Winnebago Industries (WGO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.92 | Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers
Winnebago Industries (WGO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.92Market Cap: $1.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automobile Manufacturers
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods. | Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 9.6% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
WGO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The provided search results contain news and financial information for Winnebago Industries (WGO) within the specified timeframe of August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This includes earnings reports, analyst ratings, and company announcements. There is also a mention of "Winnebago Industries Inc shares had fallen by 5.4% this quarter and lost 33.8% so far this year" in the context of the Q4 2025 earnings report on October 22, 2025. This directly addresses the 5.4% movement.
Here are the key points for the stock movement of Winnebago Industries (WGO) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:
1. Winnebago Industries reported its Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2025 results on October 22, 2025. The company announced adjusted earnings of 71 cents per share for the quarter ended August 31, which was higher than the previous year and exceeded analyst expectations of 53 cents per share. Revenue for the quarter rose 7.8% to $777.30 million, also surpassing the anticipated $727.82 million. Despite this positive earnings surprise, the company's shares had fallen by 5.4% during the quarter ending August 31, 2025.
2. Fiscal Year 2025 Performance and Outlook: While the fourth quarter showed strong results, the full fiscal year 2025 experienced a 5.9% decrease in net revenues due to reduced average selling prices and lower unit volumes, partially offset by targeted price increases. Looking ahead, for fiscal year 2026, Winnebago Industries anticipated consolidated net revenues between $2.75 billion and $2.95 billion, with reported earnings per diluted share of $1.25 to $1.95, and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $2 to $2.70.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| WGO Return | 14% | 26% | -29% | 41% | -33% | -16% | -19% |
| Peers Return | 264% | -3% | -31% | 17% | -9% | -13% | 124% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| WGO Win Rate | 50% | 67% | 17% | 50% | 42% | 50% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 37% | 27% | 13% | 28% | 27% | 35% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| WGO Max Drawdown | -61% | 0% | -41% | -0% | -36% | -39% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -24% | -20% | -34% | -18% | -32% | -35% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: THO, WKHS, EMPD, SBLX, TSLA. See WGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | WGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -67.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 204.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 78 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -65.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 190.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -90.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 982.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 2832 days | 1480 days |
Compare to THO, WKHS, EMPD, SBLX, TSLA
In The Past
Winnebago Industries's stock fell -49.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -49.4% loss requires a 97.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to WGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.2% | 9.2% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.1% | -4.1% | -4.1% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.1% | 5.1% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.8% | 2.8% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Winnebago Industries
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.25 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.2 |
| Rev LTM | 1,404 |
| Op Inc LTM | 20 |
| FCF LTM | 38 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 56 |
| CFO LTM | 58 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 85 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -8.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | -264.0% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | -395.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | -144.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | -358.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -146.7% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -368.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 3.2 |
| P/S | 0.7 |
| P/EBIT | 15.2 |
| P/E | 27.2 |
| P/CFO | 7.7 |
| Total Yield | 2.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.8% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.3 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Rtn | -19.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.5% |
| 12M Rtn | -18.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | -7.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -4.5% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -24.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -1.2% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -34.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -76.4% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 8312025 | 10222025 | 10-K 8/30/2025 |
| 5312025 | 6252025 | 10-Q 5/31/2025 |
| 2282025 | 3272025 | 10-Q 3/1/2025 |
| 11302024 | 12202024 | 10-Q 11/30/2024 |
| 8312024 | 10232024 | 10-K 8/31/2024 |
| 5312024 | 6202024 | 10-Q 5/25/2024 |
| 2292024 | 3212024 | 10-Q 2/24/2024 |
| 11302023 | 12202023 | 10-Q 11/25/2023 |
| 8312023 | 10182023 | 10-K 8/26/2023 |
| 5312023 | 6212023 | 10-Q 5/27/2023 |
| 2282023 | 3222023 | 10-Q 2/25/2023 |
| 11302022 | 12162022 | 10-Q 11/26/2022 |
| 8312022 | 10192022 | 10-K 8/27/2022 |
| 5312022 | 6222022 | 10-Q 5/28/2022 |
| 2282022 | 3232022 | 10-Q 2/26/2022 |
| 11302021 | 12172021 | 10-Q 11/27/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |