Tearsheet

Critical Metals (CRML)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $7.0 | Market Cap: $-
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Critical Metals (CRML)


Market Price (3/28/2026): $7.0
Market Cap: $-
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.

0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 410%
1   High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 177%
2   Key risks
CRML key risks include [1] significant financing and execution challenges for its early-stage Tanbreez and Wolfsberg projects, Show more.
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Battery Technology & Metals, and Renewable Energy Transition. Themes include Rare Earth Elements, Advanced Battery Components, Show more.
1 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -69%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -116%
2 Stock price has recently run up significantly
12M Rtn12 month market price return is 410%
3 High stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 177%
4 Key risks
CRML key risks include [1] significant financing and execution challenges for its early-stage Tanbreez and Wolfsberg projects, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

Price Chart

Why The Stock Moved

Qualitative Assessment

AI Analysis | Feedback

Critical Metals (CRML) stock has lost about 15% since 11/30/2025 because of the following key factors:

1. Critical Metals (CRML) experienced a substantial share dilution, with total shares outstanding increasing by 32% in the past year. This dilution can decrease the value of existing shares by spreading company ownership over a larger number of shares, often leading to downward pressure on the stock price.

2. The company continues to face challenges with unprofitability and a "Going Concern" warning. Critical Metals has been unprofitable, with losses increasing at an average annual rate of 66% over the last five years, resulting in a negative Return on Equity of -106.55%. An auditor also raised a "Going Concern" doubt around October 2025, highlighting significant financial uncertainties.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

11/30/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRML-14.5% 
Market (SPY)-5.3%25.0%
Sector (XLB)10.0%22.5%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

8/31/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRML13.6% 
Market (SPY)0.6%22.5%
Sector (XLB)7.1%19.6%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2025 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRML268.6% 
Market (SPY)9.8%13.6%
Sector (XLB)12.4%16.2%

Fundamental Drivers

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Market Drivers

2/28/2023 to 3/27/2026
ReturnCorrelation
CRML  
Market (SPY)69.4%16.1%
Sector (XLB)26.8%14.8%

Return vs. Risk

Price Returns Compared

 202120222023202420252026Total [1]
Returns
CRML Return----56%2%7%-52%
Peers Return542%3%-27%-41%112%-7%456%
S&P 500 Return27%-19%24%23%16%-5%72%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CRML Win Rate---27%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate43%47%40%43%60%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate75%42%67%75%67%33% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CRML Max Drawdown----63%-80%0% 
Peers Max Drawdown-6%-39%-44%-57%-30%-14% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-1%-25%-1%-2%-15%-5% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: MP, ALB, LAC, SGML, SLI.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 3/27/2026 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

CRML has limited trading history. Below is the Materials sector ETF (XLB) in its place.

Unique KeyEventXLBS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-25.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven34.5%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven534 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-37.6%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven60.2%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven121 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-26.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven35.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven617 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-60.7%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven154.6%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven1,761 days1,480 days

Compare to MP, ALB, LAC, SGML, SLI

In The Past

Materials Select Sector SPDR's stock fell -25.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/20/2022. A -25.7% loss requires a 34.5% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Critical Metals (CRML)

Critical Metals Corp. operates as a mining exploration and development company. It owns interests in the Wolfsberg Lithium Project located in Carinthia, Austria. Critical Metals Corp. is based in New York, New York. Critical Metals Corp. is a subsidiary of European Lithium Limited.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are a few brief analogies for Critical Metals (CRML):

  • An early-stage Albemarle for lithium.
  • A single-project Rio Tinto, but for lithium.

AI Analysis | Feedback

  • Lithium: Critical Metals Corp. is focused on the exploration and development of the Wolfsberg Lithium Project, with the ultimate goal of producing lithium for various industrial applications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Critical Metals Corp. (CRML) is currently a mining exploration and development company. It owns interests in the Wolfsberg Lithium Project, which is still in the development phase. As such, Critical Metals Corp. is not yet in commercial production and therefore does not have major customers for a product or service at this time.

