Tearsheet

Herbalife (HLF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.445 | Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Herbalife (HLF)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $12.445
Market Cap: $1.3 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33%, FCF Yield is 25%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 219%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Nutritional Supplements.
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 37%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 33%, FCF Yield is 25%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Nutritional Supplements.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -55%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -100%
3 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 12%
4 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 219%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.4%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HLF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance and Upbeat Outlook.

Herbalife reported robust third-quarter 2025 financial results, exceeding analysts' expectations with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.50 against a forecast of $0.47, and revenues of $1.3 billion, surpassing the anticipated $1.26 billion. The company also raised its full-year net sales and adjusted EBITDA outlook. This performance indicated a significant turnaround, marking the first return to net sales growth in North America since Q2 2021 and worldwide since Q1 2024. 2. Significant Debt Reduction and Strengthened Financial Stability.

Herbalife fully repaid its 2025 notes in September, effectively reducing its total leverage ratio to 2.8x, which is below its stated commitment of 3x. This move eliminated significant debt maturities until 2028, substantially strengthening the company's financial flexibility and overall stability.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HLF Return1%-15%-64%3%-56%86%-74%
Peers Return32%42%-38%1%-8%5%14%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HLF Win Rate50%58%33%50%50%60% 
Peers Win Rate58%57%35%52%47%44% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HLF Max Drawdown-51%-22%-69%-23%-59%-24% 
Peers Max Drawdown-46%-11%-47%-30%-32%-27% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ABT, NUS, NATR, USNA, MTEX. See HLF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHLFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-80.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven407.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-51.0%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven104.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven118 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-45.3%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven82.7%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-75.4%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven307.2%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven493 days1480 days

Compare to ABT, NUS, NATR, USNA, MTEX


In The Past

Herbalife's stock fell -80.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/10/2021. A -80.3% loss requires a 407.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Herbalife (HLF)

Better Bets than Herbalife (HLF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HLF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Herbalife

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HLFABTNUSNATRUSNAMTEXMedian
NameHerbalifeAbbott L.Nu Skin .Natures .Usana He.Mannatech 
Mkt Price12.45125.299.9821.1020.219.1516.33
Mkt Cap1.3218.30.50.40.40.00.4
Rev LTM4,96243,8431,5604759131131,237
Op Inc LTM4887,713602442-151
FCF LTM2176,917533119-342
FCF 3Y Avg1905,965612253-457
CFO LTM3059,119893832-264
CFO 3Y Avg3108,1321073266-386

Growth & Margins

HLFABTNUSNATRUSNAMTEXMedian
NameHerbalifeAbbott L.Nu Skin .Natures .Usana He.Mannatech 
Rev Chg LTM-0.8%6.4%-12.1%6.6%5.9%-7.7%2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-2.4%-0.6%-13.1%2.8%-3.9%-8.2%-3.2%
Rev Chg Q2.7%6.9%-15.3%12.0%6.7%-7.4%4.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%1.7%-4.1%3.0%1.5%-1.8%1.1%
Op Mgn LTM9.8%17.6%3.9%5.1%4.6%-0.5%4.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg8.1%16.3%4.3%4.6%8.0%-0.8%6.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.1%0.2%0.4%0.7%-1.7%-0.3%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM6.1%20.8%5.7%7.9%3.5%-1.8%5.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg6.2%19.5%6.0%7.0%7.3%-2.4%6.6%
FCF/Rev LTM4.4%15.8%3.4%6.6%2.0%-2.6%3.9%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg3.8%14.3%3.5%4.9%5.9%-3.0%4.4%

Valuation

HLFABTNUSNATRUSNAMTEXMedian
NameHerbalifeAbbott L.Nu Skin .Natures .Usana He.Mannatech 
Mkt Cap1.3218.30.50.40.40.00.4
P/S0.25.30.40.60.60.20.5
P/EBIT1.827.04.410.610.4-6.77.4
P/E2.716.75.518.129.8-4.511.1
P/CFO2.925.66.77.316.0-8.77.0
Total Yield36.8%7.7%20.2%5.5%3.4%-22.0%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.7%2.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg20.7%3.0%12.4%7.9%6.5%-21.0%7.2%
D/E2.50.10.50.10.00.40.2
Net D/E2.20.00.1-0.3-0.30.00.0

Returns

HLFABTNUSNATRUSNAMTEXMedian
NameHerbalifeAbbott L.Nu Skin .Natures .Usana He.Mannatech 
1M Rtn54.3%1.2%-6.2%53.3%-4.9%-2.3%-0.6%
3M Rtn25.4%-4.8%-16.6%22.5%-36.2%-3.3%-4.0%
6M Rtn62.3%-4.9%28.0%46.4%-32.0%-11.7%11.6%
12M Rtn59.6%9.8%36.6%31.1%-47.2%1.9%20.5%
3Y Rtn-29.6%22.9%-73.6%143.6%-63.0%-57.5%-43.5%
1M Excs Rtn54.3%1.2%-6.2%53.4%-4.9%-2.3%-0.6%
3M Excs Rtn18.0%-10.6%-23.7%16.3%-41.7%-6.6%-8.6%
6M Excs Rtn47.6%-19.6%13.3%31.7%-46.8%-26.4%-3.2%
12M Excs Rtn46.7%-6.1%26.8%16.4%-61.1%-5.9%5.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-100.4%-46.8%-144.9%62.2%-134.9%-132.1%-116.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Weight Management2,8522,9543,3703,3133,012
Targeted Nutrition1,4801,5131,6371,5271,278
Energy, Sports, and Fitness560551552437352
Literature, Promotional, and Other88101136153137
Outer Nutrition828610811197
Total5,0625,2045,8035,5424,877


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity12,101,141
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120250.3%
Average Daily Volume1,942,843
Days-to-Cover Short Interest6.23
Basic Shares Quantity103,300,000
Short % of Basic Shares11.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251105202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025430202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024219202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241030202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024731202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024501202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023214202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231101202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023802202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023502202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022214202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221031202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022802202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021223202210-K 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data