Spectral AI (MDAI)
Market Price (5/27/2026): $2.37 | Market Cap: $75.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Spectral AI (MDAI)
Market Price (5/27/2026): $2.37Market Cap: $75.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Life Sciences Tools & Services
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% | Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -57% Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 101% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% Key risksMDAI key risks include [1] potential delays in the critical FDA De Novo approval for its DeepView® System, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Artificial Intelligence, Digital Health & Telemedicine, and Autonomous Technologies. Themes include AI Software Platforms, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -13%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -156% |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -9.7 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -57% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -43%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -40% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -72% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 101% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -23% |
| Key risksMDAI key risks include [1] potential delays in the critical FDA De Novo approval for its DeepView® System, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. FDA De Novo Classification for DeepView® System. Spectral AI received U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) De Novo Classification for its DeepView® System on May 26, 2026, authorizing the company to begin commercial distribution in the United States. This significant regulatory milestone for its non-invasive, AI-powered burn wound assessment device fueled investor optimism, contributing to the stock's year-to-date surge of 88.73% to $2.68 as of May 26, 2026.
2. Significant Non-Dilutive BARDA Funding. In March 2026, Spectral AI secured an additional $31.7 million in advanced, non-dilutive funding from the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA). This funding is intended to accelerate the development of additional features for the DeepView® System and facilitate the procurement of up to 30 devices for burn centers, trauma centers, and emergency departments, providing substantial financial backing and validating the technology.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 35.4% change in MDAI stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 123.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.75 | 2.37 | 35.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 23 | 17 | -26.9% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.0 | 4.4 | 123.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 26 | 32 | -17.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 35.4% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDAI | 35.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.8% | 11.8% |
| Sector (XLV) | -3.6% | -2.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 11.3% change in MDAI stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 126.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.13 | 2.37 | 11.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 28 | 17 | -38.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.0 | 4.4 | 126.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 25 | 32 | -19.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 11.3% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDAI | 11.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 10.7% | 17.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 3.8% | -3.3% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 82.3% change in MDAI stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/26/2026 was primarily driven by a 413.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5262026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 1.30 | 2.37 | 82.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 30 | 17 | -42.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.9 | 4.4 | 413.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 20 | 32 | -37.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 82.3% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDAI | 82.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 36.9% | 21.1% |
| Sector (XLV) | 7.6% | 6.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
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Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/26/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| MDAI | -77.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 87.5% | 14.3% |
| Sector (XLV) | 16.9% | 5.9% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| MDAI Return | 1% | 3% | -76% | 15% | -50% | 89% | -72% |
| Peers Return | 22% | -8% | 19% | -8% | 19% | -6% | 38% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 99% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| MDAI Win Rate | 67% | 67% | 42% | 42% | 33% | 80% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 46% | 53% | 43% | 60% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| MDAI Max Drawdown | - | -3% | -83% | -69% | -62% | -37% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -51% | -48% | -45% | -45% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ORGO, IART, IRTC, LNTH, GEHC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/26/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | MDAI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Spectral AI's stock fell -42.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 73.5% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | MDAI | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.5% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 70 days | 79 days |
| 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind | ||
| % Loss | -24.2% | -7.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 31.9% | 8.5% |
| Time to Breakeven | 114 days | 18 days |
In The Past
Spectral AI's stock fell -42.3% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 73.5% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Spectral AI (MDAI)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few analogies for Spectral AI:
- Spectral AI is like the 23andMe for wound healing potential, providing predictive insights into how a wound will recover.
- Think of Spectral AI as Verily (Google's life sciences arm) focused specifically on wound prognostics, using advanced AI for critical medical assessments.
- Spectral AI is similar to a Palantir for predicting wound healing, applying complex data analytics to provide crucial, objective insights for medical decisions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- DeepView: A predictive diagnostic device that offers clinicians an objective and immediate assessment of a wound's healing potential prior to treatment or other medical intervention.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Spectral AI (MDAI) sells its predictive diagnostic device, DeepView, primarily to healthcare organizations and facilities that provide wound care. While specific individual customer names are not typically disclosed for medical device companies, the major categories of customers that purchase and utilize their products include:
- Hospitals: This includes burn centers, emergency departments, and general hospitals with departments focusing on wound management and diabetic care. These institutions utilize DeepView to assist clinicians in making faster and more accurate treatment decisions for patients with burns and diabetic foot ulcers.
- Specialized Wound Care Clinics: Dedicated outpatient and inpatient clinics that focus specifically on the diagnosis, treatment, and management of complex wounds are key customers.
- Physician Groups and Private Practices: Practices specializing in areas such as dermatology, endocrinology, podiatry, and general surgery that regularly treat patients with chronic wounds or burns may also acquire the DeepView device.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Vincent S. Capone, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Capone was appointed Chief Executive Officer of Spectral AI in February 2026. Prior to this, he served as the company's Chief Financial Officer since February 2024 and General Counsel since March 2022. He was also a member of the Office of the Chairman starting in October 2024. Before joining Spectral AI, Mr. Capone was president of a New York-based private equity fund that invested in global life sciences and technology companies, demonstrating a pattern of managing companies backed by private equity firms. He began his career at KPMG LLP and practiced corporate and securities law as a partner with Reed Smith LLP.
J. Michael DiMaio, M.D., Chairman of the Board
Dr. DiMaio is a founder of Spectral AI, establishing the company in 2009. He previously held the roles of CEO and Chairman from 2011 to 2020. Dr. DiMaio returned as Chairman of the Board in October 2024. He also serves as Chief of Staff at Baylor Scott & White – The Heart Hospitals, where he oversees more than 650 physicians. He possesses over 30 years of experience in cardiothoracic surgery.
Stan Micek, Chief Operating Officer
Mr. Micek was appointed Chief Operating Officer of Spectral AI in May 2025, after serving as interim COO since May 2024. He is responsible for overseeing the company's research, development, and program management teams. With over 25 years of leadership experience in healthcare, his background includes senior leadership roles such as Senior Vice President for Business Development & Strategy at MiMedx and various positions at the Ohio State Comprehensive Cancer Center. Mr. Micek's expertise encompasses strategic negotiations, mergers and acquisitions, and fiscal oversight.
Allison Kumar, Head of Global Regulatory Affairs
Ms. Kumar serves as the Global Head of Regulatory and Clinical Affairs for Spectral AI, having worked with the company as an executive advisor since 2016. She brings over 25 years of experience in the medical device industry, including a decade at the FDA's Center for Devices and Radiological Health (CDRH). At the FDA, she served as a lead reviewer for peripheral vascular devices and a senior program manager. Her expertise includes leading the review of novel combination products and advanced medical software systems.
Louis Percoco, General Manager – Manufacturing
Mr. Percoco is an experienced engineering leader with over 30 years of expertise in research, development, and production within the medical device industry. His career has focused on developing and manufacturing electronics, software, and hardware for medical devices. He has led research and development as well as production teams across cardiology, orthopedic, and spine disciplines.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Spectral AI (MDAI):- Regulatory Approval and Commercialization Hurdles: As an artificial intelligence-driven medical diagnostic device, Spectral AI's DeepView System faces rigorous regulatory scrutiny, particularly from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA) via the De Novo pathway due to its novel nature. The company submitted its DeepView system to the FDA in June 2025 and anticipates approval in early to mid-2026. However, the FDA pays special attention to AI-specific issues such as algorithm transparency, validation, performance consistency, and cybersecurity, which can prolong the review process. Even upon approval, successful commercialization and widespread market adoption by clinicians, coupled with securing reimbursement from insurance providers, represent significant challenges. Delays in the approval process or an inability to achieve market acceptance could substantially impact revenue generation. Furthermore, the departure of the Chief Commercial Officer in February 2026, just months before the expected FDA decision and commercial launch, creates a leadership void during a critical commercialization phase and has put plans for building out the commercial team in limbo.
- Competition and Rapid Technological Obsolescence: The medical diagnostics and artificial intelligence fields are characterized by rapidly evolving technology and dynamic customer requirements. Spectral AI operates in a competitive landscape with existing players and other innovative companies, including Healthy.io, Intellicure, Perceptive Solutions, and WoundVision. There is a continuous risk that competitors may develop superior, more cost-effective, or more widely adopted solutions, potentially rendering DeepView obsolete or competitively impaired. To mitigate this, Spectral AI must consistently invest in research and development to innovate and enhance its products, which can place significant strain on its capital resources and operational capabilities.
- Financial Instability and Dependence on Government Contracts: Spectral AI has historically experienced negative earnings and its short-term liabilities have exceeded its cash position, indicating ongoing financial challenges despite revenue projections. The company has shown a reliance on government contracts, such as those with the Biomedical Advanced Research and Development Authority (BARDA). This dependence makes Spectral AI vulnerable to changes in government policy or funding, as demonstrated by a government shutdown in late 2025 which forced the company to lower its full-year revenue guidance. The relatively small cash position (approximately $18 million, including a recent raise) to fund commercial buildout further underscores potential financial constraints during a critical growth period.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Spectral AI's DeepView system targets significant addressable markets within wound care, specifically for burn indications and diabetic foot ulcers.
For its burn indication, Spectral AI estimates an addressable market size of approximately $3.7 billion globally. When expanding into diabetic foot ulcer (DFU) indications, the company projects an additional $11 billion in addressable market size, also globally.
AI Analysis | Feedback
For Spectral AI (MDAI), several key drivers are expected to contribute to future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:
- Commercial Launch and Adoption of DeepView System for Burn Assessment: Spectral AI anticipates generating its first commercial product revenue in the second half of 2024 from the DeepView AI burn system in the United Kingdom, following UKCA Authorization in February 2024. Furthermore, the company expects FDA authorization for the DeepView burn diagnostic in the United States by mid-2026, which is projected to lead to a commercial launch in the latter half of 2026. This commercialization, particularly under an innovative licensing model, is expected to generate recurring revenue at elevated margins.
- Expansion into Diabetic Foot Ulcer (DFU) Indication: The company is actively pursuing the commercialization of its DeepView System for assessing diabetic foot ulcers (DFU) in both the US and the UK, with regulatory filings for this indication expected in 2024. This strategic expansion addresses a significant and distinct segment within the wound care market.
- Continued Leverage of Government Contracts and Funding: Spectral AI benefits from substantial contracts with the U.S. Government, including the BARDA Project BioShield (PBS) contract, which is valued at up to $150 million. This contract is a significant source of research and development revenue and is also intended to fund the deployment of DeepView devices following FDA approval. The company has projected that much of its 2024 revenue growth will be derived from the PBS contract.
- Development and Commercialization of New Products and Applications: Beyond the core DeepView system for burns and DFU, the company aims to accelerate the development of other clinical applications in its pipeline. This includes the development of the handheld DeepView SnapShot M, which is undergoing testing for military applications with the Department of Defense. Further potential expansion areas identified by analysts include telemedicine and intellectual property monetization.
- Implementation of a Recurring Revenue Model: Spectral AI intends to commercialize its technology through a dual revenue model comprising Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) licensing and the sale of its proprietary imaging devices. This licensing approach is anticipated to establish a stable stream of recurring revenue with high margins, positioning Spectral AI as a consistent growth entity within the MedTech sector.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Issuance
- In October 2025, Spectral AI priced a $7.6 million offering, which included the issuance of 4,000,000 shares of its common stock and pre-funded warrants at a price of $1.90 per share.
- In March 2025, the company completed an equity financing, raising $2.7 million through the sale of 2,076,923 shares of its common stock at $1.30 per share to institutional and existing UK investors.
- In November 2024, Spectral AI completed an approximate $5.0 million equity financing in an at-the-market transaction.
Inbound Investments
- In September 2023, Spectral AI secured a new contract with BARDA for up to $150.0 million, including an initial award of approximately $54.9 million to support the clinical validation and FDA De Novo status of its DeepView System.
- In March 2025, Spectral AI entered into a long-term debt financing agreement with Avenue Venture Opportunities Fund II, L.P., with an initial draw-down of $8.5 million from a $15 million debt facility. This agreement also provides access to another $6.5 million in debt upon FDA clearance of DeepView.
- In August 2024, a grant from the Medical Technology Enterprise Consortium (MTEC) awarded in April 2023 was increased to $4.9 million, intended to run through December 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital is planned to be used for the commercialization of the DeepView System.
- The company is focused on developing and expanding the DeepView System's clinical indications and preparing for commercial readiness in 2026.
- Efforts are being increased towards the submission of the De Novo application to the FDA, slated for mid-2025. Additionally, the company has installed three DeepView devices in Australia.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Spectral AI Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Spectral AI Stock Jump Looks Great, But How Secure Is That Gain? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
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| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04302026 | GEHC | GE HealthCare Technologies | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | IQV | IQVIA | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | UHS | Universal Health Services | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ABT | Abbott Laboratories | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 04302026 | ZBIO | Zenas BioPharma | Insider | Insider Buys 45DStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with multiple insider buys in the last 45 days | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 39.69 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| Rev LTM | 1,167 |
| Op Inc LTM | 26 |
| FCF LTM | 18 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7 |
| CFO LTM | 67 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 61 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.6% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| Rev Chg Q | 1.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 17.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 11.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.1% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 2.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.4 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/Op Inc | 16.7 |
| P/EBIT | 3.6 |
| P/E | 6.5 |
| P/CFO | 15.2 |
| Total Yield | 0.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 0.9% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 15.9% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.6% |
| 6M Rtn | -2.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 8.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -23.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 11.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -1.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -22.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -95.6% |
FDA Approved Drugs Data
Expand for More| Post-Approval Fwd Returns | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FDA App # | Brand Name | Generic Name | Dosage Form | FDA Approval | 3M Rtn | 6M Rtn | 1Y Rtn | 2Y Rtn | Total Rtn |
| ANDA208017 | LIDOCAINE HYDROCHLORIDE | lidocaine hydrochloride | injectable | 4182018 | |||||
| ANDA206171 | SODIUM CHLORIDE 0.9% | sodium chloride | solution | 7212017 | |||||
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $2.37 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 04/06/2021 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -24.5% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $1.89 | $1.83 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 25.1% | 29.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 86.5% | 78.7% |
| Downside Capture | -9.67 | 208.33 |
| Upside Capture | 182.91 | 200.02 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 10.1% | 20.6% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.94 | 0.99 | 1.16 | 1.34 | 1.53 | 1.02 |
| Up Beta | -0.12 | 0.50 | 0.68 | 0.79 | 1.04 | 0.45 |
| Down Beta | 14.35 | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.19 | 1.31 | 1.52 |
| Up Capture | 272% | 238% | 162% | 199% | 273% | 45% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 12 | 19 | 25 | 53 | 112 | 321 |
| Down Capture | 308% | 40% | 148% | 179% | 151% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 8 | 22 | 35 | 66 | 131 | 399 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MDAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDAI | 61.2% | 78.4% | 0.94 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 15.9% | 14.6% | 0.79 | 4.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 30.3% | 12.0% | 1.91 | 20.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 36.8% | 26.8% | 1.14 | 2.4% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 41.2% | 18.7% | 1.71 | -2.1% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 16.3% | 13.1% | 0.89 | -3.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -32.5% | 41.9% | -0.83 | 25.7% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MDAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDAI | -13.6% | 84.9% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 5.5% | 14.7% | 0.19 | 4.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.3% | 17.0% | 0.66 | 10.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.0% | 0.85 | 5.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.1% | 19.4% | 0.41 | 4.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.9% | 18.8% | 0.11 | 0.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 12.0% | 55.3% | 0.42 | 6.9% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with MDAI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MDAI | -7.0% | 84.0% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLV) | 9.7% | 16.5% | 0.47 | 4.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.6% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 10.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 5.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.5% | 17.9% | 0.34 | 4.6% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 0.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.8% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 6.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/13/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 03/25/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/13/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/15/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/31/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/12/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/09/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/29/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/14/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 08/09/2023 | S-4/A |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 18.50 Mil | -14.0% | Lower New | Guidance: 21.50 Mil for 2025 | |||
Prior: Q2 2025 Earnings Reported 8/13/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 21.50 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 21.50 Mil for 2025 | |||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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