Organogenesis (ORGO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.25 | Market Cap: $666.1 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Organogenesis (ORGO)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $5.25Market Cap: $666.1 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 644x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 533x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 138% | |
| Key risksORGO key risks include [1] persistent reimbursement uncertainty impacting revenue and its 2025 guidance and [2] significant financial underperformance marked by negative earnings, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 644x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 533x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 138% |
| Key risksORGO key risks include [1] persistent reimbursement uncertainty impacting revenue and its 2025 guidance and [2] significant financial underperformance marked by negative earnings, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ORGO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Positive FDA Progress for ReNu: Organogenesis announced a successful Type-B meeting with the FDA regarding its ReNu product for knee osteoarthritis pain, allowing for a Biologics License Application (BLA) submission by the end of 2025. This development significantly boosted investor confidence, leading to a 15% surge in the stock price in after-hours trading on December 15, 2025.
2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results: The company reported robust financial results for the third quarter of 2025, with net product revenue reaching $150.5 million, surpassing the forecasted $134.1 million. This strong performance led Organogenesis to raise its full-year 2025 guidance.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ORGO Return | 57% | 23% | -71% | 52% | -22% | 62% | 7% |
| Peers Return | 11% | -16% | -19% | 39% | 25% | 7% | 41% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ORGO Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 25% | 42% | 42% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 52% | 43% | 52% | 50% | 45% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ORGO Max Drawdown | -41% | -3% | -73% | -30% | -44% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -46% | -23% | -35% | -22% | -24% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: IART, MDXG, SYK, MDT, AXGN. See ORGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ORGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -91.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1129.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 247 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4101.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX
In The Past
Organogenesis's stock fell -91.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -91.9% loss requires a 1129.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ORGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 16.3% | 16.3% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -7.1% | -7.1% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.6% | 3.6% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 1.6% | 1.6% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 14.1% | 14.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Organogenesis
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 22.21 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| Rev LTM | 1,054 |
| Op Inc LTM | 42 |
| FCF LTM | 33 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 43 |
| CFO LTM | 79 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 88 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 8.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 4.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.8% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 9.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 1.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.3 |
| P/S | 3.1 |
| P/EBIT | 24.6 |
| P/E | 25.9 |
| P/CFO | 16.5 |
| Total Yield | 1.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 2.1% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 3.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 18.3% |
| 12M Rtn | 10.4% |
| 3Y Rtn | 78.2% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 0.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 0.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 5.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | 5.0% |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 11/6/2025 | 44.7% | 59.6% | 19.5% |
| 8/7/2025 | 0.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% |
| 5/8/2025 | -42.7% | -43.3% | -35.6% |
| 2/27/2025 | 102.3% | 83.6% | 46.6% |
| 11/12/2024 | 28.4% | 18.3% | 2.3% |
| 8/8/2024 | -2.7% | -3.8% | -3.1% |
| 5/9/2024 | 32.9% | 25.0% | 16.7% |
| 2/29/2024 | -18.2% | -12.3% | -21.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 10 | 12 |
| Median Positive | 21.2% | 21.6% | 13.7% |
| Median Negative | -14.9% | -12.0% | -17.9% |
| Max Positive | 102.3% | 83.6% | 91.4% |
| Max Negative | -42.7% | -43.3% | -40.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |