Tearsheet

Critical Metals (CRML)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.23 | Market Cap: $-
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Critical Metals (CRML)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $8.23
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 471%
1  High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 179%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
1 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 471%
2 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 179%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CRML Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

During the approximate period from late August 2025 to December 4, 2025, Critical Metals (CRML) experienced a sharp 90-day share price return of 42.51%. This significant movement was driven by several key developments: 1. Positive Market Reaction to Koralpe Lithium Project Review. On December 3, 2025, Critical Metals saw its stock rise by 9.8% (Simply Wall St) or 8.9% (MarketBeat) after Austria's Federal Administrative Court ordered a fresh, expert-driven review of its Koralpe Lithium Mining project under European Union law. While this introduced further regulatory scrutiny, the market reacted positively to the decision.

2. Acquisition of a $20 Million Copper Powder Stockpile. Around November 21, 2025, Critical Metals announced the acquisition of a large stockpile of ultra-high-purity copper powder valued at $20 million through an all-share deal. This strategic move was seen to enhance the company's positioning in the defense and technology sectors.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CRML Return-----21%21%
Peers Return28%15%14%-4%-3%33%108%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRML Win Rate----30%70% 
Peers Win Rate37%28%33%32%34%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRML Max Drawdown------80% 
Peers Max Drawdown-35%-6%-9%-13%-12%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: WRN, XPL, CRML, NEXM, TECK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CRML has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven534 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven617 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1761 days1480 days

Compare to


In The Past

Materials Select Sector SPDR's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Critical Metals (CRML)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CRML. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.1%3.1%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
0.5%0.5%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
30.9%30.9%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
12.7%12.7%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Critical Metals

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRMLWRNXPLNEXMTECKMedian
NameCritical.Western .Solitari.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Price8.282.520.603.8144.453.81
Mkt Cap-0.50.1-21.70.5
Rev LTM-00010,4840
Op Inc LTM--8-5-461,243-7
FCF LTM--24-5-45-328-34
FCF 3Y Avg--22-4-40-894-31
CFO LTM--3-5-431,508-4
CFO 3Y Avg--4-4-312,675-4

Growth & Margins

CRMLWRNXPLNEXMTECKMedian
NameCritical.Western .Solitari.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Rev Chg LTM----29.1%29.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-----12.0%-12.0%
Rev Chg Q----18.4%18.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM----5.3%5.3%
Op Mgn LTM----11.9%11.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg----13.2%13.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM----0.5%0.5%
CFO/Rev LTM----14.4%14.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg----26.0%26.0%
FCF/Rev LTM-----3.1%-3.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-----7.9%-7.9%

Valuation

CRMLWRNXPLNEXMTECKMedian
NameCritical.Western .Solitari.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Cap-0.50.1-21.70.5
P/S----2.02.0
P/EBIT--48.2-11.6-11.6-11.6
P/E--105.8-12.8-17.1-12.8
P/CFO--115.4-13.1-14.2-13.1
Total Yield--0.9%-7.8%-7.0%-0.9%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.0%-1.2%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--8.0%-8.1%--3.9%-8.0%
D/E-0.00.0-0.40.0
Net D/E--0.1-0.1-0.2-0.1

Returns

CRMLWRNXPLNEXMTECKMedian
NameCritical.Western .Solitari.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
1M Rtn-24.3%23.5%-4.4%-4.5%4.1%-4.4%
3M Rtn41.5%66.9%-25.5%-30.6%32.1%32.1%
6M Rtn471.0%100.0%-10.9%-19.8%59.9%
12M Rtn7.3%131.2%0.1%--2.8%3.7%
3Y Rtn-47.4%-4.7%-23.3%23.3%
1M Excs Rtn-24.2%23.6%-4.3%-4.5%4.2%-4.3%
3M Excs Rtn39.2%63.8%-33.8%-34.3%30.6%30.6%
6M Excs Rtn456.3%85.3%-25.6%-5.1%45.2%
12M Excs Rtn8.0%113.5%-15.2%--17.5%-3.6%
3Y Excs Rtn--2.5%-65.7%--31.9%-31.9%

Financials

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity11,515,106
Short Interest: % Change Since 1031202527.1%
Average Daily Volume8,554,017
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.35

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
63020251006202520-F 6/30/2025
1231202431920256-K 12/31/2024
63020241030202420-F 6/30/2024
1231202332820246-K 12/31/2023
630202312282023424B3 6/30/2023
63020228072023F-4/A 6/30/2022