Tearsheet

Intrepid Potash (IPI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.88 | Market Cap: $350.3 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Intrepid Potash (IPI)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $26.88
Market Cap: $350.3 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Fertilizers & Agricultural Chemicals

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 1,515x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.5%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
  Key risks
IPI key risks include [1] production vulnerability due to its complete reliance on weather-dependent solar solution mining, Show more.
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance.
  
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 20%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 7.0%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 49%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Sustainable Resource Management, and Advanced Materials. Themes include Resource Efficiency Solutions, and Specialty Chemicals for Performance.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -3.3%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -89%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 1,515x
7 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -6.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -7.5%
8 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -53%
9 Key risks
IPI key risks include [1] production vulnerability due to its complete reliance on weather-dependent solar solution mining, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

IPI Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Intrepid Potash Missed Q3 2025 Earnings Per Share Expectations. Intrepid Potash Inc. reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings on November 5, 2025, with an Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.11, falling short of analysts' consensus estimates of $0.13. This earnings miss led to an immediate 6.42% decline in the stock price during pre-market trading.

2. Weak Performance in the Oilfield Solutions Segment. The company's Oilfield Solutions segment experienced a significant downturn in Q3 2025, with sales declining and the segment reporting a gross margin deficit. This underperformance was attributed to reduced oilfield activity and lower water sales, negatively impacting the company's overall financial results.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
IPI Return-11%77%-32%-17%-8%20%-3%
Peers Return-10%52%13%-19%-2%17%42%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
IPI Win Rate50%50%42%42%42%50% 
Peers Win Rate53%67%55%40%47%52% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
IPI Max Drawdown-74%-8%-34%-39%-25%-1% 
Peers Max Drawdown-57%-4%-12%-33%-27%-18% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NTR, MOS, CMP, CF, WTTR.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventIPIS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-85.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven579.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-74.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven288.8%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven284 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-57.6%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven136.0%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven710 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-80.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven410.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1,480 days

Compare to CF, FMC, CTVA, NTR, MOS


In The Past

Intrepid Potash's stock fell -85.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/18/2022. A -85.3% loss requires a 579.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Intrepid Potash (IPI)

Better Bets than Intrepid Potash (IPI)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to IPI. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
5.5%5.5%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-1.3%-1.3%-3.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
42.2%42.2%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
15.0%15.0%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.9%5.9%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Intrepid Potash

Peers to compare with:

Financials

IPINTRMOSCMPCFWTTRMedian
NameIntrepid.Nutrien Mosaic Compass .CF Indus.Select W. 
Mkt Price26.8663.3024.0318.9579.0110.5725.45
Mkt Cap0.430.77.60.812.71.14.4
Rev LTM27826,62411,8951,2446,7361,4104,073
Op Inc LTM73,5781,023792,09739551
FCF LTM282,132-2041281,710-6178
FCF 3Y Avg92,449513-71,57451282
CFO LTM544,1531,1001982,633217659
CFO 3Y Avg614,7891,8481062,6092351,041

Growth & Margins

IPINTRMOSCMPCFWTTRMedian
NameIntrepid.Nutrien Mosaic Compass .CF Indus.Select W. 
Rev Chg LTM8.9%0.3%3.8%11.3%12.6%-4.6%6.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-6.1%-10.6%-12.9%0.3%-13.5%4.8%-8.3%
Rev Chg Q-7.5%12.3%22.8%9.0%21.1%-13.2%10.6%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.5%2.5%5.7%1.5%4.5%-3.4%2.0%
Op Mgn LTM2.5%13.4%8.6%6.4%31.1%2.7%7.5%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg1.6%13.7%9.1%6.5%33.2%3.8%7.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%2.0%1.5%1.9%1.9%-1.5%1.7%
CFO/Rev LTM19.6%15.6%9.2%15.9%39.1%15.4%15.7%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg22.3%17.0%14.1%8.7%38.5%15.7%16.4%
FCF/Rev LTM10.0%8.0%-1.7%10.3%25.4%-4.3%9.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.7%8.7%3.5%-0.9%22.3%3.2%3.6%

Valuation

IPINTRMOSCMPCFWTTRMedian
NameIntrepid.Nutrien Mosaic Compass .CF Indus.Select W. 
Mkt Cap0.430.77.60.812.71.14.4
P/S1.41.10.90.62.10.81.0
P/EBIT1,515.28.85.8-6.519.98.8
P/E-2.015.89.0-10.110.555.09.7
P/CFO7.36.910.04.15.55.16.2
Total Yield-49.0%10.1%13.7%-9.9%11.9%4.9%7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%3.7%2.5%0.0%2.3%3.1%2.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg2.3%9.0%4.6%-10.1%5.9%5.9%
D/E0.00.50.4-0.20.30.3
Net D/E-0.20.50.4-0.10.30.3

Returns

IPINTRMOSCMPCFWTTRMedian
NameIntrepid.Nutrien Mosaic Compass .CF Indus.Select W. 
1M Rtn7.6%11.1%-1.1%10.4%-2.1%8.5%8.1%
3M Rtn-6.3%13.1%-29.0%5.7%-5.6%11.4%0.0%
6M Rtn-28.9%3.5%-33.0%-2.2%-20.3%15.4%-11.3%
12M Rtn12.8%42.3%-2.6%48.2%-6.7%-19.7%5.1%
3Y Rtn-8.7%-2.7%-42.2%-54.0%-10.9%40.2%-9.8%
1M Excs Rtn6.9%10.3%-1.8%9.6%-2.8%7.8%7.3%
3M Excs Rtn-7.6%12.3%-30.5%3.4%-6.8%4.9%-1.7%
6M Excs Rtn-41.3%-8.9%-45.4%-14.6%-32.7%3.0%-23.6%
12M Excs Rtn-4.3%25.9%-18.5%34.0%-20.7%-32.1%-11.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-88.7%-76.0%-113.0%-124.1%-82.6%-27.4%-85.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Potash156191152108125
Trio ®102118967070
Oilfield Solutions2129231928
Intersegment Eliminations-0   -2
Other -0-0-0 
Total279338270197220


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity439,677
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-6.5%
Average Daily Volume123,991
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.55
Basic Shares Quantity13,031,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.4%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/5/2025-8.6%1.4%0.0%
8/6/2025-5.3%-6.5%-8.4%
3/3/2025-2.0%4.5%20.0%
11/4/20247.7%3.8%1.3%
7/10/20248.7%12.4%-5.0%
3/6/20245.8%-10.1%0.3%
11/8/2023-6.2%3.1%-1.6%
8/2/2023-6.7%3.4%0.2%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive7119
# Negative1179
Median Positive7.7%3.8%3.1%
Median Negative-6.7%-12.4%-8.4%
Max Positive9.5%16.1%23.4%
Max Negative-20.5%-28.5%-53.5%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251106202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024304202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023307202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231109202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022307202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022805202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021308202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Jornayvaz Robert P III 7252025Sell34.3053,0351,819,100135,485Form
1Jornayvaz Robert P III 5292025Sell37.05762,81637,783,738Form
2Jornayvaz Robert P III 5232025Sell37.00725937,735,560Form
3Jornayvaz Robert P III 5222025Sell37.051,28847,72037,786,813Form
4Jornayvaz Robert P III 5202025Sell37.0622,987851,89837,844,746Form