Tearsheet

Freshpet (FRPT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $62.5 | Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Freshpet (FRPT)


Market Price (12/4/2025): $62.5
Market Cap: $3.0 Bil
Sector: Consumer Staples
Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 45x
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
 
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
  
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
  
0 Strong revenue growth
Rev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 16%
1 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 14%
2 Valuation becoming less expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -38%
3 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more.
4 Weak multi-year price returns
2Y Excs Rtn is -62%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -77%
5 Meaningful short interest
Short Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13%
6 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 45x

Valuation, Metrics & Events

FRPT Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are the key points explaining Freshpet's (FRPT) stock movement of 11.4% from approximately August 31, 2025, to December 4, 2025: 1. Freshpet's third-quarter 2025 earnings significantly surpassed profit expectations. The company reported Non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) of $0.46, exceeding the analyst consensus estimate of $0.4425. Investing.com reported an even higher EPS of $1.86, substantially beating the forecasted $0.43. This strong profit performance was largely attributed to a deferred income tax benefit of $77.9 million.

2. The company achieved positive free cash flow in the third quarter of 2025. This milestone was reached a year ahead of its original goal, providing management with the confidence to project positive free cash flow for the entire fiscal year 2025.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
FRPT Return140%-33%-45%64%71%-61%-2%
Peers Return4%13%13%-19%2%-25%-17%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%16%112%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
FRPT Win Rate83%42%50%67%50%30% 
Peers Win Rate40%44%60%38%56%38% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%70% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
FRPT Max Drawdown-26%-36%-59%-1%-4%-67% 
Peers Max Drawdown-13%-5%-6%-31%-15%-29% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventFRPTS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-79.0%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven376.3%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to BreakevenNot Fully Recovered days464 days
2020 Covid Pandemic2020 Covid Pandemic  
2020 Covid Pandemic% Loss% Loss-42.7%-33.9%
2020 Covid Pandemic% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven74.6%51.3%
2020 Covid PandemicTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven42 days148 days
2018 Correction2018 Correction  
2018 Correction% Loss% Loss-27.5%-19.8%
2018 Correction% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven37.8%24.7%
2018 CorrectionTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven38 days120 days

Compare to K, GIS, FLO, WEST, BRBF


In The Past

Freshpet's stock fell -79.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -79.0% loss requires a 376.3% gain to breakeven.

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Asset Allocation

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About Freshpet (FRPT)

Better Bets than Freshpet (FRPT)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to FRPT. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
BF-B_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025BF-BBrown-FormanDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
3.1%3.1%0.0%
CPB_11302025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy11302025CPBCampbell'sDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
-1.9%-1.9%-1.9%
ENR_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025ENREnergizerDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
-5.3%-5.3%-5.3%
FLO_11212025_Dip_Buyer_High_FCF_Yield_ExInd_DE_RevG11212025FLOFlowers FoodsDip BuyDB | FCF Yield | Low D/EDip Buy with High Free Cash Flow Yield
Buying dips for companies with significant free cash flow yield (FCF / Market Cap) and reasonable debt / market cap
3.5%3.5%-1.6%
CLX_11142025_Dip_Buyer_FCFYield11142025CLXCloroxDip BuyDB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin
2.1%2.1%-5.1%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Freshpet

Peers to compare with:

Financials

FRPTKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameFreshpet KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Price62.1883.1446.2011.074.15-46.20
Mkt Cap3.028.825.02.30.4-3.0
Rev LTM1,07912,64319,1565,1351,07803,107
Op Inc LTM511,8553,141320-34-1185
FCF LTM26502,096325-151-0164
FCF 3Y Avg-798952,300257-192-1128
CFO LTM1561,3052,691451-53-0303
CFO 3Y Avg1151,5123,003384-431250

Growth & Margins

FRPTKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameFreshpet KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Rev Chg LTM16.3%-1.4%-3.3%0.3%28.9%-100.0%-0.6%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg25.7%1.5%0.1%3.0%10.0%-3.0%
Rev Chg Q14.0%0.3%-6.8%3.0%60.7%-3.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM3.4%0.1%-1.7%0.7%14.2%-0.7%
Op Mgn LTM4.7%14.7%16.4%6.2%-3.2%-6.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg0.6%12.1%16.9%5.7%-2.1%-5.7%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM1.1%-0.4%-0.5%-0.5%0.8%--0.4%
CFO/Rev LTM14.4%10.3%14.0%8.8%-4.9%-10.3%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg12.2%12.2%15.2%7.5%-4.6%-12.2%
FCF/Rev LTM0.2%5.1%10.9%6.3%-14.0%-5.1%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-10.4%7.2%11.7%5.0%-21.1%-5.0%

Valuation

FRPTKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameFreshpet KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
Mkt Cap3.028.825.02.30.4-3.0
P/S2.52.31.50.50.4-1.5
P/EBIT44.615.18.78.5-11.2-8.7
P/E21.821.39.614.2-5.0-14.2
P/CFO17.321.810.46.1-8.8-10.4
Total Yield4.6%7.5%15.2%14.6%-19.9%-7.5%
Dividend Yield0.0%2.8%4.7%7.5%0.0%-2.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-2.1%3.6%6.6%7.0%-32.4%-3.6%
D/E0.20.20.50.81.3-0.5
Net D/E0.10.20.50.81.2-0.5

Returns

FRPTKGISFLOWESTBRBFMedian
NameFreshpet KellanovaGeneral .Flowers .Westrock.BRB Foods 
1M Rtn10.5%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--0.5%
3M Rtn17.0%5.9%-6.0%-21.3%-22.1%--6.0%
6M Rtn-23.9%3.0%-13.3%-29.7%-38.1%--23.9%
12M Rtn-60.3%6.1%-27.1%-47.4%-46.6%--46.6%
3Y Rtn-2.8%32.1%-40.4%-57.2%-69.3%--40.4%
1M Excs Rtn10.6%0.8%-0.5%-4.6%-6.7%--0.5%
3M Excs Rtn11.4%-0.0%-11.1%-26.6%-28.8%--11.1%
6M Excs Rtn-38.6%-11.8%-28.0%-44.4%-52.8%--38.6%
12M Excs Rtn-72.9%-7.6%-40.6%-61.2%-61.9%--61.2%
3Y Excs Rtn-76.5%-37.6%-110.6%-129.4%-139.4%--110.6%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil20242023202220212020
The manufacturing, marketing and distribution of fresh dog food, cat food, and dog treats767    
Grocery, Mass, International and Digital 525357272207
Pet Specialty and Club 70694739
Total767595425319246


Net Income by Segment
$ Mil20242023202220212020
The manufacturing, marketing and distribution of fresh dog food, cat food, and dog treats-34    
Total-34    


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11142025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,248,526
Short Interest: % Change Since 10312025-2.4%
Average Daily Volume1,584,487
Days-to-Cover Short Interest3.94
Basic Shares Quantity48,787,000
Short % of Basic Shares12.8%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251103202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025804202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025505202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024220202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024805202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024506202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023226202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023807202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023508202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022228202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022809202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022503202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021301202210-K 12/31/2021

Industry Resources

Packaged Foods & Meats Resources
USDA Data