Solitario Resources (XPL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.62 | Market Cap: $56.0 MilSector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Solitario Resources (XPL)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.62Market Cap: $56.0 MilSector: MaterialsIndustry: Diversified Metals & Mining
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% | Penny stockMkt Price is 0.6 |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Security & Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration. | Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 | |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.4 Mil | ||
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
| Cash is significant % of market capNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Resource Security & Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Penny stockMkt Price is 0.6 |
| Very low revenueRev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0 |
| Not profitable at operating income levelOp Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.4 Mil |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
XPL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
1. Solitario Resources reported continued net losses in its Q3 2025 earnings call on November 5, 2025, despite an improvement in earnings per share year-over-year. The company's net profit for the twelve months ending September 30, 2025, also indicated a loss of -$4.92 million.
2. Bearish technical signals emerged around December 1, 2025, contributing to a downward trend. Specifically, the 50-day moving average for Solitario Resources (XPL) moved below its 200-day moving average, often considered a long-term bearish indicator. The Aroon Indicator also entered a downward trend, further signaling potential strong downward movement for the stock.
3. Despite news of adding a new critical metals project, Cat Creek, on October 21, 2025, drilling for this project is scheduled for mid-2026, meaning there were no immediate catalysts to positively impact the stock within the specified period.
4. Overall market sentiment for XPL was bearish, as indicated by various technical analyses around late November and early December 2025, with expectations for further price pull-backs and a continued downward trend.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| XPL Return | 87% | -11% | 24% | -10% | 6% | 5% | 109% |
| Peers Return | 26% | 73% | 2% | 12% | -13% | 37% | 195% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| XPL Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 32% | 35% | 32% | 33% | 34% | 65% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| XPL Max Drawdown | -49% | -20% | -13% | -19% | -19% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -37% | -2% | -15% | -10% | -17% | -28% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GSM, WRN, CRML, NEXM, TECK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | XPL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -64.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 180.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -56.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 130.0% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 118 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -76.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 329.3% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 776 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -82.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 461.7% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 1480 days |
Compare to GSM, WRN, CRML, NEXM, TECK
In The Past
Solitario Resources's stock fell -64.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -64.3% loss requires a 180.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to XPL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | -2.5% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | DD | DuPont de Nemours | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -0.2% |
| 11212025 | CF | CF Industries | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | 1.0% | 1.0% | -1.1% |
| 11212025 | HL | Hecla Mining | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 29.7% | 29.7% | 0.0% |
| 11072025 | CDE | Coeur Mining | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.9% | 9.9% | -5.7% |
| 10312025 | ATR | AptarGroup | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.2% | 5.2% | -2.5% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Solitario Resources
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 4.29 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| Rev LTM | 0 |
| Op Inc LTM | -8 |
| FCF LTM | -24 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -22 |
| CFO LTM | -3 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | -4 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 10.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -15.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.4% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 8.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -1.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 19.3% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -0.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.1% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.7 |
| P/S | 1.3 |
| P/EBIT | -9.7 |
| P/E | -10.0 |
| P/CFO | -1.7 |
| Total Yield | -4.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.2% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -6.0% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | -0.0 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -2.0% |
| 3M Rtn | 23.8% |
| 6M Rtn | 24.7% |
| 12M Rtn | 7.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.7% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 20.0% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 10.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -2.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.7% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10312025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5022025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 3122025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11052024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 7302024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 3222024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11082023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8092023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5052023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11022022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8102022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5042022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 3302022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | HERALD CHRISTOPHER E | President and CEO | 11242025 | Buy | 0.55 | 10,000 | 5,500 | 1,289,017 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |