Tearsheet

Lithium Argentina (LAR)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $4.27 | Market Cap: $691.7 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Lithium Argentina (LAR)


Market Price (10/31/2025): $4.27
Market Cap: $691.7 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0   Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil
2   Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 71x
3   Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%
4   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2%
0 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -37 Mil
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 71x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 109%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -7.2%

Market Valuation & Key Metrics

LAR Stock


Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
LAR Return------0%
Peers Return34%3%14%-7%-11%50%96%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%110%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
LAR Win Rate-----38% 
Peers Win Rate33%27%32%32%28%76% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%67% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
LAR Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-32%-10%-9%-15%-17%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: VALE, WRN, XPL, ALM, CRML.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 10/30/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

LAR has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven534 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven617 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1761 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

Materials Select Sector SPDR's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Lithium Argentina (LAR)

Better Bets than Lithium Argentina (LAR)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to LAR. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.8%-16.8%-16.8%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.0%8.0%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.1%-23.1%-23.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
AXTA_9302025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield09302025AXTAAxalta Coating SystemsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.0%3.0%-7.8%
GPK_9302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09302025GPKGraphic PackagingDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-16.8%-16.8%-16.8%
FCX_9302025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper09302025FCXFreeport-McMoRanMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
8.0%8.0%-0.9%
KWR_7312025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield07312025KWRQuaker HoughtonDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
14.5%14.5%0.0%
TGLS_6302025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%06302025TGLSTecnoglassQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
-23.1%-23.1%-23.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Lithium Argentina

Financials

LARVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameLithium .Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Mkt Price4.2511.892.100.696.7612.885.50
Mkt Cap0.750.80.40.1--0.6
Rev LTM036,6000028-0
Op Inc LTM-379,986-8-6-20--8
FCF LTM-331,957-22-5-55--22
FCF 3Y Avg-484,519-23-4-42--23
CFO LTM-338,104-5-5-20--5
CFO 3Y Avg-4410,455-4-4-13--4

Growth & Margins

LARVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameLithium .Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Rev Chg LTM--13.0%--9.9%--1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--7.8%--4.6%--1.6%
Rev Chg Q--11.2%---9.4%--10.3%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--3.0%---2.6%--2.8%
Op Mgn LTM-27.3%---71.3%--22.0%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-32.4%---42.8%--5.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--1.1%---39.7%--20.4%
CFO/Rev LTM-22.1%---69.9%--23.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-26.3%---50.4%--12.1%
FCF/Rev LTM-5.3%---193.7%--94.2%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-11.2%---160.1%--74.4%

Valuation

LARVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameLithium .Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
Mkt Cap0.750.80.40.1--0.6
P/S-1.4----1.4
P/EBIT70.86.8-50.5-9.9---1.5
P/E-37.29.7-118.7-10.9---24.0
P/CFO-20.86.3-89.0-11.8---16.3
Total Yield-2.7%10.3%-0.8%-9.2%---1.8%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%--0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.9%-9.7%-7.8%---7.8%
D/E0.30.40.00.0--0.2
Net D/E0.20.3-0.1-0.2--0.0

Returns

LARVALEWRNXPLALMCRMLMedian
NameLithium .Vale Western .Solitari.Almonty .Critical. 
1M Rtn27.2%9.5%6.6%-0.7%12.1%107.1%10.8%
3M Rtn60.4%29.0%70.7%0.4%83.2%241.6%65.6%
6M Rtn109.4%33.1%90.9%12.0%-731.0%90.9%
12M Rtn-19.3%94.4%2.1%-99.1%56.9%
3Y Rtn-17.5%59.1%28.3%--28.3%
1M Excs Rtn16.1%6.6%4.4%-0.3%11.0%80.0%8.8%
3M Excs Rtn52.8%17.2%65.6%-8.2%70.4%228.7%59.2%
6M Excs Rtn87.6%11.3%69.2%-9.8%-709.2%69.2%
12M Excs Rtn--0.0%65.5%-16.5%-89.6%32.7%
3Y Excs Rtn--64.6%-17.7%-48.5%---48.5%

Financials

Segment Financials

Net Income by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Thacker Pass1,256-47-39-18-9
Corporate233-6-1660
Cauchari-Olaroz16-456-13
Pastos Grandes Basin-7    
Millennial Projects -4   
Organoclay  0-1-2
Total1,288-94-38-3652


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Pastos Grandes Basin536    
Cauchari-Olaroz388271275131249
Corporate13137553218534
Millennial Projects 354   
Thacker Pass 161166
Organoclay   46
Total1,0551,017817327294


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date10152025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity8,879,984
Short Interest: % Change Since 93020258.8%
Average Daily Volume6,485,657
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.37
Basic Shares Quantity161,999,000
Short % of Basic Shares5.5%

Insider Activity

Expand for More