J&J Snack Foods (JJSF)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $92.45 | Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
J&J Snack Foods (JJSF)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $92.45Market Cap: $1.8 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% | |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 30% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -112% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
JJSF Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the movement of J&J Snack Foods (JJSF) stock:
1. Decline in Q4 2025 Sales and Earnings. J&J Snack Foods reported a decline in quarterly sales, net income, and earnings per share for the fourth fiscal quarter ended September 27, 2025. Quarterly revenue fell 3.9% year-over-year to $410.24 million, missing consensus estimates of $424.08 million.
2. Significant Drop in Operating Income. The company's operating income for Q4 2025 fell substantially to $11.5 million from $39.8 million in the prior year, primarily due to increased marketing and distribution expenses.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| JJSF Return | -14% | 3% | -3% | 14% | -5% | -40% | -45% |
| Peers Return | -4% | 16% | 19% | -7% | 13% | -24% | 6% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| JJSF Win Rate | 50% | 33% | 42% | 75% | 58% | 10% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 40% | 55% | 53% | 50% | 53% | 32% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| JJSF Max Drawdown | -41% | -12% | -24% | -7% | -19% | -46% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -27% | -9% | -15% | -22% | -14% | -36% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: CALM, TR, FLO, SMPL, THS. See JJSF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | JJSF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.7% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 73.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -16.2% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 19.4% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 49 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -44.9% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 81.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 497 days | 1480 days |
Compare to CALM, TR, FLO, SMPL, THS
In The Past
J&J Snack Foods's stock fell -34.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2021. A -34.1% loss requires a 51.7% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Topic | Date | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | |||
| With J&J Snack Foods Stock Surging, Have You Considered The Downside? | Return | ||
| J&J Snack Foods Earnings Notes | |||
| J&J Snack Foods vs Alphabet: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| J&J Snack Foods vs Philip Morris International: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| J&J Snack Foods vs Mondelez International: Which Is A Better Investment? | Counter-Intuitive Comparisons | ||
| Does J&J Snack Foods Stock Lead the Pack? | Peer Comparison | ||
| Better Bet Than JJSF Stock: Pay Less Than J&J Snack Foods To Get More From MU, MCK | |||
| Better Bet Than JJSF Stock: Pay Less Than J&J Snack Foods To Get More From PFGC, POST | |||
| Better Bet Than JJSF Stock: Pay Less Than J&J Snack Foods To Get More From POST, CALM | |||
| JJSF Dip Buy Analysis | |||
| ARTICLES | |||
| Stocks Trading At 52-Week Low | September 10th, 2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to JJSF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for J&J Snack Foods
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 30.75 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| Rev LTM | 2,467 |
| Op Inc LTM | 188 |
| FCF LTM | 128 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 131 |
| CFO LTM | 208 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 178 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.0% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 10.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 10.7% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 8.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 8.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.1 |
| P/S | 1.2 |
| P/EBIT | 13.1 |
| P/E | 25.2 |
| P/CFO | 10.0 |
| Total Yield | 4.7% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 4.5% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Rtn | -17.8% |
| 6M Rtn | -14.0% |
| 12M Rtn | -37.7% |
| 3Y Rtn | -46.0% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -1.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -22.9% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -28.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -51.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -117.8% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8062025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11262024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8072024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5082024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2072024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11282023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/24/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/25/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2022023 | 10-Q 12/24/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11222022 | 10-K 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2022022 | 10-Q 12/25/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11232021 | 10-K 9/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |