Natures Sunshine Products (NATR)
Market Price (4/5/2026): $24.35 | Market Cap: $426.1 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Natures Sunshine Products (NATR)
Market Price (4/5/2026): $24.35Market Cap: $426.1 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, and Organic & Natural Products. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -8.5% | Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106% Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% Key risksNATR key risks include [1] extensive regulatory and compliance hurdles specific to its international direct selling business model, Show more. |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -18% |
| Attractive yieldFCF Yield is 6.8% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 50% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends. Themes include Nutritional Supplements, and Organic & Natural Products. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -8.5% |
| Stock price has recently run up significantly12M Rtn12 month market price return is 106% |
| Valuation getting more expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 53% |
| Key risksNATR key risks include [1] extensive regulatory and compliance hurdles specific to its international direct selling business model, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Strong Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Performance: Nature's Sunshine Products reported an Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS) of $0.30 for Q4 2025, significantly surpassing analysts' estimates of $0.19 by 57.89%. The company also exceeded revenue expectations, with sales reaching $123.8 million against an estimated $121.6 million, marking a 1.8% beat and a 4.7% year-over-year increase. This strong financial beat likely fueled investor confidence and contributed to the stock's upward trend.
2. Optimistic Full-Year 2025 Results and 2026 Guidance: For the full fiscal year 2025, Nature's Sunshine reported a 5.7% increase in net sales, totaling $480.1 million, and a significant rise in GAAP net income to $19.5 million, or $1.06 per diluted share, compared to $7.7 million or $0.40 in 2024. Looking ahead, the company issued positive guidance for full-year 2026, projecting net sales between $500 million and $515 million and adjusted EBITDA between $50 million and $54 million. Additionally, management outlined an ambitious long-term goal to double sales to $1 billion.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.4% change in NATR stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 27.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 21.58 | 24.25 | 12.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 475 | 480 | 1.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.2% | 4.1% | 27.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 25.2 | 21.7 | -13.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 17 | 0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NATR | 12.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 16.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.4% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 56.3% change in NATR stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 32.8% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 15.52 | 24.25 | 56.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 461 | 480 | 4.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.1% | 4.1% | 32.8% |
| P/E Multiple | 20.3 | 21.7 | 7.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 17 | 5.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 56.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NATR | 56.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 14.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 5.3% | 28.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 93.2% change in NATR stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 140.0% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 12.55 | 24.25 | 93.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 454 | 480 | 5.7% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 1.7% | 4.1% | 140.0% |
| P/E Multiple | 30.1 | 21.7 | -27.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 18 | 17 | 5.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 93.2% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NATR | 93.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 9.5% |
| Sector (XLP) | 2.5% | 22.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 137.5% change in NATR stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/4/2026 was primarily driven by a 90.7% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4042026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 10.21 | 24.25 | 137.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 422 | 480 | 13.8% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.9 | 90.7% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 19 | 17 | 9.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 137.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/4/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| NATR | 137.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 17.9% |
| Sector (XLP) | 18.3% | 22.1% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| NATR Return | 31% | -55% | 108% | -15% | 47% | 13% | 73% |
| Peers Return | 20% | -43% | -5% | 22% | -2% | -16% | -35% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| NATR Win Rate | 67% | 17% | 75% | 42% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 48% | 37% | 45% | 50% | 42% | 30% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| NATR Max Drawdown | -3% | -57% | 0% | -32% | -23% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -21% | -52% | -35% | -39% | -40% | -20% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: USNA, HLF, NUS, LFVN, MTEX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/2/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | NATR | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -61.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 160.5% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1,067 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 145 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -54.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 117.7% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 670 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.7% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 280.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 307 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to USNA, HLF, NUS, LFVN, MTEX
In The Past
Natures Sunshine Products's stock fell -61.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/6/2021. A -61.6% loss requires a 160.5% gain to breakeven.
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About Natures Sunshine Products (NATR)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR):
- Like Herbalife, but with a broader range of natural health and personal care products.
- An Amway focused specifically on natural wellness products.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- General Health Products: Nutritional supplements addressing various health concerns such as blood sugar support, bone health, cognitive function, and joint health.
- Immunity, Cardiovascular, and Digestive Products: Specialized nutritional supplements designed to support immune system function, heart health, and digestive wellness.
- Personal Care Products: Items for external use, including oils, lotions, aloe vera gels, herbal shampoos, and skin cleansers.
- Weight Management Products: Nutritional supplements and programs developed to assist with healthy weight loss or maintenance.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR) sells its products primarily to individuals through a sales force of independent consultants. The company does not have major corporate customers in the traditional B2B sense. Instead, its products are targeted at and consumed by a broad range of individual consumers. Based on its product offerings, the major categories of customers that it serves include:
- Health-Conscious Individuals Seeking General Wellness: This category includes consumers who are proactive about maintaining overall health and well-being. They purchase products for general health support such as immunity, cardiovascular, digestive health, bone health, cellular health, cognitive function, mood, sleep, and vision.
- Individuals with Specific Health Goals or Concerns: This group comprises customers who are looking for solutions related to particular health objectives, such as weight management, sports performance and energy, or sexual health.
- Consumers Prioritizing Natural Personal Care: This segment consists of individuals interested in using natural and herbal ingredients for their personal care routines, including products like aloe vera gels, herbal shampoos, skin treatments, toothpaste, and skin cleansers.
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Kenneth Romanzi Chief Executive Officer Mr. Romanzi brings over 40 years of experience in leadership positions with consumer-packaged goods (CPG) companies, and was appointed CEO of Nature's Sunshine Products in October 2025. He served as President, CEO, and a Board Member of B&G Foods, Inc., a public company, where he led a strategic transformation, expanding revenue and improving profitability. Earlier in his career, he held C-Suite and leadership roles at prominent CPG companies such as Nabisco; The Ultimate Juice Company, including the Naked Juice brand which was subsequently acquired by PepsiCo, Inc.; Hasbro, Inc.; and Ocean Spray Cranberries, Inc. Most recently, Mr. Romanzi served as an Operating Partner for Ronin Equity Partners from May 2021 to October 2025 and a Strategic Advisor for Astara Capital Partners from September 2022 to October 2025, both private equity firms. Shane Jones Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Mr. Jones was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Nature's Sunshine in December 2022, bringing over 25 years of finance experience. He previously served as Chief Financial Officer at FullSpeed Automotive (since January 2022), West Marine (January 2020 - August 2021), 1-800 Contacts (February 2018 - February 2019), and Backcountry.com (December 2015 - February 2018). Prior to 2015, Mr. Jones held senior leadership roles at various retail and direct-to-consumer brands, including Amazon.com, Limited Brands, and Yum! Brands. He notably served as CFO for three different private equity-owned, direct-to-consumer companies. Nathan G. Brower Executive Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary Mr. Brower was appointed Executive Vice President, General Counsel, and Secretary in December 2017. He joined Nature's Sunshine in May 2015, initially serving as Senior Director, Legal Counsel. Before joining Nature's Sunshine, Mr. Brower was Associate General Counsel at LifeVantage, Inc., a publicly-traded network marketing company, from July 2011 until May 2015. He also worked as a securities and corporate attorney in private practice at a large multinational law firm. Kevin Fuller Global Chief Marketing Officer Mr. Fuller was named Global Chief Marketing Officer of Nature's Sunshine in September 2024. He brings nearly two decades of global marketing experience to the company, with a deep understanding of the supplement industry. Prior to Nature's Sunshine, he served as President & Chief Marketing Officer at Helo Health and CEO & Chief Marketing Officer at MacuVu Macular Health. Earlier in his career, he held senior leadership roles at NuSkin (Senior Vice President of Global Product & Brand), Pharmanex, and USANA. Kevin Herbert Executive Vice President, President North America Mr. Herbert joined Nature's Sunshine as Executive Vice President, President North America in June 2023. He brings over 25 years of global experience in leading transformation and growth, having served in numerous executive and senior leadership positions for companies such as Samsung, Borden, Hain Celestial, White Wave Foods, and Procter & Gamble. Before joining Nature's Sunshine, Kevin led Crossmark's Natural Specialty Channel, where he achieved significant year-over-year growth.AI Analysis | Feedback
Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR) faces several key risks inherent to its business model and global operations.Key Risks to Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR)
- Regulatory and Compliance Risks: The company operates in a highly regulated environment across multiple international markets, facing laws and administrative actions related to product formulation, advertising, and sales. Delays in product registration, potential product liability exposure, and compliance with anti-bribery regulations (like the FCPA) are significant concerns. The decentralized nature of its sales force, comprising independent consultants, increases the risk of improper product claims, which could lead to stricter regulatory scrutiny and legal issues. There have been past instances involving alleged violations of the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act in a foreign subsidiary.
- Dependence on Independent Consultants and Challenges of the Multi-Level Marketing (MLM) Model: A substantial portion of Nature's Sunshine's revenue, particularly in certain markets, is highly dependent on its network of independent consultants and their sales efforts. The loss or inactivity of key consultants or challenges in recruiting and retaining a motivated sales force could materially impact financial results. The multi-level marketing business model itself carries inherent risks, including potential accusations of fraud, making false health claims, or an excessive focus on recruitment over product sales, which can lead to high turnover rates and reputational damage.
- International Exposure and Related Economic/Geopolitical Volatility: With approximately 72.2% of its net sales in 2025 generated from markets outside the United States, Nature's Sunshine is highly exposed to currency exchange fluctuations and geopolitical events. A stronger U.S. dollar can negatively impact reported earnings. Evolving U.S. trade policies, including tariffs and other restrictions, also introduce uncertainty and potential volatility, which could increase material costs or reduce demand for its products globally.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The clear emerging threat to Nature's Sunshine Products is the accelerating shift in consumer purchasing habits towards digitally-native channels, specifically the proliferation of direct-to-consumer (D2C) brands, social commerce, and influencer marketing in the health and wellness sector. These models offer consumers highly convenient, often personalized, and less interpersonally demanding ways to discover and acquire products, thereby directly challenging the efficacy and appeal of Nature's Sunshine's traditional independent consultant-based direct selling model and potentially eroding its customer base and recruitment pipeline.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR) operates within the global nutritional supplements, personal care products, and weight management markets. The addressable market sizes for their main products and services vary by region and product category.
Nutritional Supplements
- The global nutritional supplements market was estimated at USD 517.09 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 862.51 billion by 2033.
- In North America, the nutritional supplements market generated approximately USD 144.687 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 211.43 billion by 2033.
Personal Care Products
- The global beauty and personal care products market size was valued at USD 557.88 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 818.42 billion in 2033.
- For North America, the beauty and personal care products market is estimated at USD 129.45 billion in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 157.12 billion by 2030.
Weight Management Products
- The global weight management market was valued at USD 38.60 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 79.59 billion by 2035.
- The North America weight management products market was valued at approximately USD 7.74 billion in 2024 and is expected to reach around USD 11.12 billion by 2033.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Nature's Sunshine Products (NATR) anticipates several key drivers to fuel its revenue growth over the next 2-3 years:- Accelerated Digital Transformation and E-commerce Expansion: The company expects continued robust growth from its digital platforms and subscription programs, particularly in North America and Asia. Management plans to invest in technology infrastructure and digital marketing to deepen channel penetration and drive recurring revenue, building on significant increases in North America digital sales and digital subscriptions observed in 2025.
- Geographic Expansion and Deeper Market Penetration: Nature's Sunshine aims to grow in existing regions, such as North America, Europe, and Asia-Pacific, while also strategically exploring new high-value markets. The company plans to expand its penetration within current markets, with Europe, for instance, demonstrating strong sales growth.
- Product Innovation and New Product Launches: The acceleration of product innovation and the introduction of new products are expected to be significant contributors to future revenue. This strategy also helps in differentiating products by channel and minimizing potential conflict between sales channels. The company is looking to expand its portfolio with plant-based and ESG-aligned offerings.
- Enhanced Customer Acquisition: Driving further customer acquisition is a stated objective, with a focus on leveraging digital channels and marketing campaigns, including platforms like TikTok, which have proven effective in attracting new customers. The company continues to rely on its sales force of independent consultants while also navigating the growth of direct-to-consumer sales channels like Amazon.
- Strategic Investments in Growth Initiatives: Nature's Sunshine plans measured investments in improving its technology infrastructure, fostering customer acquisition, advancing geographic expansion, enhancing market penetration, and accelerating product innovation. These investments are integral to supporting the company's broader vision for accelerated top-line growth.
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Share Repurchases
- Nature's Sunshine Products repurchased 1,260,000 shares for $16.3 million during the year ended December 31, 2025.
- As of December 31, 2025, approximately $17.4 million remained authorized under the company's share repurchase program.
- In 2024, the company repurchased 540,000 shares at a cost of $8.9 million.
- An additional $25.0 million was authorized for share repurchases on May 6, 2025. This was in addition to a $15.0 million program announced in March 2021 and an additional $30.0 million authorized in March 2022.
Share Issuance
- In June 2025, a secondary public offering of up to 2,854,607 shares of common stock was announced, to be sold by Fosun Pharma USA, Inc. Nature's Sunshine Products was not selling any shares and would not receive any proceeds from this offering.
- The CEO, Kenneth G. Romanzi, received a grant of 29,928 common-share-equivalent restricted stock units (RSUs) in March 2026, granted under an employment agreement dated October 10, 2025.
Inbound Investments
- No significant inbound investments by third-parties (e.g., a strategic partner or a private equity firm) in Nature's Sunshine Products were prominently disclosed in the provided timeframe.
Outbound Investments
- No significant strategic outbound investments made by Nature's Sunshine Products in other companies were prominently disclosed in the provided timeframe.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures totaled $6.5 million for the twelve months ended December 31, 2025.
- Capital expenditures were $11.0 million in 2024.
- Capital expenditures were $10.5 million in 2023 and $7.6 million in 2022.
- The company's capital allocation structure supports continuing digital transformation and other strategic initiatives.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Natures Sunshine Products Earnings Notes | 12/16/2025 | |
| Can Natures Sunshine Products Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn? | 10/17/2025 |
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to NATR.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | TAP | Molson Coors Beverage | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -0.8% | -0.8% | -1.1% |
| 03202026 | KHC | Kraft Heinz | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 4.3% | 4.3% | -1.7% |
| 03202026 | KMB | Kimberly-Clark | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.8% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 10.65 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| Rev LTM | 703 |
| Op Inc LTM | 38 |
| FCF LTM | 19 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 32 |
| CFO LTM | 29 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 43 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -1.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.4% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.5% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 3.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 5.9% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 2.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 4.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.3 |
| P/S | 0.3 |
| P/EBIT | 6.6 |
| P/E | 6.6 |
| P/CFO | 8.2 |
| Total Yield | 10.1% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.5 |
| Net D/E | 0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -8.4% |
| 3M Rtn | -18.0% |
| 6M Rtn | -34.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -6.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -38.9% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -8.8% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -14.3% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -35.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -31.0% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -105.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $24.25 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.4 | |
| First Trading Date | 02/23/2007 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -12.8% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $25.38 | $19.44 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -4.5% | 24.7% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 31.6% | 49.8% |
| Downside Capture | -0.20 | 0.17 |
| Upside Capture | 48.79 | 97.90 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 16.5% | 8.7% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.68 | 0.45 | 0.43 | 0.65 | 0.25 | 0.54 |
| Up Beta | -0.05 | 0.02 | 0.12 | -0.51 | -0.09 | 0.39 |
| Down Beta | 0.81 | 0.98 | 1.19 | 1.03 | 0.31 | 0.59 |
| Up Capture | -34% | 22% | 28% | 146% | 82% | 45% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 21 | 34 | 67 | 126 | 362 |
| Down Capture | 131% | 43% | -2% | 17% | 34% | 74% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 21 | 29 | 59 | 123 | 373 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NATR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATR | 77.5% | 49.7% | 1.31 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 2.3% | 13.8% | -0.07 | 23.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.1% | 19.0% | 0.67 | 10.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 50.5% | 28.0% | 1.46 | -5.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 16.2% | 17.7% | 0.77 | -6.3% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.6% | 16.5% | 0.04 | 20.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -21.5% | 44.0% | -0.42 | 2.2% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NATR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATR | 4.7% | 42.7% | 0.24 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.3% | 13.1% | 0.26 | 24.4% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.6% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 25.0% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.00 | 0.5% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.51 | 2.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.3% | 18.8% | 0.08 | 25.0% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.9% | 56.5% | 0.29 | 16.5% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with NATR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NATR | 10.8% | 49.0% | 0.39 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 25.6% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 32.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 1.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.40 | 10.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.2% | 20.7% | 0.22 | 28.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 66.2% | 66.8% | 1.06 | 10.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 3/10/2026 | -1.3% | -4.3% | |
| 11/6/2025 | 30.5% | 51.1% | 56.7% |
| 7/31/2025 | 12.8% | 9.6% | 20.3% |
| 3/12/2025 | -0.4% | -3.6% | -13.5% |
| 11/7/2024 | 7.5% | 15.4% | 15.8% |
| 8/9/2024 | -6.7% | 3.8% | 3.6% |
| 3/12/2024 | 15.6% | 13.5% | 12.4% |
| 11/7/2023 | -4.3% | -4.3% | -7.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 12 | 14 |
| # Negative | 8 | 6 | 3 |
| Median Positive | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -4.1% | -10.3% |
| Max Positive | 30.5% | 51.1% | 56.7% |
| Max Negative | -6.9% | -21.6% | -13.5% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 03/10/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 07/31/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 03/11/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/08/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 03/12/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/09/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/16/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 3/10/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue | 500.00 Mil | 507.50 Mil | 515.00 Mil | 6.2% | Higher New | Actual: 478.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 50.00 Mil | 52.00 Mil | 54.00 Mil | 8.3% | Higher New | Actual: 48.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Revenue | 476.00 Mil | 478.00 Mil | 480.00 Mil | 2.2% | Raised | Guidance: 467.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 47.00 Mil | 48.00 Mil | 49.00 Mil | 11.6% | Raised | Guidance: 43.00 Mil for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yates, Bryant J | EVP & President, Europe | Direct | Sell | 12162025 | 22.29 | 1,700 | 37,893 | 2,197,883 | Form |
| 2 | Norman, Daniel C | EVP & President, Asia | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 20.46 | 8,884 | 181,767 | 1,363,373 | Form |
| 3 | Lanoy, Jonathan David | SVP, Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 11192025 | 20.45 | 5,000 | 102,250 | 945,465 | Form |
| 4 | Brower, Nathan G | EVP, General Counsel | Direct | Sell | 11182025 | 20.81 | 3,800 | 79,078 | 972,555 | Form |
| 5 | Yates, Bryant J | EVP & President, Europe | Direct | Sell | 9042025 | 16.77 | 5,000 | 83,850 | 1,713,391 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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