Caleres (CAL)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.58 | Market Cap: $441.6 MilSector: Consumer Discretionary | Industry: Apparel Retail
Caleres (CAL)
Market Price (12/18/2025): $13.58Market Cap: $441.6 MilSector: Consumer DiscretionaryIndustry: Apparel Retail
Investment Highlights
Why It Matters
Which of these 2 stories sounds closer for this stock?
1. Generates cash flow
The stock generated 4% or more of the share price (called cash flow yield), and shows moderate 10-15% or more growth.
2. Riding a trend
Think Tesla during the pandemic of 2020 when EVs were riding a cultural high, or Nvidia in the current AI boom, or even Figma. These companies don’t have enough yield, or, enough growth, or both - however - they are riding a trend. They have momentum. These can be more volatile - they don’t have the floor of strong cash flow
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.2% | Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103% | Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% | Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% | |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Online Marketplaces, Show more. | Key risksCAL key risks include [1] sharply deteriorating financial performance, Show more. |
| Attractive yieldTotal YieldTotal Yield = Earnings Yield + Dividend Yield, Earnings Yield = Net Income / Market Cap Dividend Yield = Total Dividends / Market Cap is 7.2%, Dividend Yield is 2.2% |
| Valuation becoming less expensiveP/S 6M Chg %Price/Sales change over 6 months. Declining P/S indicates valuation has become less expensive. is -25% |
| Megatrend and thematic driversMegatrends include E-commerce & Digital Retail, and Sustainable Consumption. Themes include Direct-to-Consumer Brands, Online Marketplaces, Show more. |
| Weak multi-year price returns2Y Excs Rtn is -95%, 3Y Excs Rtn is -103% |
| Weak revenue growthRev Chg LTMRevenue Change % Last Twelve Months (LTM) is -2.8%, Rev Chg 3Y AvgRevenue Change % averaged over trailing 3 years is -2.9% |
| Significant short interestShort Interest % of Basic SharesShort Interest % of Basic Shares = (Short Interest Quantity) / (Basic Shares Outstanding). A high fraction of short interest can indicate potential risk of a short squeeze. is 25% |
| Key risksCAL key risks include [1] sharply deteriorating financial performance, Show more. |
Valuation, Metrics & Events
CAL Stock
Why The Stock Moved
Qualitative Assessment
AI Generated Analysis | Feedback
Here are the key points explaining the -9.1% stock movement for Caleres (CAL) during the approximate time period from August 31, 2025, to December 18, 2025:
1. Disappointing Second Quarter 2025 Earnings: Caleres reported a significant miss in its earnings per share for the second quarter of 2025, with an actual EPS of $0.35 against a forecasted $0.56, representing a 37.5% negative surprise. This announcement on September 4, 2025, led to an initial stock drop of over 11%.
2. Sharp Decline in Third Quarter 2025 Profitability: The company experienced a substantial decrease in GAAP net earnings and adjusted earnings per share for the third quarter of 2025, falling significantly short of analyst expectations. GAAP net earnings dropped to $2.4 million from $41.4 million in the prior year, and adjusted EPS was $0.38 compared to an expected $0.85, contributing to a negative market reaction on December 9, 2025.
Show more
Stock Movement Drivers
Return vs. Risk
Price Returns Compared
| 2020 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025 | Total [1] | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Returns | |||||||
| CAL Return | -32% | 47% | -1% | 39% | -24% | -40% | -36% |
| Peers Return | -8% | 51% | -28% | 11% | 45% | -7% | 49% |
| S&P 500 Return | 16% | 27% | -19% | 24% | 23% | 14% | 108% |
Monthly Win Rates [3] | |||||||
| CAL Win Rate | 50% | 58% | 42% | 75% | 50% | 42% | |
| Peers Win Rate | 53% | 63% | 40% | 55% | 50% | 47% | |
| S&P 500 Win Rate | 58% | 75% | 42% | 67% | 75% | 73% | |
Max Drawdowns [4] | |||||||
| CAL Max Drawdown | -86% | -7% | -21% | -22% | -26% | -58% | |
| Peers Max Drawdown | -66% | -6% | -44% | -27% | -21% | -57% | |
| S&P 500 Max Drawdown | -31% | -1% | -25% | -1% | -2% | -15% | |
[1] Cumulative total returns since the beginning of 2020
[2] Peers: DECK, SHOO, DBI, GCO, WWW. See CAL Returns vs. Peers.
[3] Win Rate = % of calendar months in which monthly returns were positive
[4] Max drawdown represents maximum peak-to-trough decline within a year
[5] 2025 data is for the year up to 12/17/2025 (YTD)
How Low Can It Go
| Event | CAL | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 2022 Inflation Shock | ||
| % Loss | -43.3% | -25.4% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 76.2% | 34.1% |
| Time to Breakeven | 182 days | 464 days |
| 2020 Covid Pandemic | ||
| % Loss | -86.2% | -33.9% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 624.1% | 51.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 394 days | 148 days |
| 2018 Correction | ||
| % Loss | -64.1% | -19.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 178.6% | 24.7% |
| Time to Breakeven | 1683 days | 120 days |
| 2008 Global Financial Crisis | ||
| % Loss | -94.3% | -56.8% |
| % Gain to Breakeven | 1655.6% | 131.3% |
| Time to Breakeven | 3450 days | 1480 days |
Compare to GES, SCVL, GCO, TJX, ROST
In The Past
Caleres's stock fell -43.3% during the 2022 Inflation Shock from a high on 8/18/2022. A -43.3% loss requires a 76.2% gain to breakeven.
Preserve Wealth
Limiting losses and compounding gains is essential to preserving wealth over time.
Asset Allocation
Actively managed asset allocation strategies protect wealth. Learn more.
Latest Trefis Analyses
| Title | |
|---|---|
| ARTICLES |
Trade Ideas
Select past ideas related to CAL. For more, see Trefis Trade Ideas.
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
| Date | Ticker | Company | Category | Trade Strategy | 6M Fwd Rtn | 12M Fwd Rtn | 12M Max DD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11302025 | BBWI | Bath & Body Works | Dip Buy | DB | Insider Buys | Low D/EDip Buy with Strong Insider BuyingBuying dips for companies with strong insider buying in the last 1 month, positive operating income and reasonable debt / market cap | 12.8% | 12.8% | 0.0% |
| 11262025 | HRB | H&R Block | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 5.4% | 5.4% | -0.1% |
| 11262025 | LRN | Stride | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 3.2% | 3.2% | -4.4% |
| 11212025 | ABNB | Airbnb | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.5% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| 11212025 | MTN | Vail Resorts | Dip Buy | DB | FCFY OPMDip Buy with High FCF Yield and High MarginBuying dips for companies with high FCF yield and meaningfully high operating margin | 15.3% | 15.3% | -1.6% |
Research & Analysis
Invest in Strategies
Wealth Management
Peer Comparisons for Caleres
| Peers to compare with: |
Financials
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Price | 21.23 |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| Rev LTM | 2,542 |
| Op Inc LTM | 73 |
| FCF LTM | 77 |
| FCF 3Y Avg | 145 |
| CFO LTM | 114 |
| CFO 3Y Avg | 180 |
Growth & Margins
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Rev Chg LTM | 3.2% |
| Rev Chg 3Y Avg | -1.5% |
| Rev Chg Q | 6.7% |
| QoQ Delta Rev Chg LTM | 1.8% |
| Op Mgn LTM | 2.9% |
| Op Mgn 3Y Avg | 4.3% |
| QoQ Delta Op Mgn LTM | 0.0% |
| CFO/Rev LTM | 4.4% |
