Tearsheet

Winnebago Industries (WGO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.92 | Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Winnebago Industries (WGO)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $37.92
Market Cap: $1.1 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automobile Manufacturers

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
 
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 9.6%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Travel & Leisure Tech, and Luxury Consumer Goods.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -90%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -104%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 11%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -5.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -17%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

WGO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

The provided search results contain news and financial information for Winnebago Industries (WGO) within the specified timeframe of August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025. This includes earnings reports, analyst ratings, and company announcements. There is also a mention of "Winnebago Industries Inc shares had fallen by 5.4% this quarter and lost 33.8% so far this year" in the context of the Q4 2025 earnings report on October 22, 2025. This directly addresses the 5.4% movement. Here are the key points for the stock movement of Winnebago Industries (WGO) from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025:

1. Winnebago Industries reported its Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2025 results on October 22, 2025. The company announced adjusted earnings of 71 cents per share for the quarter ended August 31, which was higher than the previous year and exceeded analyst expectations of 53 cents per share. Revenue for the quarter rose 7.8% to $777.30 million, also surpassing the anticipated $727.82 million. Despite this positive earnings surprise, the company's shares had fallen by 5.4% during the quarter ending August 31, 2025.

2. Fiscal Year 2025 Performance and Outlook: While the fourth quarter showed strong results, the full fiscal year 2025 experienced a 5.9% decrease in net revenues due to reduced average selling prices and lower unit volumes, partially offset by targeted price increases. Looking ahead, for fiscal year 2026, Winnebago Industries anticipated consolidated net revenues between $2.75 billion and $2.95 billion, with reported earnings per diluted share of $1.25 to $1.95, and adjusted earnings per diluted share of $2 to $2.70.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
WGO Return14%26%-29%41%-33%-16%-19%
Peers Return264%-3%-31%17%-9%-13%124%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
WGO Win Rate50%67%17%50%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate37%27%13%28%27%35% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
WGO Max Drawdown-61%0%-41%-0%-36%-39% 
Peers Max Drawdown-24%-20%-34%-18%-32%-35% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: THO, WKHS, EMPD, SBLX, TSLA. See WGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventWGOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.4%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-67.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven204.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven78 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-65.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven190.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven414 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-90.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven982.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven2832 days1480 days

Compare to THO, WKHS, EMPD, SBLX, TSLA


In The Past

Winnebago Industries's stock fell -49.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/17/2021. A -49.4% loss requires a 97.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Winnebago Industries (WGO)

Better Bets than Winnebago Industries (WGO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to WGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
9.2%9.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.4%2.4%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-4.1%-4.1%-4.1%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.1%5.1%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.8%2.8%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Winnebago Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

WGOTHOWKHSEMPDSBLXTSLAMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.WorkhorseEmpery D.StableX .Tesla  
Mkt Price37.5599.760.904.963.11446.7421.25
Mkt Cap1.05.30.0--1,441.63.2
Rev LTM2,7989,579114095,6331,404
Op Inc LTM57299-57-24-184,86820
FCF LTM90455-32-15-136,83438
FCF 3Y Avg133545-86-23-214,71956
CFO LTM129578-32-15-1315,74858
CFO 3Y Avg189702-74-23-1914,13085

Growth & Margins

WGOTHOWKHSEMPDSBLXTSLAMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.WorkhorseEmpery D.StableX .Tesla  
Rev Chg LTM-5.9%-4.6%11.7%-1.2%-87.2%-1.6%-3.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-16.8%-15.4%173.3%-0.7%-53.0%9.3%-8.0%
Rev Chg Q7.8%-0.4%573.0%-25.3%-100.0%11.6%3.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM2.1%-0.1%81.6%-6.4%-71.2%3.1%1.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.0%3.1%-530.0%-674.5%-27,779.9%5.1%-264.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg5.0%4.2%-954.3%-795.9%-11,400.6%8.3%-395.9%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.2%-0.3%534.5%1.4%-18,327.3%-1.1%-0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM4.6%6.0%-293.7%-430.4%-20,878.1%16.5%-144.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.0%6.8%-726.3%-722.0%-8,917.3%14.7%-358.0%
FCF/Rev LTM3.2%4.7%-296.7%-437.8%-20,935.3%7.1%-146.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg4.2%5.2%-838.6%-740.5%-9,100.6%4.9%-368.2%

Valuation

WGOTHOWKHSEMPDSBLXTSLAMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.WorkhorseEmpery D.StableX .Tesla  
Mkt Cap1.05.30.0--1,441.63.2
P/S0.30.50.9--15.00.7
P/EBIT16.713.6-0.2--205.915.2
P/E36.318.2-0.1--282.627.2
P/CFO7.28.1-0.3--91.17.7
Total Yield3.8%5.5%-841.8%--0.4%2.1%
Dividend Yield1.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg9.1%10.6%-1,832.2%--0.5%4.8%
D/E0.60.24.6--0.00.4
Net D/E0.40.14.4---0.00.3

Returns

WGOTHOWKHSEMPDSBLXTSLAMedian
NameWinnebag.Thor Ind.WorkhorseEmpery D.StableX .Tesla  
1M Rtn1.7%-4.4%-3.0%-27.7%-26.3%-4.6%-4.5%
3M Rtn7.2%-7.8%-30.8%-30.6%-41.1%33.7%-19.2%
6M Rtn9.7%17.3%-2.0%--34.5%13.5%
12M Rtn-31.2%-5.9%-92.9%--27.1%-18.6%
3Y Rtn-32.7%17.5%-99.9%--129.3%-7.6%
1M Excs Rtn1.7%-4.3%-3.0%-27.7%-26.3%-4.6%-4.5%
3M Excs Rtn-1.4%-15.6%-32.8%-33.0%-39.2%26.6%-24.2%
6M Excs Rtn-5.0%2.6%-16.7%--19.8%-1.2%
12M Excs Rtn-46.9%-22.1%-106.9%--15.9%-34.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-104.1%-48.7%-172.6%--71.4%-76.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Motorhome recreation vehicles (RV)788802823728600
Towable recreation vehicles (RV)719751875790718
Corporate / All Other499452302441395
Marine378427416103 
Total2,3842,4322,4172,0631,714


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity3,094,076
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-1.7%
Average Daily Volume407,645
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.59
Basic Shares Quantity27,900,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
83120251022202510-K 8/30/2025
5312025625202510-Q 5/31/2025
2282025327202510-Q 3/1/2025
113020241220202410-Q 11/30/2024
83120241023202410-K 8/31/2024
5312024620202410-Q 5/25/2024
2292024321202410-Q 2/24/2024
113020231220202310-Q 11/25/2023
83120231018202310-K 8/26/2023
5312023621202310-Q 5/27/2023
2282023322202310-Q 2/25/2023
113020221216202210-Q 11/26/2022
83120221019202210-K 8/27/2022
5312022622202210-Q 5/28/2022
2282022323202210-Q 2/26/2022
113020211217202110-Q 11/27/2021