Tearsheet

J&J Snack Foods (JJSF)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $94.0 | Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

J&J Snack Foods (JJSF)


Market Price (12/14/2025): $94.0
Market Cap: $1.8 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.9%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
  
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
  
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
  
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.3%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -27%
3 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 30%
4 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization, Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Experiential Retail, Show more.
5 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -91%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -110%
6 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.9%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

JJSF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

1. Weak Fiscal Q1 2025 Results and Lingering Negative Sentiment: Although prior to the specified period, the company's stock experienced a significant 12.1% drop in May 2025 due to weak first-quarter 2025 results, with revenue, gross margin, EPS, and EBITDA falling short of Wall Street's estimates, and a drop in volume across key segments like churros and pretzels. This established a negative investor sentiment that likely continued into the August-December 2025 timeframe.

2. Plant Optimization Plan and Associated Charges: On August 28, 2025, J&J Snack Foods announced a plan to optimize its manufacturing footprint, including plant closures. This initiative was expected to result in significant pre-tax plant closure and related asset impairment charges ranging from $12 million to $20 million in fiscal fourth quarter 2025 and into fiscal year 2026, predominantly from non-cash asset write-downs and write-offs. These anticipated charges, despite long-term cost savings goals, likely weighed on the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
JJSF Return-14%3%-3%14%-5%-38%-43%
Peers Return7%11%17%-11%-6%-11%4%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
JJSF Win Rate50%33%42%75%58%25% 
Peers Win Rate55%53%60%40%43%43% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
JJSF Max Drawdown-41%-12%-24%-7%-19%-46% 
Peers Max Drawdown-23%-11%-8%-20%-8%-21% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: MDLZ, HSY, PEP, CAG, CPB. See JJSF Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventJJSFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-34.1%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven51.7%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.3%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven73.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-16.2%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven19.4%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven49 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-44.9%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven81.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven497 days1480 days

Compare to CALM, TR, FLO, SMPL, THS


In The Past

J&J Snack Foods's stock fell -34.1% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 6/3/2021. A -34.1% loss requires a 51.7% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

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About J&J Snack Foods (JJSF)

Better Bets than J&J Snack Foods (JJSF)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to JJSF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
7.0%7.0%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-5.7%-5.7%-7.5%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
12.9%12.9%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
4.7%4.7%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.3%0.3%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for J&J Snack Foods

Peers to compare with:

Financials

JJSFMDLZHSYPEPCAGCPBMedian
NameJ&J Snac.Mondelez.Hershey PepsiCo Conagra .Campbell. 
Mkt Price93.7654.04181.83150.6517.7528.7473.90
Mkt Cap1.869.936.9206.28.59.423.1
Rev LTM1,58337,64511,29592,36611,45010,15811,373
Op Inc LTM1004,3342,15512,1931,3481,2941,752
FCF LTM822,2901,5796,7881,1416871,360
FCF 3Y Avg833,1561,5396,6451,1336981,336
CFO LTM1653,5762,14611,7551,5441,1301,845
CFO 3Y Avg1704,3782,19311,9741,5201,1521,856

Growth & Margins

JJSFMDLZHSYPEPCAGCPBMedian
NameJ&J Snac.Mondelez.Hershey PepsiCo Conagra .Campbell. 
Rev Chg LTM0.5%4.1%2.5%0.5%-4.1%2.7%1.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg4.8%7.5%5.2%3.4%-0.9%4.5%4.7%
Rev Chg Q-3.9%5.9%26.0%2.7%-5.8%-3.4%-0.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM-1.0%1.5%5.0%0.7%-1.4%-0.9%-0.1%
Op Mgn LTM6.3%11.5%19.1%13.2%11.8%12.7%12.3%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.0%14.5%21.6%13.8%15.1%12.9%14.2%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.2%-1.6%-1.9%-0.3%-0.7%-0.5%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM10.4%9.5%19.0%12.7%13.5%11.1%11.9%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.8%12.1%19.8%13.0%12.8%11.8%12.4%
FCF/Rev LTM5.2%6.1%14.0%7.3%10.0%6.8%7.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg5.3%8.7%13.9%7.2%9.6%7.1%8.0%

Valuation

JJSFMDLZHSYPEPCAGCPBMedian
NameJ&J Snac.Mondelez.Hershey PepsiCo Conagra .Campbell. 
Mkt Cap1.869.936.9206.28.59.423.1
P/S1.22.13.42.10.80.91.6
P/EBIT21.318.919.919.05.7-19.0
P/E27.822.924.826.610.316.323.8
P/CFO11.022.617.716.45.78.313.7
Total Yield5.3%7.4%6.9%7.7%17.3%9.8%7.6%
Dividend Yield1.7%3.1%2.9%3.9%7.6%3.7%3.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg3.2%3.4%3.9%3.1%9.5%-3.4%
D/E0.10.30.20.00.9-0.2
Net D/E0.00.30.10.00.9-0.1

Returns

JJSFMDLZHSYPEPCAGCPBMedian
NameJ&J Snac.Mondelez.Hershey PepsiCo Conagra .Campbell. 
1M Rtn13.6%-5.1%2.1%4.9%1.8%-8.0%2.0%
3M Rtn-9.7%-12.1%-1.0%6.0%-5.5%-12.4%-7.6%
6M Rtn-17.3%-18.0%9.2%17.4%-14.5%-10.2%-12.3%
12M Rtn-42.8%-10.1%2.6%-0.8%-32.7%-30.1%-20.1%
3Y Rtn-36.1%-13.2%-17.0%-9.3%-46.2%-43.9%-26.5%
1M Excs Rtn14.5%-4.9%2.3%5.7%2.7%-7.5%2.5%
3M Excs Rtn-11.9%-14.8%-4.5%5.0%-6.2%-14.7%-9.0%
6M Excs Rtn-31.5%-32.3%-5.1%3.2%-28.7%-24.4%-26.6%
12M Excs Rtn-56.8%-23.0%-12.8%-15.1%-45.0%-44.2%-33.6%
3Y Excs Rtn-110.1%-87.7%-90.8%-82.3%-119.4%-116.6%-100.4%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20252024202320222021
Food Service985982873725619
Frozen Beverages368362310235226
Retail Supermarket221215198185177
Total1,5751,5591,3811,1451,022


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Food Service745019396
Frozen Beverages5350346-12
Retail Supermarket19992623
Gain on insurance proceeds received for damage to property, plant, and equipment0    
Plant closure expense0    
General corporate expenses-29    
Total118110627117


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20252024202320222021
Food Service955904893799738
Frozen Beverages359339304292287
Retail Supermarket3534203132
Corporate17    
Total1,3651,2771,2171,1221,057


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity701,261
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-7.6%
Average Daily Volume409,280
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.71
Basic Shares Quantity19,455,000
Short % of Basic Shares3.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/17/20251.1%9.3% 
8/5/20251.9%-5.7%-5.5%
5/6/2025-11.9%-9.5%-13.3%
2/3/2025-6.5%-5.7%1.4%
11/13/2024-3.9%-4.8%-3.1%
8/5/20246.3%4.5%6.9%
5/6/202416.4%18.3%18.2%
2/5/2024-7.0%-3.2%-7.5%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive111113
# Negative131311
Median Positive2.2%5.7%5.8%
Median Negative-3.9%-5.7%-6.1%
Max Positive16.4%18.3%18.2%
Max Negative-11.9%-16.1%-14.3%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251126202510-K 9/27/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025508202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024206202510-Q 12/28/2024
93020241126202410-K 9/28/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023207202410-Q 12/30/2023
93020231128202310-K 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/24/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/25/2023
12312022202202310-Q 12/24/2022
93020221122202210-K 9/24/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022505202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021202202210-Q 12/25/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data