Idacorp (IDA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $126.45 | Market Cap: $6.9 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Idacorp (IDA)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $126.45Market Cap: $6.9 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.6% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% | Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.78 | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% | Key risksIDA key risks include [1] potential non-recovery of its projected $5.6 billion in capital spending, Show more. | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.1%, Dividend Yield is 2.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 33% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 17% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Smart Grids & Grid Modernization, Renewable Energy Transition, and Electrification of Everything. Themes include Grid Automation, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -10%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -41% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest Days-to-CoverDTC = (Short Interest Share Quantity) / (Average Daily Trading Volume). Reflects how many days it would take to cover (close out) the short interest based on average volumes. High DTC can signify an increased risk of a short squeeze. is 12.78 |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.9%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.8% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -23% |
| Key risksIDA key risks include [1] potential non-recovery of its projected $5.6 billion in capital spending, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
IDA Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
IDACORP (IDA) experienced a 1.8% stock movement between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025, influenced by several key factors:
1. Upgraded Analyst Ratings and Price Target Increases: Morgan Stanley upgraded Idacorp (IDA) from "Equal-Weight" to "Overweight" on December 16, 2025, and raised its price target from $137.00 to $139.00. This positive outlook from a major investment bank likely contributed to increased investor confidence. Other firms also increased price targets during this period; for example, Mizuho raised its price target from $129.00 to $144.00 on October 27, 2025, and Jefferies increased its target to $155.00 from $144.00 on October 22, 2025.
2. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Earnings and Increased Guidance: On October 30, 2025, IDACORP announced robust third-quarter 2025 results, with net income attributable to IDACORP increasing to $124.4 million, or $2.26 per diluted share, compared to $113.6 million, or $2.12 per diluted share, in Q3 2024. The company also increased its full-year 2025 earnings guidance to a range of $5.80 to $5.90 per diluted share. This strong financial performance and optimistic outlook likely fueled positive stock movement.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| IDA Return | -7% | 21% | -2% | -6% | 15% | 19% | 41% |
| Peers Return | -17% | 25% | -0% | 3% | 5% | 16% | 30% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| IDA Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 42% | 50% | 67% | 67% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 47% | 58% | 55% | 52% | 50% | 63% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| IDA Max Drawdown | -30% | -10% | -15% | -15% | -11% | -3% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -35% | -5% | -18% | -17% | -9% | -4% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: POR, AVA, NWE, ALE, OTTR. See IDA Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | IDA | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.4% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 413 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -34.3% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 52.2% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 648 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -18.0% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 21.9% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 170 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -46.2% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 86.0% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 780 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to FIX, ORA, POR, BKH, HE
In The Past
Idacorp's stock fell -24.4% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/6/2022. A -24.4% loss requires a 32.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to IDA. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 11212025 | FIX | Comfort Systems USA | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.9% | -0.9% | -2.4% |
| 11212025 | FIX | Comfort Systems USA | Quality | Q | Momentum | UpsideQuality Stocks with Momentum and UpsideBuying quality stocks with strong momentum but still having room to run | 8.3% | 8.3% | 0.0% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.2% | 2.2% | -0.8% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.7% | 6.7% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Idacorp
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 66.82 |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| Rev LTM | 1,688 |
| Op Inc LTM | 344 |
| FCF LTM | -137 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -105 |
| CFO LTM | 451 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 449 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| Rev Chg Q | 0.8% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 18.2% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.3% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 28.9% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 26.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -6.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -6.5% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 4.0 |
| P/S | 2.4 |
| P/EBIT | 9.5 |
| P/E | 16.4 |
| P/CFO | 8.6 |
| Total Yield | 10.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 4.4% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -3.5% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.7 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 0.4% |
| 3M Rtn | 7.4% |
| 6M Rtn | 13.5% |
| 12M Rtn | 15.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 26.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -0.4% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | 5.5% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | 1.1% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | 4.4% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -45.7% |
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utility Operations | 1,763 | 1,641 | 1,455 | 1,347 | 1,343 |
| All Other | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 |
| Eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 1,766 | 1,644 | 1,458 | 1,351 | 1,346 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utility Operations | 313 | 327 | 330 | 309 | 298 |
| All Other | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 313 | 327 | 330 | 310 | 298 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utility Operations | 257 | 255 | 243 | 233 | 224 |
| All Other | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 |
| Eliminations | 0 | 0 | |||
| Total | 261 | 259 | 246 | 237 | 233 |
| $ Mil | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utility Operations | 8,324 | 7,411 | 6,991 | 6,906 | 6,494 |
| All Other | 229 | 246 | 282 | 253 | 221 |
| Eliminations | -76 | -114 | -62 | -64 | -74 |
| Total | 8,476 | 7,543 | 7,211 | 7,095 | 6,641 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 10/30/2025 | -2.0% | -4.0% | -2.6% |
| 7/31/2025 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% |
| 5/1/2025 | -1.5% | -0.8% | 1.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | 0.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% |
| 10/31/2024 | 1.3% | 10.0% | 16.9% |
| 8/1/2024 | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.8% |
| 5/2/2024 | -0.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 2/15/2024 | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 12 | 14 | 16 |
| # Negative | 12 | 10 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.0% |
| Median Negative | -0.5% | -2.9% | -3.9% |
| Max Positive | 4.7% | 10.0% | 16.9% |
| Max Negative | -2.6% | -6.9% | -25.0% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2202025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5022024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2152024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11022023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11032022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2172022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Malmen Jeffrey L | SVP of Public Affairs | 5152025 | Sell | 111.31 | 5,000 | 556,550 | 1,819,473 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |