Tearsheet

Solitario Resources (XPL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.62 | Market Cap: $56.0 Mil
Sector: Materials | Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Solitario Resources (XPL)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $0.62
Market Cap: $56.0 Mil
Sector: Materials
Industry: Diversified Metals & Mining

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.6
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource Security & Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration.
  Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
2   Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.4 Mil
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%
0 Cash is significant % of market cap
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is -13%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Resource Security & Supply. Themes include Precious Metals Exploration.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -39%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66%
3 Penny stock
Mkt Price is 0.6
4 Very low revenue
Rev LTMTotal Revenue or Sales, Last Twelve Months is 0
5 Not profitable at operating income level
Op Inc LTMOperating Income, Last Twelve Months is -5.4 Mil
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -12%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

XPL Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Solitario Resources reported continued net losses in its Q3 2025 earnings call on November 5, 2025, despite an improvement in earnings per share year-over-year. The company's net profit for the twelve months ending September 30, 2025, also indicated a loss of -$4.92 million.

2. Bearish technical signals emerged around December 1, 2025, contributing to a downward trend. Specifically, the 50-day moving average for Solitario Resources (XPL) moved below its 200-day moving average, often considered a long-term bearish indicator. The Aroon Indicator also entered a downward trend, further signaling potential strong downward movement for the stock.

3. Despite news of adding a new critical metals project, Cat Creek, on October 21, 2025, drilling for this project is scheduled for mid-2026, meaning there were no immediate catalysts to positively impact the stock within the specified period.

4. Overall market sentiment for XPL was bearish, as indicated by various technical analyses around late November and early December 2025, with expectations for further price pull-backs and a continued downward trend.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
XPL Return87%-11%24%-10%6%5%109%
Peers Return26%73%2%12%-13%37%195%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
XPL Win Rate75%42%50%50%50%70% 
Peers Win Rate32%35%32%33%34%65% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
XPL Max Drawdown-49%-20%-13%-19%-19%-8% 
Peers Max Drawdown-37%-2%-15%-10%-17%-28% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: GSM, WRN, CRML, NEXM, TECK.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventXPLS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-64.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven180.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-56.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven130.0%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven118 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-76.7%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven329.3%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven776 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-82.2%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven461.7%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days1480 days

Compare to GSM, WRN, CRML, NEXM, TECK


In The Past

Solitario Resources's stock fell -64.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 2/17/2021. A -64.3% loss requires a 180.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Solitario Resources (XPL)

Better Bets than Solitario Resources (XPL)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to XPL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
DD_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025DDDuPont de NemoursDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.4%3.4%-0.2%
CF_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025CFCF IndustriesMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
1.0%1.0%-1.1%
HL_11212025_Quality_Momentum_RoomToRun_10%11212025HLHecla MiningQualityQ | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and Upside
Buying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run
29.7%29.7%0.0%
CDE_11072025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11072025CDECoeur MiningDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
9.9%9.9%-5.7%
ATR_10312025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312025ATRAptarGroupDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
5.2%5.2%-2.5%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Solitario Resources

Peers to compare with:

Financials

XPLGSMWRNCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameSolitari.Ferroglo.Western .Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Price0.604.782.528.283.8144.454.29
Mkt Cap0.10.90.5--21.70.7
Rev LTM01,3730-010,4840
Op Inc LTM-5-56-8--461,243-8
FCF LTM-521-24--45-328-24
FCF 3Y Avg-4123-22--40-894-22
CFO LTM-588-3--431,508-3
CFO 3Y Avg-4199-4--312,675-4

Growth & Margins

XPLGSMWRNCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameSolitari.Ferroglo.Western .Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Rev Chg LTM--9.0%---29.1%10.1%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg--19.3%----12.0%-15.7%
Rev Chg Q--28.1%---18.4%-4.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM--8.1%---5.3%-1.4%
Op Mgn LTM--4.1%---11.9%3.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg-4.4%---13.2%8.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM--3.2%---0.5%-1.3%
CFO/Rev LTM-6.4%---14.4%10.4%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-12.6%---26.0%19.3%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.5%----3.1%-0.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-7.6%----7.9%-0.1%

Valuation

XPLGSMWRNCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameSolitari.Ferroglo.Western .Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
Mkt Cap0.10.90.5--21.70.7
P/S-0.6---2.01.3
P/EBIT-11.6-7.8-48.2--11.6-9.7
P/E-12.8-7.3-105.8--17.1-10.0
P/CFO-13.19.7-115.4--14.2-1.7
Total Yield-7.8%-13.5%-0.9%--7.0%-4.4%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.3%0.0%--1.2%0.2%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-8.1%13.3%-8.0%---3.9%-6.0%
D/E0.00.20.0--0.40.1
Net D/E-0.10.1-0.1--0.2-0.0

Returns

XPLGSMWRNCRMLNEXMTECKMedian
NameSolitari.Ferroglo.Western .Critical.NexMetal.Teck Res. 
1M Rtn-4.4%0.4%23.5%-24.3%-4.5%4.1%-2.0%
3M Rtn-25.5%15.6%66.9%41.5%-30.6%32.1%23.8%
6M Rtn-10.9%24.7%100.0%471.0%-19.8%24.7%
12M Rtn0.1%10.1%131.2%7.3%--2.8%7.3%
3Y Rtn-4.7%12.1%47.4%--23.3%17.7%
1M Excs Rtn-4.3%0.5%23.6%-24.2%-4.5%4.2%-1.9%
3M Excs Rtn-33.8%9.4%63.8%39.2%-34.3%30.6%20.0%
6M Excs Rtn-25.6%10.0%85.3%456.3%-5.1%10.0%
12M Excs Rtn-15.2%-2.4%113.5%8.0%--17.5%-2.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-65.7%-59.4%-2.5%---31.9%-45.7%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mineral exploration    0
Total    0


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Mineral exploration27222424 
Total27222424 


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity49,592
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-34.2%
Average Daily Volume297,877
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity90,291,000
Short % of Basic Shares0.1%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251031202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025502202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024312202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241105202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024730202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024502202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023322202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023809202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023505202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022316202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221102202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022810202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022504202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021330202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0HERALD CHRISTOPHER EPresident and CEO11242025Buy0.5510,0005,5001,289,017Form