Fox Factory (FOXF)
Market Price (10/9/2026): $18.41 | Market Cap: $773.3 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Fox Factory (FOXF)
Market Price (10/9/2026): $18.41Market Cap: $773.3 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Outdoor Recreation & Performance Equipment, and Performance Vehicle Components. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80% Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 21x Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5% Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44% Key risksFOXF key risks include [1] sharp demand volatility in its bicycle division, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Outdoor Recreation & Performance Equipment, and Performance Vehicle Components. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -89%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -164% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 80% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 21x |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.7%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -4.5% |
| Yield minus risk free rate is negativeERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -44% |
| Key risksFOXF key risks include [1] sharp demand volatility in its bicycle division, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
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Fox Factory (FOXF) stock has gained about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat. Fox Factory reported better-than-expected financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended July 3, 2026) on August 6, 2026. The company announced an adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.37, significantly surpassing the analysts' consensus estimate of $0.18 by $0.19. Additionally, quarterly revenue reached $358.12 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $352.94 million. This strong performance demonstrated the company's ability to meet or exceed guidance despite various macroeconomic headwinds.
2. Raised Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Guidance. Following the positive Q2 2026 results, Fox Factory raised its full-year fiscal 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $1.42 billion to $1.47 billion. The company also narrowed its adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year to a range of $176 million to $196 million. For fiscal Q3 2026, net sales were projected to be between $355 million and $380 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be in the range of $46 million to $54 million. This upward revision in guidance signaled management's confidence in continued operational improvement and future financial performance.
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Fox Factory (FOXF) stock has gained about 10% since 6/30/2026 because of the following key factors:
1. Strong Fiscal Q2 2026 Earnings Beat. Fox Factory reported better-than-expected financial results for its fiscal Q2 2026 (which ended July 3, 2026) on August 6, 2026. The company announced an adjusted diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $0.37, significantly surpassing the analysts' consensus estimate of $0.18 by $0.19. Additionally, quarterly revenue reached $358.12 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $352.94 million. This strong performance demonstrated the company's ability to meet or exceed guidance despite various macroeconomic headwinds.
2. Raised Full-Year Fiscal 2026 Guidance. Following the positive Q2 2026 results, Fox Factory raised its full-year fiscal 2026 net sales guidance to a range of $1.42 billion to $1.47 billion. The company also narrowed its adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year to a range of $176 million to $196 million. For fiscal Q3 2026, net sales were projected to be between $355 million and $380 million, with adjusted EBITDA expected to be in the range of $46 million to $54 million. This upward revision in guidance signaled management's confidence in continued operational improvement and future financial performance.
3. Strategic Divestiture of Marucci Sports to Reduce Debt. On September 25, 2026, Fox Factory completed the sale of its Marucci Sports business for $225 million, which included $200 million in cash. The proceeds from this sale were primarily used to reduce debt, significantly lowering the company's net leverage from 3.7 times to 2.7 times, with an anticipated further decrease to approximately 2.5 times upon collection of a $25 million seller note. The divestiture is expected to improve the company's overall EBIT margins, as Marucci Sports had contributed a $12.7 million GAAP operating loss in the first half of fiscal 2026. This strategic move streamlined operations, improved financial flexibility, and enhanced the company's focus on its core ride performance innovation.
4. Positive Analyst Sentiment and Price Target Increases. Following the positive Q2 fiscal 2026 earnings and the Marucci divestiture, analysts reacted favorably to Fox Factory's outlook. Stifel, for example, raised its price target on FOXF to $25 from $24 and maintained a "Buy" rating on the shares around September 30, 2026. The average 12-month price target from 6 analysts is $21.25, representing a forecasted upside of 13.94% from the stock's price of $18.65. The consensus rating from analysts is "Moderate Buy."
5. Progress in Profit Optimization and Cost Savings. Fox Factory continued to execute on its Profit Optimization Plan, which targets incremental savings. The company captured over $25 million in gross savings during the first half of fiscal 2026 and remained on track to achieve approximately $50 million in gross savings for the full fiscal year 2026. This focus on cost reduction and margin expansion led to an approximate 250 basis point sequential expansion in adjusted EBITDA margin in fiscal Q2 2026, excluding tariff refunds. These efforts contributed to an improved margin outlook for the latter half of fiscal 2026.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 9.2% change in FOXF stock from 6/30/2026 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.8% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 6302026 | 10082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.95 | 18.50 | 9.2% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,481 | 1,464 | -1.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.5 | 10.8% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 9.2% |
Market Drivers
6/30/2026 to 10/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOXF | 9.2% | |
| Market (SPY) | 3.6% | 25.1% |
| Sector (XLY) | -4.7% | 39.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 12.4% change in FOXF stock from 3/31/2026 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a 13.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312026 | 10082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 16.46 | 18.50 | 12.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,467 | 1,464 | -0.2% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.5 | 0.5 | 13.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | -0.4% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 12.4% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2026 to 10/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOXF | 12.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | 19.3% | 28.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 2.7% | 45.7% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -23.8% change in FOXF stock from 9/30/2025 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -24.6% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 10082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 24.29 | 18.50 | -23.8% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,442 | 1,464 | 1.6% |
| P/S Multiple | 0.7 | 0.5 | -24.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -23.8% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 10/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOXF | -23.8% | |
| Market (SPY) | 17.1% | 29.0% |
| Sector (XLY) | -6.2% | 37.9% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -81.3% change in FOXF stock from 9/30/2023 to 10/8/2026 was primarily driven by a -79.5% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302023 | 10082026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 99.08 | 18.50 | -81.3% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,618 | 1,464 | -9.5% |
| P/S Multiple | 2.6 | 0.5 | -79.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 42 | 42 | 0.8% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -81.3% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2023 to 10/8/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FOXF | -81.3% | |
| Market (SPY) | 87.3% | 40.3% |
| Sector (XLY) | 42.0% | 45.2% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FOXF Return | 61% | -46% | -26% | -55% | -43% | 9% | -82% |
| Peers Return | 31% | -24% | 30% | -13% | 15% | -13% | 13% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FOXF Win Rate | 67% | 33% | 42% | 42% | 42% | 60% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 42% | 42% | 45% | 50% | 44% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FOXF Max Drawdown | -18% | -59% | -56% | -58% | -57% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -19% | -40% | -37% | -33% | -35% | -34% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -5% | -25% | -10% | -8% | -19% | -9% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: PII, BC, GPC, DORM, HLLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 10/8/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FOXF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 105 days |
| 2015-2016 China Devaluation / Global Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -10.5% | -12.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 11.7% | 13.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 35 days | 62 days |
| 2014-2016 Oil Price Collapse | ||
| % Loss | -11.2% | -6.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 20 days | 15 days |
| 2013 Taper Tantrum | ||
| % Loss | -16.7% | -0.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 20.1% | 0.2% |
| Time to Breakeven | 47 days | 1 days |
In The Past
Fox Factory's stock fell -31.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.0% gain to breakeven.
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| Event | FOXF | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 US Tariff Shock | ||
| % Loss | -31.5% | -18.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 46.0% | 23.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 62 days | 79 days |
| 2020 COVID-19 Crash | ||
| % Loss | -49.7% | -33.7% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.8% | 50.9% |
| Time to Breakeven | 55 days | 140 days |
| Q4 2018 Fed Policy Error / Growth Scare | ||
| % Loss | -25.8% | -19.2% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 34.9% | 23.8% |
| Time to Breakeven | 9 days | 105 days |
In The Past
Fox Factory's stock fell -31.5% during the 2025 US Tariff Shock. Such a loss loss requires a 46.0% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Fox Factory (FOXF)
Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) designs, engineers, manufactures, and markets high-performance ride dynamics products globally. The company's core business revolves around advanced suspension systems and related components that enhance the performance, control, and comfort of a wide range of vehicles across diverse terrains and applications. Fox Factory serves both original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and the aftermarket through a robust network of dealers and distributors.
The company operates in two primary markets. For the cycling segment, Fox Factory offers mid-to-high-end front forks and rear suspension products for mountain bikes, road bikes, and e-bikes. It also provides a comprehensive suite of performance cycling components, including wheels, cranks, chainrings, pedals, handlebars, stems, and seat posts, under well-known brands such as FOX, Race Face, Easton Cycling, and Marzocchi. These products cater to cyclists and manufacturers seeking premium performance and durability.
In the powered vehicle sector, Fox Factory manufactures specialized suspension products for a broad array of applications. This includes side-by-side vehicles, all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), snowmobiles, and various on-road and off-road vehicles and trucks. The company also extends its expertise to specialty vehicle markets like military, motorcycles, and commercial trucks, utilizing brands such as FOX, BDS Suspension, Ridetech, and Tuscany. This diverse portfolio positions Fox Factory as a key provider of enhanced ride quality and vehicle performance solutions across numerous industries.
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Fox Factory is like the Brembo for vehicle suspensions, known for high-performance ride components.
Fox Factory is like the Yeti for vehicle performance, crafting premium suspension and components for enthusiasts.
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- Bicycle Suspension Products: Mid-end and high-end front forks and rear shocks designed for mountain bikes, road bikes, and e-bikes.
- Powered Vehicle Suspension Products: Suspension systems for a diverse range of vehicles, including side-by-side vehicles, trucks, ATVs, snowmobiles, and various specialty and commercial applications.
- Performance Cycling Components: A range of cycling parts beyond suspension, such as mountain and road bike wheels, cranks, chain rings, pedals, handlebars, stems, and seat posts.
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- Giant Manufacturing Co. Ltd. (GIANTGROUP.TW)
- Specialized Bicycle Components (private)
- Trek Bicycle Corporation (private)
- Other high-end bicycle brands
- Polaris Inc. (PII)
- BRP Inc. (DOO.TO)
- Ford Motor Company (F) for specific performance off-road vehicle models (e.g., Raptor, Bronco)
- Stellantis N.V. (STLA) for certain Jeep models
- Toyota Motor Corporation (TM) for specific TRD Pro models
- Various other specialty vehicle and aftermarket suspension companies.
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Michael C. Dennison, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Dennison joined Fox Factory Holding Corp. in August 2018 as President of the Powered Vehicles Group and was appointed Chief Executive Officer in June 2019. He has also served as a director since February 2018. Prior to joining FOX, Mr. Dennison held senior leadership roles at Flex Ltd. (NASDAQ: FLEX), including President and Chief Marketing Officer, and led procurement and global supply chain divisions. He previously served as Regional Director at Arrow Electronics. Additionally, he has served as a board member for Solo Brands since 2022 and as Chairman of the K&N Filters Board since 2024.
Dennis Schemm, Chief Financial Officer and President, Aftermarket Applications Group
Mr. Schemm was appointed Chief Financial Officer of Fox Factory Holding Corp. effective June 12, 2023. He has over 25 years of finance experience, encompassing financial risk management, controllership, global financial planning and analysis, treasury, audit, capital allocation strategies, and mergers and acquisitions. Before his tenure at FOX, he served as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer at Trex for three years. From 2015 to 2020, he was Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer, and Commercial Lead, Joint Compound Division at Continental Building Products, which was subsequently acquired by Saint-Gobain. Effective August 1, 2024, Mr. Schemm also assumed the role of President of the Aftermarket Applications Group, while continuing his responsibilities as CFO.
Toby D. Merchant, Chief Legal Officer, Chief Compliance Officer and Secretary
Mr. Merchant joined Fox Factory Holding Corp. in April 2021 as its inaugural Chief Legal Officer and Secretary, and was named Chief Compliance Officer in August 2021. Before joining FOX, he served as Chief Operating Officer and General Counsel for McKenna & Associates, LLC, a boutique advisory firm. Prior to that, he was a partner at Squire Patton Boggs (US) LLP from October 2006 to November 2019, specializing in corporate and financial services practice groups.
Brendan Enick, Chief Accounting Officer and Treasurer
Mr. Enick joined Fox Factory Holding Corp. in May 2023 as its first Chief Accounting Officer. He is responsible for financial stewardship, strategic capital allocation, mergers and acquisitions, and audits. Prior to FOX (starting in 2019), he was Vice President of Finance and Corporate Controller at Carters Inc (NASDAQ: CRI). His previous experience includes various accounting and finance roles at Novelis (NYSE: NVL) from 2012, and at Ernst & Young. As of August 1, 2024, he also holds the position of Treasurer.
Janet Wong, Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Wong serves as the Chief Human Resources Officer for Fox Factory Holding Corp.
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The key risks to Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) largely revolve around the cyclical nature of its markets, global supply chain challenges, and recent financial performance issues.
- Exposure to Macroeconomic Conditions and Discretionary Spending: Fox Factory operates in high-performance, enthusiast-driven segments of the market, including high-end mountain bike suspension and powered vehicle components. Demand for these products is highly sensitive to overall economic uncertainty, consumer confidence, and the cost of capital. Economic downturns or sustained high interest rates can lead to reduced discretionary spending, directly impacting the company's sales and potentially resulting in inventory management challenges across its distribution channels. This sensitivity has contributed to earnings volatility and softened consumer markets.
- Supply Chain Volatility, Tariffs, and Cost Pressures: The company faces ongoing challenges related to its global manufacturing and supply chains. These include risks of component shortages, spikes in logistics costs, and the significant impact of tariffs. For example, tariffs were projected to be a substantial headwind, directly affecting the cost of goods sold. Management has cited ongoing tariff impacts and temporary aluminum supply disruptions as factors affecting performance. While Fox Factory has implemented mitigation strategies like cost reductions and supply chain optimization, these external factors continue to exert pressure on margins.
- Recent Financial Performance and Debt Levels: Fox Factory has reported significant net losses in recent periods, including a net loss of $544.6 million for fiscal year 2025. This financial underperformance, coupled with weak interest coverage, raises concerns about the company's ability to service its debt obligations, which stood at a net debt of approximately $622.3 million as of October 2025. Despite ongoing cost optimization plans and efforts to improve margins, the persistence of these losses indicates meaningful pressure on the income statement and challenges to achieving projected profitability.
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Fox Factory Holding Corp. operates in several addressable markets for its ride dynamics products and performance cycling components across various regions.
Bicycle Products
- Mountain Bike Suspension: The global mountain bike suspension market was valued at approximately USD 3.2 billion in 2023 and is projected to reach around USD 5.6 billion by 2032.
- North America's mountain bike suspension market is expected to reach USD 1.5 billion by 2032.
- The European market for mountain bike suspensions is projected to reach USD 1.2 billion by 2032.
- Asia-Pacific was the largest market for mountain bike suspensions in 2024, capturing approximately 45% of the global share.
- Bicycle Components (including Road Bike and E-bike Suspension, Wheels, and other Performance Cycling Components): The global bicycle components market is projected to reach US$ 23.7 billion by 2034, growing from US$ 12.35 billion in 2024.
- The dedicated global bicycle components market is expected to reach US$ 15.8 billion to US$ 25.3 billion by 2030-2032.
- North America is a significant market for bicycle components, holding approximately 40% of the global share, with the United States accounting for 74.3% of the regional market.
- Asia-Pacific accounts for more than 59% of the global bicycle and components market revenue.
Powered Vehicle Products
- Off-Road Vehicle Shock Absorbers (including Side-by-Side, Off-Road Vehicles/Trucks, All-Terrain Vehicles (ATV), and Snowmobiles): The global off-road vehicle shock absorber market was valued at USD 17.3 billion in 2023 and is estimated to reach USD 30.7 billion by 2032.
- The UTV (Utility Task Vehicle) segment alone accounted for approximately 50% of the off-road vehicle shock absorber market in 2023.
- ATV Coilover Shocks: The global ATV coilover shock market was estimated at USD 719.51 million in 2025 and is expected to reach USD 1,146.87 million by 2032.
- Motorcycle Suspension Systems: The global motorcycle suspension system market was valued at USD 860.68 million in 2024 and is expected to reach USD 1382.18 million by 2032.
- Another projection indicates the global motorcycle suspension system market will reach USD 1,988.3 million by 2025 and grow to USD 3,147.4 million by 2035.
- Snowmobile Suspension Components: Suspension components are a segment of the global snowmobile parts market, which was USD 7.31 million in 2023 and is likely to reach USD 8.57 million by 2032. The overall global snowmobile market was valued at USD 1.7 billion in 2023, expected to reach USD 2.7 billion by 2033.
- 4x4 Vehicles Parts and Accessories (including Suspension Systems): The global 4X4 vehicles parts and accessories market is estimated to be valued at USD 8.1 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 14.7 billion by 2035.
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Fox Factory Holding Corp. (FOXF) is anticipating several key drivers for future revenue growth over the next two to three years, despite an expected near-term decline in overall net sales in 2026 due to strategic divestitures and market rationalization. The company's focus remains on rebuilding profitability and establishing a stronger foundation for sustained growth in its core markets.
The primary drivers of future revenue growth for Fox Factory include:
- Expansion into autonomous mobility and performance off-road markets with new EV brand partnerships: Fox Factory has already secured early revenue from two significant electric vehicle (EV) brands in the autonomous mobility and performance off-road sectors. Full production from these partnerships is expected to substantially support revenue growth in 2027 and beyond.
- Continued strong demand and growth within the Aftermarket Applications Group (AAG): The AAG segment has demonstrated robust performance, with net sales increasing in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025. This growth was driven by consistent demand across Custom Wheel House, Sport Truck, and Ridetech products, indicating ongoing strength in their aftermarket vehicle components.
- New product development and innovation across core product categories: Fox Factory is actively investing in research and development, as well as sales and marketing, to foster future growth and product innovation. This commitment to developing new and enhanced suspension products for mountain bikes, road bikes, e-bikes, and various powered vehicles is expected to drive new sales.
- Enhanced focus and market penetration within core, higher-margin product categories: As part of a multi-phase profit optimization plan, Fox Factory is divesting non-core, lower-margin businesses and rationalizing its product lines. This strategic shift aims to create a simpler, higher-margin portfolio, allowing the company to concentrate resources on its most profitable and high-potential product categories in the powersports and bicycle markets, ultimately leading to increased sales and market share in these focused areas.
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Share Repurchases
- On November 1, 2023, Fox Factory's Board of Directors authorized a share repurchase plan for up to $300 million of its common stock.
- This share repurchase program is scheduled to expire on November 1, 2028.
- During the three months ended March 29, 2024, the company repurchased approximately 378,000 shares for $25 million at an average price of $66.03.
Share Issuance
- Between January 3, 2025, and October 3, 2025, Fox Factory issued 117,000 shares of common stock, increasing issued shares from 42,574,000 to 42,691,000.
- In February 2026, the CFO received 14,341 shares from a performance award, and the CEO received 34,479 performance-based shares.
- On March 11, 2026, the Chief Accounting Officer was granted 9,696 restricted stock units as a compensation-based equity grant.
Outbound Investments
- Fox Factory has a strategy to grow through acquisitions and intends to selectively evaluate additional acquisitions.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures were $57 million in 2021, $53 million in 2022, $44 million in 2023, $49 million in 2024, and $34 million in 2025.
- The average capital expenditures for fiscal years ending January 2021 to 2025 was approximately $49.237 million.
- Capital expenditures are expected to be approximately 2% of revenues for the full year 2026, with the company indicating a reduction in CapEx spending as part of profit optimization initiatives.
Peer Outperformance in Automotive Parts & Equipment
| Ticker | Name | Rev Growth 3Y Avg | P/E | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 5Y Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOXF | Fox Factory | -2.7% | -2.6x | -22.6% | -80.5% | -87.6% | — |
| GTX | Garrett Motion | -0.4% | 13.5x | 100.4% | 260.4% | 263.3% | +351pp |
| PATK | Patrick Industries | 0.6% | 14.1x | -32.7% | 42.9% | 25.0% | +113pp |
| VC | Visteon | -2.2% | 15.2x | -25.1% | -33.4% | -14.6% | +73pp |
| Industry | Names | 1Y med | 3Y med | 5Y med | Top 3 by 5Y |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Education Services | 14 | -11.0% | 80.0% | 82.8% | CVSA 245% · LINC 236% · PRDO 218% |
| Homebuilding | 18 | -8.5% | 31.8% | 48.5% | GRBK 197% · TOL 152% · PHM 151% |
| Specialty Stores | 7 | 3.0% | 39.3% | 12.8% | ASO 36% · SIG 32% · DKS 31% |
| Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines | 21 | 7.3% | 36.0% | 11.4% | RCL 232% · MAR 140% · LIND 134% |
| Home Improvement Retail | 5 | -20.8% | -0.1% | 0.3% | HVT 13% · LOW 1% · HD 0% |
| Automotive Retail | 18 | -13.7% | 0.9% | -5.1% | MUSA 214% · PAG 115% · ORLY 111% |
| Footwear | 9 | 62.5% | 47.1% | -10.4% | WEYS 206% · DECK 38% · SHOO 19% |
| Restaurants | 36 | -9.1% | -8.2% | -13.7% | EAT 286% · CAKE 164% · BH 119% |
| Specialized Consumer Services | 10 | -18.5% | 15.9% | -16.4% | HRB 107% · FTDR 88% · SCI 33% |
| Home Furnishings | 4 | -5.2% | 26.6% | -17.0% | SGI 46% · LZB -1% · MHK -33% |
| Distributors | 4 | -11.6% | -27.5% | -17.1% | ARMK 122% · GPC 18% · LKQ -52% |
| Apparel Retail | 26 | 7.2% | 16.8% | -37.7% | ANF 260% · URBN 173% · TJX 130% |
| Household Appliances | 18 | 12.7% | -3.2% | -39.7% | FLXS 218% · HBB 165% · KEQU 160% |
| Leisure Products | 13 | -22.5% | -21.1% | -40.8% | GOLF 76% · HAS 26% · MAT -13% |
| Computer & Electronics Retail | 3 | 3.6% | 45.6% | -41.4% | BBY 4% · GME -41% · UPBD -61% |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment ← | 38 | -12.0% | -12.8% | -41.5% | MOD 1459% · GTX 263% · MLR 69% |
| Leisure Facilities | 12 | 5.5% | -6.6% | -45.0% | JAKK 153% · LTH 134% · OSW 124% |
| Casinos & Gaming | 20 | -14.3% | -28.0% | -47.4% | MCRI 91% · RRR 18% · BYD 14% |
| Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods | 29 | -3.5% | 13.8% | -49.6% | RL 258% · TPR 252% · ELA 194% |
| Broadline Retail | 14 | -7.3% | 23.2% | -50.9% | EBAY 63% · AMZN 55% · OLLI 42% |
| Consumer Electronics | 11 | -25.6% | -25.5% | -74.4% | AXIL 3081% · GRMN 91% · SONO -44% |
| Other Specialty Retail | 17 | -35.8% | -41.3% | -77.2% | TLF 98% · BBW 90% · WINA 65% |
| Automobile Manufacturers | 8 | -75.5% | -52.5% | -77.9% | GM 47% · TSLA 43% · F 10% |
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Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 58.09 |
| Mkt Cap | 3.4 |
| Rev LTM | 3,892 |
| Op Inc LTM | 252 |
| FCF LTM | 141 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 208 |
| CFO LTM | 249 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 359 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 4.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -2.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 6.7% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | -16.9% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 5.4% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 6.8% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.4% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 7.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 9.8% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 4.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.9% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $18.50 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 0.8 | |
| First Trading Date | 08/08/2013 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -25.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $19.85 | $18.31 |
| DMA Trend | up | up |
| Distance from DMA | -6.8% | 1.0% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 47.5% | 53.5% |
| Downside Capture | 161.83 | 115.55 |
| Upside Capture | 194.54 | 65.97 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 24.7% | 29.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.84 | 1.86 | 0.98 | 1.11 | 1.18 | 1.46 |
| Up Beta | -2.14 | 1.02 | -0.60 | 1.52 | 1.58 | 1.90 |
| Down Beta | 1.40 | 0.32 | -0.06 | 1.16 | 1.67 | 1.46 |
| Up Capture | 61% | 235% | 194% | 85% | 47% | 35% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 6 | 16 | 27 | 66 | 132 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 10 | 19 | 33 | 61 | 130 | 372 |
| Down Capture | 219% | 227% | 147% | 98% | 107% | 110% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 16 | 26 | 37 | 60 | 120 | 328 |
| Stock -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 31 | 65 | 122 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FOXF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOXF | -21.2% | 53.4% | -0.25 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | -4.7% | 19.4% | -0.37 | 38.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 16.7% | 13.0% | 0.91 | 29.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 3.4% | 29.6% | 0.11 | 8.2% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 45.0% | 20.9% | 1.67 | -17.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 2.8% | 13.7% | -0.05 | 26.1% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -31.7% | 44.2% | -0.73 | 11.8% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FOXF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOXF | -33.3% | 51.6% | -0.59 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 5.3% | 24.1% | 0.18 | 50.8% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.1% | 0.63 | 48.1% |
| Gold (GLD) | 18.2% | 18.9% | 0.78 | 5.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.3% | 19.6% | 0.40 | 5.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 1.3% | 18.8% | -0.04 | 43.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 13.7% | 52.2% | 0.43 | 23.3% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FOXF | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FOXF | -1.5% | 49.0% | 0.16 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.0% | 22.2% | 0.49 | 52.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.4% | 17.9% | 0.73 | 50.3% |
| Gold (GLD) | 11.6% | 16.4% | 0.58 | 4.6% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.3% | 18.1% | 0.37 | 13.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 4.2% | 20.7% | 0.16 | 40.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 63.6% | 66.2% | 1.03 | 16.5% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Earnings Returns History
Updated 9/25/2026| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.1% | -13.0% | -4.9% |
| 2/26/2026 | -8.3% | -4.6% | -8.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | -25.5% | -35.7% | -25.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | -6.7% | -1.4% | -1.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | 11.4% | 20.7% | 27.8% |
| 2/27/2025 | 8.8% | 5.1% | -4.8% |
| 10/31/2024 | -5.5% | -1.5% | -8.5% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 9.4% | 9.8% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -8.3% | -10.3% | -8.2% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 21.4% | 34.9% |
| Max Negative | -27.2% | -35.7% | -25.4% |
| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 8/6/2026 | 12.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% |
| 5/7/2026 | -4.1% | -13.0% | -4.9% |
| 2/26/2026 | -8.3% | -4.6% | -8.2% |
| 11/6/2025 | -25.5% | -35.7% | -25.4% |
| 8/7/2025 | -6.7% | -1.4% | -1.7% |
| 5/8/2025 | 11.4% | 20.7% | 27.8% |
| 2/27/2025 | 8.8% | 5.1% | -4.8% |
| 10/31/2024 | -5.5% | -1.5% | -8.5% |
| 8/1/2024 | -16.3% | -18.6% | -18.3% |
| 5/2/2024 | 10.4% | 20.4% | 20.5% |
| 2/22/2024 | -26.8% | -22.1% | -24.7% |
| 11/2/2023 | -27.2% | -33.8% | -22.8% |
| 8/3/2023 | 4.0% | 7.8% | 2.7% |
| 5/4/2023 | -8.7% | -10.3% | -14.8% |
| 2/23/2023 | -8.5% | -2.1% | -3.7% |
| 11/3/2022 | 9.2% | 21.4% | 34.9% |
| 8/5/2022 | 12.2% | 14.9% | -4.6% |
| 5/6/2022 | -5.3% | 2.3% | 5.4% |
| 2/24/2022 | -1.1% | -12.7% | -20.8% |
| 11/4/2021 | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| 8/5/2021 | -0.7% | -0.5% | -4.7% |
| 5/6/2021 | 6.4% | 1.3% | -1.0% |
| 11/10/2020 | 9.7% | -2.1% | 15.4% |
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 10 | 10 | 8 |
| # Negative | 13 | 13 | 15 |
| Median Positive | 9.4% | 9.8% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -8.3% | -10.3% | -8.2% |
| Max Positive | 12.2% | 21.4% | 34.9% |
| Max Negative | -27.2% | -35.7% | -25.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 06/30/2026 | 08/07/2026 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2026 | 05/08/2026 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/07/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/08/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/09/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/28/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/03/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/23/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/03/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/04/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/23/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/03/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/04/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/05/2022 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2021 | 02/24/2022 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2021 | 11/04/2021 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2021 | 08/05/2021 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2021 | 05/06/2021 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2020 | 02/25/2021 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2020 | 11/10/2020 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2020 | 08/05/2020 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2020 | 05/06/2020 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2019 | 03/03/2020 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2019 | 10/30/2019 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance
Updated 10/4/2026Latest: Q2 2026 Earnings Reported 8/6/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q3 2026 Revenue | Reported | 355.00 Mil | 367.50 Mil | 380.00 Mil | 3.8% | Higher New | Actual: 354.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| Q3 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 46.00 Mil | 50.00 Mil | 54.00 Mil | 38.9% | Higher New | Actual: 36.00 Mil for Q2 2026 | |
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 1.42 Bil | 1.45 Bil | 1.47 Bil | 5.3% | Raised | Guidance: 1.37 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 176.00 Mil | 186.00 Mil | 196.00 Mil | -1.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 188.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Prior: Q1 2026 Earnings Reported 5/7/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q2 2026 Revenue | Reported | 343.00 Mil | 354.00 Mil | 365.00 Mil | ||||
| Q2 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 32.00 Mil | 36.00 Mil | 40.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Cost Savings | Reported | 50.00 Mil | Affirmed | Guidance: 40.00 Mil for 2026 | ||||
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 1.33 Bil | 1.37 Bil | 1.42 Bil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 1.37 Bil for 2026 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 174.00 Mil | 188.50 Mil | 203.00 Mil | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 188.50 Mil for 2026 | |
Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/26/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q1 2026 Revenue | Reported | 343.00 Mil | 356.00 Mil | 369.00 Mil | 0.3% | Higher New | Actual: 355.00 Mil for Q4 2025 | |
| Q1 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 27.00 Mil | 30.50 Mil | 34.00 Mil | ||||
| 2026 Profit Optimization Savings | Reported | 40.00 Mil | ||||||
| 2026 Revenue | Reported | 1.33 Bil | 1.37 Bil | 1.42 Bil | -6.0% | Lower New | Actual: 1.46 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | Reported | 174.00 Mil | 188.50 Mil | 203.00 Mil | ||||
Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/6/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Source | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| Q4 2025 Revenue | Reported | 340.00 Mil | 355.00 Mil | 370.00 Mil | -6.6% | Lower New | Guidance: 380.00 Mil for Q3 2025 | |
| Q4 2025 Adjusted EPS | Reported | 0.05 | 0.15 | 0.25 | -72.7% | Lower New | Guidance: 0.55 for Q3 2025 | |
| 2025 Revenue | Reported | 1.45 Bil | 1.46 Bil | 1.48 Bil | -1.4% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.48 Bil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted EPS | Reported | 0.92 | 1.02 | 1.12 | -43.3% | Lowered | Guidance: 1.8 for 2025 | |
Insider Activity
Updated 5/5/2026| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dennison, Michael C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 11172025 | 14.20 | 22,000 | 312,321 | 3,503,473 | Form |
| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dennison, Michael C | Chief Executive Officer | Direct | Buy | 11172025 | 14.20 | 22,000 | 312,321 | 3,503,473 | Form |
Investor Activity (13F)
Updated Oct 9, 2026Active managers (13F portfolio over $250M, at least 3 holdings) with a position over $5M that is either over 10% of their portfolio or held in a concentrated book of 50 or fewer total positions. Index/ETF, sovereign, bank, community-bank and charitable/donor-advised filers are excluded.
| Active Manager |
|---|
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Industry Resources
| Consumer Discretionary Resources |
| Retail Dive |
| Business of Fashion (BoF) |
| WWD (Women's Wear Daily) |
| National Retail Federation (NRF) |
| McKinsey & Company - Consumer |
| Mintel Consumer Trends |
| Automotive Parts & Equipment Resources |
| AftermarketNews |
| Tire Review |
| Motor Age |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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