Tearsheet

Constellation Energy (CEG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $341.03 | Market Cap: $106.7 Bil
Sector: Utilities | Industry: Electric Utilities

Constellation Energy (CEG)


Market Price (12/18/2025): $341.03
Market Cap: $106.7 Bil
Sector: Utilities
Industry: Electric Utilities

Investment Highlights Why It Matters Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?

1. Generates cash flow

The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.

2. Riding a trend

Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow


0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil
Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 25x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Hydrogen Economy, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
2  Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
3  Key risks
CEG key risks include [1] substantial maintenance and capital costs from its aging nuclear fleet and [2] potential changes to the supportive regulatory policies it relies on.
0 Attractive cash flow generation
CFO LTM is 2.4 Bil
1 Megatrend and thematic drivers
Megatrends include Renewable Energy Transition, Hydrogen Economy, and Datacenter Power. Themes include Solar Energy Generation, Show more.
2 Expensive valuation multiples
P/EBITPrice/EBIT or Price/(Operating Income) ratio is 25x, P/CFOPrice/(Cash Flow from Operations). CFO is cash before capital expenditures. is 43x, P/EPrice/Earnings or Price/(Net Income) is 38x
3 Not cash flow generative
FCF/Rev LTMFree Cash Flow / Revenue (Sales), Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -1.1%
4 Valuation getting more expensive
P/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is 59%
5 Key risks
CEG key risks include [1] substantial maintenance and capital costs from its aging nuclear fleet and [2] potential changes to the supportive regulatory policies it relies on.

Valuation, Metrics & Events

CEG Stock


Why The Stock Moved


Qualitative Assessment

AI Generated Analysis | Feedback

Here are five key points explaining the approximate 10.8% stock movement of Constellation Energy (CEG) from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025: 1. Strong Q2 2025 Earnings Report and Reaffirmed Full-Year Guidance. Constellation Energy reported robust second-quarter 2025 financial results on August 7, 2025, with GAAP Net Income of $2.67 per share and Adjusted Operating Earnings of $1.91 per share, an improvement over the prior year. The company also reaffirmed its full-year adjusted operating earnings guidance for 2025, projecting a range of $8.90 to $9.60 per share, which provided a positive outlook for investors.

2. Strategic Growth Investments and Calpine Acquisition Progress. Constellation Energy announced plans to invest over $2.5 billion in 2025 to enhance operational reliability and fund growth projects aimed at meeting increasing power demand. Additionally, the acquisition of Calpine Corporation received necessary regulatory approvals from FERC and state bodies, remaining on track to close by the end of 2025. This acquisition is expected to significantly expand Constellation's position as a leading wholesale power provider.

Show more

Stock Movement Drivers

Return vs. Risk


Price Returns Compared

 202020212022202320242025Total [1]
Returns
CEG Return37%93%64%
Peers Return4%24%3%6%66%17%174%
S&P 500 Return16%27%-19%24%23%14%108%

Monthly Win Rates [3]
CEG Win Rate80%67%67%67% 
Peers Win Rate57%62%62%52%62%62% 
S&P 500 Win Rate58%75%42%67%75%73% 

Max Drawdowns [4]
CEG Max Drawdown-15%-5%-23% 
Peers Max Drawdown-33%-9%-14%-18%-5%-9% 
S&P 500 Max Drawdown-31%-1%-25%-1%-2%-15% 


[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: NEE, DUK, SO, VST, EXC.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)

How Low Can It Go

Unique KeyEventCEGS&P 500
2022 Inflation Shock2022 Inflation Shock  
2022 Inflation Shock% Loss% Loss-24.5%-25.4%
2022 Inflation Shock% Gain to Breakeven% Gain to Breakeven32.4%34.1%
2022 Inflation ShockTime to BreakevenTime to Breakeven124 days464 days

Compare to NU, EXC, ETR, FE, EIX


In The Past

Constellation Energy's stock fell -24.5% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 11/25/2022. A -24.5% loss requires a 32.4% gain to breakeven.

Preserve Wealth

Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.

Asset Allocation

Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.

About Constellation Energy (CEG)

Better Bets than Constellation Energy (CEG)

Latest Trefis Analyses

Trade Ideas

Select past ideas related to CEG. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.

Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%
Unique KeyDateTickerCompanyCategoryTrade Strategy6M Fwd Rtn12M Fwd Rtn12M Max DD
PEG_11212025_Monopoly_xInd_xCD_Getting_Cheaper11212025PEGPublic Service EnterpriseMonopolyMY | Getting CheaperMonopoly-Like with P/S Decline
Large cap with monopoly-like margins or cash flow generation and getting cheaper based on P/S multiple
-0.9%-0.9%-2.4%
PCG_9262025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09262025PCGPG&EDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
2.2%2.2%-0.8%
AES_9052025_Dip_Buyer_ValueBuy09052025AESAESDip BuyDB | P/E OPMDip Buy with Low PE and High Margin
Buying dips for companies with tame PE and meaningfully high operating margin
6.7%6.7%-3.2%

Recent Active Movers

Recent Active Movers

More From Trefis

Peer Comparisons for Constellation Energy

Peers to compare with:

Financials

CEGNEEDUKSOVSTEXCMedian
NameConstell.NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Vistra Exelon  
Mkt Price340.9780.29117.4387.03159.9744.22102.23
Mkt Cap106.7165.891.495.954.244.793.6
Rev LTM24,84126,29831,65928,91217,19124,31725,570
Op Inc LTM3,0177,4048,5837,4262,1045,0606,232
FCF LTM-2763,073-921-1,8231,645-1,595-598
FCF 3Y Avg-4,7682,421-2,122-1,0312,328-2,186-1,576
CFO LTM2,41611,96712,0499,3783,9916,4367,907
CFO 3Y Avg-2,25211,84710,5398,6104,3495,3376,974

Growth & Margins

CEGNEEDUKSOVSTEXCMedian
NameConstell.NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Vistra Exelon  
Rev Chg LTM3.6%0.2%4.8%9.4%5.7%6.1%5.2%
Rev Chg 3Y Avg3.7%11.4%5.2%1.3%9.5%8.9%7.1%
Rev Chg Q0.3%5.3%4.8%7.5%-20.9%9.0%5.0%
QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM0.1%1.5%1.2%1.9%-7.1%2.3%1.4%
Op Mgn LTM12.1%28.2%27.1%25.7%12.2%20.8%23.2%
Op Mgn 3Y Avg11.1%31.5%25.1%23.7%17.0%19.0%21.3%
QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM-1.7%-1.4%0.3%0.3%-7.5%0.8%-0.6%
CFO/Rev LTM9.7%45.5%38.1%32.4%23.2%26.5%29.5%
CFO/Rev 3Y Avg-8.9%44.6%34.6%31.6%26.8%23.3%29.2%
FCF/Rev LTM-1.1%11.7%-2.9%-6.3%9.6%-6.6%-2.0%
FCF/Rev 3Y Avg-19.0%9.3%-7.1%-3.7%14.4%-9.9%-5.4%

Valuation

CEGNEEDUKSOVSTEXCMedian
NameConstell.NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Vistra Exelon  
Mkt Cap106.7165.891.495.954.244.793.6
P/S4.15.93.03.63.91.93.7
P/EBIT24.720.710.412.530.18.616.6
P/E37.624.019.323.457.616.123.7
P/CFO42.613.08.011.116.67.112.1
Total Yield3.1%7.1%6.0%7.1%2.2%9.7%6.6%
Dividend Yield0.5%2.9%0.8%2.9%0.5%3.5%1.8%
FCF Yield 3Y Avg-9.5%1.3%-2.9%-1.3%11.6%-5.5%-2.1%
D/E0.10.60.90.70.31.10.7
Net D/E0.00.60.90.70.31.10.6

Returns

CEGNEEDUKSOVSTEXCMedian
NameConstell.NextEra .Duke Ene.Southern Vistra Exelon  
1M Rtn0.7%-5.7%-6.2%-3.9%-8.6%-5.1%-5.4%
3M Rtn6.3%15.0%-2.2%-4.2%-23.2%3.2%0.5%
6M Rtn11.5%13.8%4.3%-0.2%-11.6%6.2%5.2%
12M Rtn46.4%14.6%12.8%8.0%15.1%25.5%14.8%
3Y Rtn296.2%4.1%31.8%41.3%598.7%18.0%36.5%
1M Excs Rtn-0.1%-6.5%-6.9%-4.7%-9.3%-5.8%-6.2%
3M Excs Rtn4.4%12.8%-3.0%-5.4%-25.2%2.1%-0.4%
6M Excs Rtn-0.8%1.4%-8.1%-12.6%-24.0%-6.2%-7.1%
12M Excs Rtn32.3%1.4%0.7%-3.0%-0.0%13.2%1.1%
3Y Excs Rtn216.1%-67.2%-39.2%-30.3%525.9%-52.1%-34.8%

Financials

Segment Financials

Revenue by Segment

$ Mil2024202320222021
Other5,904   
Other Power Regions5,851   
Mid-Atlantic5,138   
Midwest4,658   
New York2,021   
Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT)1,346   
Natural Gas Revenues 4,9673,3792,003
Other Revenues -211-20540
Segment Power Revenues 19,68416,29015,060
Total24,91824,44019,64917,603


Price Behavior

Short Interest

Short Interest: As Of Date11282025
Short Interest: Shares Quantity6,136,494
Short Interest: % Change Since 11152025-1.9%
Average Daily Volume2,470,726
Days-to-Cover Short Interest2.48
Basic Shares Quantity313,000,000
Short % of Basic Shares2.0%

Earnings Returns History

Expand for More

 Forward Returns
Earnings Date1D Returns5D Returns21D Returns
11/7/20252.0%-4.3%2.4%
8/7/2025-0.6%-3.2%-10.8%
5/6/202510.3%14.9%20.8%
2/18/20252.6%-15.6%-33.4%
11/4/2024-12.5%-7.3%-4.0%
8/6/20246.5%10.4%4.6%
5/9/20243.8%7.4%-4.7%
2/27/202416.9%32.1%39.4%
...
SUMMARY STATS   
# Positive1098
# Negative456
Median Positive4.8%10.0%12.1%
Median Negative-3.5%-7.3%-7.5%
Max Positive16.9%32.1%39.4%
Max Negative-12.5%-15.6%-33.4%

SEC Filings

Expand for More

Report DateFiling DateFiling
93020251107202510-Q 9/30/2025
6302025807202510-Q 6/30/2025
3312025506202510-Q 3/31/2025
12312024218202510-K 12/31/2024
93020241104202410-Q 9/30/2024
6302024806202410-Q 6/30/2024
3312024509202410-Q 3/31/2024
12312023227202410-K 12/31/2023
93020231106202310-Q 9/30/2023
6302023803202310-Q 6/30/2023
3312023504202310-Q 3/31/2023
12312022216202310-K 12/31/2022
93020221108202210-Q 9/30/2022
6302022804202210-Q 6/30/2022
3312022512202210-Q 3/31/2022
12312021225202210-K 12/31/2021

Insider Activity

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 OwnerTitleFiling DateActionPriceSharesTransacted
Value
Value of
Held Shares
Form
0Bauer Matthew NSVP & Controller2212025Sell310.383,9041,211,7052,074,237Form