Thor Industries (THO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $101.78 | Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products
Thor Industries (THO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $101.78Market Cap: $5.4 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 9.7% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.5%, FCF Yield is 9.7% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -49% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.6%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -15%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
THO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
For the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, Thor Industries (THO) stock experienced a decline of approximately 8.5%. This movement can be attributed to several key factors, primarily stemming from the company's fiscal 2026 first-quarter earnings report and the broader market sentiment surrounding the recreational vehicle (RV) industry.
1. Q1 Fiscal 2026 Earnings Beat Offset by Cautious Full-Year Guidance.
Thor Industries reported robust financial results for its first fiscal quarter of 2026 (ended October 31, 2025), with earnings of $0.41 per share and revenue of $2.39 billion, both surpassing analyst expectations. However, the company reaffirmed its fiscal 2026 guidance, projecting consolidated net sales in the range of $9.0 billion to $9.5 billion, which implies a potential decrease compared to fiscal 2025's $9.6 billion. Additionally, the diluted earnings per share guidance of $3.75 to $4.25 for fiscal 2026 was notably lower than the $4.84 reported in fiscal 2025. This conservative outlook for the full fiscal year, despite the strong quarterly performance, likely fueled investor concern and contributed to the stock's decline.
2. Mixed Segmental Performance with European RV Margin Compression.
While the North American Motorized RV segment demonstrated significant growth in Q1 fiscal 2026 with a 30.9% increase in net sales driven by higher unit shipments, other segments faced challenges. In the preceding Q4 fiscal 2025, the North American Towable segment saw a 4.6% decline in sales and a 10.1% decrease in unit shipments as the company focused on managing channel inventory. Furthermore, in Q1 fiscal 2026, the European RV segment's gross profit margin percentage fell by 340 basis points, impacted by a higher mix of lower-margin special-edition motorcaravan products, increased promotional activity, and higher warranty costs. These varied performances across segments indicated underlying pressures on profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| THO Return | 28% | 13% | -26% | 60% | -18% | 18% | 67% |
| Peers Return | 123% | -1% | -35% | 4% | -27% | -4% | 5% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| THO Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 25% | 42% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 28% | 45% | 43% | 54% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| THO Max Drawdown | -53% | 0% | -33% | -0% | -24% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -54% | -17% | -42% | -23% | -35% | -39% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WGO, WKHS, HAS, MAT, THO. See THO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | THO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 76 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -72.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 267.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 435.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1596 days | 1480 days |
Compare to WGO, WKHS, HAS, MAT, THO
In The Past
Thor Industries's stock fell -54.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -54.7% loss requires a 120.5% gain to breakeven.
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to THO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 126.5% | 227.6% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.7% | -6.6% | -37.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 126.5% | 227.6% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.7% | -6.6% | -37.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Thor Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 37.55 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| Rev LTM | 4,357 |
| Op Inc LTM | 299 |
| FCF LTM | 455 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 525 |
| CFO LTM | 578 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 702 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -2.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -10.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 7.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 6.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.3 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/EBIT | 8.8 |
| P/E | 12.3 |
| P/CFO | 8.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.8% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.6% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Rtn | 5.3% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.8% |
| 12M Rtn | -5.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | 14.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.7% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -0.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.1% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -54.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9242025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6042025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3052025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12042024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9242024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3062024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12062023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9252023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6062023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3072023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12072022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9282022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3092022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12082021 | 10-Q 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |