California Water Service (CWT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.5 | Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Water Utilities
California Water Service (CWT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $44.5Market Cap: $2.7 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Water Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% | Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6% | |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% | Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.7%, ERPEquity Risk Premium (ERP) = Total Yield - Risk Free Rate, Reflects the premium above risk free assets offered by the investment. is 3.5% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 32% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 23% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Water Infrastructure, and Smart Grids & Grid Modernization. Themes include Water Treatment & Delivery, Wastewater Management, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -57%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -99% |
| Debt is significantNet D/ENet Debt/Equity. Debt net of cash. Negative indicates net cash. Equity is taken as the Market Capitalization is 53% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.6% |
| Not cash flow generativeFCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -18% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CWT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
California Water Service (CWT) experienced a stock movement of approximately -4.5% between August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, due to several key factors.
1. Q3 2025 Earnings Miss: California Water Service Group reported diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.03 for the third quarter of 2025, falling short of analyst expectations, which ranged from $1.17 to $1.20. This earnings miss, despite a year-over-year increase in revenue, led to a stock decline of approximately 3.6% to 4.99% immediately following the earnings release on October 30, 2025.
2. Increased Operating Expenses: The company's Q3 2025 financial results indicated a rise in operational costs, specifically an increase of $7.6 million in water production costs due to higher wholesale water rates and a 26% increase in net interest expenses compared to the same quarter in the previous year. These elevated costs negatively impacted the company's profitability.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CWT Return | 7% | 35% | -14% | -13% | -11% | 1% | -2% |
| Peers Return | 6% | 23% | -7% | -15% | -7% | 3% | -1% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CWT Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 50% | 58% | 50% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 57% | 65% | 48% | 43% | 43% | 46% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CWT Max Drawdown | -18% | -2% | -32% | -23% | -15% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -11% | -28% | -24% | -15% | -7% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: AWK, WTRG, AWR, CWT, HTO.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CWT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -35.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 55.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -26.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 36.3% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 105 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -22.4% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 28.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 262 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -33.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 49.3% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 53 days | 1480 days |
Compare to AWK, WTRG, AWR, CWT, HTO
In The Past
California Water Service's stock fell -35.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 1/3/2022. A -35.6% loss requires a 55.3% gain to breakeven.
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CWT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for California Water Service
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 48.00 |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| Rev LTM | 1,002 |
| Op Inc LTM | 197 |
| FCF LTM | -257 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | -173 |
| CFO LTM | 323 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 269 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 11.4% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 10.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | 9.6% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 2.0% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 30.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 31.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 40.0% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 28.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | -18.0% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -19.4% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 2.8 |
| P/S | 4.4 |
| P/EBIT | 12.5 |
| P/E | 20.0 |
| P/CFO | 10.6 |
| Total Yield | 7.6% |
| Dividend Yield | 2.7% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | -4.1% |
| D/E | 0.6 |
| Net D/E | 0.6 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 2.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -2.4% |
| 6M Rtn | -3.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 3Y Rtn | -20.5% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 3.0% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -8.4% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -18.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -24.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -93.0% |
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 10302025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 7312025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5012025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2272025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 10312024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8012024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 4252024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2292024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 10262023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 7272023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 4282023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 3012023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 10272022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 7282022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 4282022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2242022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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