Tearsheet

Fox Factory (FOXF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.49 | Market Cap: $731.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Fox Factory (FOXF)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $17.49
Market Cap: $731.4 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.4%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Outdoor Recreation & Performance Equipment, and Performance Vehicle Components.
  Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%
2   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
3   Key risks
FOXF key risks include [1] sharp demand volatility in its bicycle division, Show more.
0 Attractive yield
FCF Yield is 8.4%
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Experience Economy & Premiumization. Themes include Luxury Consumer Goods, Outdoor Recreation & Performance Equipment, and Performance Vehicle Components.
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -115%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -151%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 63%
4 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -1.4%
5 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -30%
6 Key risks
FOXF key risks include [1] sharp demand volatility in its bicycle division, Show more.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FOXF Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

I cannot provide specific real-time future financial analysis or predictions of stock movements. My knowledge cutoff means I cannot access information beyond my last training update, and therefore cannot provide details for events occurring between August 31, 2025, and December 18, 2025. Therefore, I am unable to fulfill your request.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FOXF Return52%61%-46%-26%-55%-41%-75%
Peers Return31%-24%30%-13%19%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FOXF Win Rate67%67%33%42%42%42% 
Peers Win Rate65%58%42%42%45%53% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FOXF Max Drawdown-48%-2%-59%-40%-57%-56% 
Peers Max Drawdown-3%-37%-15%-28%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PII, BC, GPC, DORM, HLLY.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFOXFS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-70.7%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven241.6%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-52.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven110.7%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven63 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-30.8%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven44.5%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven241 days120 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Fox Factory's stock fell -70.7% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/15/2021. A -70.7% loss requires a 241.6% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Fox Factory (FOXF)

Better Bets than Fox Factory (FOXF)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FOXF. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
FOXF_11302023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11302023FOXFFox FactoryDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-26.7%-48.0%-49.2%
FOXF_5312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312023FOXFFox FactoryDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-30.2%-48.4%-56.3%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
12.8%12.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
5.4%5.4%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.2%3.2%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.5%15.5%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
15.3%15.3%-1.6%
FOXF_11302023_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11302023FOXFFox FactoryDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-26.7%-48.0%-49.2%
FOXF_5312023_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield05312023FOXFFox FactoryDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-30.2%-48.4%-56.3%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Fox Factory

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FOXFPIIBCGPCDORMHLLYMedian
NameFox Fact.Polaris BrunswickGenuine .Dorman P.Holley  
Mkt Price17.4769.3375.10128.06126.404.1272.22
Mkt Cap0.73.94.917.83.90.53.9
Rev LTM1,4596,9865,18424,0612,1265983,655
Op Inc LTM571322931,41535586212
FCF LTM8558158913410515119
FCF 3Y Avg11939440263113245263
CFO LTM12476973666614344405
CFO 3Y Avg1617176231,14017558399

Growth & Margins

FOXFPIIBCGPCDORMHLLYMedian
NameFox Fact.Polaris BrunswickGenuine .Dorman P.Holley  
Rev Chg LTM6.2%-9.4%-4.8%3.3%7.9%-3.2%0.0%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-1.4%-4.5%-7.7%4.1%9.5%-5.7%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q4.8%6.9%6.8%4.9%7.9%3.2%5.8%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.2%1.7%1.7%1.2%1.9%0.7%1.5%
Op Mgn LTM3.9%1.9%5.6%5.9%16.7%14.4%5.8%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg7.1%5.2%9.4%6.7%13.3%12.0%8.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-0.3%-0.1%-0.5%0.1%0.9%0.4%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM8.5%11.0%14.2%2.8%6.7%7.4%8.0%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg10.9%9.2%10.9%4.9%8.7%9.3%9.2%
FCF/Rev LTM5.9%8.3%11.4%0.6%5.0%2.5%5.4%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg8.0%5.2%7.1%2.7%6.6%7.1%6.9%

Valuation

FOXFPIIBCGPCDORMHLLYMedian
NameFox Fact.Polaris BrunswickGenuine .Dorman P.Holley  
Mkt Cap0.73.94.917.83.90.53.9
P/S0.70.50.80.82.20.60.7
P/EBIT-4.9-114.4-32.016.113.212.53.8
P/E-3.9-21.9-17.423.819.3-15.1-9.5
P/CFO8.24.35.629.033.28.58.3
Total Yield-25.4%-0.0%-3.0%7.1%5.2%-6.6%-1.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%4.5%2.7%2.9%0.0%0.0%1.4%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg5.6%9.6%8.4%3.2%4.0%10.7%7.0%
D/E0.70.60.60.30.11.40.6
Net D/E0.60.50.50.30.11.30.5

Returns

FOXFPIIBCGPCDORMHLLYMedian
NameFox Fact.Polaris BrunswickGenuine .Dorman P.Holley  
1M Rtn32.1%11.8%21.8%2.0%-1.7%6.7%9.3%
3M Rtn-32.9%22.5%16.4%-7.3%-19.4%24.8%4.6%
6M Rtn-29.3%77.0%37.1%9.4%3.8%99.0%23.2%
12M Rtn-42.5%20.4%8.2%11.6%-5.8%45.1%9.9%
3Y Rtn-81.9%-24.9%11.3%-21.1%56.9%83.9%-4.9%
1M Excs Rtn31.4%11.1%21.0%1.2%-2.4%6.0%8.5%
3M Excs Rtn-34.8%21.4%14.2%-7.8%-21.9%19.5%3.2%
6M Excs Rtn-41.7%64.6%24.7%-3.0%-8.6%86.7%10.8%
12M Excs Rtn-55.3%4.9%-6.1%-2.0%-19.0%37.7%-4.1%
3Y Excs Rtn-151.1%-96.9%-59.9%-91.8%-18.8%-15.3%-75.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Aftermarket Applications Group551489   
Powered Vehicles Group524432720524451
Specialty Sports Group389681579367300
Total1,4641,6021,299891751


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,916,022
Short Interest: % Change Since 1115202518.0%
Average Daily Volume1,021,775
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1.88
Basic Shares Quantity41,816,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.6%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/6/2025-25.5%-35.7%-25.4%
8/7/2025-6.7%-1.4%-1.7%
5/8/202511.4%20.7%27.8%
2/27/20258.8%5.1%-4.8%
10/31/2024-5.5%-1.5%-8.5%
8/1/2024-16.3%-18.6%-18.3%
5/2/202410.4%20.4%20.5%
2/22/2024-26.8%-22.1%-24.7%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1197
# Negative111315
Median Positive8.9%12.4%15.4%
Median Negative-8.5%-6.0%-8.5%
Max Positive12.2%21.4%34.9%
Max Negative-27.2%-35.7%-38.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 10/3/2025
6302025808202510-Q 7/4/2025
3312025509202510-Q 4/4/2025
12312024228202510-K 1/3/2025
93020241101202410-Q 9/27/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/28/2024
3312024503202410-Q 3/29/2024
12312023223202410-K 12/29/2023
93020231103202310-Q 9/29/2023
6302023804202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022223202310-K 12/30/2022
93020221103202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 7/1/2022
3312022505202210-Q 4/1/2022
12312021224202210-K 12/31/2021