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  • DRA Global (ASX:DRA)
  • Procon Mining and Tunnelling Ltd.
  • ALS Limited (ASX:ALS)

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Tony Sage Chief Executive Officer, Executive Chairman and Director

Tony Sage has over 35 years of experience in corporate advisory services, funds management, and capital raising, primarily within the resource sector. He has managed and financed listed mining companies for more than two decades, operating across various continents. Mr. Sage currently serves as Executive Chairman of ASX-listed CuFe Ltd and European Lithium Limited, and was formerly Executive Chairman of Cyclone Metals Limited. He has a history of founding or chairing numerous resource firms, including International Goldfields Ltd, Hamill Resources Ltd (later Cape Lambert Resources Ltd), Cauldron Energy, Fe Limited, and Cyclone Metals Limited. He has also orchestrated significant deals, such as a $20 million acquisition that yielded $400 million in value within 24 months in 2008 and a 52% return on $135 million in CopperCo assets.


Sergey Savchenko Chief Financial Officer

Sergey Savchenko is an established finance leader in the U.S. public markets with over 24 years of expertise in accounting and finance, encompassing public and corporate accounting, corporate finance, and investor relations. He played an active role in Critical Metals Corp's Nasdaq listing. Prior to joining Critical Metals Corp, Mr. Savchenko consulted for special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) on various aspects of accounting and financial reporting, initial public offerings, and mergers.


Dietrich Wanke President of European Operations

Dietrich Wanke, previously the CEO of Critical Metals Corp, was appointed President of European Operations in April 2024. In this role, he focuses entirely on overseeing the operations and advancing the development and future production of the Wolfsberg Lithium Project in Austria. He is recognized as a seasoned operator within the mining industry.


George Karageorge Chief Technical Officer

George Karageorge is a highly experienced senior executive and director of public companies, having served on the boards of multiple ASX and TSX companies as both CEO and Managing Director since 2011. He brings over 30 years of professional experience in the mining, engineering, and exploration sectors, covering a diverse range of commodities.


Thomas McNamara Director of Corporate Development & Investor Relations

Thomas McNamara has more than two decades of experience in strategic advisory and industry trend analysis across the mining, metals, energy, chemicals, automotive, and industrial sectors. He has a proven track record of successfully leading investment initiatives, advising senior leadership on complex equity and debt offerings, and delivering market insights to inform business strategy.

AI Analysis | Feedback

The key risks to Critical Metals Corp. (CRML) are primarily associated with its status as a development-stage mining exploration company with significant financial hurdles, complex project execution, and exposure to volatile markets and geopolitical factors.

1. Financial Challenges and Lack of Revenue

Critical Metals Corp. is a pre-revenue company that has incurred significant operating losses and negative cash flow. For instance, it reported a $13.1 million operating income loss in one quarter and has seen losses increase annually. The company has high capital requirements for its mining projects, such as the $30 million initiative to accelerate the Tanbreez project, and its financial sustainability is heavily reliant on the future success of these ventures. Its current financial health indicates areas of concern, including a low current ratio of 0.13 and a quick ratio of 0.13, suggesting potential liquidity challenges, and a negative free cash flow yield.

2. Project Execution and Permitting Risks

Both of Critical Metals' primary projects, Wolfsberg Lithium in Austria and Tanbreez Rare Earth in Greenland, face substantial execution and permitting risks.

  • Wolfsberg Lithium Project: While Critical Metals claims the Wolfsberg Lithium Project is "fully permitted," an Austrian court overturned a key permit, necessitating a case-by-case environmental review by Carinthian authorities. This introduces regulatory uncertainty and could affect project timelines. Austrian officials have also openly questioned the project's intent, suggesting it may be more for stock promotion than actual mine development, and have confirmed that core mining and construction permits have not been granted.
  • Tanbreez Rare Earth Project: Concerns exist regarding the technical feasibility of processing the Tanbreez ore, particularly the Eudialyte concentrate, which some research suggests cannot be commercially processed due to a "silica-gel problem" that hinders metal extraction. Experts indicate there is effectively no market for this concentrate. The project is also still in an early stage, with the definitive feasibility study for Tanbreez expected in late 2025.

3. Geopolitical and Market Volatility Risks

The markets for rare earth elements and lithium are inherently volatile and subject to geopolitical influences. Prices can fluctuate widely due to manipulation and political risks. While current geopolitical tensions may temporarily benefit the rare earth sector as nations seek to reduce dependence on certain suppliers, shifts in international trade relations or the development of alternative materials could negatively impact demand and pricing for Critical Metals' products. Additionally, mining operations in Greenland and Austria are susceptible to regional regulatory changes and environmental compliance, which are continuously evolving.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Widespread adoption of alternative battery chemistries not relying on lithium, such as sodium-ion batteries, which could significantly reduce the demand for lithium in electric vehicles and energy storage applications.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Critical Metals Corp. (symbol: CRML) is involved in the mining exploration and development of lithium and rare earth elements. The addressable market sizes for their main products are as follows:

Lithium

Critical Metals Corp. holds interests in the Wolfsberg Lithium Project located in Carinthia, Austria, which is positioned to supply the European market. The European lithium market was valued at approximately USD 10,125.8 million in 2024 and is projected to grow to about USD 31,651.3 million by 2033, exhibiting a Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR) of 13.5% from 2025 to 2033.

Rare Earth Elements (REE)

Critical Metals Corp.'s flagship project, Tanbreez, located in Southern Greenland, is one of the world's largest known rare earth deposits, particularly rich in Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREE). This project aims to supply rare earth elements to North America and Europe/Western markets. The global market for Heavy Rare Earth Elements (HREE) was valued at approximately USD 2.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach USD 4.8 billion by 2032, growing at a CAGR of 7.5% during that forecast period. The broader global rare earth elements market had varying estimates, with one report valuing it at USD 14.0 billion in 2025, projected to reach USD 41.1 billion by 2034 with a CAGR of 12.30% from 2026-2034. For the European region, the rare earth elements market generated a revenue of USD 249.8 million in 2024 and is expected to grow to USD 391.5 million by 2030, at a CAGR of 8.3% from 2025 to 2030.

AI Analysis | Feedback

Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Critical Metals (CRML) over the next 2-3 years:

  1. Commencement and Ramp-up of Lithium Production from the Wolfsberg Project: Critical Metals' primary revenue driver is expected to be the successful initiation and scaling of lithium production from its Wolfsberg Lithium Project in Austria. First production is targeted for 2026/2027. The Wolfsberg project is noted as the first fully permitted spodumene mine in Europe, playing a strategic role in the region's integrated lithium-ion battery supply chain. A decision to commence mining is anticipated by the end of 2026, contingent on sustained lithium prices and available financing.
  2. Favorable Lithium Market Dynamics: The company's future revenue growth will be significantly influenced by a sustained recovery and strong demand in the global lithium market. Critical Metals has highlighted strong lithium price recovery, with gains in battery-grade lithium carbonate and spodumene, which are crucial for supporting project financing and overall revenue. The increasing global demand for critical minerals, particularly lithium for electric vehicles (EVs) and battery storage, is expected to support this growth.
  3. Strategic Offtake Agreements and Downstream Processing Partnerships: Critical Metals has secured a long-term lithium offtake agreement with BMW Group, which included a US$15 million prepayment. This agreement provides a committed customer for a significant portion of its future lithium production. Additionally, a joint venture with Obeikan Investment Group to establish a Lithium Hydroxide Refinery in Saudi Arabia supports downstream processing, which could enhance margins and expand global market reach for the company's products.
  4. Initial Production from the Tanbreez Rare Earth Project: While primarily focused on lithium, Critical Metals also holds the Tanbreez rare earth project in Greenland. An acceleration program for Tanbreez has been approved, with first ore production targeted for Q4 2028 or Q1 2029. The development and eventual output from this project within or just beyond the 2-3 year timeframe will introduce a new revenue stream from rare earth minerals, diversifying the company's commodity exposure.

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Share Issuance

  • Critical Metals Corp. had 105 million shares outstanding in Q4 2025, marking a 29.5% increase from the prior quarter. The number of shares outstanding increased by 250.83% in one year, reaching 126.23 million shares.
  • In March 2026, Critical Metals Corp. entered into a new agreement with GEM Global Yield LLC SCS and GEM Yield Bahamas Limited, leading to the issuance of 1,409,624 ordinary shares upon GEM's full exercise of a February 2024 warrant, and a further 2,744,062 ordinary shares for no additional consideration in a private placement.
  • The company reported the issuance of common stock valued at $27.26 million in fiscal year 2025, $8.36 million in fiscal year 2024, and $5.37 million in fiscal year 2023.

Inbound Investments

  • Critical Metals Corp. completed a capital raising transaction on February 7, 2025.
  • The company may receive cash proceeds from the exercise of Placement Agent Warrants at an initial exercise price of $7.00 per share, as part of a shelf registration to register up to 2,777,600 ordinary shares for resale by selling securityholders.
  • A $120 million EXIM Bank Letter of Interest (LOI) has been mentioned in relation to the Tanbreez project.

Outbound Investments

  • Critical Metals Corp. reported investments in securities of $5.65 million in fiscal year 2025 and $5 million in fiscal year 2024.

Capital Expenditures

  • As of June 30, 2025, and June 30, 2024, Critical Metals Corp. spent approximately $39.7 million and $35.2 million, respectively, on exploration and evaluation activities at its Wolfsberg Project.
  • Capital expenditures were reported as -$1.04 million in fiscal year 2025, -$1.07 million in fiscal year 2024, and -$2.99 million in fiscal year 2023.
  • The company's board approved a $30 million acceleration program for the Tanbreez heavy rare earth project in Greenland, aimed at advancing it towards first ore production in late 2028 or early 2029, with concentrate exports targeted by Q3 2029.

Trade Ideas

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EMN_12262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy12262025EMNEastman ChemicalDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
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Companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
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Recent Active Movers

Peer Comparisons

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CRMLMPALBLACSGMLSLIMedian
NameCritical.MP Mater.AlbemarleLithium .Sigma Li.Standard. 
Mkt Price7.0451.80179.453.9010.463.528.75
Mkt Cap-9.221.11.21.20.71.2
Rev LTM-2245,14301350135
Op Inc LTM--14567-53-12-20-20
FCF LTM--328692-826-38-20-38
FCF 3Y Avg--233-376-415-50-43-233
CFO LTM--1561,282-61-20-18-20
CFO 3Y Avg--271,099-38-14-18-18

Growth & Margins

CRMLMPALBLACSGMLSLIMedian
NameCritical.MP Mater.AlbemarleLithium .Sigma Li.Standard. 
Rev Chg LTM-10.1%-4.4%--7.2%--4.4%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--20.5%-5.7%----13.1%
Rev Chg Q--13.6%15.9%-36.6%-15.9%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--3.6%4.0%-6.0%-4.0%
Op Mgn LTM--64.6%1.3%--8.9%--8.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg--47.8%-2.9%--32.3%--32.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-14.9%0.9%-5.7%-5.7%
CFO/Rev LTM--69.4%24.9%--15.0%--15.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg--12.7%17.2%--15.6%--12.7%
FCF/Rev LTM--146.2%13.5%--28.6%--28.6%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg--103.2%-4.5%--50.5%--50.5%

Valuation

CRMLMPALBLACSGMLSLIMedian
NameCritical.MP Mater.AlbemarleLithium .Sigma Li.Standard. 
Mkt Cap-9.221.11.21.20.71.2
P/S-41.04.1-8.7-8.7
P/EBIT--106.7-61.3-22.0-67.1-38.4-61.3
P/E--107.2-41.4-9.5-36.8-41.1-41.1
P/CFO--59.116.5-19.0-57.7-40.9-40.9
Total Yield--0.9%-1.5%-10.5%-2.7%-2.4%-2.4%
Dividend Yield-0.0%0.9%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg--5.4%-3.5%-38.4%-1.7%-12.6%-5.4%
D/E-0.10.20.50.10.00.1
Net D/E--0.10.1-0.00.1-0.0-0.0

Returns

CRMLMPALBLACSGMLSLIMedian
NameCritical.MP Mater.AlbemarleLithium .Sigma Li.Standard. 
1M Rtn-34.6%-11.7%-8.2%-23.7%-36.1%-25.4%-24.6%
3M Rtn-9.0%-3.0%19.9%-16.8%-27.9%-22.6%-12.9%
6M Rtn8.5%-24.5%104.8%-38.4%48.8%-6.1%1.2%
12M Rtn410.1%97.9%144.3%35.9%-9.4%158.8%121.1%
3Y Rtn-54.6%94.0%-13.9%-81.7%-71.7%-7.4%-34.3%
1M Excs Rtn-27.5%-5.9%5.1%-16.5%-27.7%-15.7%-16.1%
3M Excs Rtn-6.6%3.1%29.3%-11.6%-14.5%-19.0%-9.1%
6M Excs Rtn3.9%-29.3%116.3%-43.5%48.8%-3.3%0.3%
12M Excs Rtn398.6%87.3%129.7%25.3%-20.7%149.2%108.5%
3Y Excs Rtn-116.4%34.5%-74.9%-142.7%-131.5%-52.1%-95.6%

Comparison Analyses

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Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Mineral exploration  00
Total  00


Assets by Segment
$ Mil2025202420232022
Mineral exploration59353129
Total59353129


Price Behavior

Price Behavior
Market Price$7.04 
First Trading Date02/28/2024 
Distance from 52W High-76.5% 
   50 Days200 Days
DMA Price$11.41$8.73
DMA Trendupdown
Distance from DMA-38.3%-19.3%
 3M1YR
Volatility159.8%177.6%
Downside Capture2.641.61
Upside Capture548.77366.73
Correlation (SPY)24.6%15.1%
CRML Betas & Captures as of 2/28/2026

 1M2M3M6M1Y3Y
Beta2.102.042.553.031.050.92
Up Beta2.91-1.87-4.182.11-0.01-0.23
Down Beta-2.63-0.45-0.430.960.870.29
Up Capture35%815%1033%951%992%301%
Bmk +ve Days9203170142431
Stock +ve Days9192956114222
Down Capture596%265%391%260%130%112%
Bmk -ve Days12213054109320
Stock -ve Days12223267132270

[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRML
CRML477.5%177.2%1.78-
Sector ETF (XLB)14.6%20.9%0.5517.3%
Equity (SPY)14.5%18.9%0.5914.8%
Gold (GLD)50.2%27.7%1.4619.4%
Commodities (DBC)17.8%17.6%0.8510.0%
Real Estate (VNQ)0.4%16.4%-0.154.7%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)-21.0%44.0%-0.4117.1%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRML
CRML-12.6%156.8%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLB)6.7%18.9%0.2514.6%
Equity (SPY)11.8%17.0%0.5415.9%
Gold (GLD)20.7%17.7%0.9616.9%
Commodities (DBC)11.6%18.9%0.5012.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)3.0%18.8%0.073.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)4.7%56.6%0.3016.9%

Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
Annualized
Return
Annualized
Volatility
Sharpe
Ratio
Correlation
with CRML
CRML-6.5%156.8%0.51-
Sector ETF (XLB)10.1%20.6%0.4414.6%
Equity (SPY)14.0%17.9%0.6715.9%
Gold (GLD)13.3%15.8%0.7016.9%
Commodities (DBC)8.2%17.6%0.3912.1%
Real Estate (VNQ)4.7%20.7%0.193.8%
Bitcoin (BTCUSD)66.9%66.8%1.0616.9%

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Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date3132026
Short Interest: Shares Quantity17.2 Mil
Short Interest: % Change Since 228202615.2%
Average Daily Volume7.5 Mil
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.3 days

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More
 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive000
# Negative000
Median Positive   
Median Negative   
Max Positive   
Max Negative   

SEC Filings

Expand for More
Report DateFiling DateFiling
12/31/202503/13/20266-K
06/30/202510/06/202520-F
12/31/202403/19/20256-K
06/30/202410/30/202420-F
12/31/202303/28/20246-K
06/30/202312/28/2023424B3
12/31/202208/07/2023F-4/A

Insider Activity

Expand for More
#OwnerTitleHoldingActionFiling DatePriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
1Zhernov, MykhailoDirectSell32620268.0725,000201,7502,696,825Form
2Zhernov, MykhailoDirectSell32620268.0425,000201,0002,485,799Form