Tearsheet

Almonty Industries (ALM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.57 | Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Almonty Industries (ALM)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $6.57
Market Cap: $1.4 Bil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Minerals & Strategic Resources. Themes include Tungsten Mining & Supply, Industrial Hard Materials, and High-Performance Alloys.
Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -70%
1  Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 43x
2  Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -229%
3  Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.2%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Critical Minerals & Strategic Resources. Themes include Tungsten Mining & Supply, Industrial Hard Materials, and High-Performance Alloys.
1 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -21 Mil, Op Mgn LTMOperating Margin = Operating Income / Revenue Reflects profitability before taxes and before impact of capital structure (interest payments). is -70%
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/SPrice/Sales ratio is 43x
3 Not cash flow generative
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -17%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -229%
4 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -9.2%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

ALM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Following are key points explaining the stock movement of Almonty Industries (ALM) for the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Results: Almonty Industries reported a 28% increase in revenue to $8.7 million for the third quarter of 2025, driven by higher tungsten prices and consistent output from its Panasqueira Mine. The company also announced a significant net income of $33.2 million, a substantial improvement from a loss of $5.3 million in the prior year's comparable quarter, largely due to a $34.5 million gain from the revaluation of warrant liabilities.

2. Advancement Towards Commercial Production at Sangdong Mine: Construction of Almonty's flagship Sangdong Tungsten Mine in South Korea reached substantial completion, with ramp-up activities actively underway. The company is focused on transitioning to final project commissioning and initiating commercial production, which is expected to commence in the second half of 2025.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
ALM Return------ 
Peers Return28%15%14%-4%-3%33%108%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
ALM Win Rate-----100% 
Peers Win Rate37%28%33%32%34%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
ALM Max Drawdown------ 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-6%-9%-13%-12%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

ALM has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven534 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven617 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1761 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

Materials Select Sector SPDR's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About Almonty Industries (ALM)

Better Bets than Almonty Industries (ALM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to ALM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Almonty Industries

Peers to compare with:

Financials

ALMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameAlmonty .Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Price6.682.520.608.283.8144.455.25
Mkt Cap1.40.50.1--21.71.0
Rev LTM3000-010,4840
Op Inc LTM-21-8-5--461,243-8
FCF LTM-69-24-5--45-328-45
FCF 3Y Avg-45-22-4--40-894-40
CFO LTM-5-3-5--431,508-5
CFO 3Y Avg-8-4-4--312,675-4

Growth & Margins

ALMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameAlmonty .Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Rev Chg LTM7.5%----29.1%18.3%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg7.9%-----12.0%-2.0%
Rev Chg Q28.0%----18.4%23.2%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM6.7%----5.3%6.0%
Op Mgn LTM-70.2%----11.9%-29.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-38.4%----13.2%-12.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.2%----0.5%0.8%
CFO/Rev LTM-16.7%----14.4%-1.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-28.5%----26.0%-1.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-228.9%-----3.1%-116.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-160.7%-----7.9%-84.3%

Valuation

ALMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameAlmonty .Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Cap1.40.50.1--21.71.0
P/S43.3----2.022.7
P/EBIT-21.5-48.2-11.6--11.6-16.5
P/E-20.0-105.8-12.8--17.1-16.4
P/CFO-258.5-115.4-13.1--14.2-64.2
Total Yield-5.0%-0.9%-7.8%--7.0%-3.0%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.0%--1.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--8.0%-8.1%---3.9%-8.0%
D/E0.20.00.0--0.40.1
Net D/E0.1-0.1-0.1--0.2-0.0

Returns

ALMWRNXPLCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameAlmonty .Western .Solitari.Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
1M Rtn2.1%23.5%-4.4%-24.3%-4.5%4.1%-1.1%
3M Rtn58.7%66.9%-25.5%41.5%-30.6%32.1%36.8%
6M Rtn-100.0%-10.9%471.0%-19.8%59.9%
12M Rtn-131.2%0.1%7.3%--2.8%3.7%
3Y Rtn-47.4%-4.7%--23.3%23.3%
1M Excs Rtn2.2%23.6%-4.3%-24.2%-4.5%4.2%-1.1%
3M Excs Rtn52.9%63.8%-33.8%39.2%-34.3%30.6%34.9%
6M Excs Rtn-85.3%-25.6%456.3%-5.1%45.2%
12M Excs Rtn-113.5%-15.2%8.0%--17.5%-3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn--2.5%-65.7%---31.9%-31.9%

Financials

Segment Financials

Assets by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Sangdong Mine156109815855
Panasqueira Mine3844454939
Los Santos Mine3232313131
Valtreixal Mine88898
Corporate00151
Total235193166151134


Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,519,824
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120256.4%
Average Daily Volume1,755,964
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity215,897,871
Short % of Basic Shares0.7%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
9302025110320256-K 9/30/2025
630202581520256-K 6/30/2025