Organogenesis (ORGO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.92 | Market Cap: $624.3 MilSector: Health Care | Industry: Pharmaceuticals
Organogenesis (ORGO)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.92Market Cap: $624.3 MilSector: Health CareIndustry: Pharmaceuticals
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more. | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 644x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 533x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% | |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% | |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% | |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 138% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more. |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 644x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 533x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1% |
| Not cash flow generativeCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0% |
| High stock price volatilityVol 12M is 138% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
ORGO Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Organogenesis (ORGO) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, leading to a negative movement of -3.1%:
1. Disappointing Phase 3 ReNu Trial Results: On September 25, 2025, Organogenesis announced that its second Phase 3 clinical trial for ReNu, a treatment for knee osteoarthritis, did not achieve statistical significance for its primary endpoint. This negative development for a key product candidate led to a reported stock decline of approximately 12.4% following the news.
2. Q2 2025 Earnings Miss and Lowered Guidance: Although reported on August 7, 2025, the implications of Organogenesis's second-quarter earnings, which included missing earnings per share (EPS) forecasts and a reduction in its 2025 net product revenue guidance for its dominant Advanced Wound Care division, continued to exert downward pressure on the stock into the specified period.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| ORGO Return | 57% | 23% | -71% | 52% | -22% | 57% | 4% |
| Peers Return | 1% | 8% | -9% | 4% | -11% | 9% | -0% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| ORGO Win Rate | 42% | 42% | 25% | 42% | 42% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 48% | 50% | 55% | 43% | 48% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| ORGO Max Drawdown | -41% | -3% | -73% | -30% | -44% | -17% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -10% | -23% | -19% | -26% | -19% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See ORGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | ORGO | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -91.9% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1129.1% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.7% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 247 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -97.6% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 4101.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX
In The Past
Organogenesis's stock fell -91.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -91.9% loss requires a 1129.1% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to ORGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11142025 | CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.1% | 4.1% | -3.7% |
| 11142025 | GDRX | GoodRx | Dip Buy | DB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow MarginsBuying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap | -9.8% | -9.8% | -11.8% |
| 11142025 | ASTH | Astrana Health | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 6.0% | 6.0% | -5.5% |
| 11142025 | SGRY | Surgery Partners | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 9.7% | 9.7% | -1.4% |
| 11072025 | TFX | Teleflex | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.2% | 6.2% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Organogenesis
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 26.86 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| Rev LTM | 1,287 |
| Op Inc LTM | 194 |
| FCF LTM | 231 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 192 |
| CFO LTM | 313 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 252 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 5.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 9.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 19.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 15.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 14.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.7 |
| P/S | 1.9 |
| P/EBIT | 11.9 |
| P/E | 11.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.1 |
| Total Yield | 1.0% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -0.5% |
| 6M Rtn | 3.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 17.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 8.6% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -5.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -11.6% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 2.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -46.1% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11062025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11122024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11092023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5102023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11092022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8092022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5102022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3012022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |