Constellation Energy (CEG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $360.01 | Market Cap: $112.7 BilSector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities
Constellation Energy (CEG)
Market Price (12/4/2025): $360.01Market Cap: $112.7 BilSector: UtilitiesIndustry: Electric Utilities
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Hydrogen Economy, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more. |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Hydrogen Economy, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CEG Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Constellation Energy (CEG) experienced a 17.4% stock movement between approximately August 31, 2025, and December 4, 2025, driven by several key factors:
1. Strong Third Quarter 2025 Financial Performance. Constellation Energy reported robust adjusted operating earnings of $3.04 per share for Q3 2025, an increase from the previous year, and surpassed revenue expectations. The company also narrowed its full-year 2025 adjusted operating earnings guidance, raising the lower end of the range, which signaled confidence in its operational and financial outlook.
2. Strategic Role in Powering the AI and Data Center Boom. The company solidified its position as a crucial energy provider for the burgeoning artificial intelligence and data center sectors. Its substantial fleet of reliable, carbon-free nuclear power plants is increasingly seen as essential for meeting the continuous and high-demand energy needs of hyperscalers.
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CEG Return | - | - | - | 37% | 93% | 63% | 332% |
| Peers Return | -13% | 23% | -8% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 77% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 16% | 112% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CEG Win Rate | - | - | 80% | 67% | 67% | 70% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 42% | 60% | 57% | 50% | 67% | 64% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 70% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CEG Max Drawdown | - | - | - | -15% | -5% | -23% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -30% | -8% | -23% | -14% | -5% | -10% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NU, EXC, ETR, FE, EIX.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/3/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CEG | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -24.5% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 32.4% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 124 days | 464 days |
Compare to NU, EXC, ETR, FE, EIX
In The Past
Constellation Energy's stock fell -24.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/25/2022. A -24.5% loss requires a 32.4% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
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Latest Trefis Analyses
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CEG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11212025 | PEG | Public Service Enterprise | Monopoly | MY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S DeclineLarge cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple | -0.7% | -0.7% | -0.7% |
| 09262025 | PCG | PG&E | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.0% |
| 09052025 | AES | AES | Dip Buy | DB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High MarginBuying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin | 9.3% | 9.3% | -3.2% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Constellation Energy
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Financials
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Growth & Margins
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Valuation
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Returns
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Returns Analyses
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 9302025 | 11072025 | 10-Q 9/30/2025 |
| 6302025 | 8072025 | 10-Q 6/30/2025 |
| 3312025 | 5062025 | 10-Q 3/31/2025 |
| 12312024 | 2182025 | 10-K 12/31/2024 |
| 9302024 | 11042024 | 10-Q 9/30/2024 |
| 6302024 | 8062024 | 10-Q 6/30/2024 |
| 3312024 | 5092024 | 10-Q 3/31/2024 |
| 12312023 | 2272024 | 10-K 12/31/2023 |
| 9302023 | 11062023 | 10-Q 9/30/2023 |
| 6302023 | 8032023 | 10-Q 6/30/2023 |
| 3312023 | 5042023 | 10-Q 3/31/2023 |
| 12312022 | 2162023 | 10-K 12/31/2022 |
| 9302022 | 11082022 | 10-Q 9/30/2022 |
| 6302022 | 8042022 | 10-Q 6/30/2022 |
| 3312022 | 5122022 | 10-Q 3/31/2022 |
| 12312021 | 2252022 | 10-K 12/31/2021 |
Insider Activity
Expand for More| Owner | Title | Filing Date | Action | Price | Shares | TransactedValue | Value ofHeld Shares | Form | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | Bauer Matthew N | SVP & Controller | 2212025 | Sell | 310.38 | 3,904 | 1,211,705 | 2,074,237 | Form |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |