Tearsheet

Almonty Industries (ALM)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $14.64 | Market Cap: $3.5 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Almonty Industries (ALM)


Market Price (3/30/2026): $14.64
Market Cap: $3.5 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Minerals & Strategic Resources. Themes include Tungsten Mining & Supply, Industrial Hard Materials, and High-Performance Alloys.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -90%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 110x
2  Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 151%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 213%
3  Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
4  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -246%
5  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 154%
6  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.6%
7  Key risks
ALM key risks include [1] a history of significant unprofitability and negative margins and [2] geopolitical and supply chain vulnerabilities in the specific jurisdictions where it operates.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Minerals & Strategic Resources. Themes include Tungsten Mining & Supply, Industrial Hard Materials, and High-Performance Alloys.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -29 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -90%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 110x
3 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 151%, 12M Rtn12 month market price return is 213%
4 Significant share based compensation
SBC/Rev LTMShare Based Compensation / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 34%
5 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -59%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -246%
6 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 154%
7 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -8.6%
8 Key risks
ALM key risks include [1] a history of significant unprofitability and negative margins and [2] geopolitical and supply chain vulnerabilities in the specific jurisdictions where it operates.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Almonty Industries (ALM) stock has gained about 115% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Commissioning of Sangdong Tungsten Mine. The formal commissioning ceremony for the Sangdong Tungsten Mine in South Korea on March 17, 2026, marked its transition toward commercial operations after nearly three years of development. This project is considered one of the largest and highest-grade tungsten deposits globally, and the delivery of its first ore occurred in December 2025.

2. Surging Tungsten Prices. A significant macroeconomic factor contributing to the stock's gain was the dramatic increase in tungsten prices. The trailing twelve-month average Ammonium Paratungstate (APT) price surged by 534% to US$2,250 per Metric Ton Unit (MTU) as of March 13, 2026. Additionally, Chinese tungsten product prices increased over 200% in 2025 due to tighter export controls and reduced mining quotas, a trend that continued into 2026.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

The 117.3% change in ALM stock from 11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 123.0% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)113020253292026Change
Stock Price ($)6.8614.91117.3%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)30338.1%
P/S Multiple49.2109.8123.0%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)216240-9.9%
Cumulative Contribution117.3%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALM117.3% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%32.3%
Sector (XLB)10.0%26.5%

Fundamental Drivers

The 235.1% change in ALM stock from 8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026 was primarily driven by a 261.9% change in the company's P/S Multiple.
(LTM values as of)83120253292026Change
Stock Price ($)4.4514.91235.1%
Change Contribution By: 
Total Revenues ($ Mil)283315.4%
P/S Multiple30.3109.8261.9%
Shares Outstanding (Mil)192240-19.8%
Cumulative Contribution235.1%

LTM = Last Twelve Months as of date shown

Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALM235.1% 
Market (SPY)0.6%31.3%
Sector (XLB)7.1%32.4%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALM  
Market (SPY)9.8%28.9%
Sector (XLB)12.4%26.8%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/29/2026
ReturnCorrelation
ALM  
Market (SPY)69.4%28.9%
Sector (XLB)26.8%26.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
ALM Return----85%67%208%
Peers Return24%30%45%32%62%15%470%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALM Win Rate----67%67% 
Peers Win Rate53%57%55%47%67%67% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALM Max Drawdown-----28%-2% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-17%-5%-13%-20%-1% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: ATI, CRS, FCX, TECK, SCCO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

ALM has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven534 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven617 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,761 days1,480 days

Compare to ATI, CRS, FCX, TECK, SCCO

In The Past

Materials Select Sector SPDR's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

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About Almonty Industries (ALM)

N/A

AI Analysis | Feedback

1. It's like a focused version of a major mining company such as Rio Tinto, but specializing in tungsten.

2. Think of it as the 'Barrick Gold' of tungsten mining – a specialist in a critical industrial metal.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Tungsten Concentrate: A processed ore containing a high concentration of tungsten, which is a critical metal used in various industrial applications like cutting tools, aerospace, and electronics.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Almonty Industries (ALM) is a tungsten mining company that extracts and processes tungsten concentrate. It sells this raw material primarily to other companies (B2B) for various industrial applications.

Due to the nature of commodity markets and competitive considerations, Almonty Industries does not publicly disclose the specific names of its major customer companies. However, its customers are industrial consumers and manufacturers across various sectors globally that require tungsten for their production processes. These include, but are not limited to, companies involved in:

  • Manufacturing of hard metals and cutting tools (e.g., cemented carbides, industrial drills, wear-resistant components).
  • Production for the aerospace, defense, and automotive industries, where tungsten is valued for its strength, density, and high-temperature resistance.
  • Electronics, lighting, and chemical industries, utilizing tungsten in filaments, electrical contacts, and various chemical compounds.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • DL E&C Co., Ltd. (KRX: 375500)
  • Korea Electric Power Corporation (KEPCO) (KRX: 015760)

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Lewis Black, Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer

Mr. Black founded Almonty Industries in 2011. He previously served as Chairman and Chief Executive Officer of Primary Metals Inc. ("PMI"), a former TSX-V listed tungsten mining company, from June 2005 to December 2007. PMI was subsequently acquired by Sojitz Corporation in 2008. Prior to founding Almonty, Mr. Black was the head of sales and marketing for SC Mining Tungsten in Thailand. He holds a Bachelor of Arts degree in management and technology from Manchester University.

Brian Fox, Chief Financial Officer

Mr. Fox was appointed Chief Financial Officer, effective August 25, 2025, succeeding Mark Gelmon. He brings over 25 years of operational leadership experience, most recently serving as Chief Financial & Operating Officer at CBIZ Marks Paneth, a U.S. accounting and advisory firm. His prior experience includes leadership roles at Loureiro Engineering and United Subcontractors, as well as senior audit work at Arthur Andersen. Mr. Fox holds a Master's degree in Management from Harvard University and a Bachelor of Science in Accounting from the University of Connecticut.

Brigadier General (Retired) Steven L. Allen, Chief Operating Officer

General Allen was appointed Chief Operating Officer effective December 1, 2025. He brings over 33 years of distinguished U.S. military experience, having most recently served as Commanding General of the 19th Expeditionary Sustainment Command, Director of Logistics for U.S. Forces Korea, Combined Forces Command and United Nations Command, and Commandant of the U.S. Army Ordnance School. General Allen holds a Master of Strategic Studies from the U.S. Army War College, a Master of Business Administration from the Florida Institute of Technology, a Master of Science in Administration from Central Michigan University, and a Bachelor of Science in Industrial Technology from the University of North Dakota.

Guillaume Wiesenbach de Lamaziere, Chief Development Officer

Mr. Wiesenbach de Lamaziere was appointed Chief Development Officer on January 6, 2026. He is a seasoned financial and capital markets executive with over 30 years of experience, including leading complex, large-scale, cross-border projects in banking and asset management. He served as CEO and COO/CFO of AIG Asset Management Europe Ltd. in London and as CEO and COO/CFO of Banque AIG in Paris. His career also includes financial management roles at Natixis Capital Markets, Goldman Sachs, and Arthur Andersen. He holds an MBA from Texas A&M University and a Finance degree from Burgundy School of Business, France, and is a Chartered Financial Analyst.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Almonty Industries (ALM) primarily revolve around the inherent challenges of the mining industry, commodity price exposure, and financial health, particularly given its focus on tungsten extraction and development projects like the Sangdong Mine.

  1. Market Volatility and Tungsten Price Fluctuations: Almonty Industries' profitability is directly tied to the volatile market price of tungsten, which is derived from ammonium para tungstate (APT) prices. Significant fluctuations in these prices could adversely impact the company's revenues and earnings, despite having a "Floor Price" safety net for a portion of its sales.
  2. Operational and Execution Risks: The company faces substantial operational risks associated with mining, processing, and shipping tungsten concentrate from its various projects. These include potential delays in stabilizing and ramping up production at key mines, such as the Sangdong processing plant, as well as permitting hurdles and other technical and safety challenges inherent in large-scale mining operations.
  3. Financial Challenges and Funding Requirements: Almonty Industries has experienced financial difficulties, evidenced by negative operating and net margins, and has accumulated significant debt. The company's ability to fund its ongoing commitments and further expansion, particularly for large development projects, depends on securing adequate financing, which could also lead to shareholder dilution, as has occurred in the past.

AI Analysis | Feedback

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AI Analysis | Feedback

Almonty Industries (symbol: ALM) primarily focuses on the mining, processing, and shipping of tungsten concentrate, with molybdenum concentrate as a significant byproduct in some of its operations.

The addressable markets for their main products are as follows:

  • Tungsten: The global tungsten market was valued at approximately USD 7.3 billion in 2025 and is projected to expand to USD 7.6 billion in 2026.
  • Molybdenum: The global molybdenum market size is estimated to be valued at approximately USD 4.82 billion in 2025.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Expected Drivers of Future Revenue Growth for Almonty Industries (ALM)

Over the next 2-3 years, Almonty Industries (ALM) is expected to experience revenue growth driven by several key factors:

  • Commercial Production from the Sangdong Mine: Almonty Industries is transitioning its Sangdong Mine from development to full commercial production, with construction substantially complete and ramp-up activities underway. This move is expected to position Sangdong as the largest tungsten mine in the Western world, significantly increasing the company's output of tungsten concentrate.
  • Favorable Tungsten Prices Driven by Supply-Demand Imbalance: The company is poised to benefit from a significant uptick in tungsten prices, which have seen substantial increases year-to-date. This surge is attributed to a global supply crisis and strong demand, particularly in key sectors such as defense and advanced technology, and exacerbated by Chinese export restrictions. Analysts have materially raised price assumptions for tungsten through approximately 2028.
  • Increased Production and Higher-Grade Resources from Panasqueira Mine: Almonty's ongoing initiatives at its Panasqueira Mine, including an extensive drilling program aimed at accessing higher-grade resources, are expected to enhance its growth prospects and operational longevity. This focus on improved resource quality and extraction can lead to increased sales volume and potentially higher-value products.
  • New Production from the U.S. Tungsten Project: Almonty acquired a strategic U.S. tungsten project in Beaverhead County, Montana, which is anticipated to begin near-term production as early as the second half of 2026. This new operational asset will contribute to the company's overall tungsten output and diversify its production base.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Share Issuance

  • Almonty successfully listed on the Nasdaq Capital Market in July 2025, concurrently completing an upsized public offering of common shares in the United States for gross proceeds of US$90 million.
  • The number of outstanding shares increased from 120.1 million as of December 31, 2024, to 185.6 million as of September 30, 2025.
  • The number of shares outstanding increased by 16.04% in one year as of July 7, 2025.

Inbound Investments

  • The company's cash and cash equivalents significantly increased to $111.6 million as of September 30, 2025, from $7.8 million as of December 31, 2024, primarily due to the US$90 million public offering.
  • Institutional investors hold a total of 56,964,221 shares, with major shareholders including Van Eck Associates Corp and Fmr Llc.
  • First Eagle Investment Management initiated a 90,000-share stake in Almonty Industries in Q3 2025.

Capital Expenditures

  • Capital expenditures for the third quarter of 2025 were 25.6 million CAD.
  • In the 12 months leading up to July 7, 2025, capital expenditures totaled -$45.80 million.
  • Significant capital has been allocated to the Sangdong mine in South Korea, where construction is substantially complete, and the company is transitioning from development to production to establish it as a major tungsten mine.

Better Bets vs. Almonty Industries (ALM)

Trade Ideas

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19.2%19.2%-0.5%

Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALMATICRSFCXTECKSCCOMedian
NameAlmonty .ATI Carpente.Freeport.Teck Res.Southern. 
Mkt Price14.91140.43376.9256.2448.54162.0798.34
Mkt Cap3.619.118.980.823.7137.021.4
Rev LTM334,5872,94425,91510,75613,4207,672
Op Inc LTM-296425986,5021,4327,0021,037
FCF LTM-803343171,116-5833,427325
FCF 3Y Avg-511292251,308-4403,129177
CFO LTM-196145045,6101,4794,7521,047
CFO 3Y Avg-133693556,0162,7844,2491,577

Growth & Margins

ALMATICRSFCXTECKSCCOMedian
NameAlmonty .ATI Carpente.Freeport.Teck Res.Southern. 
Rev Chg LTM12.8%5.2%2.3%1.8%18.7%17.4%9.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg10.5%6.2%11.5%4.5%-11.9%10.5%8.3%
Rev Chg Q38.8%0.4%7.5%-1.5%9.8%39.0%8.7%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM8.1%0.1%1.8%-0.3%2.6%8.8%2.2%
Op Mgn LTM-89.9%14.0%20.3%25.1%13.3%52.2%17.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-46.7%12.7%14.9%26.4%13.8%47.7%14.4%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-19.7%0.2%0.9%-1.6%1.5%1.9%0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM-58.9%13.4%17.1%21.6%13.8%35.4%15.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-45.6%8.3%12.3%24.3%27.1%36.7%18.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-246.0%7.3%10.8%4.3%-5.4%25.5%5.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-175.8%2.8%7.8%5.2%-3.9%27.0%4.0%

Valuation

ALMATICRSFCXTECKSCCOMedian
NameAlmonty .ATI Carpente.Freeport.Teck Res.Southern. 
Mkt Cap3.619.118.980.823.7137.021.4
P/S109.84.26.43.12.210.25.3
P/EBIT-22.730.131.912.09.919.215.6
P/E-22.147.243.436.716.931.634.1
P/CFO-186.631.137.514.416.028.822.4
Total Yield-4.5%2.1%2.5%3.8%6.9%5.0%3.2%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.2%1.1%1.0%1.8%0.6%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-0.8%2.6%2.2%-1.9%3.8%2.2%
D/E0.00.10.00.10.40.10.1
Net D/E-0.00.10.00.10.20.00.0

Returns

ALMATICRSFCXTECKSCCOMedian
NameAlmonty .ATI Carpente.Freeport.Teck Res.Southern. 
1M Rtn-18.9%-14.2%-5.3%-17.4%-17.4%-25.8%-17.4%
3M Rtn57.4%20.1%12.8%6.3%1.7%8.9%10.9%
6M Rtn151.4%69.6%50.5%58.3%17.7%40.1%54.4%
12M Rtn212.6%175.6%108.6%48.4%30.8%76.9%92.8%
3Y Rtn212.6%260.4%787.4%45.5%38.7%137.7%175.1%
1M Excs Rtn-8.6%-6.3%2.6%-9.9%-12.4%-17.0%-9.3%
3M Excs Rtn66.1%28.5%20.9%16.7%12.7%18.1%19.5%
6M Excs Rtn167.5%85.0%66.0%63.7%25.6%42.5%64.8%
12M Excs Rtn201.1%148.6%88.5%25.9%10.6%59.0%73.7%
3Y Excs Rtn150.8%208.3%803.5%-7.2%-17.2%92.0%121.4%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Sangdong Mine1751561098158
Panasqueira Mine3538444549
Los Santos Mine3232323131
Valtreixal Mine98889
Corporate50015
Total256235193166151


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity5.9 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 22820268.1%
Average Daily Volume6.2 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity239.5 Mil
Short % of Basic Shares2.5%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
09/30/202511/03/20256-K
06/30/202508/15/20256-K