Freshpet (FRPT)
Market Price (4/25/2026): $66.1 | Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Consumer Staples | Industry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Freshpet (FRPT)
Market Price (4/25/2026): $66.1Market Cap: $3.2 BilSector: Consumer StaplesIndustry: Packaged Foods & Meats
Investment Highlights Why It Matters Detailed financial logic regarding cash flow yields vs trend-riding momentum.
Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% | Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x Key risksFRPT key risks include [1] an inability to profitably execute its capital-intensive expansion given its history of inefficient capital use and [2] a potential consumer trade-down from its premium products. |
| Strong revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 13% |
| Attractive cash flow generationCFO/Rev LTMCash Flow from Operations / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is 15% |
| Low stock price volatilityVol 12M is 48% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Health & Wellness Trends, and E-commerce & DTC Adoption. Themes include Organic & Natural Products, Functional Foods & Beverages, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -81%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -66% |
| Meaningful short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 13% |
| Expensive valuation multiplesP/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 38x |
| Key risksFRPT key risks include [1] an inability to profitably execute its capital-intensive expansion given its history of inefficient capital use and [2] a potential consumer trade-down from its premium products. |
Qualitative Assessment
AI Analysis | Feedback
1. Freshpet exceeded fourth-quarter 2025 earnings estimates and achieved a significant revenue milestone.
The company reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.64 for Q4 2025, which surpassed analysts' estimates of $0.46 by 39.13%. Freshpet also announced full-year 2025 net sales of $1,102.0 million, marking the first time the company exceeded $1 billion in annual sales.
2. The company provided optimistic financial guidance for 2026 and achieved positive free cash flow.
Freshpet projected net sales growth for 2026 to be in the range of 7% to 10% compared to 2025, with adjusted EBITDA anticipated between $205 million and $215 million. Furthermore, Freshpet achieved positive free cash flow of $12.4 million in 2025, a full year ahead of its original target.
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Stock Movement Drivers
Fundamental Drivers
The 8.6% change in FRPT stock from 12/31/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 10.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 12312025 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 60.93 | 66.15 | 8.6% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,079 | 1,102 | 2.1% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 11.4% | 12.6% | 10.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 24.1 | 23.2 | -3.5% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49 | 49 | -0.2% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 8.6% |
Market Drivers
12/31/2025 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRPT | 8.6% | |
| Market (SPY) | 4.2% | 34.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 7.1% | 6.8% |
Fundamental Drivers
The 20.0% change in FRPT stock from 9/30/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a 291.4% change in the company's Net Income Margin (%).| (LTM values as of) | 9302025 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 55.11 | 66.15 | 20.0% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 1,044 | 1,102 | 5.6% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 3.2% | 12.6% | 291.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 79.8 | 23.2 | -70.9% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49 | 49 | -0.3% |
| Cumulative Contribution | 20.0% |
Market Drivers
9/30/2025 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRPT | 20.0% | |
| Market (SPY) | 7.0% | 23.7% |
| Sector (XLP) | 7.1% | 8.6% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -20.5% change in FRPT stock from 3/31/2025 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -73.0% change in the company's P/E Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312025 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 83.17 | 66.15 | -20.5% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 975 | 1,102 | 13.0% |
| Net Income Margin (%) | 4.8% | 12.6% | 162.4% |
| P/E Multiple | 86.2 | 23.2 | -73.0% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 49 | 49 | -0.5% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -20.5% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2025 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRPT | -20.5% | |
| Market (SPY) | 28.1% | 37.3% |
| Sector (XLP) | 4.1% | 28.4% |
Fundamental Drivers
The -0.1% change in FRPT stock from 3/31/2023 to 4/24/2026 was primarily driven by a -45.1% change in the company's P/S Multiple.| (LTM values as of) | 3312023 | 4242026 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stock Price ($) | 66.19 | 66.15 | -0.1% |
| Change Contribution By: | |||
| Total Revenues ($ Mil) | 595 | 1,102 | 85.1% |
| P/S Multiple | 5.4 | 2.9 | -45.1% |
| Shares Outstanding (Mil) | 48 | 49 | -1.6% |
| Cumulative Contribution | -0.1% |
Market Drivers
3/31/2023 to 4/24/2026| Return | Correlation | |
|---|---|---|
| FRPT | -0.1% | |
| Market (SPY) | 79.8% | 34.4% |
| Sector (XLP) | 20.2% | 21.0% |
Price Returns Compared
| 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | 2026 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| FRPT Return | -33% | -45% | 64% | 71% | -59% | 8% | -54% |
| Peers Return | 2% | -14% | -21% | 10% | -15% | -4% | -38% |
| S&P 500 Return | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 4% | 89% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| FRPT Win Rate | 42% | 50% | 67% | 50% | 42% | 75% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 52% | 45% | 38% | 40% | 38% | 40% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 67% | 50% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| FRPT Max Drawdown | -36% | -59% | -1% | -4% | -67% | -8% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -18% | -32% | -37% | -25% | -22% | -16% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | -7% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2021
[2] Peers: GIS, SJM, CHWY, CENT, WOOF.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2026 data is for the year up to 4/24/2026 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | FRPT | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -79.0% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 376.3% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | Not Fully Recovered days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -42.7% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 74.6% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 42 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -27.5% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 37.8% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 38 days | 120 days |
Compare to GIS, SJM, CHWY, CENT, WOOF
In The Past
Freshpet's stock fell -79.0% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 4/30/2021. A -79.0% loss requires a 376.3% gain to breakeven.
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About Freshpet (FRPT)
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are a few brief analogies for Freshpet (FRPT):
The Chobani of pet food.
The Organic Valley of pet food.
AI Analysis | Feedback
- Fresh Dog Food: Natural, refrigerated meals specifically formulated for dogs.
- Fresh Cat Food: Natural, refrigerated meals specifically formulated for cats.
- Dog Treats: Natural, refrigerated treats designed for dogs.
- Cat Treats: Natural, refrigerated treats designed for cats.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Major Customers of Freshpet (FRPT)
Freshpet, Inc. primarily sells its products to various retail companies rather than directly to individual consumers. These retailers then sell Freshpet products to the end-consumer. Based on company disclosures and common distribution channels for pet food, Freshpet's major customers are large retail chains across grocery, mass merchandise, club, and pet specialty sectors.
While Freshpet does not publicly disclose the specific names of its top customers by percentage of revenue, its SEC filings indicate significant customer concentration, with the top five customers accounting for approximately 63% of its gross sales in 2023. Based on Freshpet's stated retail partners and the size of these retailers in the market, the following are identified as major customers:
- Walmart Inc. (WMT)
- The Kroger Co. (KR)
- Target Corporation (TGT)
- Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc. (WOOF)
- PetSmart (private company)
AI Analysis | Feedback
nullAI Analysis | Feedback
Billy Cyr, Chief Executive Officer
Mr. Cyr has served as Freshpet's Chief Executive Officer since September 2016. Prior to joining Freshpet, he was President and Chief Executive Officer of Sunny Delight Beverages Co. from August 2004 to February 2016. Mr. Cyr led a leveraged buyout of Procter & Gamble's Sunny Delight business in 2004, partnering with private equity. He spent 19 years at Procter & Gamble, where he served as Vice President and General Manager of the North American Juice Business and Global Nutritional Beverages.
John O'Connor, Chief Financial Officer
Mr. O'Connor was appointed Chief Financial Officer, effective February 9, 2026. He brings over 20 years of financial leadership experience, with extensive tenure in animal health and pet care. Most recently, he served as Senior Vice President, Global Commercial Finance at Zoetis, the world's largest animal health company. Mr. O'Connor previously served as Chief Financial Officer of Thrive Pet Healthcare, a veterinary services platform, and held senior finance, investor relations, and capital markets roles at Zoetis and Pfizer.
Scott Morris, President & Co-Founder
Mr. Morris is a co-founder of Freshpet, established in 2006. He has served as President since March 2016. Previously at Freshpet, he held roles as Chief Operating Officer from July 2015 to August 2024, Chief Marketing Officer from 2014 to 2015, and Senior Vice President of Sales and Marketing from 2010 to 2013. Before co-founding Freshpet, Mr. Morris was Vice President of Marketing at The Meow Mix Company from 2002 to 2006 and worked at Ralston Purina from 1990 to 2002 in various sales and marketing leadership positions.
Nicki Baty, Chief Operating Officer
Ms. Baty serves as the Chief Operating Officer for Freshpet.
Thembi Machaba, Chief Human Resources Officer
Ms. Machaba is the Chief Human Resources Officer at Freshpet.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key risks to Freshpet's business:
- Execution Risk on Growth Strategy and Slowing Growth: Freshpet's continued success is heavily dependent on its ability to expand manufacturing capacity, broaden its distribution network by installing new refrigerators, and successfully launch new products. There are concerns that the company's sales growth has been decelerating, which could impact its valuation and profitability if growth rates slow more than anticipated. The company has set ambitious long-term targets that require effective coordination and execution across multiple operational fronts.
- Product Quality, Recalls, and Brand Reputation: Due to the perishable nature of its fresh pet food products, Freshpet faces elevated food safety risks compared to manufacturers of dry kibble. Any incidents of product contamination, recalls, regulatory non-compliance, or negative publicity could severely damage consumer trust, lead to significant declines in sales, and result in legal liabilities. The company has experienced past voluntary recalls due to potential Salmonella contamination, highlighting this ongoing risk.
- Supply Chain Vulnerabilities and Input Cost Volatility: Freshpet relies on a robust supply chain to source its fresh ingredients and manage its manufacturing and distribution. This makes the company vulnerable to various supply chain disruptions, including potential cost overruns in manufacturing expansion and the availability and cost of raw materials. Furthermore, the perishable nature of Freshpet's ingredients and products creates a more rigid supply chain, making it susceptible to issues like input cost spikes and operational disruptions.
AI Analysis | Feedback
The increasing market penetration and growth of direct-to-consumer (DTC) subscription services offering personalized, human-grade fresh pet food (e.g., The Farmer's Dog, Ollie). These services leverage a different business model focused on convenience, customization, and home delivery, potentially diverting health-conscious pet owners from Freshpet's retail-centric offerings.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Freshpet, Inc. operates within the growing market for natural fresh meals and treats for dogs and cats across the United States, Canada, and Europe. The addressable markets for their main products are substantial and show significant growth potential in these regions.
United States
- The U.S. fresh pet food market is projected to increase by USD 3.2 billion between 2024 and 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 21.2%.
- In 2024, the U.S. Fresh Pet Food Market was valued at USD 710.15 million and is expected to reach USD 2,700.68 million by 2033, growing at a CAGR of 16% from 2026–2033.
- Within the broader U.S. pet food category, which was valued at $54 billion for the 52 weeks ending December 28, 2024, Freshpet held a 3.4% market share in the $37 billion U.S. dog food & treats segment.
- Freshpet holds a dominant position within the fresh pet food segment in the U.S., with a 96% market share.
- The U.S. cat food market is estimated to reach USD 21.94 billion in 2025 and is projected to grow to USD 29.84 billion by 2031, at a CAGR of 5.26% from 2026–2031.
Canada
- The Canadian pet food products market generated USD 4,521.8 million in revenue in 2022 and is anticipated to reach USD 7,127.1 million by 2030, with a CAGR of 5.9% from 2023 to 2030.
- The overall Canadian pet food market is estimated to reach US$5.6 billion by 2030, growing at a CAGR of 4.9% during the forecast period of 2024-2030.
- In 2024, retail sales of pet food in Canada totaled Can$6.7 billion, with dog and cat food sales accounting for Can$6.6 billion.
- The Canada pet food market is expected to grow from USD 5.38 billion in 2025 to USD 7.41 billion by 2031 at a 5.47% CAGR.
Europe
- The Europe fresh pet food market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 18.5% between 2025 and 2033, with an estimated size of USD 6.2 billion in 2025, and is expected to reach USD 24 billion by 2033.
- The European pet food market size was valued at USD 37.77 billion in 2025 and is projected to reach USD 63.29 billion by 2034, demonstrating a CAGR of 5.90% from 2026-2034.
- In 2024, the Europe pet food market was estimated at USD 36.39 billion and is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.1% from 2025 to 2030.
- The Europe pet food market size in 2026 is estimated at USD 60.41 billion, with projections showing growth to USD 78.51 billion by 2031, at a 5.38% CAGR over 2026-2031.
- Dog food holds a significant share, dominating the Europe pet food market with 42.09% in 2025.
AI Analysis | Feedback
Freshpet, Inc. (FRPT) is expected to drive future revenue growth over the next 2-3 years through several key initiatives:
- Increased Retail Availability and Fridge Placement: Freshpet continues to expand its physical footprint by placing new refrigerators, upgrading existing ones, and adding second or third fridges in current retail locations across grocery, mass, club, and pet specialty channels. This strategy directly enhances product visibility and accessibility for consumers. For instance, in Q1 2024, the company placed 617 fridges, reaching a total of 34,812 fridges at retail. In 2025, Freshpet experienced its best year for new store growth in a decade, largely driven by expansion in club stores, ending the year with products in 30,235 stores and 39,347 fridges in the field.
- Growing Household Penetration and Consumer Demand: The company is focused on increasing the number of households purchasing its products, particularly targeting "Heavy User Pet Parent Households" (HIPPOHs) through advertising and marketing efforts. Freshpet's growth rate is aligned with its 2027 target of reaching 20 million households, with household penetration reaching 15.2 million households, up 10% year-over-year, by the end of 2025. Volume growth is consistently cited as a primary driver of net sales increases, reflecting a sustained consumer shift towards fresh pet food.
- Expansion of Manufacturing Capacity: To support anticipated increases in demand and distribution, Freshpet is investing in expanding its manufacturing capacity, including new production lines and facilities like the NIS (Freshpet Kitchens) plant. This expansion is critical to prevent capacity constraints from limiting sales growth and to meet the increasing volume requirements.
- Digital Sales and Omni-channel Growth: Freshpet is actively pursuing growth in digital sales and developing an omni-channel strategy to reach consumers through various online and offline touchpoints. By the end of 2025, digital sales accounted for 14% of the company's total business.
- Product Mix and Innovation: While not always explicitly detailed as new product launches, commentary on "positive price/mix primarily driven by mix" and ongoing development of "new manufacturing technologies" indicates that optimizing the product portfolio, potentially introducing higher-value offerings, and leveraging technological advancements in production contribute to revenue growth.
AI Analysis | Feedback
```htmlShare Repurchases
- Freshpet made share repurchases of $2.595 million in 2024 and $1.4 million in 2023.
- The company's repurchase of common stock in the latest twelve months, as of late 2024, was approximately $4.209 million.
Share Issuance
- In March 2023, Freshpet issued $402.5 million in convertible notes.
- In 2025, Restricted Stock Units (RSUs) were granted to key executives as retention incentives, with vesting tied to specific financial goals, including net sales and Adjusted EBITDA margin.
- The number of common shares issued increased from 48,716 at December 31, 2024, to 48,985 at December 31, 2025.
Outbound Investments
- Freshpet received $95.5 million in proceeds from the sale of its equity investment in Ollie subsequent to the fourth quarter of 2025.
Capital Expenditures
- Capital expenditures for 2025 amounted to approximately $148.2 million, with plans to spend around $150.0 million in 2026.
- In 2024, capital expenditures were $187.1 million.
- The primary focus of these expenditures includes expanding manufacturing capacity, particularly with facilities like Freshpet Kitchens Ennis in Texas, and investing in Freshpet Fridges for retail placement.
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| 03272026 | MZTI | Marzetti | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
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| 03202026 | MKC | McCormick | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | -5.2% | -5.2% | -5.2% |
Research & Analysis
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Peer Comparisons
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 36.73 |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| Rev LTM | 7,444 |
| Op Inc LTM | 246 |
| FCF LTM | 424 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 388 |
| CFO LTM | 511 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 479 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | -0.5% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | 1.0% |
| Rev Chg Q | -0.9% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | -0.2% |
| Op Inc Chg LTM | 57.8% |
| Op Inc Chg 3Y Avg | 65.1% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 7.3% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.6% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | -0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 11.6% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 12.4% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 6.8% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.6% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 6.7 |
| P/S | 0.9 |
| P/Op Inc | 9.0 |
| P/EBIT | 7.7 |
| P/E | 19.2 |
| P/CFO | 8.0 |
| Total Yield | 3.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 0.0% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 7.4% |
| D/E | 0.7 |
| Net D/E | 0.5 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 1.6% |
| 3M Rtn | -6.5% |
| 6M Rtn | -11.9% |
| 12M Rtn | -12.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | -23.6% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | -7.1% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -10.1% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -20.3% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -46.2% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -97.7% |
Price Behavior
| Market Price | $66.15 | |
| Market Cap ($ Bil) | 3.2 | |
| First Trading Date | 11/07/2014 | |
| Distance from 52W High | -26.2% | |
| 50 Days | 200 Days | |
| DMA Price | $70.34 | $62.84 |
| DMA Trend | down | down |
| Distance from DMA | -6.0% | 5.3% |
| 3M | 1YR | |
| Volatility | 48.7% | 48.5% |
| Downside Capture | 1.16 | 0.55 |
| Upside Capture | 122.13 | 54.14 |
| Correlation (SPY) | 39.8% | 23.4% |
| 1M | 2M | 3M | 6M | 1Y | 3Y | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beta | 0.49 | 0.72 | 0.61 | 0.56 | 0.92 | 0.99 |
| Up Beta | 4.16 | 1.64 | 2.00 | 0.76 | 0.97 | 0.88 |
| Down Beta | -1.07 | -0.04 | -0.81 | 0.70 | 1.01 | 1.15 |
| Up Capture | -183% | 34% | 101% | 58% | 39% | 66% |
| Bmk +ve Days | 7 | 16 | 27 | 65 | 139 | 424 |
| Stock +ve Days | 7 | 17 | 27 | 61 | 118 | 385 |
| Down Capture | 237% | 120% | 103% | 33% | 104% | 103% |
| Bmk -ve Days | 12 | 23 | 33 | 58 | 110 | 323 |
| Stock -ve Days | 15 | 25 | 36 | 64 | 132 | 363 |
[1] Upside and downside betas calculated using positive and negative benchmark daily returns respectively
Based On 1-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRPT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRPT | -5.2% | 48.2% | 0.04 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 4.0% | 12.5% | 0.04 | 22.2% |
| Equity (SPY) | 34.0% | 12.6% | 2.05 | 22.9% |
| Gold (GLD) | 42.9% | 27.2% | 1.29 | 11.3% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 46.4% | 18.0% | 1.97 | -10.9% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 14.2% | 13.3% | 0.74 | 28.4% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | -16.6% | 42.1% | -0.32 | 10.3% |
