Tearsheet

Dorman Products (DORM)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $128.33 | Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Dorman Products (DORM)


Market Price (12/15/2025): $128.33
Market Cap: $3.9 Bil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%
 
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
  
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Electrification of Everything, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Automotive EV/AV Aftermarket Parts, Show more.
  
0 Attractive yield
Total YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.2%
1 Low stock price volatility
Vol 12M is 33%
2 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Electrification of Everything, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Automotive EV/AV Aftermarket Parts, Show more.
3 Weak multi-year price returns
3Y Excs Rtn is -24%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

DORM Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

From August 31, 2025, to December 15, 2025, Dorman Products (DORM) experienced an approximate -20.9% movement in its stock price, with a reported Quarter-to-Date (QTD) performance of -20.6% for Q4 2025. Several factors contributed to this decline: **1. Third Quarter 2025 Revenue Miss:** While Dorman Products reported strong earnings per share (EPS) for Q3 2025, its net sales of $543.7 million fell slightly below some analysts' consensus estimates of $548.6 million. This revenue miss, despite an EPS beat, may have signaled slower growth than anticipated by some investors. **2. Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance:** Following its Q3 2025 earnings report on October 27, 2025, Dorman Products reaffirmed its full-year 2025 guidance. In a market often looking for accelerating growth, merely reaffirming prior guidance, rather than raising it, can sometimes be interpreted as a lack of stronger positive momentum, leading to investor disappointment. **3. Broader Market and Industry Underperformance:** Dorman Products underperformed both the broader U.S. market and the U.S. Auto Components industry over the past year. This suggests that even with company-specific positive news, a weaker overall market or sector sentiment could have exerted downward pressure on the stock. **4. Valuation Reassessment and Profit-Taking:** Ahead of its Q3 2025 earnings report, Dorman Products' shares had gained approximately 22% year-to-date. After such a period of appreciation, investors may have engaged in profit-taking or a reassessment of the stock's valuation, especially if future growth prospects were perceived as plateauing or slowing down. **5. Concerns Over Margin Sustainability:** An analysis published on October 15, 2025, highlighted concerns about Dorman Products' "Margin Moat Under Fire." Although the company's Q3 2025 gross profit margin expanded, underlying investor anxieties regarding sustained long-term profitability or potential future pressures on margins could have contributed to a negative re-evaluation of the stock.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
DORM Return15%30%-28%3%55%-1%70%
Peers Return16%32%-27%20%-13%11%30%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%111%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
DORM Win Rate50%75%42%33%58%33% 
Peers Win Rate63%60%35%48%42%47% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
DORM Max Drawdown-38%0%-34%-23%-5%-16% 
Peers Max Drawdown-59%-10%-38%-8%-36%-26% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: APTV, ALSN, LEA, GT, ADNT. See DORM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/12/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventDORMS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-49.3%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven97.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven367 days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-39.9%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven66.4%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven63 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-29.1%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven41.1%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven321 days120 days
2008 Global Financial Crisis2008 Global Financial Crisis  
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Loss% Loss-55.8%-56.8%
2008 Global Financial Crisis% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven126.3%131.3%
2008 Global Financial CrisisTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven277 days1480 days

Compare to APTV, ALSN, LEA, GT, ADNT


In The Past

Dorman Products's stock fell -49.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -49.3% loss requires a 97.3% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Dorman Products (DORM)

Better Bets than Dorman Products (DORM)

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to DORM. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
DORM_10312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312022DORMDorman ProductsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%-23.8%-23.8%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
15.2%15.2%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
4.8%4.8%-0.1%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.1%1.1%-4.4%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
12.4%12.4%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
17.9%17.9%-1.6%
DORM_10312022_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy10312022DORMDorman ProductsDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.1%-23.8%-23.8%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Dorman Products

Peers to compare with:

Financials

DORMAPTVALSNLEAGTADNTMedian
NameDorman P.Aptiv Allison .Lear Goodyear.Adient  
Mkt Price128.0178.7899.84113.648.8018.8189.31
Mkt Cap3.917.28.46.02.51.95.0
Rev LTM2,12619,7943,06922,98518,31014,53516,422
Op Inc LTM3552,089944832636439734
FCF LTM1051,657628735-352204416
FCF 3Y Avg1321,341647591-340299445
CFO LTM1432,3428041,294573449688
CFO 3Y Avg1752,1658011,173721553761

Growth & Margins

DORMAPTVALSNLEAGTADNTMedian
NameDorman P.Aptiv Allison .Lear Goodyear.Adient  
Rev Chg LTM7.9%-1.0%-4.2%-20.8%-3.9%-1.0%-2.5%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg9.5%7.7%4.6%6.0%-3.6%1.1%5.3%
Rev Chg Q7.9%3.1%-15.9%1.7%-3.7%3.5%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM1.9%0.8%-4.1%0.4%-1.0%0.9%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM16.7%10.6%30.8%3.6%3.5%3.0%7.1%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg13.3%9.8%30.4%3.7%3.7%3.0%6.8%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.9%0.1%-0.5%-0.1%-0.6%-0.0%-0.1%
CFO/Rev LTM6.7%11.8%26.2%5.6%3.1%3.1%6.2%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg8.7%11.0%26.0%4.8%3.7%3.7%6.8%
FCF/Rev LTM5.0%8.4%20.5%3.2%-1.9%1.4%4.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg6.6%6.8%21.0%2.4%-1.8%2.0%4.5%

Valuation

DORMAPTVALSNLEAGTADNTMedian
NameDorman P.Aptiv Allison .Lear Goodyear.Adient  
Mkt Cap3.917.28.46.02.51.95.0
P/S2.20.92.30.20.10.10.6
P/EBIT13.29.67.56.97.5-7.5
P/E19.318.510.212.1-1.2-6.911.2
P/CFO33.28.08.94.13.84.36.2
Total Yield5.2%5.4%10.1%11.4%-80.3%-14.5%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%0.0%0.3%3.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg4.0%6.5%9.6%9.5%-13.6%-6.5%
D/E0.10.40.30.54.3-0.4
Net D/E0.10.40.20.33.9-0.3

Returns

DORMAPTVALSNLEAGTADNTMedian
NameDorman P.Aptiv Allison .Lear Goodyear.Adient  
1M Rtn-2.8%-0.2%22.2%8.0%16.4%-6.0%3.9%
3M Rtn-20.7%-4.8%13.3%8.4%3.4%-21.6%-0.7%
6M Rtn2.8%17.1%1.7%27.3%-19.6%2.2%2.5%
12M Rtn-6.7%35.9%-13.3%19.2%-12.3%-0.8%-3.8%
3Y Rtn54.4%-17.9%145.6%-3.7%-16.7%-46.5%-10.2%
1M Excs Rtn-7.0%-4.4%22.4%4.8%14.2%-10.5%0.2%
3M Excs Rtn-24.1%-8.1%11.0%5.5%0.1%-25.6%-4.0%
6M Excs Rtn-11.5%2.9%-12.5%13.1%-33.8%-12.1%-11.8%
12M Excs Rtn-21.4%21.7%-24.5%2.0%-26.0%-18.1%-19.8%
3Y Excs Rtn-24.5%-93.0%64.2%-79.7%-90.9%-118.9%-85.3%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
Light Duty1,4621,426   
Heavy Duty257258   
Specialty Vehicle21050   
Chassis  459324297
Hardware  585946
Motor Vehicle Body  289267252
Powertrain  539442396
Total1,9301,7341,3451,093991


Operating Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Light Duty187170   
Specialty Vehicle329   
Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration200   
Heavy Duty1530   
Pretax reduction in workforce costs0    
Executive transition services expenses-20   
Acquisition-related transaction and other costs-15-23   
Acquisition-related intangible assets amortization-22-14   
Total215171   


Assets by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
Light Duty1,0831,048   
Other non-current assets899924   
Heavy Duty163178   
Specialty Vehicle78106   
Other current assets6986   
Total2,2922,342   


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,213,397
Short Interest: % Change Since 111520254.0%
Average Daily Volume170,206
Days-to-Cover Short Interest7.13
Basic Shares Quantity30,546,000
Short % of Basic Shares4.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
10/27/2025-9.8%-13.1%-11.9%
8/4/20256.9%14.6%27.3%
2/26/20253.2%8.7%0.9%
10/31/202412.1%16.9%23.3%
8/1/20244.3%7.3%15.1%
5/7/2024-1.6%0.5%-1.8%
2/26/202415.9%8.9%12.0%
10/31/2023-14.5%-6.0%-1.6%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive101312
# Negative1078
Median Positive5.3%7.1%11.0%
Median Negative-3.0%-7.0%-8.7%
Max Positive15.9%16.9%27.3%
Max Negative-14.5%-13.4%-18.6%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251028202510-Q 9/27/2025
6302025805202510-Q 6/28/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/29/2025
12312024227202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241101202410-Q 9/28/2024
6302024802202410-Q 6/29/2024
3312024507202410-Q 3/30/2024
12312023228202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231031202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023801202310-Q 7/1/2023
3312023502202310-Q 4/1/2023
12312022301202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221024202210-Q 9/24/2022
6302022725202210-Q 6/25/2022
3312022425202210-Q 3/26/2022
12312021222202210-K 12/25/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Hession DavidSVP and CFO11032025Sell134.143,120418,5212,013,680Form