Lifevantage (LFVN)
Market Price (5/25/2026): $5.58 | Market Cap: $70.4 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Lifevantage (LFVN)
Market Price (5/25/2026): $5.58Market Cap: $70.4 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 5.3% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.99 | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25% Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31% Key risksLFVN key risks include [1] operational and reputational challenges from its direct selling model and [2] a high revenue dependence on a limited number of key products. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 8.9%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 4.8%, FCF Yield is 5.3% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 14.99 |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -12%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.1%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -25% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 31% |
| Key risksLFVN key risks include [1] operational and reputational challenges from its direct selling model and [2] a high revenue dependence on a limited number of key products. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Initiation of a $60 Million Share Repurchase Program.
LifeVantage announced a new $60 million share repurchase program on February 4, 2026, replacing its previous program. This authorization, effective through December 31, 2027, signaled management's confidence in the company's value and its commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
2. Increase in Quarterly Cash Dividend.
On May 6, 2026, LifeVantage declared an 11% increase in its quarterly cash dividend, raising it to $0.05 per common share. This move typically indicates financial stability and a positive outlook on future earnings, contributing to investor confidence.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 6.9% change in LFVN stock from 1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 91.8% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 1312026 | 5242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 5.25 | 5.61 | 6.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 229 | 195 | -14.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.4% | 2.9% | -33.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 6.4 | 12.3 | 91.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 13 | -1.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 6.9% |
Market Drivers
1/31/2026 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LFVN | 6.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 8.1% | 27.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.1% | 9.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -30.4% change in LFVN stock from 10/31/2025 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -31.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 10312025 | 5242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 8.06 | 5.61 | -30.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 229 | 195 | -14.5% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.3% | 2.9% | -31.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 10.1 | 12.3 | 21.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 13 | -2.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -30.4% |
Market Drivers
10/31/2025 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LFVN | -30.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 9.9% | 26.8% |
| Sector (XLP) | 12.7% | 12.1% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -53.6% change in LFVN stock from 4/30/2025 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -38.7% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302025 | 5242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.08 | 5.61 | -53.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 212 | 195 | -7.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.5% | 2.9% | -14.9% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.1 | 12.3 | -38.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 12 | 13 | -3.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -53.6% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2025 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LFVN | -53.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 36.0% | 25.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 6.5% | 14.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 90.9% change in LFVN stock from 4/30/2023 to 5/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 103.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 4302023 | 5242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 2.94 | 5.61 | 90.9% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 206 | 195 | -5.4% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.2 | 0.4 | 103.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 13 | 13 | -0.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 90.9% |
Market Drivers
4/30/2023 to 5/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| LFVN | 90.9% | |
| Market (SPY) | 86.3% | 21.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 18.8% | 9.7% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| LFVN Return | -32% | -40% | 75% | 197% | -64% | -12% | -33% |
| Peers Return | 10% | -44% | 4% | -48% | 20% | -5% | -62% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 9% | 98% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| LFVN Win Rate | 25% | 33% | 42% | 67% | 33% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 60% | 30% | 50% | 37% | 40% | 52% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 60% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| LFVN Max Drawdown | -40% | -47% | -47% | -31% | -76% | -40% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -33% | -55% | -43% | -57% | -36% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: HLF, NUS, USNA, MED, NATR. See LFVN Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 5/22/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | LFVN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 6 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.1% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.4% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 19 days | 105 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -63.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 6 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -11.4% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.8% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4 days | 62 days |
In The Past
Lifevantage's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
| Event | LFVN | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 SVB Regional Banking Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -21.2% | -6.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 27.0% | 7.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 6 days | 31 days |
| 2022 Inflation Shock & Fed Tightening | ||
| % Loss | -47.1% | -24.5% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 89.1% | 32.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 338 days | 427 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.4% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.5% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 43 days | 140 days |
| 2016-2017 Trump Reflation Bond Selloff | ||
| % Loss | -63.8% | -3.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 175.9% | 3.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 414 days | 6 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -61.4% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 159.2% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 185 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -46.1% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 85.4% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1818 days | 1 days |
| 2010 Eurozone Sovereign Debt Crisis / Flash Crash | ||
| % Loss | -28.8% | -15.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 40.5% | 18.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 125 days |
| 2008-2009 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -68.2% | -53.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 214.3% | 114.4% |
| Time to Breakeven | 61 days | 1085 days |
In The Past
Lifevantage's stock fell 0.0% during the 2024 Yen Carry Trade Unwind. Such a loss loss requires a 0.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Lifevantage (LFVN)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Lifevantage (LFVN):
- Like a Herbalife focused on advanced anti-aging and nutrigenomic products.
- A direct-selling version of The Vitamin Shoppe, but also with beauty and personal care lines.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Protandim: A line of scientifically validated dietary supplements.
- LifeVantage Omega+: A dietary supplement combining DHA and EPA Omega-3 fatty acids, Omega-7 fatty acids, and vitamin D3.
- LifeVantage ProBio: A dietary supplement designed to support digestive system health.
- PhysIQ: A brand offering a line of weight management products.
- Petandim for Dogs: A supplement specifically formulated to combat oxidative stress in dogs.
- Axio: A line of energy drink mixes.
- LifeVantage TrueScience (Skincare): Anti-aging skin care products including cleansers, lotions, serums, and creams.
- LifeVantage TrueScience (Haircare): Hair care products such as invigorating shampoos, nourishing conditioners, and scalp serums.
- LifeVantage TrueScience (Bath and Body & Targeted Relief): Products encompassing body lotions, washes, butters, deodorants, soothing balms, and body rubs.
AI Analysis | Feedback
LifeVantage Corporation (LFVN) sells its products primarily to individuals through its website and a network of independent distributors. Based on its diverse product offerings, the company serves the following categories of customers:
- Health & Wellness Enthusiasts: This category includes individuals seeking dietary supplements, nutrigenomic activators (such as Protandim), pre- and pro-biotics, and weight management products to support overall health, vitality, and anti-aging.
- Beauty & Personal Care Consumers: This group comprises individuals interested in anti-aging skincare, hair care products (shampoos, conditioners, scalp serums), and general bath and body products (lotions, washes, deodorants).
- Performance & Cognitive Support Users: This segment targets individuals looking for products like nootropics and energy drink mixes (Axio) to enhance cognitive function, improve energy levels, and support daily performance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
null
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlSteve Fife, President & Chief Executive Officer
Steve Fife joined LifeVantage as Chief Financial Officer in 2017 and transitioned to President and Chief Executive Officer in 2020 or 2021. Before joining LifeVantage, he served as Chief Financial Officer and Chief Operating Officer at Evidera, Inc., a private equity-sponsored professional services firm. He also held the role of Chief Financial Officer for several publicly traded companies, including Active Power, Inc. and LECG. Additionally, he held senior financial positions at Gilead Sciences, Amkor Technologies, and JDS Uniphase. Steve Fife is an inactive Certified Public Accountant. He is slated to retire in April 2026 after nine years with LifeVantage.
Carl Aure, Chief Financial Officer
Carl Aure was appointed Chief Financial Officer of LifeVantage in October 2021. He brings over 24 years of finance and accounting experience, with more than 15 years in the direct selling industry. Prior to LifeVantage, he was the Chief Accounting Officer for New Age, Inc., a social selling company. He joined New Age in 2018 as Senior Vice President, Corporate Controller, following its acquisition of Morinda Holdings, Inc., where he had held various finance and accounting roles from 2005 to 2018. Earlier in his career, Mr. Aure spent eight years at KPMG, LLP, most recently as a Senior Manager. He is a Certified Public Accountant.
Kristen Cunningham, Chief Sales Officer
Kristen Cunningham has served as Chief Sales Officer of LifeVantage since June 2022, following her tenure as Interim Chief Sales Officer and other sales leadership positions within the company since November 2020. Before joining LifeVantage, she was the Director of Business Development and held other sales leadership roles at Shaklee Corporation from August 2011 to October 2020. From 2006 to 2011, Ms. Cunningham worked in various capacities in Distributor Support and Sales at NuSkin Enterprises.
Michelle Oborn, Chief People Officer
Michelle Oborn has been the Chief People Officer at LifeVantage since August 2022. She has been a key leader in the company's human resources department since 2009 and also directs LifeVantage Legacy, the company's non-profit organization. Before her time at LifeVantage, Ms. Oborn was the Human Resources Manager at Zrii International, a direct selling wellness company. From 2005 to 2008, she worked as a litigation and employment paralegal at Wrona Law Offices.