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Based On 5-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRPT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRPT | -16.4% | 49.5% | -0.19 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 6.3% | 13.2% | 0.26 | 22.7% |
| Equity (SPY) | 12.7% | 17.1% | 0.58 | 41.2% |
| Gold (GLD) | 21.2% | 17.8% | 0.97 | 8.0% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 14.5% | 19.1% | 0.62 | 11.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 3.7% | 18.8% | 0.10 | 32.9% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 7.0% | 56.3% | 0.34 | 23.9% |
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Based On 10-Year Data
| Annualized Return | Annualized Volatility | Sharpe Ratio | Correlation with FRPT | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FRPT | 25.3% | 48.8% | 0.65 | - |
| Sector ETF (XLP) | 7.4% | 14.7% | 0.37 | 31.5% |
| Equity (SPY) | 14.9% | 17.9% | 0.71 | 44.4% |
| Gold (GLD) | 13.9% | 15.9% | 0.73 | 6.9% |
| Commodities (DBC) | 10.1% | 17.8% | 0.47 | 15.4% |
| Real Estate (VNQ) | 5.4% | 20.7% | 0.23 | 36.8% |
| Bitcoin (BTCUSD) | 68.3% | 66.9% | 1.07 | 18.0% |
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Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 2/23/2026 | 5.5% | 13.3% | -13.2% |
| 11/3/2025 | 14.3% | 12.3% | 26.4% |
| 8/4/2025 | 6.3% | -4.7% | -17.0% |
| 5/5/2025 | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% |
| 2/20/2025 | -18.5% | -18.1% | -33.8% |
| 11/4/2024 | 12.6% | 17.0% | 17.1% |
| 8/5/2024 | -0.6% | 4.9% | 12.3% |
| 5/6/2024 | 10.4% | 9.6% | 19.0% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 15 | 15 | 14 |
| # Negative | 7 | 7 | 8 |
| Median Positive | 6.3% | 7.9% | 13.5% |
| Median Negative | -4.7% | -6.7% | -15.1% |
| Max Positive | 19.7% | 20.4% | 26.4% |
| Max Negative | -18.5% | -18.1% | -33.8% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2025 | 02/23/2026 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2025 | 11/03/2025 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2025 | 08/04/2025 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2025 | 05/05/2025 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2024 | 02/20/2025 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2024 | 11/04/2024 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2024 | 08/05/2024 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2024 | 05/06/2024 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2023 | 02/26/2024 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2023 | 11/06/2023 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2023 | 08/07/2023 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2023 | 05/08/2023 | 10-Q |
| 12/31/2022 | 02/28/2023 | 10-K |
| 09/30/2022 | 11/08/2022 | 10-Q |
| 06/30/2022 | 08/09/2022 | 10-Q |
| 03/31/2022 | 05/03/2022 | 10-Q |
Recent Forward Guidance [BETA]
Latest: Q4 2025 Earnings Reported 2/23/2026
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2026 Net Sales Growth | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | -34.6% | -4.5% | Lower New | Actual: 13.0% for 2025 |
| 2026 Adjusted EBITDA | 205.00 Mil | 210.00 Mil | 215.00 Mil | 9.1% | Higher New | Actual: 192.50 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2026 Capital Expenditures | 150.00 Mil | 7.1% | Higher New | Actual: 140.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
Prior: Q3 2025 Earnings Reported 11/3/2025
| Forward Guidance | Guidance Change | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Metric | Low | Mid | High | % Chg | % Delta | Change | Prior |
| 2025 Net Sales Growth | 13.0% | -10.3% | -1.5% | Lowered | Guidance: 14.5% for 2025 | ||
| 2025 Adjusted EBITDA | 190.00 Mil | 192.50 Mil | 195.00 Mil | -3.8% | Lowered | Guidance: 200.00 Mil for 2025 | |
| 2025 Capital Expenditures | 140.00 Mil | -20.0% | Lowered | Guidance: 175.00 Mil for 2025 | |||
| 2025 Free Cash Flow | |||||||
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |
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