Tearsheet

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 644x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 533x
1  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%
4  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Aging Population & Chronic Disease, and Precision Medicine. Themes include Diabetes Management, Targeted Therapies, Show more.
1 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 644x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 533x
2 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is 0.1%
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -8.3%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -11%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -4.0%
5 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 138%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ORGO Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining the stock movement of Organogenesis (ORGO) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, leading to a negative movement of -3.1%:

1. Disappointing Phase 3 ReNu Trial Results: On September 25, 2025, Organogenesis announced that its second Phase 3 clinical trial for ReNu, a treatment for knee osteoarthritis, did not achieve statistical significance for its primary endpoint. This negative development for a key product candidate led to a reported stock decline of approximately 12.4% following the news.

2. Q2 2025 Earnings Miss and Lowered Guidance: Although reported on August 7, 2025, the implications of Organogenesis's second-quarter earnings, which included missing earnings per share (EPS) forecasts and a reduction in its 2025 net product revenue guidance for its dominant Advanced Wound Care division, continued to exert downward pressure on the stock into the specified period.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ORGO Return57%23%-71%52%-22%57%4%
Peers Return1%8%-9%4%-11%9%-0%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ORGO Win Rate42%42%25%42%42%70% 
Peers Win Rate42%48%50%55%43%48% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ORGO Max Drawdown-41%-3%-73%-30%-44%-17% 
Peers Max Drawdown-30%-10%-23%-19%-26%-19% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX. See ORGO Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventORGOS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-91.9%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven1129.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-46.1%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven85.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven247 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-97.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven4101.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days

Compare to ACT, ALKS, LIVN, PRGO, PCRX


In The Past

Organogenesis's stock fell -91.9% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/3/2021. A -91.9% loss requires a 1129.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Organogenesis (ORGO)

Better Bets than Organogenesis (ORGO)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ORGO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
CRL_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CRLCharles River Laboratories InternationalDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.1%4.1%-3.7%
GDRX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_CFO_Margins_ExInd_DE11142025GDRXGoodRxDip BuyDB | CFO/Rev | Low D/EDip Buy with High Cash Flow Margins
Buying dips for companies with significant cash flows from operations and reasonable debt / market cap
-9.8%-9.8%-11.8%
ASTH_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025ASTHAstrana HealthDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
6.0%6.0%-5.5%
SGRY_11142025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11142025SGRYSurgery PartnersDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
9.7%9.7%-1.4%
TFX_11072025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11072025TFXTeleflexDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
6.2%6.2%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Organogenesis

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ORGOACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameOrganoge.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Price4.9938.6129.5363.2913.9624.1926.86
Mkt Cap0.65.74.93.51.91.12.7
Rev LTM4651,2251,5211,3494,2827171,287
Op Inc LTM1-35919439360194
FCF LTM-52704491191271124231
FCF 3Y Avg-17672353103235149192
CFO LTM-39704541251376141313
CFO 3Y Avg1672397150339165252

Growth & Margins

ORGOACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameOrganoge.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Rev Chg LTM2.1%2.4%1.1%8.6%-2.5%3.1%2.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg0.1%3.9%12.1%9.9%-0.8%3.1%3.5%
Rev Chg Q30.7%0.6%4.2%12.5%-4.1%6.5%5.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.2%0.2%1.1%3.0%-1.0%1.6%1.3%
Op Mgn LTM0.2%-23.6%14.4%9.2%8.4%9.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg2.5%-24.7%8.3%6.5%11.1%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM3.6%--1.3%1.0%-0.4%-1.4%-0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-8.3%57.5%35.6%18.6%8.8%19.7%19.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg0.3%56.6%25.9%11.6%7.6%23.8%17.7%
FCF/Rev LTM-11.1%57.5%32.3%14.2%6.3%17.3%15.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-3.7%56.6%23.1%7.9%5.3%21.6%14.7%

Valuation

ORGOACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameOrganoge.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
Mkt Cap0.65.74.93.51.91.12.7
P/S1.24.63.32.10.71.61.9
P/EBIT643.66.312.2-20.811.619.911.9
P/E532.88.614.6-13.2-59.552.911.6
P/CFO-13.88.09.211.48.28.08.1
Total Yield0.2%13.8%6.8%-7.6%-0.4%1.9%1.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.1%0.0%0.0%1.3%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-3.2%12.9%7.4%3.6%6.5%16.0%7.0%
D/E0.10.10.00.21.20.40.2
Net D/E-0.0-0.3-0.2-0.11.00.2-0.0

Returns

ORGOACTALKSLIVNPRGOPCRXMedian
NameOrganoge.Enact Alkermes LivaNova Perrigo Pacira B. 
1M Rtn24.8%8.1%-2.1%20.4%-30.5%9.0%8.6%
3M Rtn0.6%2.8%-1.6%11.8%-38.8%-11.0%-0.5%
6M Rtn74.5%12.7%-6.4%42.3%-45.0%-10.3%3.2%
12M Rtn25.7%11.7%0.2%22.6%-48.1%45.0%17.1%
3Y Rtn83.5%71.4%21.8%13.6%-50.4%-48.8%17.7%
1M Excs Rtn24.8%8.2%-2.1%20.4%-30.5%9.0%8.6%
3M Excs Rtn-6.1%-4.2%-3.2%3.5%-44.1%-14.8%-5.2%
6M Excs Rtn59.8%-2.0%-21.1%27.6%-59.7%-25.1%-11.6%
12M Excs Rtn15.4%-1.4%-11.8%7.0%-61.9%29.5%2.8%
3Y Excs Rtn16.2%1.3%-40.3%-52.0%-122.8%-123.4%-46.1%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Advanced Wound Care406422430295221
Surgical and Sports Medicine2829374440
Total433451467338261


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity10,880,975
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120252.2%
Average Daily Volume4,747,128
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.29
Basic Shares Quantity126,881,709
Short % of Basic Shares8.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241112202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024808202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023229202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023510202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221109202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022510202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021