Tearsheet

Winnebago Industries (WGO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $40.81 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Winnebago Industries (WGO)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $40.81
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
Key risks
WGO key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with poor interest coverage from earnings and [2] operational efficiency challenges related to managing dealer inventory and production costs.
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -80%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -90%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
5 Key risks
WGO key risks include [1] a significant debt burden with poor interest coverage from earnings and [2] operational efficiency challenges related to managing dealer inventory and production costs.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WGO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

**1. Strong Q4 Fiscal Year 2025 Earnings Beat.** Winnebago Industries reported robust financial results for its fourth quarter and full fiscal year 2025, which ended August 31, 2025, with results announced on October 22, 2025. The company's net revenues increased by 7.8% from the prior year's fourth quarter, reaching $777.3 million. Notably, adjusted earnings per diluted share surged by 153.6% year-over-year to $0.71, significantly surpassing analysts' consensus estimates. This strong earnings performance was a major catalyst, with reports indicating it triggered a stock price increase of approximately 25%. Winnebago's stock price specifically increased over 10% from $31.62 to $40.64 on October 23, 2025, following this announcement.

**2. Positive Fiscal 2026 Financial Guidance.** Following the strong Q4 results, Winnebago Industries provided a positive outlook by issuing financial guidance for fiscal year 2026, projecting adjusted earnings per share to be in the range of $2.00 to $2.70. This forward-looking guidance instilled confidence in the company's future performance and its ability to navigate the market.

**3. Improved Financial Health and Operational Efficiency.** The company demonstrated enhanced financial stability with a significant increase in net cash flow from operations, reaching $181.4 million in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. Furthermore, Winnebago Industries improved its net leverage ratio to 3.1x at quarter-end, reflecting effective balance sheet management and operational efficiencies.

**4. Favorable RV Industry Outlook for 2026.** The broader recreational vehicle (RV) market is projected to experience an upward trend in 2026. The RV Industry Association (RVIA) forecast indicates that wholesale RV shipments are expected to rise by 2.8% over the anticipated 2025 year-end totals. This positive industry outlook, driven by factors such as easing inflation and more accessible financing, created a supportive market environment for Winnebago Industries.

**5. Significant Institutional Investor Inflows.** During the third quarter of 2025, several institutional investment firms made substantial additions to their holdings in Winnebago Industries. Notable examples include Maple Rock Capital Partners Inc. with an estimated $11.97 million in added shares, Hotchkis & Wiley Capital Management LLC with approximately $9.78 million, Citadel Advisors LLC with about $7.98 million, and Royce & Associates LP with around $6.84 million. These considerable investments by major funds contributed to increased buying pressure and supported the stock's upward movement.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WGO Return14%26%-29%41%-33%-13%-16%
Peers Return17%30%-25%51%14%36%170%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WGO Win Rate50%67%17%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate62%58%37%53%53%68% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WGO Max Drawdown-61%0%-41%-0%-36%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-1%-37%-5%-18%-23% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: THO, BC, REVG, LCII, PATK. See WGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWGOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven204.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven190.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven982.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2,832 days1,480 days

Compare to THO, WKHS, TSLA, GM, F


In The Past

Winnebago Industries's stock fell -49.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -49.4% loss requires a 97.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Winnebago Industries (WGO)

Better Bets than Winnebago Industries (WGO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
13.0%13.0%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.4%6.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.1%17.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.1%14.1%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Winnebago Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WGOTHOBCREVGLCIIPATKMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.BrunswickREV LCI Indu.Patrick . 
Mkt Price41.40104.1675.1059.37121.75111.6489.63
Mkt Cap1.25.54.92.73.03.63.3
Rev LTM2,7989,8265,1842,4643,9923,8733,933
Op Inc LTM57327293182261258259
FCF LTM90373589190310183250
FCF 3Y Avg133507402103366290328
CFO LTM129502736241359301330
CFO 3Y Avg189655623140422372397

Growth & Margins

WGOTHOBCREVGLCIIPATKMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.BrunswickREV LCI Indu.Patrick . 
Rev Chg LTM-5.9%1.4%-4.8%3.5%5.7%6.1%2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.8%-12.8%-7.7%2.3%-8.8%-7.3%-8.3%
Rev Chg Q7.8%11.5%6.8%11.1%13.2%6.1%9.5%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%2.6%1.7%2.8%3.1%1.5%2.3%
Op Mgn LTM2.0%3.3%5.6%7.4%6.5%6.7%6.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.0%3.8%9.4%5.1%4.8%7.2%5.0%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%0.2%-0.5%0.2%0.4%-0.3%0.2%
CFO/Rev LTM4.6%5.1%14.2%9.8%9.0%7.8%8.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%6.5%10.9%5.6%10.9%10.0%8.3%
FCF/Rev LTM3.2%3.8%11.4%7.7%7.8%4.7%6.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.2%5.0%7.1%4.1%9.5%7.9%6.1%

Valuation

WGOTHOBCREVGLCIIPATKMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.BrunswickREV LCI Indu.Patrick . 
Mkt Cap1.25.54.92.73.03.63.3
P/S0.30.60.81.10.60.90.7
P/EBIT16.7--32.0-8.414.311.3
P/E36.319.4-17.428.912.727.823.6
P/CFO7.210.95.611.46.311.19.1
Total Yield3.8%5.2%-3.0%3.9%9.2%5.2%4.5%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.0%2.7%0.5%1.3%1.6%1.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.1%-8.4%-13.2%13.3%11.2%
D/E0.6-0.6-0.50.50.5
Net D/E0.4-0.5-0.40.50.4

Returns

WGOTHOBCREVGLCIIPATKMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.BrunswickREV LCI Indu.Patrick . 
1M Rtn27.2%8.1%21.8%16.5%17.2%15.6%16.9%
3M Rtn25.5%0.6%16.4%0.5%24.7%5.7%11.0%
6M Rtn33.7%22.5%37.1%34.1%39.8%25.5%33.9%
12M Rtn-21.4%4.5%8.2%83.2%15.0%29.0%11.6%
3Y Rtn-19.2%37.6%11.3%484.5%46.4%187.0%42.0%
1M Excs Rtn26.5%7.3%21.0%15.8%16.5%14.9%16.2%
3M Excs Rtn21.5%-0.3%14.2%-1.2%22.7%3.0%8.6%
6M Excs Rtn21.3%10.2%24.7%21.7%27.4%13.1%21.5%
12M Excs Rtn-33.4%-9.2%-6.1%58.5%-1.0%15.4%-3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-90.0%-36.3%-59.9%381.4%-28.4%137.8%-32.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Motorhome recreation vehicles (RV)788802823728600
Towable recreation vehicles (RV)719751875790718
Corporate / All Other499452302441395
Marine378427416103 
Total2,3842,4322,4172,0631,714


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2,988,768
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-3.4%
Average Daily Volume527,493
Days-to-Cover Short Interest5.67
Basic Shares Quantity27,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares10.7%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/22/202528.5%28.4%3.0%
6/5/2025-6.0%-4.2%-8.7%
3/27/20258.1%3.1%-4.7%
10/23/2024-10.8%-0.9%-1.2%
6/20/2024-3.5%-7.0%0.2%
3/21/20246.2%10.3%-4.1%
10/18/2023-3.2%-1.2%13.1%
6/21/2023-1.3%-0.2%6.0%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive569
# Negative13129
Median Positive8.1%10.2%3.0%
Median Negative-6.0%-3.8%-4.7%
Max Positive28.5%28.4%50.8%
Max Negative-11.8%-13.2%-13.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251022202510-K 8/30/2025
5312025625202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025327202510-Q 3/1/2025
113020241220202410-Q 11/30/2024
83120241023202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024620202410-Q 5/25/2024
2292024321202410-Q 2/24/2024
113020231220202310-Q 11/25/2023
83120231018202310-K 8/26/2023
5312023621202310-Q 5/27/2023
2282023322202310-Q 2/25/2023
113020221216202210-Q 11/26/2022
83120221019202210-K 8/27/2022
5312022622202210-Q 5/28/2022
2282022323202210-Q 2/26/2022
113020211217202110-Q 11/27/2021