Alissa Neufeld, General Counsel
Alissa Neufeld was appointed General Counsel and Corporate Secretary of LifeVantage in March 2021. Before joining LifeVantage, she served as Chief Compliance Officer, Deputy General Counsel, and Assistant Corporate Secretary for Nature's Sunshine Products, Inc. from January 2017 to March 2021. Prior to that, Ms. Neufeld was Associate General Counsel to 1-800 Contacts, Inc. from April 2014 to January 2016.
```AI Analysis | Feedback
LifeVantage Corporation (LFVN) faces several key risks inherent to its business model and the highly regulated industry in which it operates.
-
Regulatory Scrutiny of Multi-Level Marketing (MLM) Business Model and Pyramid Scheme Allegations
LifeVantage operates through a network of independent distributors, a multi-level marketing (MLM) model that has consistently drawn regulatory scrutiny and allegations of being an illegal pyramid scheme. The company has faced class-action lawsuits alleging that its compensation structure disproportionately emphasizes recruitment over actual product sales, leading to financial losses for many distributors. Although LifeVantage settled a class-action lawsuit in 2020 for $1.8 million while denying wrongdoing, the underlying concerns about the sustainability and legality of such models remain. A fundamental risk is the ability to retain existing independent distributors and attract new ones, as non-compliance by distributors with legal requirements or company policies can also harm the business.
-
Product Claims, Regulatory Compliance, and Product Liability
As a seller of nutrigenomic activators, dietary supplements, and other health-related products, LifeVantage is subject to strict government regulations, particularly from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration (FDA). The FDA regulates dietary supplements differently from conventional foods and drugs, and companies are prohibited from marketing products that are adulterated or misbranded. LifeVantage has previously received warning letters from the FDA concerning illegal health claims, including allegations of making unauthorized cancer treatment claims for its Protandim products. Additionally, the company faces inherent risks of product liability claims and potential product recalls, as evidenced by a voluntary recall of its Protandim dietary supplement in 2012 due to possible metal fragments from a third-party supplier.
-
Intense Competition and Challenges in Customer/Distributor Retention and Revenue Growth
LifeVantage operates in a highly competitive global market for dietary supplements and personal care products. The company faces challenges in distinguishing its products, such as the MindBody GLP-1 System, from numerous competitors, many of which offer similar products at potentially lower prices. Recent financial results indicate disappointing performance, with sales declines and forecasts projecting near-zero or even negative organic growth. Furthermore, LifeVantage has experienced declines in active customers and consultants, indicating difficulties in retaining its base, which is critical for a direct-selling company.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The rise of direct-to-consumer (DTC) brands and sophisticated influencer marketing models, enabled by advanced e-commerce platforms and digital advertising, presents a clear emerging threat. These alternative distribution models allow new and existing companies to market and sell health and wellness products directly to consumers with lower overhead and often greater convenience, thereby challenging the effectiveness and appeal of traditional multi-level marketing (MLM) distribution networks like the one utilized by LifeVantage. This ongoing shift can erode the pool of potential independent distributors and customers for MLM companies, making it increasingly difficult for them to compete effectively on distribution reach, customer acquisition costs, and pricing.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for LifeVantage Corporation's main products and services are sized globally unless otherwise specified. Here are the estimated market sizes for LifeVantage's key product categories: * **Nutrigenomic Activators:** The global nutrigenomics market size was accounted at approximately USD 613.01 million in 2025. North America held the largest share of this market in 2024. * **Dietary Supplements:** The global dietary supplements market size was estimated at USD 209.52 billion in 2025. Asia Pacific led the market with a 42.0% share in 2025. * **Nootropics:** The global nootropic supplement market size was valued at USD 5.71 billion in 2025. North America is a leading region in this market. * **Probiotics (Pre- and Pro-biotics):** The global probiotics market size was estimated at approximately USD 113.97 billion in 2025. Asia Pacific dominated the probiotics market with a 39.1% share in 2025. * **Weight Management:** The global weight management market size is calculated at USD 176.67 billion in 2025. North America is a leading region in the weight management market. * **Skin Care Products:** The global skin care products market size was valued at USD 172.7 billion in 2025. Asia Pacific dominated the skin care market with a 51.46% share in 2025. * **Hair Care Products:** The global hair care market size was valued at USD 113.93 billion in 2025. Europe dominated the hair care market with a 36.67% share in 2025. * **Bath and Body Products:** The global bath and shower products market size was valued at USD 52.10 billion in 2024. Asia-Pacific dominated this market with a 38.73% revenue share in 2024. * **Targeted Relief Products:** The global topical pain relief market size was valued at USD 11.0 billion in 2024. North America currently dominates this market, holding over 35.0% share in 2024.AI Analysis | Feedback
Expected Revenue Growth Drivers for LifeVantage (LFVN) over the Next 2-3 Years
LifeVantage Corporation (LFVN) is expected to drive future revenue growth through several key initiatives over the next two to three years:
- LoveBiome Acquisition and Integration: The strategic acquisition and ongoing integration of LoveBiome are anticipated to be a significant revenue driver. This move positions LifeVantage at the intersection of natural GLP-1 activation and microbiome health markets, contributing to product diversification and growth. The LoveBiome product line contributed $4.1 million in revenue in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, and its integration is seen as a source of positive momentum for the company's fiscal 2026 outlook.
- Launch of New Products: LifeVantage plans to drive revenue through the introduction of new products, particularly from the integrated LoveBiome portfolio. Recent examples include the launch of AXIO X and Phytopower B in the second quarter of fiscal 2026, which are expected to boost engagement, consultant growth, and further diversify the product offerings.
- Enhanced E-commerce Capabilities through Shopify Partnership: A partnership with Shopify is underway to deliver enhanced e-commerce capabilities. This initiative aims to improve the company's online sales channels and overall customer experience, which can lead to increased direct-to-consumer revenue.
- Stabilization and Strategic Response in the GLP-1 Market: Despite facing increased competition from pharmaceutical GLP-1 drugs, LifeVantage is "redoubling efforts to stabilize" its MindBody GLP-1 system business. The company is actively evaluating options to respond to the changing competitive landscape, indicating a continued focus on maintaining and potentially growing revenue from this product line.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Share Repurchases
- LifeVantage authorized a new share repurchase program of up to US$60 million of common stock in January 2026, effective through December 31, 2027.
- Under a previous program announced in November 2017, the company repurchased 5,068,960 shares for US$43.27 million, completing 37.65% of the authorized amount.
- The company extended its stock repurchase program in June 2023 until December 31, 2026.
Share Issuance
- Information regarding significant share issuances by LifeVantage Corporation over the last 3-5 years is not readily available.
Inbound Investments
- No information on large inbound investments made in LifeVantage by third-parties, such as strategic partners or private equity firms, is readily available within the specified timeframe.
Outbound Investments
- LifeVantage announced the acquisition of LoveBiome, a direct sales company focused on microbiome care and wellness solutions, in September 2025, with the transaction closing in October 2025.
- The acquisition aims to expand LifeVantage's consultant network in key markets like the US, Taiwan, and Europe, and to broaden its product portfolio in gut and microbiome health.
- The financial terms of the LoveBiome acquisition were not disclosed.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were reported as $1.53 million for the first six months of fiscal year 2026.
- Historical capital expenditures were $3.07 million in 2023 and $2.25 million in 2024.
- Projected capital expenditures are $2 million for fiscal year 2026 and 2027, and $3 million for fiscal years 2028 through 2030, generally representing 1% of revenue.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to LFVN.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04102026 | ELF | e.l.f. Beauty | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -6.2% |
| 04022026 | IPAR | Interparfums | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.7% | 0.7% | -0.3% |
| 04022026 | COKE | Coca-Cola Consolidated | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 5.5% | 5.5% | -5.2% |
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.0% | -5.0% | -8.6% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.5% | -1.5% | -2.3% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.51 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 708 |
| Op Inc LTM | 39 |
| FCF LTM | 13 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 35 |
| CFO LTM | 24 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 44 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -4.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.8% |
| Rev Chg Q | -5.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | -0.4% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.3% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.4% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 0.4 |
| P/Op Inc | 5.3 |
| P/EBIT | 6.0 |
| P/E | 8.9 |
| P/CFO | 11.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 9.4% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -11.8% |
| 3M Rtn | -16.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -0.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -11.2% |
| 3Y Rtn | -30.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -15.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -26.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -7.4% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.6% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -119.7% |
Comparison Analyses
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $5.61 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 10/05/2004 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -60.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $4.83 | $7.09 |
| DMA Trend | down | up |
| Distance from DMA | 16.3% | -20.9% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 67.0% | 59.3% |
| Downside Capture | 131.74 | 234.10 |
| Upside Capture | 149.94 | 69.85 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.7% | 27.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | -0.10 | 0.12 | 1.06 | 1.12 | 1.08 | 0.99 |
| Up Beta | -0.88 | -0.19 | 0.54 | 0.28 | 0.61 | 0.91 |
| Down Beta | 15.90 | 1.48 | 2.46 | 1.79 | 1.56 | 1.33 |
| Up Capture | 114% | 41% | 76% | 62% | 30% | 69% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 15 | 22 | 31 | 66 | 141 | 428 |
| Stock +ve Days | 11 | 21 | 30 | 60 | 122 | 390 |
| Down Capture | -563% | -83% | 107% | 154% | 150% | 93% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 4 | 18 | 30 | 56 | 108 | 321 |
| Stock -ve Days | 10 | 20 | 32 | 63 | 126 | 350 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LFVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LFVN | -55.0% | 59.5% | -1.10 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.8% | 12.4% | 0.25 | 14.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 29.5% | 12.0% | 1.86 | 27.8% |
| Gold (GLD) | 35.5% | 26.8% | 1.11 | -0.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 42.9% | 18.7% | 1.77 | -6.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 15.2% | 13.1% | 0.82 | 16.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.3% | 41.8% | -0.78 | 26.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LFVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LFVN | -4.4% | 62.3% | 0.18 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.4% | 13.2% | 0.27 | 11.9% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.0% | 0.64 | 22.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.8% | 18.0% | 0.85 | 4.1% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.4% | 19.4% | 0.42 | 5.2% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.8% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 14.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 11.6% | 55.3% | 0.41 | 13.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with LFVN | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LFVN | -5.9% | 60.2% | 0.15 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.6% | 14.7% | 0.38 | 19.3% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.7% | 17.9% | 0.75 | 27.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.0% | 16.0% | 0.67 | 2.8% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 7.8% | 17.9% | 0.35 | 10.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.5% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 21.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.7% | 66.9% | 1.06 | 9.2% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 5/6/2026 | -16.3% | -12.2% | |
| 2/4/2026 | -16.8% | -8.3% | -11.2% |
| 9/4/2025 | -10.0% | -12.6% | -29.3% |
| 5/6/2025 | -6.6% | 1.3% | 3.8% |
| 2/5/2025 | -16.5% | -14.9% | -32.1% |
| 8/28/2024 | -11.8% | 2.2% | 47.9% |
| 5/2/2024 | 7.5% | 11.3% | 30.0% |
| 1/30/2024 | -8.9% | 3.8% | 17.6% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 8 | 11 | 9 |
| # Negative | 15 | 12 | 13 |
| Median Positive | 7.2% | 9.1% | 17.6% |
| Median Negative | -8.9% | -11.6% | -8.2% |
| Max Positive | 23.9% | 45.8% | 58.1% |
| Max Negative | -21.7% | -32.7% | -32.1% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 03/31/2026 | 05/06/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/04/2026 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 09/04/2025 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2024 | 10/29/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 01/30/2024 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/02/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/23/2022 | 10-K |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q3 2026 Earnings Reported 5/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Full Year Tax Rate | 18.0% | 19.0% | 20.0% | -17.4% | -4.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 23.0% for 2026 |
Prior: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 2/4/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 185.00 Mil | 192.50 Mil | 200.00 Mil | -17.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 232.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 15.00 Mil | 17.00 Mil | 19.00 Mil | -30.6% | Lowered | Guidance: 24.50 Mil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EPS | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.8 | -34.9% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.07 for 2026 | |
| 2026 Tax Rate | 22.0% | 23.0% | 24.0% | -8.0% | -2.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 25.0% for 2026 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lewis, Darwin | Direct | Buy | 3182026 | 5.23 | 1,055 | 5,518 | 714,224 | Form | |
| 2 | Dayton, Judd | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 4.53 | 10,500 | 47,565 | 364,026 | Form | |
| 3 | Dayton, Judd | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 4.63 | 18,097 | 83,789 | 323,447 | Form | |
| 4 | Dayton, Judd | Direct | Buy | 3022026 | 4.58 | 4,600 | 21,068 | 237,070 | Form | |
| 5 | Lewis, Darwin | Direct | Buy | 2112026 | 5.22 | 3,955 | 20,651 | 707,569 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.