Tearsheet

Lavoro (LVRO)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $1.34 | Market Cap: $152.2 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Lavoro (LVRO)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $1.34
Market Cap: $152.2 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -53%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -163%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 899%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.3%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -626%
0 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -53%
1 Attractive yield
Dividend Yield is 3.3%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -139%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -163%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 899%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -13%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -626%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

LVRO Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LVRO Return--2%-14%-44%-72%-85%
Peers Return6%49%6%-22%-3%-2%25%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LVRO Win Rate-0%50%67%33%22% 
Peers Win Rate53%60%55%40%52%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LVRO Max Drawdown---2%-51%-58%-74% 
Peers Max Drawdown-49%-6%-13%-36%-17%-12% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventLVROS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-54.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven121.1%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days

Compare to CF, FMC, IPI, CTVA, NTR


In The Past

Lavoro's stock fell -54.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/27/2023. A -54.8% loss requires a 121.1% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lavoro (LVRO)

Better Bets than Lavoro (LVRO)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Lavoro Stock Lost 19%, Buy Or Wait?Return

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LVRO. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.8%-16.8%-16.8%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.0%8.0%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.1%-23.1%-23.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.8%-16.8%-16.8%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.0%8.0%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.1%-23.1%-23.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lavoro

Financials

LVROCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameLavoro CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Mkt Price1.3382.8115.5326.6761.7054.3240.50
Mkt Cap0.213.51.90.342.126.57.7
Rev LTM9,0796,4474,13228317,17725,9657,763
Op Inc LTM251,88569352,5212,9541,289
FCF LTM-751,785-52262,5941,713869
FCF 3Y Avg-1,60215831,1852,8621,185
CFO LTM202,50032543,1413,6711,277
CFO 3Y Avg-2,584264571,7485,2241,748

Growth & Margins

LVROCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameLavoro CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Rev Chg LTM-3.7%9.5%1.2%11.9%1.6%-3.3%1.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--12.4%-7.9%-4.0%1.0%-9.6%-7.9%
Rev Chg Q-13.2%20.2%1.2%15.2%5.6%2.8%4.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-3.3%5.2%0.3%3.4%2.0%1.1%1.6%
Op Mgn LTM0.3%29.2%16.8%1.7%14.7%11.4%13.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-32.8%17.0%3.1%13.1%14.2%14.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.3%-1.5%0.1%1.3%1.0%0.8%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM0.2%38.8%0.8%19.1%18.3%14.1%16.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-36.7%5.9%20.9%10.2%17.9%17.9%
FCF/Rev LTM-0.8%27.7%-1.3%9.1%15.1%6.6%7.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-21.3%3.6%2.0%7.0%9.7%7.0%

Valuation

LVROCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameLavoro CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
Mkt Cap0.213.51.90.342.126.57.7
P/S0.02.10.51.22.41.01.1
P/EBIT0.76.63.6-45.018.610.15.1
P/E-0.210.419.5-1.730.019.414.9
P/CFO7.45.460.96.413.47.27.3
Total Yield-621.8%12.2%12.6%-58.0%3.6%9.2%6.4%
Dividend Yield3.3%2.5%7.5%0.0%0.3%4.0%2.9%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-11.4%1.8%-0.1%2.6%10.4%2.6%
D/E12.40.22.10.00.10.50.4
Net D/E9.00.11.9-0.20.00.50.3

Returns

LVROCFFMCIPICTVANTRMedian
NameLavoro CF Indus.FMC Intrepid.Corteva Nutrien  
1M Rtn-25.7%-7.7%-53.8%-12.8%-8.8%-7.5%-10.8%
3M Rtn-33.5%-10.3%-59.5%-19.9%-14.3%-7.6%-17.1%
6M Rtn-50.4%5.2%-58.3%-18.9%-0.0%-2.5%-10.7%
12M Rtn-68.7%3.7%-75.3%6.6%1.2%18.1%2.5%
3Y Rtn-86.5%-16.6%-85.3%-41.1%-2.2%-27.2%-34.1%
1M Excs Rtn-28.2%-5.8%-52.7%-10.5%-1.3%-5.7%-8.2%
3M Excs Rtn-45.0%-18.4%-67.8%-27.3%-22.5%-15.7%-24.9%
6M Excs Rtn-72.1%-16.5%-80.1%-40.6%-21.8%-24.2%-32.4%
12M Excs Rtn-86.6%-13.6%-90.4%-14.7%-15.2%0.0%-14.9%
3Y Excs Rtn-163.3%-94.5%-162.1%-117.9%-78.4%-102.8%-110.4%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity54,759
Short Interest: % Change Since 9302025-19.8%
Average Daily Volume14,838
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.69
Basic Shares Quantity113,602,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.0%

Returns Analyses

SEC Filings

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Report DateFiling DateFiling
930202420320256-K 9/30/2024
63020241031202420-F 6/30/2024
331202460320246-K 3/31/2024
1231202330720246-K 12/31/2023
930202312420246-K 9/30/2023
63020231101202320-F 6/30/2023
123120225092023F-1/A 12/31/2022
63020222032023424B4 6/30/2022

Insider Activity

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