCTHOWGOMedian
NamePolaris Harley-D.Textron BrunswickThor Ind.Winnebag. 
Rev Chg LTM8.4%-5.2%8.8%10.5%2.4%5.8%7.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.0%-10.4%5.2%-5.1%-6.7%-12.0%-6.4%
Rev Chg Q9.2%-5.9%3.0%7.7%-3.9%6.0%4.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.3%-1.8%0.7%2.0%-1.1%1.3%1.0%
Op Inc Chg LTM25.1%15.0%23.9%7.5%-24.8%20.7%17.8%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-30.0%-28.0%5.9%-24.6%-31.3%-34.6%-29.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.3%5.0%6.7%6.0%2.5%2.6%3.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg3.5%6.9%6.8%7.6%3.4%3.9%5.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.4%-0.8%-0.1%0.3%-0.8%0.1%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM3.3%-0.0%8.1%9.3%3.4%5.4%4.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.7%12.6%7.7%10.5%5.8%6.2%7.2%
FCF/Rev LTM0.9%-3.1%5.0%6.1%2.0%4.3%3.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.2%9.1%4.8%7.2%4.3%4.7%4.8%

Valuation

PIIHOGTXTBCTHOWGOMedian
NamePolaris Harley-D.Textron BrunswickThor Ind.Winnebag. 
Mkt Cap3.73.014.45.34.20.93.9
P/S0.50.70.90.90.40.30.6
P/Op Inc21.813.914.015.816.711.814.9
P/EBIT-22.49.511.1-1,201.411.311.910.3
P/E-14.214.615.4-61.515.821.515.0
P/CFO15.0-11,622.711.610.112.45.710.9
Total Yield-2.9%9.6%6.6%0.5%7.6%9.0%7.1%
Dividend Yield4.1%2.8%0.1%2.1%1.3%4.4%2.5%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg8.3%13.1%4.5%8.9%9.2%12.5%9.1%
D/E0.60.80.30.40.20.50.5
Net D/E0.50.10.20.40.10.50.3

Returns

PIIHOGTXTBCTHOWGOMedian
NamePolaris Harley-D.Textron BrunswickThor Ind.Winnebag. 
1M Rtn-11.2%6.3%-11.0%2.1%6.0%5.7%3.9%
3M Rtn-4.1%19.8%-9.7%0.4%3.9%8.0%2.2%
6M Rtn-0.9%42.8%-17.6%-7.8%-29.1%-30.6%-12.7%
12M Rtn17.6%1.5%1.8%25.4%-27.1%-8.7%1.6%
3Y Rtn-34.6%-9.4%9.8%6.5%-18.2%-45.7%-13.8%
1M Excs Rtn-14.8%2.7%-14.6%-1.4%2.4%2.1%0.3%
3M Excs Rtn-5.0%19.4%-11.1%0.1%2.9%6.5%1.5%
6M Excs Rtn-11.9%31.7%-28.7%-18.9%-40.2%-41.6%-23.8%
12M Excs Rtn2.1%-13.3%-15.3%12.0%-43.0%-24.0%-14.3%
3Y Excs Rtn-112.0%-82.2%-64.2%-69.3%-93.3%-119.3%-87.7%

Comparison Analyses

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Off Road5,7135,7076,9846,4365,575
On Road9269881,1851,1631,032
Marine512481765989760
Corporate    73
Total7,1527,1758,9348,5897,439


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$64.39 
Market Cap ($ Bil)3.7 
First Trading Date09/16/1987 
Distance from 52W High-13.8% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$69.44$64.29
DMA Trendupup
Distance from DMA-7.3%0.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility41.8%50.3%
Downside Capture161.54124.93
Upside Capture122.45117.85
Correlation (SPY)46.1%37.6%
PII Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta1.521.121.521.221.471.24
Up Beta0.08-0.190.210.621.281.32
Down Beta2.111.991.641.802.171.23
Up Capture163%110%190%125%152%88%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days12233669131361
Down Capture186%124%182%121%115%108%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days10202757120389

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PII
PII22.2%50.7%0.56-
Sector ETF (XLY)4.3%19.6%0.1037.2%
Equity (SPY)21.1%12.9%1.2237.7%
Gold (GLD)37.5%28.8%1.1011.8%
Commodities (DBC)43.2%20.2%1.66-15.2%
Real Estate (VNQ)12.9%13.8%0.6430.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-31.6%44.1%-0.7316.6%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PII
PII-10.5%43.1%-0.13-
Sector ETF (XLY)6.2%24.1%0.2251.6%
Equity (SPY)12.9%17.2%0.5749.1%
Gold (GLD)20.6%18.6%0.905.6%
Commodities (DBC)10.4%19.6%0.415.9%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.0245.6%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)10.4%52.8%0.3820.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with PII
PII-1.0%42.8%0.13-
Sector ETF (XLY)12.3%22.2%0.5155.9%
Equity (SPY)15.2%17.9%0.7255.3%
Gold (GLD)12.7%16.2%0.642.4%
Commodities (DBC)8.0%18.0%0.3615.8%
Real Estate (VNQ)5.0%20.7%0.2047.1%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)63.1%66.1%1.0315.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7312026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 7152026-4.1%
Average Daily Volume0.9 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.9 days
Basic Shares Quantity57.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares6.3%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 8/6/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-6.0%3.0% 
4/28/20261.1%-0.5%5.4%
1/27/2026-1.9%1.5%-3.5%
10/28/20250.3%-5.0%-1.5%
7/29/202516.8%1.9%13.5%
4/29/20250.4%-0.3%17.9%
1/28/2025-5.0%-10.9%-12.6%
10/22/2024-3.5%1.9%-9.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101212
# Negative141211
Median Positive1.8%1.9%5.5%
Median Negative-3.2%-3.9%-8.5%
Max Positive16.8%7.5%19.1%
Max Negative-7.9%-10.9%-16.4%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
7/28/2026-6.0%3.0% 
4/28/20261.1%-0.5%5.4%
1/27/2026-1.9%1.5%-3.5%
10/28/20250.3%-5.0%-1.5%
7/29/202516.8%1.9%13.5%
4/29/20250.4%-0.3%17.9%
1/28/2025-5.0%-10.9%-12.6%
10/22/2024-3.5%1.9%-9.7%
7/23/2024-6.8%7.4%8.5%
4/23/2024-1.5%-1.5%-5.4%
1/30/20240.9%-0.5%4.7%
10/24/2023-3.0%-3.5%0.4%
7/25/20233.3%0.1%-16.4%
4/25/2023-0.9%1.2%-2.0%
1/31/20232.6%1.5%1.1%
10/25/20223.7%7.5%19.1%
7/26/2022-2.5%3.5%5.0%
4/26/2022-7.8%-9.1%-8.7%
1/25/2022-0.8%2.2%9.2%
10/26/2021-7.9%-4.9%-3.7%
7/27/2021-5.8%-6.1%-8.5%
4/27/2021-1.2%-1.5%-10.2%
1/26/20213.5%-4.4%5.5%
10/27/20200.5%1.4%4.1%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101212
# Negative141211
Median Positive1.8%1.9%5.5%
Median Negative-3.2%-3.9%-8.5%
Max Positive16.8%7.5%19.1%
Max Negative-7.9%-10.9%-16.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/28/202610-Q
03/31/202604/28/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/22/202410-Q
06/30/202407/23/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202310/24/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202304/25/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
Collapse to Preview
Report DateFiling DateFiling
06/30/202607/28/202610-Q
03/31/202604/28/202610-Q
12/31/202502/13/202610-K
09/30/202510/28/202510-Q
06/30/202507/29/202510-Q
03/31/202504/30/202510-Q
12/31/202402/18/202510-K
09/30/202410/22/202410-Q
06/30/202407/23/202410-Q
03/31/202404/23/202410-Q
12/31/202302/16/202410-K
09/30/202310/24/202310-Q
06/30/202307/25/202310-Q
03/31/202304/25/202310-Q
12/31/202202/17/202310-K
09/30/202210/25/202210-Q
06/30/202207/26/202210-Q
03/31/202204/26/202210-Q
12/31/202102/15/202210-K
09/30/202110/26/202110-Q
06/30/202107/27/202110-Q
03/31/202104/27/202110-Q
12/31/202002/16/202110-K
09/30/202010/27/202010-Q
06/30/202007/28/202010-Q
03/31/202004/28/202010-Q
12/31/201902/14/202010-K
09/30/201910/22/201910-Q

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/29/2026

Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 7/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Sales7.30 Bil7.40 Bil7.50 Bil2.4% RaisedGuidance: 7.22 Bil for 2026
2026 Adjusted EPS33.053.184.8% RaisedGuidance: 1.65 for 2026

Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 4/28/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Adjusted Sales7.15 Bil7.22 Bil7.30 Bil   
2026 Adjusted EPS1.61.651.76.5%10.0%RaisedGuidance: 1.55 for 2026

Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 1/27/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Sales Growth1.0%2.0%3.0%   
2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS1.51.551.6  Higher NewActual: -0.05 for 2025

Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/28/2025

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2025 Adjusted Sales6.90 Bil7.00 Bil7.10 Bil   
2025 Adjusted EPS -0.05    

Insider Activity

Updated 7/2/2026
Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mack, Robert PaulCFO, EVP - Finance + Corp DevDirectSell212202666.837,786520,3355,376,190Form
2Duke, Benjamin DPresident-MarineDirectSell212202666.8210,090674,1902,020,698Form
3Speetzen, Michael TCEODirectSell212202666.8335,0862,344,6969,112,678Form
4Williams, James PSVP-CHRODirectSell204202667.175,243352,1723,267,485Form
5Williams, James PSVP-CHRODirectSell1208202567.534,554307,5092,962,862Form
Collapse to Preview
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Mack, Robert PaulCFO, EVP - Finance + Corp DevDirectSell212202666.837,786520,3355,376,190Form
2Duke, Benjamin DPresident-MarineDirectSell212202666.8210,090674,1902,020,698Form
3Speetzen, Michael TCEODirectSell212202666.8335,0862,344,6969,112,678Form
4Williams, James PSVP-CHRODirectSell204202667.175,243352,1723,267,485Form
5Williams, James PSVP-CHRODirectSell1208202567.534,554307,5092,962,862Form

Investor Activity (13F)

Updated Aug 23, 2026
13F holdings as of Mar 31, 2026 (Q1 2026)

Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.

Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Divisar Capital Management LLC$26.0 Mil6.6%26ADD +18.1%13F
RWWM, Inc.$48.4 Mil3.5%34Hold13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Divisar Capital Management LLC$26.0 Mil6.6%26ADD +18.1%13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
Silver Heights Capital Management Inc$13.3 Mil5.3%5Exited13F
Active ManagerValue% of PortfolioTotal PositionsQoQFiling
RWWM, Inc.$48.4 Mil3.5%34Hold13F
Divisar Capital Management LLC$26.0 Mil6.6%26ADD +18.1%13F
Core Cache Last Updated: 8/22/2026