Thor Industries (THO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $104.09 | Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Leisure Products
Thor Industries (THO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $104.09Market Cap: $5.5 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Leisure Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% | Key risksTHO key risks include [1] margin pressure from supply chain disruptions and volatile raw material costs, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 42% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -44%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -36% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -13% |
| Key risksTHO key risks include [1] margin pressure from supply chain disruptions and volatile raw material costs, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
THO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are five key points that could explain a -4.5% movement in Thor Industries (THO) stock for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Mixed Full-Year Guidance: While Thor Industries reported strong Q1 Fiscal Year 2026 results (also referred to as Q3 Calendar Year 2025) with net sales exceeding revenue expectations, the company's full-year revenue guidance came in 2.3% below analysts' estimates, and GAAP EPS guidance also missed analyst estimates by 1.9%. This tempered outlook for the full year could have introduced caution among investors, leading to a downward stock adjustment.
2. Valuation Concerns and Analyst Rating: Despite positive operational momentum in its Q1 FY2026 performance, Thor Industries' stock was considered "fully valued" trading at 1.35 times its book value, a level near its five-year average. This assessment led one analyst to reiterate a "Hold" rating, suggesting limited upside potential and indicating that the stock might have already factored in positive news, making it susceptible to downward movements if new significant catalysts were absent.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| THO Return | 28% | 13% | -26% | 60% | -18% | 10% | 55% |
| Peers Return | 7% | 33% | -22% | 32% | -2% | 29% | 86% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| THO Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 25% | 42% | 42% | 58% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 55% | 57% | 35% | 50% | 48% | 67% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| THO Max Drawdown | -53% | 0% | -33% | -0% | -24% | -31% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -59% | -1% | -32% | -8% | -27% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WGO, REVG, PII, BC, LCII. See THO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | THO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -54.7% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 120.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -60.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 154.5% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 76 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -72.8% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 267.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -81.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 435.5% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,596 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to WGO, WKHS, HAS, MAT, THO
In The Past
Thor Industries's stock fell -54.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -54.7% loss requires a 120.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to THO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 126.5% | 227.6% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.7% | -6.6% | -37.3% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 13.0% | 13.0% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.4% | 6.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.7% | 3.7% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 17.1% | 17.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -1.6% |
| 03312020 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 126.5% | 227.6% | -13.5% |
| 10312018 | THO | Thor Industries | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.7% | -6.6% | -37.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Thor Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 72.22 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| Rev LTM | 4,588 |
| Op Inc LTM | 221 |
| FCF LTM | 341 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 380 |
| CFO LTM | 431 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 523 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -1.7% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 4.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 5.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 9.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 7.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.5 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | -11.8 |
| P/E | 16.0 |
| P/CFO | 6.8 |
| Total Yield | 3.9% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.4 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 16.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 19.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 35.6% |
| 12M Rtn | 11.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 24.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 16.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 17.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 23.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -3.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -48.1% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/3/2025 | -9.5% | -6.0% | |
| 9/24/2025 | 6.1% | 1.4% | 5.8% |
| 6/4/2025 | 4.2% | 7.5% | 11.2% |
| 3/5/2025 | -14.5% | -17.3% | -17.2% |
| 12/4/2024 | -3.2% | -1.8% | -10.9% |
| 9/24/2024 | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.2% |
| 6/5/2024 | 0.7% | -0.5% | -3.6% |
| 3/6/2024 | -15.4% | -19.0% | -12.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 12 |
| # Negative | 12 | 13 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% |
| Median Negative | -4.3% | -6.0% | -8.0% |
| Max Positive | 17.7% | 17.1% | 28.3% |
| Max Negative | -26.8% | -28.8% | -39.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12032025 | 10-Q 10/31/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9242025 | 10-K 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6042025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3052025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12042024 | 10-Q 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9242024 | 10-K 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6052024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3062024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12062023 | 10-Q 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9252023 | 10-K 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6062023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3072023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12072022 | 10-Q 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9282022 | 10-K 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6082022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3092022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |