Spectral AI (MDAI)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $1.76 | Market Cap: $55.9 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Spectral AI (MDAI)


Market Price (8/8/2026): $1.76
Market Cap: $55.9 Mil
Sector: Health Care
Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

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Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.

Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%

Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.66

Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -57%

Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40%

Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%

Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%

Key risks
MDAI key risks include [1] potential delays in the critical FDA De Novo approval for its DeepView® System, Show more.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -34%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -155%
2 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.66
3 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -57%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -29%
7 Key risks
MDAI key risks include [1] potential delays in the critical FDA De Novo approval for its DeepView® System, Show more.

Valuation & Metrics

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Updated on 8/6/2026

Spectral AI (MDAI) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue Miss and Decline. Spectral AI reported research and development revenues of $4.0 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 31, 2026), which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates of approximately $4.13 million. This figure also represented a significant 40% decrease compared to the $6.7 million in revenue recorded in the same prior year period. This year-over-year decline in its primary revenue stream likely contributed to negative investor sentiment, despite the company reaffirming its full-year 2026 research and development revenue guidance of $18.5 million.

2. Persistent Unprofitability and Cash Burn. The company continues to operate at a loss, reporting a net loss from operations of $2.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026. Spectral AI's cash balance decreased by $3.7 million during fiscal Q1 2026, falling from $15.4 million at the end of 2025 to $11.7 million by March 31, 2026. Analysts project continued unprofitability, with earnings forecast to decline by an average of 23% per year, and concerns about the company having "less than 1 year of cash runway" based on its free cash flow trend.

Show more
Updated on 8/6/2026

Spectral AI (MDAI) stock has lost about 15% since 4/30/2026 because of the following key factors:

1. Fiscal Q1 2026 Revenue Miss and Decline. Spectral AI reported research and development revenues of $4.0 million for fiscal Q1 2026 (ending March 31, 2026), which fell short of analysts' consensus estimates of approximately $4.13 million. This figure also represented a significant 40% decrease compared to the $6.7 million in revenue recorded in the same prior year period. This year-over-year decline in its primary revenue stream likely contributed to negative investor sentiment, despite the company reaffirming its full-year 2026 research and development revenue guidance of $18.5 million.

2. Persistent Unprofitability and Cash Burn. The company continues to operate at a loss, reporting a net loss from operations of $2.0 million in fiscal Q1 2026. Spectral AI's cash balance decreased by $3.7 million during fiscal Q1 2026, falling from $15.4 million at the end of 2025 to $11.7 million by March 31, 2026. Analysts project continued unprofitability, with earnings forecast to decline by an average of 23% per year, and concerns about the company having "less than 1 year of cash runway" based on its free cash flow trend.

3. Continued "Pre-Revenue Stage" for Product Sales. Despite positive developments such as FDA clearance for its DeepView System, Spectral AI remains largely in a "pre-revenue stage" concerning product sales. The company's primary business drivers are centered on the development and regulatory advancement of its AI-powered diagnostic platform. The fiscal Q1 2026 earnings call did not provide a concrete timeline for FDA submission for additional indications or for the widespread market penetration that would generate significant product revenues, leading to investor uncertainty regarding the timeline for the company to achieve profitability through product commercialization.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The -14.6% change in MDAI stock from 4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -13.8% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)43020268072026Change
Stock Price ($)2.051.75-14.6%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2017-13.8%
P/S Multiple3.23.32.7%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)3132-3.5%
Cumulative Contribution-14.6%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

4/30/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDAI-14.6% 
Market (SPY)7.6%17.7%
Sector (XLV)13.5%-10.6%

Fundamental Drivers

The 0.0% change in MDAI stock from 1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a 65.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)13120268072026Change
Stock Price ($)1.751.750.0%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)2317-26.9%
P/S Multiple2.03.365.1%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2632-17.1%
Cumulative Contribution0.0%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

1/31/2026 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDAI0.0% 
Market (SPY)12.1%21.2%
Sector (XLV)7.5%-4.7%

Fundamental Drivers

The -29.4% change in MDAI stock from 7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026 was primarily driven by a -43.5% change in the company's Total Revenues ($ Mil).
(LTM values as of)73120258072026Change
Stock Price ($)2.481.75-29.4%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)3017-43.5%
P/S Multiple1.93.372.5%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)2332-27.6%
Cumulative Contribution-29.4%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

7/31/2025 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDAI-29.4% 
Market (SPY)23.4%26.6%
Sector (XLV)28.7%0.2%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

7/31/2023 to 8/7/2026
ReturnCorrelation
MDAI-83.6% 
Market (SPY)74.9%15.5%
Sector (XLV)29.3%5.3%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
MDAI Return1%3%-76%15%-50%17%-83%
Peers Return22%-8%19%-8%19%-1%45%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%13%105%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
MDAI Win Rate67%67%42%42%33%62% 
Peers Win Rate52%46%53%43%60%55% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%50% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
MDAI Max Drawdown--3%-83%-69%-62%-44% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-51%-48%-45%-45%-37% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-5%-25%-10%-8%-19%-9% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ORGO, IART, IRTC, LNTH, GEHC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 8/7/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

EventMDAIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-42.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven70 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-24.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven114 days18 days

Compare to ORGO, IART, IRTC, LNTH, GEHC

In The Past

Spectral AI's stock fell -42.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 73.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

EventMDAIS&P 500
2025 US Tariff Shock
  % Loss-42.3%-18.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven73.5%23.1%
  Time to Breakeven70 days79 days
2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind
  % Loss-24.2%-7.8%
  % Gain to Breakeven31.9%8.5%
  Time to Breakeven114 days18 days

Compare to ORGO, IART, IRTC, LNTH, GEHC

In The Past

Spectral AI's stock fell -42.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 73.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Spectral AI (MDAI)

Spectral AI (MDAI) is an artificial intelligence company specializing in medical diagnostics, primarily within the field of wound care. The company's objective is to provide clinicians with tools that enable faster and more accurate treatment decisions, ultimately aiming to improve patient outcomes for complex conditions like burns and diabetic foot ulcers.

The core offering from Spectral AI is its predictive diagnostic device named DeepView. This device utilizes AI to offer clinicians an objective and immediate assessment of a wound's healing potential. By providing this critical information before treatment or other medical interventions, DeepView empowers healthcare providers to make more informed decisions and optimize patient care in its target markets.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few analogies for Spectral AI:

  • Spectral AI is like the 23andMe for wound healing potential, providing predictive insights into how a wound will recover.
  • Think of Spectral AI as Verily (Google's life sciences arm) focused specifically on wound prognostics, using advanced AI for critical medical assessments.
  • Spectral AI is similar to a Palantir for predicting wound healing, applying complex data analytics to provide crucial, objective insights for medical decisions.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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  • DeepView: A predictive diagnostic device that offers clinicians an objective and immediate assessment of a wound's healing potential prior to treatment or other medical intervention.
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AI Analysis | Feedback

Spectral AI (MDAI) sells its predictive diagnostic device, DeepView, primarily to healthcare organizations and facilities that provide wound care. While specific individual customer names are not typically disclosed for medical device companies, the major categories of customers that purchase and utilize their products include:

  • Hospitals: This includes burn centers, emergency departments, and general hospitals with departments focusing on wound management and diabetic care. These institutions utilize DeepView to assist clinicians in making faster and more accurate treatment decisions for patients with burns and diabetic foot ulcers.
  • Specialized Wound Care Clinics: Dedicated outpatient and inpatient clinics that focus specifically on the diagnosis, treatment, and management of complex wounds are key customers.
  • Physician Groups and Private Practices: Practices specializing in areas such as dermatology, endocrinology, podiatry, and general surgery that regularly treat patients with chronic wounds or burns may also acquire the DeepView device.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Vincent S. Capone, Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Capone was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Spectral AI in February 2026. Prior to this, he served as the company's Chief Financial Officer since February 2024 and General Counsel since March 2022. He was also a member of the Office of the Chairman starting in October 2024. Before joining Spectral AI, Mr. Capone was president of a New York-based private equity fund that invested in global life sciences and technology companies, demonstrating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. He began his career at KPMG LLP and practiced corporate and securities law as a partner with Reed Smith LLP.

J. Michael DiMaio, M.D., Chairman of the Board

Dr. DiMaio is a founder of Spectral AI, establishing the company in 2009. He previously held the roles of CEO and Chairman from 2011 to 2020. Dr. DiMaio returned as Chairman of the Board in October 2024. He also serves as Chief of Staff at Baylor Scott & White – The Heart Hospitals, where he oversees more than 650 physicians. He possesses over 30 years of experience in cardiothoracic surgery.

Stan Micek, Chief Operating Officer

Mr. Micek was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Spectral AI in May 2025, after serving as interim COO since May 2024. He is responsible for overseeing the company's research, development, and program management teams. With over 25 years of leadership experience in healthcare, his background includes senior leadership roles such as Senior Vice President for Business Development & Strategy at MiMedx and various positions at the Ohio State Comprehensive Cancer Center. Mr. Micek's expertise encompasses strategic negotiations, mergers and acquisitions, and fiscal oversight.

Allison Kumar, Head of Global Regulatory Affairs

Ms. Kumar serves as the Global Head of Regulatory and Clinical Affairs for Spectral AI, having worked with the company as an executive advisor since 2016. She brings over 25 years of experience in the medical device industry, including a decade at the FDA's Center for Devices and Radiological Health (CDRH). At the FDA, she served as a lead reviewer for peripheral vascular devices and a senior program manager. Her expertise includes leading the review of novel combination products and advanced medical software systems.

Louis Percoco, General Manager – Manufacturing

Mr. Percoco is an experienced engineering leader with over 30 years of expertise in research, development, and production within the medical device industry. His career has focused on developing and manufacturing electronics, software, and hardware for medical devices. He has led research and development as well as production teams across cardiology, orthopedic, and spine disciplines.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key risks to Spectral AI (MDAI):
  1. Regulatory Approval and Commercialization Hurdles: As an artificial intelligence-driven medical diagnostic device, Spectral AI's DeepView System faces rigorous regulatory scrutiny, particularly from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) via the De Novo pathway due to its novel nature. The company submitted its DeepView system to the FDA in June 2025 and anticipates approval in early to mid-2026. However, the FDA pays special attention to AI-specific issues such as algorithm transparency, validation, performance consistency, and cybersecurity, which can prolong the review process. Even upon approval, successful commercialization and widespread market adoption by clinicians, coupled with securing reimbursement from insurance providers, represent significant challenges. Delays in the approval process or an inability to achieve market acceptance could substantially impact revenue generation. Furthermore, the departure of the Chief Commercial Officer in February 2026, just months before the expected FDA decision and commercial launch, creates a leadership void during a critical commercialization phase and has put plans for building out the commercial team in limbo.
  2. Competition and Rapid Technological Obsolescence: The medical diagnostics and artificial intelligence fields are characterized by rapidly evolving technology and dynamic customer requirements. Spectral AI operates in a competitive landscape with existing players and other innovative companies, including Healthy.io, Intellicure, Perceptive Solutions, and WoundVision. There is a continuous risk that competitors may develop superior, more cost-effective, or more widely adopted solutions, potentially rendering DeepView obsolete or competitively impaired. To mitigate this, Spectral AI must consistently invest in research and development to innovate and enhance its products, which can place significant strain on its capital resources and operational capabilities.
  3. Financial Instability and Dependence on Government Contracts: Spectral AI has historically experienced negative earnings and its short-term liabilities have exceeded its cash position, indicating ongoing financial challenges despite revenue projections. The company has shown a reliance on government contracts, such as those with the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA). This dependence makes Spectral AI vulnerable to changes in government policy or funding, as demonstrated by a government shutdown in late 2025 which forced the company to lower its full-year revenue guidance. The relatively small cash position (approximately $18 million, including a recent raise) to fund commercial buildout further underscores potential financial constraints during a critical growth period.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Spectral AI's DeepView system targets significant addressable markets within wound care, specifically for burn indications and diabetic foot ulcers.

For its burn indication, Spectral AI estimates an addressable market size of approximately $3.7 billion globally. When expanding into diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) indications, the company projects an additional $11 billion in addressable market size, also globally.

AI Analysis | Feedback

For Spectral AI (MDAI), several key drivers are expected to contribute to future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Commercial Launch and Adoption of DeepView System for Burn Assessment: Spectral AI anticipates generating its first commercial product revenue in the second half of 2024 from the DeepView AI burn system in the United Kingdom, following UKCA Authorization in February 2024. Furthermore, the company expects FDA authorization for the DeepView burn diagnostic in the United States by mid-2026, which is projected to lead to a commercial launch in the latter half of 2026. This commercialization, particularly under an innovative licensing model, is expected to generate recurring revenue at elevated margins.
  2. Expansion into Diabetic Foot Ulcer (DFU) Indication: The company is actively pursuing the commercialization of its DeepView System for assessing diabetic foot ulcers (DFU) in both the US and the UK, with regulatory filings for this indication expected in 2024. This strategic expansion addresses a significant and distinct segment within the wound care market.
  3. Continued Leverage of Government Contracts and Funding: Spectral AI benefits from substantial contracts with the U.S. Government, including the BARDA Project BioShield (PBS) contract, which is valued at up to $150 million. This contract is a significant source of research and development revenue and is also intended to fund the deployment of DeepView devices following FDA approval. The company has projected that much of its 2024 revenue growth will be derived from the PBS contract.
  4. Development and Commercialization of New Products and Applications: Beyond the core DeepView system for burns and DFU, the company aims to accelerate the development of other clinical applications in its pipeline. This includes the development of the handheld DeepView SnapShot M, which is undergoing testing for military applications with the Department of Defense. Further potential expansion areas identified by analysts include telemedicine and intellectual property monetization.
  5. Implementation of a Recurring Revenue Model: Spectral AI intends to commercialize its technology through a dual revenue model comprising Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) licensing and the sale of its proprietary imaging devices. This licensing approach is anticipated to establish a stable stream of recurring revenue with high margins, positioning Spectral AI as a consistent growth entity within the MedTech sector.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • In October 2025, Spectral AI priced a $7.6 million offering, which included the issuance of 4,000,000 shares of its common stock and pre-funded warrants at a price of $1.90 per share.
  • In March 2025, the company completed an equity financing, raising $2.7 million through the sale of 2,076,923 shares of its common stock at $1.30 per share to institutional and existing UK investors.
  • In November 2024, Spectral AI completed an approximate $5.0 million equity financing in an at-the-market transaction.

Inbound Investments

  • In September 2023, Spectral AI secured a new contract with BARDA for up to $150.0 million, including an initial award of approximately $54.9 million to support the clinical validation and FDA De Novo status of its DeepView System.
  • In March 2025, Spectral AI entered into a long-term debt financing agreement with Avenue Venture Opportunities Fund II, L.P., with an initial draw-down of $8.5 million from a $15 million debt facility. This agreement also provides access to another $6.5 million in debt upon FDA clearance of DeepView.
  • In August 2024, a grant from the Medical Technology Enterprise Consortium (MTEC) awarded in April 2023 was increased to $4.9 million, intended to run through December 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital is planned to be used for the commercialization of the DeepView System.
  • The company is focused on developing and expanding the DeepView System's clinical indications and preparing for commercial readiness in 2026.
  • Efforts are being increased towards the submission of the De Novo application to the FDA, slated for mid-2025. Additionally, the company has installed three DeepView devices in Australia.

Better Bets vs. Spectral AI (MDAI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

MDAIORGOIARTIRTCLNTHGEHCMedian
NameSpectral.Organoge.Integra .iRhythm Lantheus GE Healt. 
Mkt Price1.751.8617.25127.84100.9571.7744.51
Mkt Cap0.10.21.34.26.632.52.8
Rev LTM174551,6488251,55621,2671,191
Op Inc LTM-10-3466-93022,73328
FCF LTM-122112393881,57930
FCF 3Y Avg-11-68-154001,5871
CFO LTM-123285864132,10186
CFO 3Y Avg-11799314602,03265

Growth & Margins

MDAIORGOIARTIRTCLNTHGEHCMedian
NameSpectral.Organoge.Integra .iRhythm Lantheus GE Healt. 
Rev Chg LTM-43.5%5.9%1.6%25.6%2.3%6.5%4.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.7%-0.1%2.2%22.3%12.0%3.8%3.0%
Rev Chg Q-40.5%-57.5%0.8%20.1%2.7%5.8%1.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-13.8%-11.3%0.2%4.8%0.7%1.4%0.4%
Op Inc Chg LTM-81.4%-135.0%514.3%91.3%-31.3%-0.8%-16.1%
Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg-48.6%-128.3%122.0%29.0%478.4%3.1%16.0%
Op Mgn LTM-57.2%-7.5%4.0%-1.1%19.4%12.9%1.4%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-46.1%-2.8%2.9%-12.8%26.6%13.1%0.1%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-13.4%-8.9%1.2%3.6%0.7%0.2%0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-71.7%7.0%5.2%10.4%26.5%9.9%8.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-53.8%1.4%6.2%3.3%30.6%10.0%4.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-71.7%4.6%0.7%4.7%24.9%7.4%4.7%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-53.8%-1.4%0.5%-3.7%26.6%7.8%-0.5%

Valuation

MDAIORGOIARTIRTCLNTHGEHCMedian
NameSpectral.Organoge.Integra .iRhythm Lantheus GE Healt. 
Mkt Cap0.10.21.34.26.632.52.8
P/S3.30.50.85.14.21.52.4
P/Op Inc-5.7-7.020.3-470.321.811.93.1
P/EBIT-8.9-7.014.523,625.317.210.512.5
P/E-4.0-2.8-184.1-301.523.916.4-3.4
P/CFO-4.67.515.648.915.915.515.6
Total Yield-25.0%-35.2%-0.5%-0.3%4.2%6.3%-0.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-26.0%-0.3%-0.5%-0.5%6.6%4.9%-0.4%
D/E0.20.31.50.20.10.30.2
Net D/E-0.00.11.30.00.00.30.1

Returns

MDAIORGOIARTIRTCLNTHGEHCMedian
NameSpectral.Organoge.Integra .iRhythm Lantheus GE Healt. 
1M Rtn1.2%-24.7%-0.3%2.0%-5.4%11.0%0.4%
3M Rtn-24.2%-21.5%23.9%6.0%8.5%13.1%7.2%
6M Rtn15.1%-50.7%53.2%-12.7%55.6%-10.9%2.1%
12M Rtn-27.1%-58.8%36.6%-20.6%84.0%1.1%-9.7%
3Y Rtn-83.5%-49.7%-61.5%14.1%43.4%-2.4%-26.1%
1M Excs Rtn-1.1%-27.2%-9.0%5.6%-7.6%8.2%-4.3%
3M Excs Rtn-28.0%-32.2%21.5%-3.4%5.2%11.3%0.9%
6M Excs Rtn2.6%-64.0%44.4%-27.0%41.5%-26.8%-12.1%
12M Excs Rtn-50.2%-80.9%17.2%-40.3%72.4%-19.5%-29.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-155.4%-127.8%-133.1%-45.6%-48.5%-77.7%-102.7%

Comparison Analyses

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FDA Approved Drugs Data

Expand for More
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
ANDA208017  LIDOCAINE HYDROCHLORIDElidocaine hydrochlorideinjectable4182018     
ANDA206171  SODIUM CHLORIDE 0.9%sodium chloridesolution7212017     
Collapse to Preview
Post-Approval Fwd Returns
FDA
App #
Brand
Name
Generic
Name
Dosage
Form
FDA
Approval
3M
Rtn
6M
Rtn
1Y
Rtn
2Y
Rtn
Total
Rtn
ANDA208017  LIDOCAINE HYDROCHLORIDElidocaine hydrochlorideinjectable4182018     
ANDA206171  SODIUM CHLORIDE 0.9%sodium chloridesolution7212017     

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Single Segment203018 
Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA)   25
Other United States (U.S) governmental authorities   1
Total20301825


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2024
Single Segment12
Total12


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$1.75 
Market Cap ($ Bil)0.1 
First Trading Date04/06/2021 
Distance from 52W High-34.7% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$1.77$1.73
DMA Trenddowndown
Distance from DMA-1.0%1.2%
 3M1YR
Volatility67.5%69.1%
Downside Capture196.50239.17
Upside Capture37.52147.27
Correlation (SPY)19.5%25.3%
MDAI Betas & Captures as of 7/31/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.041.450.670.971.371.04
Up Beta3.961.561.091.000.650.50
Down Beta1.881.27-0.160.220.661.41
Up Capture68%54%9%91%174%49%
Bmk +ve Days11223567138427
Stock +ve Days7162752108322
Down Capture230%210%152%136%163%110%
Bmk -ve Days11212859114326
Stock -ve Days12243165132402

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDAI
MDAI-28.1%69.0%-0.20-
Sector ETF (XLV)28.7%15.5%1.420.3%
Equity (SPY)23.3%12.8%1.3625.6%
Gold (GLD)28.5%28.4%0.8710.7%
Commodities (DBC)32.9%19.8%1.32-1.7%
Real Estate (VNQ)14.2%13.8%0.72-1.0%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-44.2%42.9%-1.2330.5%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDAI
MDAI-18.6%84.7%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLV)6.2%15.0%0.233.9%
Equity (SPY)13.5%17.2%0.6111.0%
Gold (GLD)18.6%18.6%0.816.5%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%19.6%0.314.5%
Real Estate (VNQ)2.3%18.9%0.020.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)8.8%53.0%0.357.7%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with MDAI
MDAI-9.8%82.8%0.08-
Sector ETF (XLV)10.1%16.6%0.493.8%
Equity (SPY)15.4%17.9%0.7310.9%
Gold (GLD)12.1%16.2%0.616.4%
Commodities (DBC)7.4%18.0%0.334.4%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.8%20.7%0.200.3%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)58.2%66.2%0.987.2%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date7152026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity2.6 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 630202613.0%
Average Daily Volume0.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest12.7 days
Basic Shares Quantity31.8 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares8.2%

Earnings Returns History

Updated 7/8/2026
Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/25/2026-1.3%-6.5%19.5%
8/13/2025-0.7%-3.5%-8.3%
5/14/20253.8%6.2%51.5%
3/29/20249.4%11.7%-12.7%
11/14/2023-1.5%-4.4%-3.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive222
# Negative333
Median Positive6.6%8.9%35.5%
Median Negative-1.3%-4.4%-8.3%
Max Positive9.4%11.7%51.5%
Max Negative-1.5%-6.5%-12.7%
Collapse to Preview
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
3/25/2026-1.3%-6.5%19.5%
8/13/2025-0.7%-3.5%-8.3%
5/14/20253.8%6.2%51.5%
3/29/20249.4%11.7%-12.7%
11/14/2023-1.5%-4.4%-3.6%
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive222
# Negative333
Median Positive6.6%8.9%35.5%
Median Negative-1.3%-4.4%-8.3%
Max Positive9.4%11.7%51.5%
Max Negative-1.5%-6.5%-12.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/13/202610-Q
12/31/202503/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/12/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
03/31/202308/09/2023S-4/A
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Report DateFiling DateFiling
03/31/202605/13/202610-Q
12/31/202503/25/202610-K
09/30/202511/13/202510-Q
06/30/202508/13/202510-Q
03/31/202505/15/202510-Q
12/31/202403/31/202510-K
09/30/202411/06/202410-Q
06/30/202408/12/202410-Q
03/31/202405/09/202410-Q
12/31/202303/29/202410-K
09/30/202311/14/202310-Q
03/31/202308/09/2023S-4/A

Recent Forward Guidance

Updated 7/27/2026

Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/25/2026

Forward GuidanceGuidance Change
MetricLowMidHigh% Chg% DeltaChangePrior
2026 Revenue 18.50 Mil -14.0% Lower NewGuidance: 21.50 Mil for 2025

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Core Cache Last Updated: 8/7/2026