Tearsheet

Holley (HLLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.385 | Market Cap: $523.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Holley (HLLY)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $4.385
Market Cap: $523.6 Mil
Sector: Consumer Discretionary
Industry: Automotive Parts & Equipment

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automotive Passion & Performance. Themes include Automotive Aftermarket Performance, Vehicle Customization, and Motorsports & Racing.
Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 131%
1  Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.8%
Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 108%
2   Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%
3   Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%
0 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Automotive Passion & Performance. Themes include Automotive Aftermarket Performance, Vehicle Customization, and Motorsports & Racing.
1 Trading close to highs
Dist 52W High is 0.0%
2 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -47%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -7.8%
3 Debt is significant
Net D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 131%
4 Stock price has recently run up significantly
6M Rtn6 month market price return is 108%
5 Weak revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -3.2%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -5.7%
6 Yield minus risk free rate is negative
ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is -11%

Valuation, Metrics & Events

HLLY Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Holley (HLLY) experienced a 7.9% stock movement, primarily influenced by strong financial performance, strategic operational improvements, and positive outlooks that occurred around the approximate period from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025.

1. Strong Q3 2025 Financial Performance: Holley's core business demonstrated notable year-over-year growth of 6.4% in the third quarter of 2025, marking its third consecutive quarter of expansion. The business-to-business (B2B) channel also saw significant growth, with a 7.3% increase in revenue, partly driven by new product innovation and portfolio management efforts.

2. Significant Margin Improvement: In Q3 2025, Holley achieved an improvement in gross margins to 43.2%, an increase of over 400 basis points from the previous year, reflecting strong pricing discipline and operational enhancements. Furthermore, the adjusted EBITDA margin rose by over 300 basis points year-over-year to 19.6%, indicating improved operating leverage and cost discipline.

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Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
HLLY Return-30%-84%130%-38%44%-57%
Peers Return37%9%-19%15%-25%14%18%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
HLLY Win Rate100%58%25%50%33%40% 
Peers Win Rate63%53%38%47%35%58% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
HLLY Max Drawdown--6%-85%-7%-47%-41% 
Peers Max Drawdown-63%-9%-41%-14%-37%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventHLLYS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-86.8%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven660.2%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-2.5%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven2.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven26 days148 days

Compare to PATK, VC, CVGI, APTV, MGA


In The Past

Holley's stock fell -86.8% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/16/2022. A -86.8% loss requires a 660.2% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Holley (HLLY)

Better Bets than Holley (HLLY)

Latest Trefis Analyses

TitleTopic
0DASHBOARDS 
1Can Holley Stock Hold Up When Markets Turn?Return
Title
0ARTICLES

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to HLLY. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BBWI_11302025_Dip_Buyer_1M_Insider_Buying_GTE_1Mil_EBITp+DE11302025BBWIBath & Body WorksDip BuyDB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider Buying
Buying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap
6.8%6.8%0.0%
HRB_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025HRBH&R BlockDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
0.5%0.5%0.0%
LRN_11262025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11262025LRNStrideDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
-2.6%-2.6%-2.6%
ABNB_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025ABNBAirbnbDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
3.7%3.7%0.0%
MTN_11212025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11212025MTNVail ResortsDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
1.3%1.3%-1.6%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Holley

Peers to compare with:

Financials

HLLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameHolley Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Price4.39108.33101.641.7278.0949.5063.80
Mkt Cap0.53.52.80.117.013.93.1
Rev LTM5983,8733,75967719,79441,7903,816
Op Inc LTM86258341-42,0891,988300
FCF LTM15183366-221,6572,036275
FCF 3Y Avg45290258191,3411,133274
CFO LTM44301495-102,3423,526398
CFO 3Y Avg58372384372,1653,218378

Growth & Margins

HLLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameHolley Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Rev Chg LTM-3.2%6.1%-4.0%-13.8%-1.0%-2.0%-2.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg-5.7%-7.3%3.0%-11.0%7.7%4.0%-1.4%
Rev Chg Q3.2%6.1%-6.4%-11.2%3.1%1.8%2.4%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.7%1.5%-1.6%-3.1%0.8%0.4%0.6%
Op Mgn LTM14.4%6.7%9.1%-0.6%10.6%4.8%7.9%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg12.0%7.2%7.9%2.3%9.8%4.6%7.6%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM0.4%-0.3%0.1%-0.1%0.1%-0.0%0.0%
CFO/Rev LTM7.4%7.8%13.2%-1.4%11.8%8.4%8.1%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg9.3%10.0%9.9%4.6%11.0%7.6%9.6%
FCF/Rev LTM2.5%4.7%9.7%-3.3%8.4%4.9%4.8%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg7.1%7.9%6.7%2.2%6.8%2.7%6.7%

Valuation

HLLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameHolley Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
Mkt Cap0.53.52.80.117.013.93.1
P/S0.60.90.90.10.90.30.7
P/EBIT12.514.38.8-19.89.67.19.2
P/E-15.127.810.6-1.518.512.911.8
P/CFO8.511.16.6-5.88.03.87.3
Total Yield-6.6%5.2%9.4%-68.2%5.4%11.8%5.3%
Dividend Yield0.0%1.6%0.0%0.0%0.0%4.1%0.0%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg10.7%13.3%8.0%-4.2%6.5%8.6%8.3%
D/E1.40.50.12.30.40.60.5
Net D/E1.30.5-0.11.50.40.50.5

Returns

HLLYPATKVCCVGIAPTVMGAMedian
NameHolley Patrick .Visteon Commerci.Aptiv Magna In. 
1M Rtn51.9%5.8%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%3.6%
3M Rtn14.3%-2.8%-16.9%3.0%-1.9%11.1%0.5%
6M Rtn108.1%25.7%23.4%22.9%18.5%39.5%24.6%
12M Rtn51.4%23.2%7.4%-28.3%40.2%13.8%18.5%
3Y Rtn61.4%198.4%-31.8%-76.5%-24.7%-8.8%-16.7%
1M Excs Rtn51.9%5.9%-4.7%8.2%-4.5%1.5%3.7%
3M Excs Rtn5.5%-10.0%-24.1%-2.4%-8.3%4.9%-5.3%
6M Excs Rtn93.3%11.0%8.7%8.1%3.8%24.7%9.8%
12M Excs Rtn41.0%9.4%-4.1%-42.2%27.1%1.4%5.4%
3Y Excs Rtn-7.8%143.7%-101.4%-146.0%-96.3%-79.2%-87.7%

Financials

Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity1,442,762
Short Interest: % Change Since 103120254.7%
Average Daily Volume3,085,516
Days-to-Cover Short Interest1
Basic Shares Quantity119,405,911
Short % of Basic Shares1.2%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/28/2025
6302025806202510-Q 6/29/2025
3312025507202510-Q 3/30/2025
12312024314202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241108202410-Q 9/29/2024
6302024807202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024508202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023314202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231108202310-Q 10/1/2023
6302023810202310-Q 7/2/2023
3312023511202310-Q 4/2/2023
12312022315202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221114202210-Q 10/2/2022
6302022811202210-Q 7/3/2022
3312022512202210-Q 4/3/2022
12312021315202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

Expand for More

 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0LOBEL DAVID S 3242025Sell2.47802,1271,981,254100,664,440Form
1LOBEL DAVID S 12182024Sell3.001,743,3565,230,068124,670,883Form