Dorman Products (DORM)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $100.5 | Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Dorman Products (DORM)
Market Price (4/7/2026): $100.5Market Cap: $3.1 BilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Automotive Parts & Equipment
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7% Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Electrification of Everything, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Automotive EV/AV Aftermarket Parts, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x Key risksDORM key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.7% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -36% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 34% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Electric Vehicles & Autonomous Driving, Electrification of Everything, and Circular Economy & Recycling. Themes include Automotive EV/AV Aftermarket Parts, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -23%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -45% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 27x |
| Key risksDORM key risks include [1] significant customer concentration, Show more. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Dorman Products issued weaker-than-expected full-year 2026 guidance, with adjusted diluted EPS projected to be between $8.10 and $8.50, significantly below the analyst consensus of $9.45. This represented a 12% shortfall compared to expectations at the midpoint.
2. The company reported a substantial non-cash goodwill impairment charge of $51.1 million related to its Heavy Duty segment in the fourth quarter of 2025. This resulted in a 79% year-over-year decrease in diluted earnings per share (EPS) to $0.38 for the quarter. Additionally, Dorman's Q4 2025 net sales of $537.9 million grew by only 0.8% and missed analyst estimates of $573.4 million.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The -18.4% change in DORM stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -17.5% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 123.19 | 100.50 | -18.4% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,126 | 2,130 | 0.2% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.6% | 9.6% | -17.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 15.2 | 15.0 | -1.3% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | 0.1% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -18.4% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DORM | -18.4% | |
| Market (SPY) | -5.4% | 16.4% |
| Sector (XLY) | -8.7% | 33.0% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -35.5% change in DORM stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -28.6% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 155.88 | 100.50 | -35.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,086 | 2,130 | 2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 10.8% | 9.6% | -11.5% |
| P/E Multiple | 21.1 | 15.0 | -28.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -35.5% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DORM | -35.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | -2.9% | 14.9% |
| Sector (XLY) | -8.8% | 25.5% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -16.6% change in DORM stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a -22.4% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 120.54 | 100.50 | -16.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 2,009 | 2,130 | 6.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 9.5% | 9.6% | 1.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 19.4 | 15.0 | -22.4% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | 0.0% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -16.6% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DORM | -16.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 16.3% | 35.8% |
| Sector (XLY) | 11.1% | 43.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 16.5% change in DORM stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026 was primarily driven by a 36.7% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4062026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 86.26 | 100.50 | 16.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,734 | 2,130 | 22.9% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 7.0% | 9.6% | 36.7% |
| P/E Multiple | 22.3 | 15.0 | -32.6% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 31 | 31 | 2.9% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 16.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/6/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| DORM | 16.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 63.3% | 36.7% |
| Sector (XLY) | 49.1% | 38.6% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| DORM Return | 30% | -28% | 3% | 55% | -5% | -18% | 16% |
| Peers Return | 14% | -21% | 16% | -8% | 7% | 1% | 4% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | -4% | 75% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| DORM Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 33% | 58% | 33% | 25% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 38% | 47% | 43% | 45% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| DORM Max Drawdown | 0% | -34% | -23% | -5% | -16% | -18% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -10% | -34% | -8% | -29% | -27% | -6% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: APTV, ALSN, LEA, GNTX, ADNT. See DORM Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/6/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | DORM | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -49.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 97.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 367 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -39.9% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 66.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 63 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -29.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 41.1% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 321 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -55.8% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 126.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 277 days | 1,480 days |
Compare to APTV, ALSN, LEA, GNTX, ADNT
In The Past
Dorman Products's stock fell -49.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/23/2021. A -49.3% loss requires a 97.3% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
About Dorman Products (DORM)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 1-3 brief analogies for Dorman Products (DORM):
The Home Depot or Lowe's for car and truck repair parts, offering a vast inventory of components needed to fix and maintain vehicles.
Like a Teva Pharmaceuticals for vehicles, providing a wide range of alternative and often improved replacement parts for original manufacturer components.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```html- Original Equipment (OE) Solutions: Replacement parts designed to match original equipment, including manifolds, regulators, sensors, and complex electronics.
- Automotive Replacement Parts: General repair and maintenance items for passenger cars and light trucks, such as door handles, keyless remotes, and door hinge repair components.
- Heavy Duty Aftermarket Parts: Specialized components for Class 4-8 vehicles, encompassing lighting, cooling, engine management, and cab products.
- Powertrain Products: Components for the engine, transmission, and axle, including cooling products, harmonic balancers, and fluid lines.
- Chassis Products: Parts for the steering, suspension, and braking systems, such as control arms, ball joints, and brake hardware.
- Automotive Body Products: Interior and exterior body components like window lift motors, switches, handles, and wiper parts.
- Hardware Products: Assortments of threaded bolts, automotive and home electrical wiring components, and general hardware.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Dorman Products (DORM) primarily sells its products to other companies (B2B) within the automotive aftermarket industry, rather than directly to individuals. Based on the provided background, its major customers are businesses that operate in the following categories:
- Automotive aftermarket retailers: This category includes various retail outlets, such as on-line platforms, which then sell Dorman's parts to end-users or professional repair shops. The provided background does not list the specific names of these retail companies.
- National, regional, and local warehouse distributors: These are companies that distribute Dorman's parts to a broad network of automotive businesses, including smaller retailers, repair facilities, and parts wholesalers. The provided background does not list the specific names of these distribution companies.
- Specialty markets, salvage yards, and local independent parts wholesalers: Dorman also supplies businesses operating in these more specialized segments of the automotive parts supply chain. The provided background does not list the specific names of these customer entities.
- Mass merchants: These are large retail chains that offer a wide variety of goods, including automotive parts, to the general public. The provided background does not list the specific names of these mass merchant companies.
The provided background describes the types of businesses Dorman Products serves but does not specify the names of individual customer companies, nor their public symbols.
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Kevin M. Olsen President, Chief Executive Officer & Director
Kevin M. Olsen joined Dorman Products in July 2016 as Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. He became Executive Vice President, Chief Financial Officer in June 2017, President and Chief Operating Officer in August 2018, and President and Chief Executive Officer in January 2019. Before joining Dorman, Mr. Olsen served as Chief Financial Officer of Colfax Fluid Handling, a division of Colfax Corporation, from January 2013 to June 2016. His prior career includes finance and operations roles at Precision Castparts, Crane, Netshape Technologies, Danaher, and PwC.
Charles W. Rayfield Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Designate and Treasurer
Charles W. Rayfield was appointed Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer Designate and Treasurer, effective January 19, 2026. His formal appointment as Chief Financial Officer will commence on the first business day following the company’s filing of its Annual Report on Form 10-K for fiscal 2025. Most recently, he served as Chief Financial Officer of Lutron Electronics Corporation since June 2023. He also provided independent financial advisory services from November 2022 to June 2023 and previously served as CFO at Knoll Inc.
Nathan J. Porter Senior Vice President, Chief Operations Officer
Nathan J. Porter was appointed Senior Vice President, Chief Operations Officer, overseeing distribution, manufacturing, logistics, and sourcing for both Light Duty and Heavy Duty segments. He joined Dorman from ADI Global Distribution, where he previously served as Senior Vice President, Chief Operations Officer.
Eric B. Luftig President, Light Duty
Eric B. Luftig joined Dorman Products in December 2021 as Senior Vice President, Product, and has since been promoted to President, Light Duty, where he leads strategic commercial functions for that segment. He brings 27 years of global engineering, marketing, product development, and commercialization experience from roles with General Electric, Nordson Corporation, and Victaulic.
Steven A. Bashir President, Heavy Duty
Steven A. Bashir has taken on the position of President, Heavy Duty, succeeding John R. McKnight, who is retiring. Mr. Bashir previously worked at ZF Services as Head of Sales for the U.S. and Canada.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Dorman Products (DORM):
- Transition to Electric Vehicles (EVs) and Autonomous Vehicles (AVs): The automotive aftermarket industry faces a significant long-term risk due to the widespread adoption of electric and autonomous vehicles. Electric vehicles have substantially fewer moving parts compared to traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, which is expected to reduce the demand for many of Dorman's traditional replacement parts, such as engine components, exhaust systems, and fuel filters. While EVs will create demand for new components like battery modules and advanced electronics, the overall decrease in parts and wear and tear could lead to lower aftermarket replacement rates. Autonomous vehicles, by increasing vehicle safety and potentially reducing accident rates, could further diminish demand for collision-related parts like body panels, headlamps, and mirrors. The rise of shared mobility through autonomous vehicles may also decrease private vehicle ownership and overall miles driven, impacting the aftermarket.
- Supply Chain Disruptions and Raw Material Costs: Dorman Products relies on a diversified global supply chain, with a notable portion of its products sourced from third-party suppliers, including a significant percentage from China. This dependence exposes the company to risks of supply chain disruptions, which can affect product availability and increase operational costs. Additionally, fluctuations in raw material costs and broader inflationary pressures are identified as key financial and economic factors that could adversely affect Dorman's profitability.
- Customer Concentration: Dorman Products faces a risk from its concentrated customer base. In 2024 and 2025, two customers individually accounted for more than 10% of net sales, with their combined sales representing approximately 39% to 40% of total net sales. In 2023, three customers accounted for roughly 44% of net sales. The loss of, or a significant reduction in sales to, any of these major customers could have a material adverse effect on Dorman's sales and operating results. Consolidation among key customers could further intensify this concentration risk.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing adoption and market penetration of electric vehicles (EVs) pose a clear emerging threat. Dorman Products' business is significantly focused on supplying replacement parts for internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, including components such as intake and exhaust manifolds, radiator fan assemblies, exhaust gas recirculation coolers, variable valve timing components, oil drain plugs, harmonic balancers, and various other engine, transmission, and axle components. As the global automotive fleet transitions towards EVs, the long-term demand for many of these ICE-specific parts will inevitably diminish, challenging Dorman's traditional product portfolio and market.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The addressable markets for Dorman Products (NASDAQ: DORM) are primarily within the motor vehicle aftermarket industry, serving passenger cars, light trucks, and medium- and heavy-duty trucks, as well as specialty vehicles. The company's operations are overwhelmingly concentrated in North America. Dorman Products estimates its total addressable market opportunity across its three distinct sectors—Light Duty, Heavy Duty, and Specialty Vehicle—to be over $165 billion in 2024. Specifically:- Light-Duty Vehicle Aftermarket (U.S.): The light-duty vehicle sector, which encompasses passenger cars and light-duty trucks and represents the majority of Dorman's products, accounted for projected industry sales of approximately $135.1 billion in 2023. The U.S. light-duty automotive aftermarket is projected to reach $435 billion in 2025.
- Heavy-Duty Truck Parts Aftermarket (Global and U.S.): The global heavy-duty truck parts aftermarket market was valued at USD 150.1 billion in 2025 and is estimated to reach USD 195.4 billion by 2034. For the United States specifically, the heavy-duty automotive aftermarket market was valued at USD 40.5 billion in 2024 and is projected to reach USD 60.2 billion by 2034.
- Specialty Vehicle Aftermarket: While a specific market size for the "Specialty Vehicle" segment is not detailed in the provided search results beyond Dorman's internal aggregation, this segment is part of the overall $165 billion total addressable market Dorman identifies.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are 3-5 expected drivers of future revenue growth for Dorman Products (DORM) over the next 2-3 years:
- Innovation and New Product Launches: Dorman Products consistently emphasizes its focus on innovation and the introduction of new products, particularly in complex electronics and non-discretionary repair parts, as a key driver for future growth. The company reported a "record year for new product sales" in 2025 and views these initiatives as crucial for driving both segment competitiveness and above-market organic growth.
- Strong Customer Demand and Growth in the Light-Duty Aftermarket: The Light-Duty segment, which primarily serves passenger vehicles, is identified as a significant engine of growth for Dorman Products. The company has seen strong customer demand in this area, contributing substantially to net sales increases.
- Strategic Pricing Initiatives: Pricing actions have played a role in Dorman's sales performance, particularly in relation to tariffs and inflationary pressures. The company has utilized pricing initiatives to drive top-line results and mitigate increased costs.
- Commercialization and Operational Excellence Initiatives: Dorman's management frequently highlights commercialization initiatives and operational excellence, including investments in productivity and automation, as strategic priorities aimed at driving long-term growth and enhancing profitability. These efforts support overall business expansion and competitiveness.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Capital Allocation Decisions (2021-2025)
Share Repurchases
- In 2024, Dorman Products repurchased $78 million of its common stock at an average price of $91 per share.
- During the fourth quarter of 2023, the company repurchased $15 million of its shares.
- Dorman's Board of Directors authorized a new $500 million share repurchase plan that became effective at the beginning of 2025.
Share Issuance
- The number of shares outstanding decreased from 31,607,509 as of December 25, 2021, to 30,391,955 as of December 31, 2025, indicating net share repurchases over issuances.
Outbound Investments
- On October 4, 2022, Dorman acquired 100% of SuperATV for an aggregate consideration of $509.8 million (net of cash acquired), with a potential earn-out of up to $100 million.
- In June 2021, Dorman acquired Dayton Parts for $338 million.
- From 2019 through 2024, approximately half of Dorman's $1.73 billion in deployed capital was allocated to mergers and acquisitions.
Capital Expenditures
- Dorman reported capital expenditures of $39 million in 2024.
- In 2023, the company invested in operations to increase flexibility and efficiency, including bringing an 827,000-square-foot distribution center in Whiteland, Indiana, into full operation, and continued to assess its footprint for optimization and automation.
- In 2025, investments were expanded in emerging technology solutions for complex automotive electronic components and significant additions were made to active suspension components, loaded knuckles, and chassis components.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | Date | |
|---|---|---|
| DASHBOARDS | ||
| Is 13.2% Fall In Dorman Products (DORM) Stock A Buying Opportunity? | 04/03/2026 | |
| Dorman Products Earnings Notes | 12/27/2025 | |
| How Low Can Dorman Products Stock Really Go? | 10/17/2025 | |
| How Does DORM Stock Compare With Its Peers Right Now? | 08/14/2025 | |
| DORM Dip Buy Analysis | 07/10/2025 | |
| Dorman Products Total Shareholder Return (TSR): 55.3% in 2024 and 6.8% 3-yr compounded annual returns (above peer average) | 03/07/2025 | |
| Dorman Products (DORM) Operating Cash Flow Comparison | 02/17/2025 | |
| ARTICLES | ||
| Dorman Products Stock To $71? | 04/03/2026 | |
| Stacking Up DORM Against Its Peers – Is It Still a Buy? | 08/14/2025 |
Trade Ideas
Select ideas related to DORM.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03312026 | SKY | Champion Homes | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | DPZ | Domino's Pizza | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | ETSY | Etsy | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.6% | 5.6% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | OLLI | Ollie's Bargain Outlet | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 03272026 | PATK | Patrick Industries | Insider | Insider Buys | Low D/EStrong Insider BuyingCompanies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.4% | 3.4% | -1.6% |
| 03062026 | DORM | Dorman Products | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -4.5% | -4.5% | -7.7% |
| 10312022 | DORM | Dorman Products | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 6.1% | -23.8% | -23.8% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 80.43 |
| Mkt Cap | 5.4 |
| Rev LTM | 8,847 |
| Op Inc LTM | 631 |
| FCF LTM | 493 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 479 |
| CFO LTM | 712 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 686 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 2.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 5.4% |
| Rev Chg Q | 4.5% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 13.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 11.9% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 8.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 5.5% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.0% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 5.4 |
| P/S | 1.0 |
| P/EBIT | 10.1 |
| P/E | 14.5 |
| P/CFO | 6.9 |
| Total Yield | 6.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.1% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 8.7% |
| D/E | 0.4 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | -3.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -21.2% |
| 12M Rtn | 26.1% |
| 3Y Rtn | -9.4% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -3.3% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -0.8% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.9% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -6.9% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -76.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light Duty | 1,462 | 1,426 | |||
| Heavy Duty | 257 | 258 | |||
| Specialty Vehicle | 210 | 50 | |||
| Chassis | 459 | 324 | 297 | ||
| Hardware | 58 | 59 | 46 | ||
| Motor Vehicle Body | 289 | 267 | 252 | ||
| Powertrain | 539 | 442 | 396 | ||
| Total | 1,930 | 1,734 | 1,345 | 1,093 | 991 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light Duty | 187 | 170 | |||
| Specialty Vehicle | 32 | 9 | |||
| Fair value adjustment to contingent consideration | 20 | 0 | |||
| Heavy Duty | 15 | 30 | |||
| Pretax reduction in workforce costs | 0 | ||||
| Executive transition services expenses | -2 | 0 | |||
| Acquisition-related transaction and other costs | -15 | -23 | |||
| Acquisition-related intangible assets amortization | -22 | -14 | |||
| Total | 215 | 171 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Light Duty | 1,083 | 1,048 | |||
| Other non-current assets | 899 | 924 | |||
| Heavy Duty | 163 | 178 | |||
| Specialty Vehicle | 78 | 106 | |||
| Other current assets | 69 | 86 | |||
| Total | 2,292 | 2,342 |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $100.50 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.1 | |
| First Trading Date | 03/12/1991 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -39.6% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $116.07 | $131.85 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -13.4% | -23.8% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 31.2% | 33.6% |
| Downside Capture | 0.35 | 0.43 |
| Upside Capture | -61.67 | 36.71 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 15.4% | 31.3% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.60 | 0.22 | 0.41 | 0.40 | 0.65 | 0.80 |
| Up Beta | 2.76 | 0.89 | 0.96 | 0.62 | 0.72 | 0.78 |
| Down Beta | 0.76 | 1.24 | 1.00 | 0.91 | 0.68 | 0.63 |
| Up Capture | -25% | -84% | -42% | -32% | 30% | 66% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 8 | 18 | 25 | 53 | 121 | 371 |
| Down Capture | 85% | 31% | 46% | 57% | 74% | 99% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 14 | 24 | 38 | 73 | 130 | 378 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DORM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DORM | -17.9% | 34.3% | -0.53 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 7.9% | 23.6% | 0.26 | 43.0% |
| Equity (SPY) | 15.3% | 19.0% | 0.64 | 35.6% |
| Gold (GLD) | 49.6% | 28.0% | 1.44 | -1.7% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 15.5% | 17.7% | 0.74 | 3.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.1% | 16.5% | 0.01 | 42.6% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -19.0% | 44.0% | -0.35 | 8.4% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DORM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DORM | -0.2% | 32.4% | 0.05 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 6.5% | 23.7% | 0.24 | 38.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 11.7% | 17.0% | 0.53 | 38.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.8% | 17.8% | 1.01 | 3.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 11.6% | 18.8% | 0.50 | 5.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.4% | 18.8% | 0.09 | 39.3% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 3.0% | 56.5% | 0.27 | 11.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with DORM | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DORM | 6.7% | 33.1% | 0.28 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLY) | 12.0% | 22.0% | 0.50 | 41.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.0% | 17.9% | 0.67 | 41.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 14.0% | 15.9% | 0.73 | -1.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 8.4% | 17.6% | 0.39 | 11.5% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.1% | 20.7% | 0.21 | 36.7% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 65.9% | 66.9% | 1.05 | 8.7% |
Smart multi-asset allocation framework can stack odds in your favor. Learn How
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/25/2026 | 1.8% | 1.4% | -7.0% |
| 10/27/2025 | -9.8% | -13.1% | -11.9% |
| 8/4/2025 | 6.9% | 14.6% | 27.3% |
| 2/26/2025 | 3.2% | 8.7% | 0.9% |
| 10/31/2024 | 12.1% | 16.9% | 23.3% |
| 8/1/2024 | 4.3% | 7.3% | 15.1% |
| 5/7/2024 | -1.6% | 0.5% | -1.8% |
| 2/26/2024 | 15.9% | 8.9% | 12.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 11 | 14 | 12 |
| # Negative | 9 | 6 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 4.3% | 7.0% | 11.0% |
| Median Negative | -2.4% | -7.5% | -7.2% |
| Max Positive | 15.9% | 16.9% | 27.3% |
| Max Negative | -14.5% | -13.4% | -11.9% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/27/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 10/28/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/06/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/27/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/01/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/02/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/07/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/28/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 10/31/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/01/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/02/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 03/01/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 10/24/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 07/25/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 04/25/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/25/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Revenue Growth | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 8.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Diluted EPS | 7.57 | 7.77 | 7.97 | -5.2% | Lowered | Guidance: 8.2 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 8.1 | 8.3 | 8.5 | -5.1% | Lowered | Guidance: 8.75 for 2025 | |
| 2026 Tax Rate Estimate | 23.5% | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 23.5% for 2025 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 10/27/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Net Sales Growth | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 0 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 8.0% for 2025 |
| 2025 Diluted EPS | 8.05 | 8.2 | 8.35 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 8.2 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS | 8.6 | 8.75 | 8.9 | 0 | Affirmed | Guidance: 8.75 for 2025 | |
| 2025 Diluted EPS Growth | 31.0% | 33.5% | 36.0% | ||||
| 2025 Adjusted Diluted EPS Growth | 21.0% | 23.0% | 25.0% | ||||
| 2025 Tax Rate Estimate | 23.5% | ||||||
Insider Activity
Expand for More| # | Owner | Title | Holding | Action | Filing Date | Price | Shares | Transacted Value | Value of Held Shares | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Long, Donna M | SVP, CIO | Direct | Sell | 1062026 | 123.75 | 812 | 100,488 | 2,209,721 | Form |
| 2 | McKnight, John | President, Heavy Duty | Direct | Sell | 12152025 | 128.80 | 2,000 | 257,596 | 1,173,621 | Form |
| 3 | McKnight, John | President, Heavy Duty | Direct | Sell | 12032025 | 130.71 | 4,898 | 640,196 | 1,452,415 | Form |
| 4 | Hession, David | SVP and CFO | Direct | Sell | 11032025 | 135.31 | 12,493 | 1,690,379 | 762,942 | Form |
| 5 | Bowen, Gregory C | VP, Chief Accounting Officer | Direct | Sell | 9152025 | 162.81 | 1,453 | 236,560 | 758,511 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
Prefer one of these to Trefis? Tell us why.