Calavo Growers (CVGW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.23 | Market Cap: $361.2 MilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Food Distributors
Calavo Growers (CVGW)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $20.23Market Cap: $361.2 MilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Food Distributors
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, FCF Yield is 6.0% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 5.6%, Dividend Yield is 2.3%, FCF Yield is 6.0% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 41% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and Vegan & Alternative Foods. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -56%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -113% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -0.4% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CVGW Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The stock of Calavo Growers (CVGW) moved by -25.4% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, due to several key factors:
1. The company reported a significant revenue miss for its third quarter fiscal 2025 earnings. Calavo Growers announced Q3 2025 revenue of $178.8 million, which fell notably short of analyst estimates, ranging from $192.3 million to $199.4 million. This revenue shortfall was a primary driver of negative market sentiment.
2. The Fresh segment experienced a decline in sales and volume. Sales in the Fresh segment decreased by 5% year-over-year to $155.9 million, attributed to an 8% decrease in overall cartons sold, including lower avocado and tomato volumes.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CVGW Return | -22% | -37% | -30% | 1% | -12% | -16% | -74% |
| Peers Return | -10% | -0% | -28% | 30% | 21% | -23% | -22% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CVGW Win Rate | 58% | 50% | 42% | 58% | 42% | 40% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 63% | 45% | 32% | 45% | 45% | 28% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CVGW Max Drawdown | -44% | -50% | -31% | -25% | -29% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -36% | -5% | -35% | -10% | -17% | -32% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: BV, AVO, LMNR, VRA, FIT. See CVGW Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CVGW | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -74.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 291.8% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -43.6% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 77.4% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -34.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 51.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -73.6% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 279.4% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 748 days | 1480 days |
Compare to BV, AVO, LMNR, VRA, FIT
In The Past
Calavo Growers's stock fell -74.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 3/8/2021. A -74.5% loss requires a 291.8% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
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Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CVGW. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Calavo Growers
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 12.78 |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| Rev LTM | 694 |
| Op Inc LTM | 24 |
| FCF LTM | 13 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 7 |
| CFO LTM | 30 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 12 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -3.0% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -0.3% |
| Rev Chg Q | -4.1% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -1.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 3.5% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 3.1% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.1% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.2% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 1.1% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 0.9% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | -0.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 0.4 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 11.2 |
| P/E | 21.0 |
| P/CFO | 6.1 |
| Total Yield | 3.4% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 1.8% |
| D/E | 0.3 |
| Net D/E | 0.2 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Rtn | -9.1% |
| 6M Rtn | -7.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -26.3% |
| 3Y Rtn | -22.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 1.9% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -16.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -22.7% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -38.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -98.0% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 7312025 | 9092025 | 10-Q 7/31/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6092025 | 10-Q 4/30/2025 |
| 1312025 | 3122025 | 10-Q 1/31/2025 |
| 10312024 | 1142025 | 10-K 10/31/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9092024 | 10-Q 7/31/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6102024 | 10-Q 4/30/2024 |
| 1312024 | 3112024 | 10-Q 1/31/2024 |
| 10312023 | 1312024 | 10-K 10/31/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9062023 | 10-Q 7/31/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6062023 | 10-Q 4/30/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3062023 | 10-Q 1/31/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12202022 | 10-K 10/31/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9012022 | 10-Q 7/31/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6022022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3142022 | 10-Q 1/31/2022 |
| 10312021 | 12212021 | 10-K 10/31/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |