Central Garden & Pet (CENT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.85 | Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Household Products
Central Garden & Pet (CENT)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $33.85Market Cap: $2.1 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Household Products
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 14% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% | ||
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% | ||
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 6.4%, FCF Yield is 14% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 11%, FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 10% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 35% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -43%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -68% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -4.9%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.5%, Rev Chg QQuarterly Revenue Change % is -3.6% |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CENT Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
The approximate -6.9% movement in Central Garden & Pet (CENT) stock from August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025, can be attributed to several key factors:
1. Negative Market Reaction to Q4 2025 Earnings Despite Beat.
Despite reporting fourth-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings on November 24, 2025, that surpassed analyst estimates for both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue, Central Garden & Pet's stock closed down 2.66% on the day. This suggests that even positive financial results were met with a "sell the news" reaction or that underlying market concerns outweighed the beat.
2. Significant Institutional Investor Selling.
During the third quarter of 2025, major institutional investors significantly decreased their positions in Central Garden & Pet. Notably, MILLENNIUM MANAGEMENT LLC removed 210,525 shares, valued at an estimated $6,873,641, exceeding the USD 5 million threshold for inclusion. Such substantial selling by large funds can place downward pressure on a stock's price.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CENT Return | 24% | 36% | -29% | 34% | -3% | -13% | 35% |
| Peers Return | 9% | 17% | -18% | 21% | 30% | 0% | 64% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CENT Win Rate | 58% | 58% | 33% | 50% | 33% | 30% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 58% | 56% | 39% | 58% | 75% | 57% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CENT Max Drawdown | -19% | 0% | -32% | -4% | -19% | -25% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -25% | -11% | -27% | -7% | -1% | -18% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: ATR, AWI, LGM, MXRX, CL. See CENT Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CENT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -39.6% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 65.6% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -23.5% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 30.8% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 40 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -49.7% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 98.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 540 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -95.0% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1916.9% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 4463 days | 1480 days |
Compare to ATR, AWI, LGM, MXRX, CL
In The Past
Central Garden & Pet's stock fell -39.6% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 5/7/2021. A -39.6% loss requires a 65.6% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CENT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BF-B | Brown-Forman | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.1% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| 11302025 | CPB | Campbell's | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -1.9% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
| 11212025 | ENR | Energizer | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | -5.3% | -5.3% | -5.3% |
| 11212025 | FLO | Flowers Foods | Dip Buy | DB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow YieldBuying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap | 3.5% | 3.5% | -1.6% |
| 11142025 | CLX | Clorox | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.1% | 2.1% | -5.1% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Central Garden & Pet
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 100.13 |
| Mkt Cap | 8.1 |
| Rev LTM | 3,120 |
| Op Inc LTM | 310 |
| FCF LTM | 309 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 287 |
| CFO LTM | 459 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 459 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 1.3% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 3.7% |
| Rev Chg Q | 3.4% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 0.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 14.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 16.2% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.2% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 17.5% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 17.7% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 12.6% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 10.7% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 8.1 |
| P/S | 2.8 |
| P/EBIT | 15.5 |
| P/E | 21.6 |
| P/CFO | 16.0 |
| Total Yield | 6.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.8% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 3.9% |
| D/E | 0.1 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Rtn | -7.2% |
| 6M Rtn | -8.3% |
| 12M Rtn | -15.6% |
| 3Y Rtn | 12.3% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 6.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -13.2% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -23.0% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -29.5% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -56.6% |
Comparison Analyses
Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/28/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5082025 | 10-Q 3/29/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2062025 | 10-Q 12/28/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11272024 | 10-K 9/28/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8082024 | 10-Q 6/29/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/30/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2082024 | 10-Q 12/30/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11282023 | 10-K 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/24/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/25/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2012023 | 10-Q 12/24/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11222022 | 10-K 9/24/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/25/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5052022 | 10-Q 3/26/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2032022 | 10-Q 12/25/2021 |
| 9302021 | 11232021 | 10-K 9/25/2021 |
External Quote Links
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| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
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