| CFO/Rev 3Y Avg | 7.5% |
| FCF/Rev LTM | 3.2% |
| FCF/Rev 3Y Avg | 6.2% |
Valuation
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| Mkt Cap | 1.0 |
| P/S | 0.6 |
| P/EBIT | 13.7 |
| P/E | 22.7 |
| P/CFO | 9.9 |
| Total Yield | 5.2% |
| Dividend Yield | 1.9% |
| FCF Yield 3Y Avg | 12.6% |
| D/E | 0.2 |
| Net D/E | 0.1 |
Returns
| Median | |
|---|---|
| Name | |
| 1M Rtn | 27.0% |
| 3M Rtn | -12.2% |
| 6M Rtn | 9.6% |
| 12M Rtn | -29.8% |
| 3Y Rtn | 17.1% |
| 1M Excs Rtn | 26.2% |
| 3M Excs Rtn | -11.7% |
| 6M Excs Rtn | -2.8% |
| 12M Excs Rtn | -42.8% |
| 3Y Excs Rtn | -55.2% |
Comparison Analyses
Segment Financials
Revenue by Segment
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Famous Footwear | 1,609 | 1,705 | 1,748 | 1,264 | 1,588 |
| Brand Portfolio | 1,271 | 1,323 | 1,081 | 902 | 1,334 |
| Eliminations and Other | -63 | -60 | -52 | -49 | |
| Total | 2,817 | 2,968 | 2,778 | 2,117 | 2,922 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brand Portfolio | 145 | 112 | 36 | -408 | 58 |
| Famous Footwear | 124 | 196 | 276 | -24 | 77 |
| Eliminations and Other | -75 | -94 | -107 | -53 | -31 |
| Total | 194 | 214 | 206 | -486 | 104 |
| $ Mil | 2025 | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brand Portfolio | 862 | 921 | 944 | 851 | 1,384 |
| Famous Footwear | 771 | 768 | 705 | 766 | 891 |
| Eliminations and Other | 171 | 148 | 195 | 250 | 157 |
| Total | 1,805 | 1,836 | 1,844 | 1,867 | 2,432 |
Returns Analyses
Earnings Returns History
Expand for More| Forward Returns | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Earnings Date | 1D Returns | 5D Returns | 21D Returns |
| 12/9/2025 | -5.6% | 1.1% | |
| 9/4/2025 | -4.7% | 4.7% | -9.1% |
| 5/29/2025 | -18.3% | -18.6% | -23.0% |
| 3/20/2025 | 2.7% | 7.7% | -6.5% |
| 12/5/2024 | -20.0% | -21.5% | -34.1% |
| 9/12/2024 | -18.8% | -11.3% | -14.7% |
| 5/30/2024 | -1.3% | -7.6% | -8.2% |
| 3/19/2024 | 2.1% | 2.4% | -10.3% |
| ... | |||
| SUMMARY STATS | |||
| # Positive | 13 | 12 | 8 |
| # Negative | 11 | 12 | 16 |
| Median Positive | 7.4% | 5.7% | 14.7% |
| Median Negative | -8.4% | -11.8% | -14.7% |
| Max Positive | 29.9% | 34.2% | 39.1% |
| Max Negative | -20.5% | -26.9% | -72.4% |
SEC Filings
Expand for More| Report Date | Filing Date | Filing |
|---|---|---|
| 10312025 | 12112025 | 10-Q 11/1/2025 |
| 7312025 | 9092025 | 10-Q 8/2/2025 |
| 4302025 | 6102025 | 10-Q 5/3/2025 |
| 1312025 | 4012025 | 10-K 2/1/2025 |
| 10312024 | 12112024 | 10-Q 11/2/2024 |
| 7312024 | 9122024 | 10-Q 8/3/2024 |
| 4302024 | 6112024 | 10-Q 5/4/2024 |
| 1312024 | 4022024 | 10-K 2/3/2024 |
| 10312023 | 12052023 | 10-Q 10/28/2023 |
| 7312023 | 9052023 | 10-Q 7/29/2023 |
| 4302023 | 6062023 | 10-Q 4/29/2023 |
| 1312023 | 3282023 | 10-K 1/28/2023 |
| 10312022 | 12062022 | 10-Q 10/29/2022 |
| 7312022 | 9062022 | 10-Q 7/30/2022 |
| 4302022 | 6072022 | 10-Q 4/30/2022 |
| 1312022 | 3282022 | 10-K 1/29/2022 |
External Quote Links
| Y Finance | Barrons |
| TradingView | Morningstar |
| SeekingAlpha | ValueLine |
| Motley Fool | Robinhood |
| CNBC | Etrade |
| MarketWatch | Unusual Whales |
| YCharts | Perplexity Finance |
| FinViz |